Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Season 2010 - week 16 - results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
CAR @PITWWWW
DAL @ARILLLL
DET @MIALWWW
MIN @PHILLLL
WAS @JACLWLL
SF @STLWLLL
SEA @TBWLWL
NE @BUFWWWW
NYJ @CHILLLL
BAL @CLEWWWL
TEN @KCLWWW
IND @OAKLWWL
HOU @DENLLLL
NYG @GBLLLL
SD @CINWWWW
NO @ATLWLLL
TOTALS7-98-88-85-11
For the Year120-116-4123-117123-116-1123-116-1

Friday, December 24, 2010

Season 2010 - week 16 picks

12/23 8:20 PM
101 CAR 38 UUU
102 PIT -14 * -3 OL yrs

again late posting Thursday pick

12/25 7:30 PM
103 DAL -7 ***
104 ARI 45 U +11 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
105 DET 41½ OOO
106 MIA -3.5 * +12 OL yrs

12/26 8:25 PM
107 MIN 43½ OO
108 PHI -14.5 * -2 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
109 WAS 46 U
110 JAC -7 *** -2 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
111 SF 39½ UUUU
112 STL -2.5 * +5 OL yrs

12/26 4:15 PM
113 SEA 44 UU
114 TB -6.5 **** +11 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
115 NE -7.5 *
116 BUF 44½ UUU +22 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
117 NYJ 36½ **
118 CHI -1 UUUUU +1 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
119 BAL -3.5 ****
120 CLE 39½ UUU 0 OL yrs

12/26 1:00 PM
121 TEN 42½ *
122 KC -5 OOO -10 OL yrs

12/26 4:05 PM
123 IND -3 OOOOOO
124 OAK 47½ **** -1 OL yrs

12/26 4:05 PM
125 HOU -2.5 *****
126 DEN 48½ OOOOOO +15 OL yrs

12/26 4:15 PM
127 NYG 43 ****
128 GB -3 UU +11 OL yrs

12/26 4:05 PM
129 SD -7.5 OOOO
130 CIN 44½ * -10 OL yrs

12/27 8:35 PM
131 NO 48½ ***
132 ATL -2.5 OOOOOO -2 OL yrs

Season 2010 - week 15 - results


just unusual, MNF should've been an under game, but somehow CHI scores in the first half and w/the field even colder in the 2nd half scores even more

PHI comes back w/8min left in game, 21 points to tie and wins the improbable on the road @NYG new stadium, wow!

NE wins the game but doesn't cover and lets the 2nd string QB Flynn of GB hang in the game

TEN just stomps 21pts on HOU and doesn't look back

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
SF @SDWWWL
KC @STLLWWW
HOU @TENLWWW
JAC @INDLLLW
ARI @CARWWWL
CLE @CINWWWW
BUF @MIALWLL
PHI @NYGLWLL
WAS @DALLLLL
DET @TBLLLW
NO @BALLWLL
ATL @SEAWLWW
NYJ @PITWLWW
DEN @OAKWLLW
GB @NELLLL
CHI @MINWLWW
TOTALS7-98-88-89-7
For the Year113-107-4115-109115-108-1118-105-1

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Season 2010 - week 15 - picks

forgot to post earlier Thursday picks...

12/16 5:20 PM
301 SF 44.5 UUUU
302 SD -10 * +2 OL yrs


12/19 1:00 PM
303 KC 42½ UUU
304 STL -3 * +17 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
305 HOU 47½ ****
306 TEN -1.5 O +0 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
307 JAC 48½ *
308 IND -4.5 UUUU +0 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
309 ARI 38 UUUU
310 CAR -2.5 * +11 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
311 CLE 40 UUU
312 CIN -1 * -8 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
313 BUF 40 U
314 MIA -5.5 ** -9 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
315 PHI 46½ O
316 NYG -3 *** -15 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
317 WAS 45½ UUU
318 DAL -7 ** -14 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
319 DET 43 OOOO
320 TB -4.5 ** +21 OL yrs

12/19 1:00 PM
321 NO 43½ **
322 BAL -1.5 O +4 OL yrs

12/19 4:05 PM
323 ATL -6 ***
324 SEA 45½ U +8 OL yrs

12/19 4:15 PM
325 NYJ 35½ *
326 PIT -5.5 UU +5 OL yrs

12/19 4:15 PM
327 DEN 42 UUUU
328 OAK -7.5 ** -20 OL yrs

12/19 8:25 PM
329 GB 43½ U
330 NE -14 **** -9 OL yrs

12/20 8:35 PM
331 CHI -7.5 ***
332 MIN 33½ U +9 OL yrs
game to be played @TCF BANK STADIUM
UoMinn (Gophers), due to Metrodome roof collapse

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Season 2010 - week 14 results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
IND @TBLLLL
OAK @JACWLLL
CIN @PITLWWL
NE @CHIWLWW
CLE @BUFLWLL
NYG @MINWLLW
GB @DETLLLW
ATL @CARWWWW
TB @WASLLLW
STL @NOLWWW
SEA @SFLWLW
MIA @NYJWWWL
DEN @ARILLLW
KC @SDLLLL
PHI @DALLWLW
BAL @HOUWWWL
TOTALS6-108-86-109-7
For the Year106-98-4107-101107-100-1109-98-1

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Season 2010 - week 14 - picks

12/12 1:00 PM
105 OAK 43 UU
106 JAC -4.5 * +1 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
107 CIN 39½ *
108 PIT -8.5 UU +9 OLyrs

12/12 4:15 PM
109 NE -3 ***
110 CHI 41 U +6 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
111 CLE 39½ ***
112 BUF -1 UU +8 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
113 NYG -3 *
114 MIN 43 OOO +12 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
115 GB -6.5 *
116 DET 46½ OOO -9 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
117 ATL -7 *
118 CAR 42½ UUU +10 OLyrs

12/12 1:00 PM
119 TB -2.5 ***
120 WAS 41 O -12 OLyrs

12/12 4:05 PM
121 STL 47 *
122 NO -9 UU -9 OLyrs

12/12 4:05 PM
123 SEA 42 *
124 SF -5 OOO -3 OLyrs

12/12 4:15 PM
125 MIA 39½ *
126 NYJ -5.5 UUUU -3 OLyrs

12/12 4:15 PM
127 DEN -4.5 *
128 ARI 42 UUU -20 OLyrs

12/12 4:15 PM
129 KC 46½ ****
130 SD -7 O +15 OLyrs

12/12 8:25 PM
131 PHI -3.5 **
132 DAL 50½ O -21 OLyrs

12/13 8:35 PM
133 BAL -3 ******
134 HOU 45½ O -2 OLyrs

Thursday, December 09, 2010

Season 2010 - week 14 - Thursday pick

12/09 8:20 PM
101 IND -3.5 *
102 TEN 44½ UUUU +3 OLyrs

Season 2010 - week 13 - results

I noticed I made in error in totals O/U in week 7. I had an extra loss, so I fixed it with this weeks results.

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
HOU @PHILWLL
BUF @MINLWLW
CLE @MIAWWWW
JAC @TENWWWW
DEN @KCLWWW
WAS @NYGWWWW
CHI @DETLWWW
SF @GBWWWL
NO @CINLLLW
ATL @TBLWLW
OAK @SDLLLW
CAR @SEALWWW
DAL @INDWWWW
STL @ARIWWWL
PIT @BALLWLL
NYJ @NEWWWW
TOTALS7-914-210-612-4
For the Year100-88-499-93101-90-1100-91-1

Friday, December 03, 2010

Season 2010 - week 13 - picks

12/05 1:00 PM
341 BUF 44½ ***
342 MIN -5.5 O -11 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
343 CLE 43 *
344 MIA -4.5 UUUU +3 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
345 JAC 42 *****
346 TEN -3 U +7 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
347 DEN 48½ UUUU
348 KC -8.5 * -15 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
349 WAS 43 UU
350 NYG -7 * -8 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
351 CHI -4.5 *
352 DET 44½ UUU -5 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
353 SF 41½ O
354 GB -9.5 *** +1 OL yrs

12/05 1:00 PM
355 NO -6.5 ****
356 CIN 45½ U -3 OL yrs

12/05 4:15 PM
357 ATL -3 O
358 TB 44½ *** +11 OL yrs

12/05 4:05 PM
359 OAK 45 O
360 SD -13 *** +8 OL yrs

12/05 4:15 PM
361 CAR 40 *
362 SEA -6 OOO -2 OL yrs

12/05 4:15 PM
363 DAL 47½ *
364 IND -5.5 OO +14 OL yrs

12/05 4:15 PM
365 STL -3 ****
366 ARI 43 U -10 OL yrs

12/05 8:25 PM
367 PIT 40 UU
368 BAL -3 *** -3 OL yrs

12/06 8:35 PM
369 NYJ 46 O
370 NE -3.5 **** -6 OL yrs

Thursday, December 02, 2010

Season 2010 - week 13 - Thursday pick

12/02 8:20 PM
301 HOU 51½ ***
302 PHI -8 OO +6 OL yrs

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Season 2010 - week 12 - results

I forgot to post OL yrs for Thursday night games, so here it is:

NE
DET +1 OLyrs

NO
DAL -14 OLyrs

CIN
NYJ +5 OLyrs


GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
NE @DETWWWW
NO @DALWLLL
CIN @NYJWLLL
MIN @WASWLLL
PIT @BUFWLLL
TEN @HOUWWWW
JAC @NYGWLLL
CAR @CLELLLL
TB @BALWWWL
PHI @CHIWWWW
GB @ATLLLLW
MIA @OAKLLLL
KC @SEAWWWW
STL @DENWWWW
SD @INDLWWL
SF @ARIWWWL
TOTALS12-48-88-86-10
For the Year93-79-485-9291-84-188-87-1

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Season 2010 - week 12 - picks

11/25 12:30 PM
103 NE -6.5 *
104 DET 51 OOO

11/25 4:15 PM
105 NO -3.5 UU
106 DAL 50½ *

11/25 8:20 PM
107 CIN 43½ OOOO
108 NYJ -9 *

11/28 1:00 PM
215 MIN 43 *
216 WAS -2.5 OO -3 OLyrs

11/28 1:00 PM
217 PIT -6.5 OO
218 BUF 43 * +6 OLyrs

11/28 1:00 PM
219 TEN 45 UUUU
220 HOU -7 ** 0 OLyrs

11/28 1:00 PM
221 JAC 44½ *
222 NYG -7 OOOO -10 OLyrs

11/28 1:00 PM
223 CAR 37½ UUUUUU
224 CLE -11 * -4 OLyrs

11/28 4:15 PM
225 TB 41 *
226 BAL -8 UU -6 OLyrs

11/28 4:15 PM
227 PHI -3.5 OO
228 CHI 42½ * -6 OLyrs

11/28 1:00 PM
229 GB 47½ *
230 ATL -2.5 OOOOO -6 OLyrs

11/28 4:05 PM
231 MIA 39½ U
232 OAK -3 ***** -9 OLyrs

11/28 4:05 PM
233 KC -1.5 *
234 SEA 44½ OOO +9 OLyrs

11/28 4:15 PM
235 STL 44½ *
236 DEN -4 OO +9 OLyrs

11/28 8:25 PM
237 SD 44½ OOO
238 IND -3 * -5 OLyrs

11/29 8:35 PM
239 SF -1 *
240 ARI 40 UUUU -15 OLyrs

Season 2010 - week 11 - results

Except for OAK all teams Coming off Bye week won and covered spread

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
CHI @MIALWWW
OAK @PITLLLL
HOU @NYJWWWL
BAL @CARWLWW
WAS @TENLWWL
DET @DALWLLW
GB @MINWWWL
BUF @CINWWWL
CLE @JACLLLL
ARI @KCWLLW
SEA @NOWLLL
ATL @STLWWWW
TB @SFLWLW
IND @NELWWL
NYG @PHIWLLL
DEN @SDWWWW
TOTALS10-69-79-77-9
For the Year81-75-477-8483-76-182-77-1

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Season 2010 - week 11 - picks

CoB = Coming off Bye

11/18 8:20 PM
307 CHI 40 UUUU
308 MIA -2 * +5 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
409 OAK 41 *** CoB
410 PIT -7 O +8 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
411 HOU 45½ *
412 NYJ -7 OO 0 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
413 BAL -11 *****
414 CAR 37½ U +5 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
415 WAS 44 UU
416 TEN -7 * -2 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
417 DET 46½ UU
418 DAL -6.5 * -9 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
419 GB -3 **** CoB
420 MIN 44 U -7 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
421 BUF 44 *
422 CIN -5.5 OOO -14 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
423 CLE 44 *
424 JAC -2 OO +7 OLyrs

11/21 1:00 PM
425 ARI 44 UUUU
426 KC -8 ** -12 OLyrs

11/21 4:05 PM
427 SEA 44 UUU
428 NO -11.5 ** CoB +2 OLyrs

11/21 4:05 PM
429 ATL -3 ***
430 STL 43 O +10 OLyrs

11/21 4:05 PM
431 TB 41½ U
432 SF -3 *** +3 OLyrs

11/21 4:15 PM
433 IND 50½ OOO
434 NE -3.5 * -5 OLyrs

11/21 8:25 PM
435 NYG 48½ OOO
436 PHI -3 * +11 OLyrs

11/22 8:35 PM
437 DEN 50½ UU
438 SD -10 * CoB -8 OLyrs

Thursday, November 18, 2010

Season 2010 - week 11 - Thursday pick

11/18 8:20 PM
307 CHI 40 UUUU
308 MIA -2 * +5 OL yrs

#added OL age#

Monday, November 15, 2010

Season 2010 - week 10 - results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
BAL @ATLLLLW
CIN @INDLWLL
HOU @JACWWWL
TEN @MIAWWWL
MIN @CHIWWWL
DET @BUFLLLW
NYJ @CLELLLL
CAR @TBWLWL
KC @DENWLLL
STL @SFLWWW
SEA @ARILLLW
DAL @NYGWWWW
NE @PITWWWW
PHI @WASWLLL
OAK, SD, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
GB, NO, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS8-67-77-76-8
For the Year71-69-468-7774-69-175-68-1

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Season 2010 - week 10 - picks

CoB = Coming off Bye week

11/11 8:20 PM
105 BAL 43½ ****
106 ATL -1.5 U -5 OLyrs
If ATL can't run, then they'll have a tough time scoring


11/14 1:00 PM
215 CIN 47 O
216 IND -7 ** -2 OLyrs
IND has lots of inj's, but CIN is just not in sync w/each other

11/14 1:00 PM
217 HOU 50 OOOOO
218 JAC -1.5 * CoB +5 OLyrs
might be the most fun to watch

11/14 1:00 PM
219 TEN -1.5 OOO CoB
220 MIA 43 * +6 OLyrs
TEN QB Collins, WR Moss starts
MIA QB Pennington starts
MIA has yet to win @home, but they start a vet QB, I think the vet will settle the team @home

11/14 1:00 PM
221 MIN -1 UU
222 CHI 40½ * +2 OLyrs
just a tough game to pick, but is 'Chili' wanted?

11/14 1:00 PM
223 DET 44 OOOO
224 BUF -3 * +19 OLyrs
DET QB Hill starts, BUF last 0-fer team

11/14 1:00 PM
225 NYJ -3 UUU
226 CLE 37½ * -1 OLyrs
another tough opponent for CLE

11/14 1:00 PM
227 CAR 36½ U
228 TB -6.5 **** +7 OLyrs
CAR QB Clausen starts
and the woe is me continues for CAR

11/14 4:05 PM
229 KC -1 UU
230 DEN 43 * CoB +25 OLyrs
I could easily pick the other way

11/14 4:15 PM
231 STL 38 OO CoB
232 SF -6 * CoB +11 OLyrs

11/14 4:15 PM
233 SEA 41 UUU
234 ARI -3 * +4 OLyrs
another tough game to pick

11/14 4:15 PM
235 DAL 45½ *
236 NYG -14 OO +6 OLyrs
2TD's just hard too resist

11/14 8:20 PM
237 NE 45 ***
238 PIT -4.5 O +13 OLyrs
too many inj's for PIT???

11/15 8:35 PM
239 PHI -3 *
240 WAS 42 UU CoB -4 OLyrs
so more drama w/drama teams, WAS won first game this year, PHI gets the split

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Season 2010 - week 10 - Thursday pick

11/11 8:20 PM
105 BAL 43½ ****
106 ATL -1.5 U -5 OLyrs
If ATL can't run, then they'll have a tough time scoring

Season 2010 - week 09 - results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
CHI @BUFPWWW
SD @HOULLLL
NO @CARWWWW
ARI @MINLLLL
TB @ATLWLLL
NYJ @DETWLLL
MIA @BALLWWW
NE @CLEWLLL
NYG @SEAWWWW
KC @OAKWWWW
IND @PHILLLL
DAL @GBLLLL
PIT @CINLWWL
DEN, JAC, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
SF, STL, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TEN, WAS, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS6-6-16-76-75-8
For the Year63-63-461-7067-62-169-60-1

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Season 2010 - week 09 - picks

CoB = Coming off Bye week
GiB = Going into Bye weel

11/07 1:00 PM
405 CHI -3 OOO CoB
406 BUF 40½ * +5 OLyrs
Rogers Centre - Toronto, Canada

11/07 1:00 PM
407 SD -3 UUU GiB
408 HOU 50½ * -0 OLyrs
comments: no TE Gates = no win


11/07 1:00 PM
409 NO -7 ***** GiB
410 CAR 41 U +8 OLyrs
comments: stuck on QB = stuck on loss SU

11/07 1:00 PM
411 ARI 40½ UUUUU
412 MIN -8 ** -6 OLyrs
comments: MIN waived WR Moss, I'm not so sure they can cover ATS,
(has 'chilly' lost team?) but ARI w/QB combo of Anderson and Hall is still ineffective


11/07 1:00 PM
413 TB 44½ *
414 ATL -8.5 UUU -17 OLyrs CoB
comments: TB pretender or contender?

11/07 1:00 PM
415 NYJ -4 UUUU
416 DET 41½ * -5 OLyrs
comments: can't trust NYJ on road, just yet

11/07 1:00 PM
417 MIA 40½ *
418 BAL -5.5 UUU -4 OLyrs CoB
comments: best young D vs best older D

11/07 1:00 PM
419 NE -4.5 UU
420 CLE 44 * +11 OLyrs CoB
commentes: mentor vs pupil game, mentor should win, but pupil can play keep away

11/07 4:05 PM
421 NYG -7 *** CoB
422 SEA 40 O +9 OLyrs
comments: This game could be a blow out even w/SEA home noise advantage
NYG DL is much better than last weeks opponent OAK

11/07 4:15 PM
423 KC 40½ OOO
424 OAK -2.5 * -1 OLyrs GiB
comments: for the early AFC West crown lead, should be a dandy

11/07 4:15 PM
425 IND 46½ UUU
426 PHI -3 * +12 OLyrs CoB
comments: how long can IND keep winning w/so many season ending injuries?
The winning stops here

11/07 8:25 PM
427 DAL 45½ ***
428 GB -7.5 UU +9 OLyrs GiB
comments: now that DAL is finally an underdog, it's time to take the pts
and oh yeah, GB has lots of injuries as well.

11/08 8:35 PM
429 PIT -5 OOO
430 CIN 41½ * -2 OLyrs
comments: Perhaps PIT is the right side of SU, but CIN should give them a hard
rub and stay within the number

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Season 2010 - week 08 - results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
DEN @SFLWWL
JAC @DALWWWL
WAS @DETLLLW
GB @NYJLWLL
CAR @STLLLLW
MIA @CINWWWL
BUF @KCWLWL
TEN @SDLWLL
TB @ARIWWWL
SEA @OAKWWWL
MIN @NEWLLW
PIT @NOWWWW
HOU @TENWLLW
ATL, CLE, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
BAL, NYG, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
CHI, PHI, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS8-58-57-65-8
For the Year57-57-355-6361-55-164-52-1

Monday, November 01, 2010

Season 2010 - week 08 - picks

whoops, forgot to post:


10/31 1:00 PM
207 DEN 41½ * GiB
208 SF -1 UUU GiB +1 OLyrs
@ Wembley Stadium, London, England

10/31 1:00 PM
209 JAC 42½ * GiB
210 DAL -6.5 OOO -12 OLyrs

10/31 1:00 PM
211 WAS 44 * GiB
212 DET -2.5 U CoB -7 OLyrs

10/31 1:00 PM
213 GB 42 U
214 NYJ -6 * CoB -2 OLyrs

10/31 1:00 PM
215 CAR 37 *
216 STL -3 OOO GiB -2 OLyrs

10/31 1:00 PM
217 MIA 43½ ***
218 CIN -2 U -7 OLyrs

10/31 1:00 PM
219 BUF 45½ ***
220 KC -7.5 O -16 OLyrs

10/31 4:05 PM
221 TEN 44 *** GiB
222 SD -3.5 O +6 OLyrs

10/31 4:15 PM
223 TB 39½ ***
224 ARI -3 O -12 OLyrs

10/31 4:15 PM
225 SEA 42 U
226 OAK -2 *** +2 OLyrs

10/31 4:15 PM
227 MIN 44 UUU
228 NE -6 * -9 OLyrs

10/31 8:20 PM
229 PIT 44 UUU
230 NO -1 * -2 OLyrs

11/01 8:35 PM
231 HOU 49½ OOO CoB
232 IND -5.5 * CoB -9 OLyrs

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Season 2010 - week 07 - results




GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
PIT @MIALLLW
CIN @ATLWLLL
JAC @KCWLLW
PHI @TENWLWW
WAS @CHIWWWW
CLE @NOWLLL
BUF @BALLLLL
SF @CARLLLW
STL @TBLLLL
ARI @SEAWWWW
NE @SDWLLW
OAK @DENWLWW
MIN @GBLLLL
NYG @DALWLWW
DET, HOU, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
IND, NYJ, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS9-52-135-99-5
For the Year49-52-347-5854-49-159-44-1

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Season 2010 - week 07 - picks

10/24 1:00 PM
403 PIT -3 *
404 MIA 40½ UUUU -1 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
405 CIN 43 UUUU CoB
406 ATL-3.5 * GiB +2 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
407 JAC 37 UUUU
408 KC -9 * -15 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
409 PHI 42½ UU GiB
410 TEN -3 *** -9 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
411 WAS 40 ***
412 CHI -3 U GiB +4 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
413 CLE 43½ * GiB
414 NO -13 UU 0 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
415 BUF 40 UUUU CoB
416 BAL -13 * GiB -1 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
417 SF -3 ****
418 CAR 35½ UUU CoB -9 OLyrs

10/24 1:00 PM
419 STL 38½ OOO
420 TB -3 * -4 OLyrs

10/24 4:05 PM
421 ARI 40 U CoB
422 SEA -6.5 ** -5 OLyrs

10/24 4:15 PM
423 NE 47½ *
424 SD -3 OO +18 OLyrs

10/24 4:15 PM
425 OAK 42½ **
426 DEN -7.5 U +20 OLyrs

10/24 8:20 PM
427 MIN 44½ ***
428 GB -3 U +5 OLyrs

10/25 8:35 PM
429 NYG 44½ *** GiB
430 DAL -3 U +5 OLyrs

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Season 2010 - week 06 - results



GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
SD @STLLWWL
KC @HOUWLWW
BAL @NELLLW
NO @TBLWWW
ATL @PHILLLL
DET @NYGLWWL
SEA @CHIWLLW
MIA @GBWWWL
CLE @PITWLLL
NYJ @DENWWWW
OAK @SFLWWL
DAL @MINLWWL
IND @WASLLLW
TEN @JACWLWW
ARI, BUF, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
CAR, CIN, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS6-87-79-57-7
For the Year40-47-345-4549-40-150-39-1

just a few thoughts- teams coming off bye (CoB) were 4-0 ATS, teams going into bye (GiB) were 2-2 ATS. I meant to put multiple UUU's next to OAK @SF game, but somehow missed, updating picks (favored side or total)

Saturday, October 16, 2010

Season 2010 - week 06

10/17 1:00 PM
209 SD -8 *
210 STL 45 UUUU +1 OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
211 KC 45 **
212 HOU -4.5 U GiB +10OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
213 BAL 44½ ****
214 NE -3 OO CoB -14OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
215 NO -4.5 UUU
216 TB 43½ * +3OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
217 ATL 42½ *
218 PHI -3 UUUU +8OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
219 DET 44½ OO GiB
220 NYG -10 * -2OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
221 SEA 37½ * CoB
222 CHI -6.5 UU +2OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
223 MIA 44 * CoB IF DOMINATE U, ELSE O
224 GB -3 UU +-0OLyrs

10/17 1:00 PM
225 CLE 37½ UUUUUU
226 PIT -13.5 * CoB +5OLyrs
CLE QB MCoy starts -rookie-

10/17 4:05 PM
227 NYJ -3 ***** GiB
228 DEN 41 O +14OLyrs
DEN 2ndary (x3) inj'd

10/17 4:05 PM
229 OAK 40½ *
230 SF -6.5 U +19OLyrs

10/17 4:15 PM
231 DAL 44½ *
232 MIN -1.5 OO +4OLyrs
MIN appears to be much more banged up
DAL just needs less drive killing penalties

10/17 8:20 PM
233 IND -3 UUUU GiB
234 WAS 43½ * +3OLyrs

10/18 8:35 PM
235 TEN -3 ****
236 JAC 45 O +5OLyrs

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Season 2010 - week 5 - results



GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
DEN @BALLWWW
JAC @BUFWWWL
KC @INDLLLL
STL @DETLWWW
ATL @CLELWWW
TB @CINWLLL
CHI @CARLWWW
GB @WASWLWW
NYG @HOUWWWW
NO @ARILLLL
SD @OAKWWWW
TEN @DALWLLW
PHI @SFLLLW
MIN @NYJWWWL
MIA, NE, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
PIT, SEA, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS7-78-69-59-5
For the Year34-39-338-3840-35-143-32-1

Saturday, October 09, 2010

season 2010 week 05

10/10 1:00 PM
411 DEN 38½ *
412 BAL -7 OO -13OLyrs

10/10 1:00 PM
413 JAC -1 *****
414 BUF 41 O -4OLyrs GiB

10/10 1:00 PM
415 KC 45 * CoB
416 IND -8 OO +5OLyrs

10/10 1:00 PM
417 STL 43 **
418 DET -3 OOOO -12OLyrs

10/10 1:00 PM
419 ATL -3 UUU
420 CLE 40½ * +1OLyrs

10/10 1:00 PM
421 TB 38 * CoB
422 CIN -6.5 UUU -3OLyrs GiB

10/10 1:00 PM
423 CHI -2.5 UUUU
424 CAR 35½ * +14OLyrs GiB

10/10 1:00 PM
425 GB -2.5 OOOOO
426 WAS 44 ** -9OLyrs

10/10 1:00 PM
427 NYG 47½ *
428 HOU -3 UUU +8OLyrs

10/10 4:05 PM
429 NO -6.5 *
430 ARI 45 UUUU +3OLyrs GiB
NO 2ndary numerous inj's
ARI starts rookie QB M Hall

10/10 4:15 PM
431 SD -6 OOOO
432 OAK 45 * -9OLyrs

10/10 4:15 PM
433 TEN 41½ ***
434 DAL -6.5 UUUUU -9OLyrs CoB

10/10 8:20 PM
435 PHI 38 UUUU
436 SF -3.5 * +10OLyrs

10/11 8:35 PM
437 MIN 39 O CoB
438 NYJ -4 *** +4OLyrs

Tuesday, October 05, 2010

season 2010 week 4 - results

GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
DEN @TENWLLL
BAL @PITLWWW
CIN @CLEWWWL
DET @GBWWWW
CAR @NOLWWL
SF @ATLLWLL
SEA @STLLWWL
NYJ @BUFWWWW
IND @JACLLLL
HOU @OAKWWWL
ARI @SDWLWL
WAS @PHIWLLW
CHI @NYGWLLW
NE @MIALWWW
DAL, KC, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
MIN, TB, BYEN/AN/AN/AN/A
TOTALS8-69-59-56-8
For the Year27-32-330-3231-30-134-27-1

Sunday, October 03, 2010

Season 2010 week 4

GAME PICK OL age dif
10/03 1:00 PM
199 DEN 43½ **
200 TEN -6.5 UUU -16 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
201 BAL 34½ UU
202 PIT -2.5 * +2 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
203 CIN -3 OOO
204 CLE 37 * +1 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
205 DET 45½ *
206 GB -14.5 OOOO +9 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
207 CAR 44 UUUU
208 NO -13 * -8 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
209 SF 42½ U
210 ATL -7 ***** -19 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
211 SEA -2 *
212 STL 40 UU +11 OLyrs

10/03 1:00 PM
213 NYJ -6 *
214 BUF 36½ OOOO +2 OLyrs

10/03 4:05 PM
215 IND -7 *
216 JAC 46½ UU +7 OLyrs

10/03 4:05 PM
217 HOU -3 **
218 OAK 43½ OOOO -4 OLyrs

10/03 4:15 PM
219 ARI 46 UU
220 SD -9 ***** +5 OLyrs

10/03 4:15 PM
221 WAS 43 *
222 PHI -6 OOOO +12 OLyrs

10/03 8:20 PM
223 CHI 44 OOO
224 NYG -3.5 * 0 OLyrs

10/04 8:35 PM
225 NE -1 OOOO
226 MIA 47½ ** +14 OLyrs

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

2010 season week 03 - results

What I don't understand is, Why does this have to be so difficult when formatting this blog???
sigh.... ( I just added a table)

Anyway, dismal results this week, but I was experimenting w/another technique of picking games and it just fell flat. I thought I noticed a pattern over the past two weeks, but of course if it was too good to be true, it was too good to be true... sigh

On another note, Game Rewind is nowhere near as good as Preseason. What? Am I crazy? I don't think so.... let me explain. I got hooked on watching Preseason because of the '4-plex' mode. I could watch 4 games at a time, it was great use of time. I would usually pick a game and watch until about the end of the 1st quarter or so, sometimes longer, (you can sense which way the game is going for the home or road team), I would then drag the next game into the 4-plex screen and continue you watching again until I had a feel for the game and do the same thing for game 3 and game 4. When game 1 ended if I had time I would drag another game into the 4-plex mode and continue watching. This is really efficient.

Now watching one game at a time just doesn't seem worth it, except I already paid for the whole season. So now I really need to pick games that are 'worthy'. I just don't have enough time to watch all the games in the hours I have. I work nights now (recent new employment), so I normally miss the majority of games played. Deeming which games are worthy is cumbersome. I try to watch 6 - 8 games over the rest of the week, but this is just not efficient.

I sent e-mail to that neulion? support, but they weren't helpful at all. I've sent comments to nfl.com, but I don't expect anything to happen. This is just for venting, I guess. Weekly results below:


GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
TEN @NYGWWWL
BUF @NELLLL
CLE @BALLLLW
PIT @TBLLLL
CIN @CARWWWW
ATL @NOLWWW
SF @KCLLLW
DET @MINLWLL
DAL @HOULLLW
WAS @STLWLLL
PHI @JACLLLL
IND @DENWLWW
SD @SEAWLLW
OAK @ARILLLL
NYJ @MIAWWWW
GB @CHIWLLL
TOTALS7-95-115-118-8
For the Year19-26-321-2722-25-128-19-1

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Season 2010 week 3

GAME pick(more *, O, or U = favored side or total ) OLage(based on home team, -older, +younger)

09/26 1:00 PM
399 TEN 43½ *
400 NYG -3 UUUUU -15 OLyrs
NYG C O'Hara is listed as doubtful, new C = blocking snafus

09/26 1:00 PM
401 BUF 42½ UUU
402 NE -14.5 * -14 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
403 CLE 37 UU
404 BAL -11 **** +6 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
405 PIT -2.5 UUU
406 TB 33½ * -4 OLyrs
PIT D is playing out of this world, but after two emo wins by D
I think this is the letdown week and TB wins ATS

09/26 1:00 PM
407 CIN -3 ****
408 CAR 38 UU +8 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
409 ATL 49½ OOO
410 NO -3 * +1 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
411 SF -2.5 **
412 KC 37 U -26 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
413 DET 42½ **
414 MIN -12 U +2 OLyrs

09/26 1:00 PM
415 DAL 47 OO
416 HOU -2.5 * +17 OLyrs

09/26 4:05 PM
417 WAS -4 UUU
418 STL 38½ * +13 OLyrs

09/26 4:05 PM
419 PHI -3 OO
420 JAC 44½ * -0 OLyrs

09/26 4:15 PM
421 IND -6 ***
422 DEN 47½ OO +15 OLyrs

09/26 4:15 PM
423 SD -4.5 UUU
424 SEA 44 * -11 OLyrs

09/26 4:15 PM
425 OAK 39 UUUU
426 ARI -4.5 * -5 OLyrs

how did I forget/miss posting the below??? sigh...

09/26 8:20 PM
427 NYJ 35½ *
428 MIA -2.5 OO +5 OLyrs

09/27 8:35 PM
429 GB -3 OOOO
430 CHI 46 * +7 OLyrs(-6 w/o LG & LT)
reports are circulating Bulaga will play

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

2010 season wk02 - results




GameATSO/Ufavored side/totalOLage diff (older should win)
KC @CLEWLWW
BUF @GBWWWW
BAL @CINLLLW
PIT @TENLWWL
PHI @DETWLLW
CHI @DALLLLL
TB @CARWWWW
ARI @ATLWLWW
MIA @MINLWWL
STL @OAKLWWL
SEA @DENLWLL
HOU @WASPWWP
JAC @SDLLLL
NE @NYJLLLW
NYG @INDLWLL
NO @SFLLLW
Totals5-10-18-88-88-7-1
For the Year12-17-316-1617-14-120-11-1

Thursday, September 16, 2010

Season 2010 week 02

09/19 1:00 PM
207 KC 39 **
208 CLE -2 O OL age diff +4
KC & CLE have ST standouts, KC's D is better than O and CLE O is better than D
this sorta cancels each other out strength vs strength, weakness vs weakness,
I say take the points


09/19 1:00 PM
209 BUF 43 UUUU
210 GB -13 * OL age diff -11
GB QB Rodgers looked mortal on the road @PHI last week,
time to go home and add to the lore, but I'm taking under because if I were
BUF I'd play keep away


09/19 1:00 PM
211 BAL -2 ***
212 CIN 40 O OL age diff -6
BAL emo high last week, but this div rival, beat them twice last year, this is for LY

09/19 1:00 PM
213 PIT 37 UU
214 TEN -5.5 **** OL age diff -1
at first glance, Under the total seems to be the right choice,
but maybe it's the side, PIT LT & NT out.


09/19 1:00 PM
215 PHI -6 UUU
216 DET 41 * OL age diff -8
I'm wanting to take PHI w/QB Vick vs taking DET w/QB Hill
but it's a home opener, DET was unlucky last week, w/a little luck they'll cover

09/19 1:00 PM
217 CHI 41 U
218 DAL -7.5 * OL age diff -6
if CHI was lucky last week, DAL was unlucky, time for a role reversal

09/19 1:00 PM
219 TB 39 *
220 CAR -3.5 U OL age diff +9
it's tough to take CAR, they should have a running game, maybe TB wasn't really
lucky last week, it just took a while to come up w/a better D scheme

09/19 1:00 PM
221 ARI 43 U
222 ATL -6.5 ** OL age diff -4
I just don't believe in ARI O

09/19 1:00 PM
223 MIA 39½ UUU
224 MIN -5.5 * OL age diff -8
should be a rugged game, just how will MIA score?

09/19 4:05 PM
225 STL 37½ UUUU
226 OAK -3.5 * OL age diff -8
Under is the better play here, just can't take the points, until I can judge
STL O much better

09/19 4:05 PM
227 SEA 40 ***
228 DEN -3.5 O OL age diff +7
for me SEA was the big surprise last week, here's the outright upset


09/19 4:15 PM
229 HOU -3 *
230 WAS 43½ OOO OL age diff -11
HOU coming off huge emo win last week, this is normally a let down week,
except WAS maybe was just too lucky last week

09/19 4:15 PM
231 JAC 45½ *
232 SD -7 UUUU OL age diff -0
JAC coming off big win, maybe an emo win, and SD coming off big loss,
SD is notorious for slow starts in Sept, so JAC is a weak pick

09/19 4:15 PM
233 NE -2.5 ***
234 NYJ 38½ U OL age diff +12
NE should be highly focused, NYJ has yet to show any real O

09/19 8:20 PM
235 NYG 47½ ****
236 IND -5.5 O OL age diff +11
just play keep away w/IND and NYG will win handily

09/20 8:35 PM
237 NO -5.5 ***
238 SF 44 U OL age diff +19
Number seems small, NO going against another good D, except what happened last week
w/SF vs SEA? was it all the O's fault? nothing to do w/D? Playing catch up w/NO is really tough to do for any team and SF O appears to be a bit woeful

2010 season wk01 - results

game ATS O/U
MIN @NO W W
CAR @NYG W L
MIA @BUF W W
ATL @PIT L L
DET @CHI W L
CIN @NE L W
CLE @TB P L
DEN @JAC L W
IND @HOU W W
OAK @TEN L L
GB @PHI W L
SF @SEA L L
ARI @STL P L
DAL @WAS L W
BAL @NYJ W W
SD @KC L W
Totals 7-7-2 8-8


interestingly enough the older OL did tend to win ATS & SU except for DAL @WAS, IND @HOU, ATL @PIT, and DET @CHI, w/a wk01 record of 12-4 which is a lot better than what I picked, let's see what happens next week.

It just occurred to me that except for the IND @HOU game, the remaining games were very close, down to the wire game, DET shouldn't they have won? DAL and penalty killing TD, and OT w/ATL.

Another thought ... except for ATL @PIT, the rest were Division games

oops somehow missed MIA @BUF record should be 11-5 ATS, but again another Division game...

acck DET did win ATS so 12-4 and they were the older OL, just they lost SU

and w/BAL @NYJ OL age are equal, so taking dog was the way to go

and I almost forgot to post ATS favored side or total record 9-6-1

Sunday, September 12, 2010

better late than never...

I've read about STATS LLC and decided to take a look at their site if I could find it.
googling of course, brought up other sites, but not too far down I saw this URL...

http://hosted.stats.com/nflfront.asp

I find it highly navigable, but I wonder how those espn analysts got a hold of the youngest teams stat. http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=5546190&campaign=rss&source=NFLHeadlines

now this is highly interesting as the younger the team, I forsee more errors, or penalties as well as turnovers at as always the wrong time (but is their a right time for TO's??). Thus you'll have an easier time of covering the number.

The article mentions CAR, TB, JAC, MIA, HOU so if you bet against all of them, your parlay pays 20-1.

But I would modify this as:

NYG -7 (vs CAR) and Under 41 (CAR O looked inept in preseason)
CLE +3 (@TB)
DEN +2.5 (@JAC)
and Over 47 IND @HOU

why do I leave out MIA? because they are @BUF and giving up -3.5 and though have some recent roster shuffle (9 players by my count) They could well cover this number.
Both teams have very poor recent history w/their opening game, so this became a stay away game for me, though I still favor MIA, They have more youth in their D, which is acceptable to me, much tougher to have youth on O. BUF will start CJ Spiller and I wonder if he'll be kept in to block on passing downs or rotated during pass plays. If BUF is forced to rotate (due to RB inability to block) then their O becomes predictable to D and they'll be that much more likely to lose.

But I digress, STATs LLC appears to be a worthy site, now I just need to find their RSS feed...

Saturday, September 11, 2010

season 2010 week 01

This week I wanted to try something different using OL age difference as a gauge. Note: these lines were the early lines from last week. I've also indicated favored side and total. For example, Thursday's game MIN @NO, two* and one U, I liked the side more than the total. Check the 1st game CAR @NYG, four * side and one U again I like the side more. Looking for totals? check the IND @HOU game and GB @PHI, both should go over the total.

JAC appears to have a decided advantage along OL, I just think DEN is a front runner team, as I recall they did win six games in a row last year, we'll see how this year goes...

09/09 8:30 PM
451 MIN 49 U
452 NO -4.5 **, -1 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
453 CAR 41 U
454 NYG -7 ****, -14 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
455 MIA -3.5 ***
456 BUF 38½ U, -1 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
457 ATL -2.5 OO, -3 OLyrs
458 PIT 38 *

09/12 1:00 PM
459 DET 43 **, -2 OLyrs
460 CHI -6 O

09/12 1:00 PM
461 CIN 44½ *
462 NE -4.5 OOO, -10 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
463 CLE 37 ***
464 TB -3 O, -8 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
465 DEN 39½ ***
466 JAC -2.5 O, -12 OLyrs

09/12 1:00 PM
467 IND -2.5 OOOO, -7 OLyrs
468 HOU 47 *

09/12 1:00 PM
469 OAK 41 *
470 TEN -6.5 UUUU, -2 OLyrs

09/12 4:15 PM
471 GB -3 *****, -11 OLyrs
472 PHI 47½ O

09/12 4:15 PM
473 SF -2.5 **
474 SEA 38 O, -9 OLyrs

09/12 4:15 PM
475 ARI -4 O, -5 OLyrs
476 STL 39 **

09/12 8:20 PM
477 DAL -4 **, -3 OLyrs
478 WAS 40½ U

09/13 7:00 PM
479 BAL 36 ***
480 NYJ -2.5 U, -0 OLyrs

09/13 10:15 PM
481 SD -5.5 **
482 KC 45 U, -5 OLyrs

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Early notes - thoughts 9Sept2010

Here's what a buddy(D) 'n' I have made as our early picks:


D
MIA -3 @BUF
Over 37.5 ATL @PIT
Over 47 IND @HOU
CLE +3 @TB
NE -4.5 vs CIN

Me
DET +6.5 @CHI
GB -3 @PHI
SF -3 @SEA
BAL +2.5 @NYJ

Thurs night NFL

I'll take NO -5.5 and under 48.5
I'm unsure w/MIN O passing game, sure they can run the ball and maybe Peterson will get 'fumblitis', but w/D MLB EJ Henderson coming back from inj is one of the key players I'll be closely watching. Back to O, Favre should be able to get some nice catches w/current crop of WR's, due to in part NO D w/o Sharper and maybe even MLB Vilma, but I think it'll be stalemate for the most part and MIN O will really need to use run O to score.
If Favre gets an INT, everything favors NO, it's just not likely for Brees and Co to misfire, preseason shows they are near mid-season form (GB is the only team that appears to have more weapons).
NO D is their only weakness due to inj's, but scheme wise they are excellent and a top 5 D IMHO. I agree -5.5 maybe a bit much to give up, but I'm expecting a miscue or two by MIN O as this year they start out this season w/a much tougher schedule than last year (LY CLE, DET 1st 2 games almost like preseason for Favre and Co). So for me it came down who appears to be more ready for the season? The answer is obvious, NO and I'm thinking if true then 'will they cover a less then TD spread?' and again I'm thinking very likely.
As far as over and under total, normally on isolated games (Thursday night, Sunday night and MNF) I lean toward the over, but in this case, if MIN O is not hitting on all cylinders, they may not score 20pts, so going over 48.5 or 7 scores, could happen, but again I think not likely, it may go over 48.5pts, but 10 scores may need to occur, something like 30-20 [3TD,3FG - 2TD,2FG], but I'm thinking more likely 27-17.

Let the games begin....

Sunday, August 22, 2010

NFL season package

This year I decided to indulge and purchased the package that includes pre-season as well as regular season games from nfl.com.

Good things:


  • It's cheaper than Direct TV, cost comes out to approx $20/month
  • You can watch games in single mode, duo, fourplex or picture in picture
  • You can watch games at your discretion, this really helps me, since I'm on night shift @work
  • All the games are archived, though you may need to wait 24hrs before viewing
  • There's a ten second ahead as well as ten second reverse feature, which is great to rewind plays and watch the subtle movement of players
  • You can turn off/on scores, not as useful for me, but for the football junkie that just wants to watch a game w/o knowing score, this is a nice touch. If scoring is on you'll see scoring update for all on going games.
  • There's audio as well (comes in handy @work)
  • And for the most part picture quality is excellent (HD!)

Bad things:


  • A few of the games have had video/voice issues - you'll here the announcer, but the video is frozen ( I think DET market is culprit, but it could be a faulty HD(H.264) encoder or the device is just misconfigured )[ I think DET because both of their preseason games have had issues] then the video catches up, but you missed what happened.
  • Some of the markets are cutting game footage, last week CHI @SD this was clearly evident and DET @PIT was another game. This week, DET @DEN game footage starts out w/score 3-0, sigh.... :-(
  • NFL support states that the network, (CBS, FOX, etc) is responsible for game footage or I'd like to think the local broadcasting TV station (WWJ-TV)@DET is resposible, but there seems to be a pattern in DET, I think they need technical help in multicasting the games via IP.
  • Update: Eight hours later (I went to bed) and there is new game footage from CBS for DET @DEN, and it's much, much better, (smooth like a normal broadcast) NFL support is very responsive. Yeah! (just a little slow via e-mail, but that's ok, I wonder why they would offer to cancel subscription?)

What I would like to see:

  • It would be great to have an endzone view, just like the coaches tape. In this way I wouldn't be guessing as to what the safety(s) are doing (how/where are they lined up?) or just how wide are the DE's/LB's lined up, or is the NT right over the C?
  • This view was available last year online when watching I believe Sunday Night Football or was it Monday Night Football? I didn't really care to watch any other view. I just wished I could zoom in closer when the action moves down the field a bit or switch to the other endzone view.

Overall, this is a great package that could use refinement as well an endzone view, after all I'm paying to watch the games, right? And football junkies like me would prefer the endzone view.

Note: I find the fourplex mode highly useful, instead of drag/drop four games at once, I prefer to stagger games. I'll watch one game, wait until commercial break or end of 1st quarter, then start 2nd game and continue on until all four views have games ongoing. This allows me to focus on games at a much better pace and make notes for myself for each game and/or team.

BTW I'm using Cox cable as ISP w/cable modem connected to Linksys wireless/wired router and I've watched games using LAN NIC as well as wireless card and it's just a really good experience with either method.

There is an adaptive bit rate feature which you can turn off, but I leave it on (default setting). The only thing I had to do besides purchase package was upgrade the Adobe Flash Player, which you'll do at the beginning, if you don't have the latest version on your browser. The nfl.com site does a browser check and will prompt you to download/install the latest player.

Now I just need a SVGA cable to connect my laptop to our TV and thus watch the games on a big screen, but that may degrade quality, unless of course I use a video scaler as well. Or another thought has occured, I wonder if my TV has or is capable of using a network adapter? I noticed TV's are being sold as internet ready, which means they have a LAN NIC or a wireless card, built within TV or sold as a separate add on. I'll need to check...

Let the regular season begin!!!

Thursday, May 27, 2010

NFL coaching changes for 2010

Here's a link from Real Clear Sports on changes affecting this upcoming 2010 season.

There is an update for CHI as they've hired Rod Marinelli as DC, not much else to see, lots to speculate on...

Let's begin w/CAR, even though CAR has not changed their HC, their #1QB is in question. Their present QB's (Matt Moore, Hunter Cantwell, Jimmy Clausen and Tony Pike) have a total of 5 yrs NFL experience which makes them the youngest QB's in NFL.
Luckily they are in the weakest division of QB's as only NO has anything substantial w/Drew Brees (12 yrs total, if you subtract Drew Brees, NO has only 2 yrs). ATL has 8 yrs total (w/o Matt Ryan 5 yrs) and TB has a total of 7 yrs.
I expect CAR to run a lot more, but then again opponents D's will load up to stuff the run and dare them to pass. If CAR D can't hold opponents O, we could be watching some really lopsided games. Wait this might be the formula to use against TB and ATL as well, all those teams playing NFC South will have a much easier schedule. This includes AFC North and NFC South, so if you're drafting fantasy football players you might want to grab players from those divisions as they'll have at least 3 games where offensive points will reach skyward. NO players should have a good season again.

As far as coaching changes and preseason, those teams with new coaches, especially OC & DC's (see KC, BUF, CLE, CHI, SEA) will have something to prove and they are far more likely to put in an effort that will win the game especially ATS in preseason.

Monday, February 08, 2010

SB XLIV results

my analysis was just a bit off as the dog/under combo won, not what I expected. Sadly I couldn't watch the game (heard a bit on radio on drive home and at work, but streaming kept freezing, ugh), but from reading press on websites and reviewing game stats, I'd guess NO play calling, both on O & D were the difference as stats were better for IND except in TO's and D where NO had the edge and scored points off TO's as well as the onside kick which led to a TD (and missed FG also led to TD).

I really expected an over game, but DE Freeney played (unexpected) and I expected CB Powers to be picked on by QB Brees (did this happen? enough times?). I'm just guessing, but IND played too conservatively, too predictable. NO took advantage of the lack of something new by IND O to D up against w/basics and held their cards (blitz) until the end. IND D played as well as expected I'd fault their O, but that's just from stats.

maybe later I'll watch a re-run some day as this appears to be a "classic"

Wednesday, February 03, 2010

SB XLIV

numbers have gone up a bit...

02/07 6:25 PM
101 New Orleans 56½
102 Indianapolis -5.5
SUPER BOWL XLIV - CBS SUN LIFE STADIUM - MIAMI, FL
IND-DE-Freeney-Questionable (torn ligament in ankle)

so what am I think'g????

it'll either be a FU (fav/under) or a DO (dog/over) that will win $$
w/FO (fav/over) next and DU (dog/under) as most likely not happening though mathematically there's a 25% chance that it can occur.

This year:
I noticed that after "bye" weeks NO scores are in the 40's - 20's range, so OVER and the DOG in this case.

With IND after "bye" weeks they tend to do the FU angle

so slant your prop bets this way as well, taking one of the two angles or both if you must hedge.

The Hilton has over 300 prop bets and they even have those that you can parlay, though they are limited and the majority are just single prop bets.

I'm leaning more toward the over because of DE Freeney inj, this should give NO line some breathing room w/double teaming of Mathis and IND will be forced to blitz w/LB's & safeties. IF QB Brees gets the time and the completions we'll definitely see an OVER game and if such is the case, the dog is the better bet.

The other side of the coin is ... what if NO has a repeat of their O performance in the championship game where TO's really helped their cause and their D comes up w/fewer TO's? Then you're really looking at IND as a fav/under combo to win the $$.
IND front 7 is not as good as MIN D, but IND secondary is at least on par if not better and I believe they are quicker, w/red zone D playing extremely well after "bye" weeks.

So where do I stand? I can't pick, because I was unable to watch Championship games due to work requirements and again I'll miss SB due to the same reasons.... sigh.
It really does help to watch and form your own opinions on how each team is faring,
the numbers suggest IND will win and cover and only NO D will be able to change the outcome. Sharper is the key, if he can get TO's from Manning & Co, they'll get the over and win the $$, if not, it's IND's to lose

Monday, January 25, 2010

Conference Championship - results

W L NYJ @IND
L W MIN @NO
1-1 1-1

whoops I forgot to highlight favored side/total, oh well...

since I couldn't watch game, just highlights and review stats, I'd consider NO lucky to win, five TO's by MIN unusually high and NO scored only 1 TD off of TO. MIN D did well, their O needs to play better

first game went nearly as thought, though a lot more scoring than I had imagined. Seems IND D has more holes than I thought and NYJ O had more than meets the eye. NYJ D played well, until they tired/made mistakes and IND O predictably took advantage

guess SB XLIV will be high scoring, right now I'd say IND should be favored and the numbers agree w/total @56 (up from 52) and IND -5 (up from -4)

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Conference Championship Playoffs - 09

01/24 3:00 PM
301 NYJ 39 under
302 IND -7.5 **
AFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP

01/24 6:40 PM
303 MIN 52½ over
304 NO -3.5 ***
NFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP

sadly I'll be at work, and no Tivo or DVR

Division Playoffs - '09 - results

side total
L W ARI @NO
W W BAL @IND
L L DAL @MIN
L L NYJ @SD
1-3 2-2 division round record

2-2 best bet

of course NYJ victory was a total surprise

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Division Playoffs - '09

01/16 4:30 PM
109 ARI 57 *
110 NO -7 OVER

01/16 8:00 PM
111 BAL 44½ under*
112 IND -6.5 *

01/17 1:00 PM
113 DAL 46 ***
114 MIN -3 over

01/17 4:30 PM
115 NYJ 43 over
116 SD -7.5 *

Monday, January 11, 2010

Wildcard Playoffs - '09 - results

W L NYJ @CIN
W L PHI @DAL
L W BAL @NE
L W GB @ARI
2-2 2-2 wild card record

every game went over the total, ok so I should've seen the dome games, but the outdoor games w/wind chill was 8 degree @NE & 9 degrees @CIN, both D's of NE & CIN, didn't play well enough to win (and neither did their O's)

GB is a pretty good team and played the best of all the losers

Wednesday, January 06, 2010

WildCard Playoffs '09

01/09 4:30 PM
101 NYJ 34½ ***
102 CIN -2.5 under

01/09 8:00 PM
103 PHI 45 UNDER
104 DAL -4 *****

01/10 1:00 PM
105 BAL 43 over
106 NE -3.5 *

01/10 4:40 PM
107 GB 47½ *
108 ARI -1.5 OVER

NFL '09 - week 17 - results

W L IND @BUF
W W NO @CAR
W W JAC @CLE
W W PHI @DAL
W L CHI @DET
W W NE @HOU
W W PIT @MIA
L L NYG @MIN
L L CIN @NYJ
W W SF @STL
W L ATL @TB
W L GB @ARI
W L KC @DEN
L W BAL @OAK
L L WAS @SD
L W TEN @SEA
11-5 8-8 results for wk 17


125-127-3 109-142-4 for the year(fty)

11-5 favored side or total wk17 (bold & green)

128-122-4 favored side or total for the yr

0-0 best bet (green)

Sunday, January 03, 2010

week 17 '09

I'm late w/posting, but 3 games had no numbers on Tues (IND @BUF, NO @CAR, PIT @MIA)

01/03 1:00 PM
301 IND 32 UNDER
302 BUF -8 *
GAME OFF BOARD: BUF-QB-Fitzpatrick-Questionable IND-Clinched 1-Seed BUF-Eliminated

01/03 1:00 PM
303 NO 41 under
304 CAR -10 *****
GAME OFF BOARD: NO-Clinched 1-seed (expected to rest starters) NO-RB-Thomas, TE-Shockey, WR-Moore-All Questionable CAR-RB-Williams-Questionable; WR-Smith-OUT CAR-Eliminated

01/03 1:00 PM
305 JAC 38 over
306 CLE -2 ***
GAME/TOTAL CIRCLED: JAC-QB-Garrard-Questionable; Possible inclement weather JAC-Needs win and wins by Mia, Cinc, Oak, KC, AND, NE for Wildcard CLE-Eliminated

01/03 4:15 PM
307 PHI 47 under
308 DAL -3 ***
PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable; QB-Vick, WR-Curtis-both Questionable WINNER wins division; PHI needs a win to clinch 2 seed; DAL needs a win + MIN loss and ARZ loss to clinch 2 seed LOSER has clinched a wildcard

01/03 1:00 PM
309 CHI -3 *
310 DET 45 UNDER

01/03 1:00 PM
311 NE 46 **
312 HOU -8 OVER
NE-Clinched Division; clinches #3-seed w/win HOU-needs win + 1 of 4 multi-faceted scenarios for Wildcard (Houston only has tiebreaker over Pittsburgh)

01/03 1:00 PM
313 PIT -3 *
314 MIA 45½ over
PIT-S-Polamalu-Questionable MIA-RB-Williams-Questionable PIT-needs Win +[NEwin + Cincwin + Oakwin] OR +[Cinwin + Oakwin + KCwin] MIA-needs Win +NEwin + Cincwin + Oakwin + Clevwin

01/03 1:00 PM
315 NYG 48 *
316 MIN -8.5 UNDER
Min needs win + Phil-loss for #2 seed

01/03 8:25 PM
317 CIN 35 *
318 NYJ -10 UNDER
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather CIN-Won division; Win + NEloss = #3 seed NYJ-need win for Wildcard

01/03 1:00 PM
319 SF -7 *
320 STL 40½ under
BOTH TEAMS ELIMINATED STL-RB-Jackson-Upgraded to Probable

01/03 1:00 PM
321 ATL -2 *
322 TB 41½ over
BOTH TEAMS ELIMINATED ATL-TE-Gonzalez, RB-Turner-both Questionable

01/03 4:15 PM
323 GB 43½ *
324 ARI -3.5 over
GB-Clinched Wildcard ARZ-Won division; Win + Phi loss + Min loss = #2 seed

01/03 4:15 PM
325 KC 38 ****
326 DEN -13 UNDER
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather DEN-need Win + Balt(L/T) + Pitt(L/T) + NYJ(L/T) + HOU(L/T) DEN-WR-Royal-Questionable

01/03 4:15 PM
327 BAL -10.5 *
328 OAK 38 UNDER
BAL-Win = Wildcard OAK-Eliminated OAK-WRs-Miller, Heyward-Bey, QB-Gradkowski-all Questionable

01/03 4:15 PM
329 WAS 39½ UNDER
330 SD -4 *

01/03 4:15 PM
331 TEN -4.5 *
332 SEA 43½ UNDER