Tuesday, December 29, 2009

NFL '09 - week 16 - results

W W SD @TEN
W L SEA @GB
W W OAK @CLE
L W KC @CIN
L W BUF @ATL
L L HOU @MIA
L W CAR @NYG
L W TB @NO
W W JAC @NE
L W BAL @PIT
L L DEN @PHI
W W STL @ARI
W W DET @SF
W L NYJ @IND
W L DAL @WAS
L L MIN @CHI
8-8 10-6 results for wk 16

114-122-3 101-134-4 for the year(fty)

10-6 favored side or total wk16 (bold & green)

117-117-4 favored side or total for the yr

1-1 best bet (green)

week 16 '09

12/25 7:30 PM
101 SD 47 ***
102 TEN -3 over
NFL NETWORK SD-has chance at the #2 seed
TEN-possible wildcard TEN-LB''s-Bulluck and
Thornton both Out

12/27 1:00 PM
103 SEA 42 under
104 GB -14 *****
SEA-Eliminated GB-currently #5 seed

SEA-LB-Curry-Doubtful

12/27 1:00 PM
105 OAK 38 under
106 CLE -3.5 *

12/27 1:00 PM
107 KC 40½ under
108 CIN -13.5 *****

12/27 1:00 PM
109 BUF 41 *
110 ATL -9 UNDER

12/27 1:00 PM
111 HOU 45 UNDER
112 MIA -3 *

12/27 1:00 PM
113 CAR 42½ OVER
114 NYG -7 ***

12/27 1:00 PM
115 TB 49½ under
116 NO -14 ***

12/27 1:00 PM
117 JAC 43½ UNDER
118 NE -7.5 *

12/27 1:00 PM
119 BAL 42 *
120 PIT -2.5 OVER

12/27 4:15 PM
121 DEN 41½ UNDER
122 PHI -7 **

12/27 4:05 PM
123 STL 43½ UNDER
124 ARI -14 ***

12/27 4:05 PM
125 DET 41½ UNDER
126 SF -12.5 *

12/27 4:15 PM
127 NYJ 40½ *
128 IND -5 UNDER

12/27 8:20 PM
129 DAL -7 *
130 WAS 42 over

12/28 8:35 PM
131 MIN -7 ***
132 CHI 41 under

NFL '09 - week 15 - results

W L IND @JAC
L P DAL @NO
W L GB @PIT
L L MIA @TEN
P W NE @BUF
L L ARI @DET
W L SF @PHI
L W ATL @NYJ
W L CHI @BAL
W W CLE @KC
L W HOU @STL
L L CIN @SD
L L OAK @DEN
L L TB @SEA
L W MIN @CAR
L W NYG @WAS
5-10-1 6-9-1 results for wk 15

106-114-3 91-128-4 for the year(fty)

7-8 favored side or total wk15 (bold & green)

107-111-4 favored side or total for the yr

0-2 best bet (green)

Saturday, December 19, 2009

week 15 '09

waiting on ATL @NYJ lines due to starters issues
I put in my estimated lines

12/17 8:20 PM
301 IND -6.5 UNDER
302 JAC 46½ *

12/19 8:20 PM
303 DAL 53½ OVER
304 NO -7.5 *

12/20 4:15 PM
305 GB 40½ ****
306 PIT -2 under

12/20 1:00 PM
307 MIA 42½ UNDER
308 TEN -3.5 *

12/20 1:00 PM
309 NE -7 under
310 BUF 40½ *

12/20 1:00 PM
311 ARI -12 ***
312 DET 46½ under

12/20 1:00 PM
313 SF 41½ over
314 PHI -8 *

12/20 1:00 PM
315 ATL 37 under
316 NYJ -5 *

12/20 1:00 PM
317 CHI 40 over
318 BAL -11 **

12/20 1:00 PM
319 CLE 37 *
320 KC -2 over

12/20 1:00 PM
321 HOU -13 ***
322 STL 43 under
STL new QB

12/20 4:05 PM
323 CIN 43½ under
324 SD -6.5 **

12/20 4:05 PM
325 OAK 37½ under
326 DEN -14 ****
OAK new QB

12/20 4:15 PM
327 TB 39½ over
328 SEA -6.5 *

12/20 8:20 PM
329 MIN -9 *
330 CAR 42½ under
CAR QB Moore

12/21 8:35 PM
331 NYG -3 OVER
332 WAS 43½ *

Monday, December 14, 2009

NFL '09 - week 14 - results

W W PIT @CLE
L P DEN @IND
L W CIN @MIN
L W NYJ @TB
W L BUF @KC
W W GB @CHI
L L NO @ATL
L W DET @BAL
W L MIA @JAC
W W CAR @NE
W L SEA @HOU
W W STL @TEN
L W WAS @OAK
L W SD @DAL
W L PHI @NYG
L W ARI @SF
8-8 10-5-1 results for wk 14

101-104-2 85-119-3 for the year(fty)

10-5-1 favored side or total wk14 (bold & green)

100-103-4 favored side or total for the yr

3-0 best bet (green)

Thursday, December 10, 2009

week 14 '09

12/10 8:20 PM
101 PIT -10 under
102 CLE 33 *

12/13 1:00 PM
105 DEN 44 *
106 IND -7 over

12/13 1:00 PM
107 CIN 43½ *
108 MIN -7 UNDER

12/13 1:00 PM
109 NYJ -3 UNDER
110 TB 37 **

12/13 1:00 PM
111 BUF 37½ *
112 KC PK OVER

12/13 1:00 PM
113 GB -3 *
114 CHI 41 under

12/13 1:00 PM
115 NO -10 ****
116 ATL 50 over

12/13 1:00 PM
117 DET 39½ *
118 BAL -13.5 over

12/13 1:00 PM
119 MIA 44 *
120 JAC -2.5 over

12/13 1:00 PM
121 CAR 44 *
122 NE -13.5 under

12/13 1:00 PM
123 SEA 44½ over
124 HOU -6.5 *

12/13 4:05 PM
125 STL 41½ under
126 TEN -13 *

12/13 4:05 PM
127 WAS -1 OVER
128 OAK 37½ *

12/13 4:15 PM
129 SD 48½ under
130 DAL -3 *

12/13 8:20 PM
131 PHI 44½ *
132 NYG -1 under

12/14 8:35 PM
133 ARI -3.5 *
134 SF 44½ UNDER

NFL '09 - week 13 - results

L L NYJ @BUF
W L DEN @KC
W L OAK @PIT
L L HOU @JAC
L L TEN @IND
W W PHI @ATL
L W DET @CIN
L L NO @WAS
L W TB @CAR
W L STL @CHI
L W SD @CLE
L W SF @SEA
L W MIN @ARI
L L DAL @NYG
L W NE @MIA
W L BAL @GB
5-11 7-9 results for wk 13

93-96-2 75-114-2 for the year(fty)

6-10 favored side or total wk13 (bold & green)

90-98-3 favored side or total for the yr

2-3 best bet (green)

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

week 13 '09

12/03 8:20 PM
301 NYJ -3 over
302 BUF 37 *
@Rogers Centre, Toronto, CN

12/06 1:00 PM
337 DEN -4.5 *
338 KC 38 under

12/06 1:00 PM
339 OAK 37 *
340 PIT -14.5 under

12/06 1:00 PM
341 HOU 46½ *****
342 JAC -1

12/06 1:00 PM
343 TEN 47 *
344 IND -7 over

12/06 1:00 PM
345 PHI -5.5 *
346 ATL 44 under

12/06 1:00 PM
347 DET 42 under
348 CIN -13 *

12/06 1:00 PM
349 NO -9.5 *
350 WAS 48 under

12/06 1:00 PM
351 TB 40 ****
352 CAR -6 under

12/06 1:00 PM
353 STL 41½ ***
354 CHI -8.5 over

12/06 4:05 PM
355 SD -13 *
356 CLE 43 over

12/06 4:15 PM
357 SF 41 *****
358 SEA -1 UNDER

12/06 8:25 PM
359 MIN -5 *
360 ARI 48 under

12/06 4:15 PM
361 DAL -2 **
362 NYG 45 UNDER

12/06 1:00 PM
363 NE -5 *
364 MIA 46 UNDER

12/07 8:35 PM
365 BAL 43½ OVER
366 GB -3 *****

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

NFL '09 - week 12 results

s t
i o
d t
e a
* l
W W GB @DET
W W OAK @DAL
L L NYG @DEN
L L IND @HOU
L L CLE @CIN
W W CHI @MIN
L L WAS @PHI
L W MIA @BUF
L L ARI @TEN
L W SEA @STL
W L TB @ATL
W W CAR @NYJ
W W JAC @SF
W L KC @SD
W W PIT @BAL
L L NE @NO
8-8 8-8 results for wk 12

88-85-2 68-105-2 for the year(fty)

8-8 favored side or total wk11 (bold & green)

84-88-3 favored side or total for the yr

4-2 best bet (green)

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

week 12 '09

11/26 12:30 PM
103 GB -11 ***
104 DET 48 under

11/26 4:15 PM
105 OAK 40½ UNDER
106 DAL -13.5 ****

11/26 8:20 PM
107 NYG -6.5 *
108 DEN 42 *over*

11/29 1:00 PM
205 IND -3.5 under
206 HOU 48 ****

11/29 1:00 PM
207 CLE 38½ over
208CIN -14 ****

11/29 4:15 PM
209 CHI 47 under
210 MIN -11 ***

11/29 1:00 PM
211 WAS 41 under
212 PHI -9.5 *

11/29 1:00 PM
213 MIA -3 ***
214 BUF 39½ over

11/29 4:15 PM
215 ARI 47 ***
216 TEN -2 OVER

11/29 1:00 PM
217 SEA -3 ***OVER***
218 STL 42½ *

11/29 1:00 PM
219 TB 46 *
220 ATL -12 *OVER*

11/29 1:00 PM
221 CAR 41½ under
222 NYJ -3 *

11/29 4:05 PM
223 JAC 41½ under
224 SF -3 **

11/29 4:05 PM
225 KC 45 under
226 SD -13.5 ****

11/29 8:20 PM
227 PIT 39½ under
228 BAL -2.5 *

11/30 8:35 PM
229 NE 56 *
230 NO -3 OVER

Monday, November 23, 2009

NFL '09 - week 11 - results

NP NP MIA @CAR
L L CLE @DET
W L BUF @JAC
L W PIT @KC
L L IND @BAL
W W ATL @NYG
L L SF @GB
W L SEA @MIN
W L WAS @DAL
L L NO @TB
L W ARI @STL
L P NYJ @NE
L L CIN @OAK
W W SD @DEN
W W PHI @CHI
W L TEN @HOU
7-8 5-9-1 results for wk 11

80-77-2 60-97-2 for the year(fty)

8-7 favored side or total wk11 (bold & green)

76-80-3 favored side or total for the yr

1-4 best bet (green)

Friday, November 20, 2009

week 11 '09

unable to post MIA @CAR pick in time due to work

11/22 1:00 PM
407 CLE 38 UNDER
408 DET -3.5 *

11/22 1:00 PM
409 BUF 42½ ***
410 JAC -9 *over*

11/22 1:00 PM
411 PIT -10 *
412 KC 40 *over***

11/22 1:00 PM
413 IND -1.5 *over
414 BAL 44½ *

11/22 1:00 PM
415 ATL 46 *
416 NYG -6.5 over

11/22 1:00 PM
417 SF 42½ ***UNDER***
418 GB -6.5 *

11/22 1:00 PM
419 SEA 46½ OVER
420 MIN -11 ***

11/22 1:00 PM
421 WAS 41½ ****
422 DAL -11 over

11/22 1:00 PM
423 NO -11.5 over
424 TB 51 *

11/22 4:05 PM
425 ARI -8.5 ******
426 STL 47 under

11/22 4:15 PM
427 NYJ 45 **
428 NE -10.5 under

11/22 4:15 PM
429 CIN -9.5 UNDER
430 OAK 36 *

11/22 4:15 PM
431 SD -3.5 **
432 DEN 4 UNDER

11/22 8:20 PM
433 PHI -3 *
434 CHI 45 under

11/23 8:35 PM
435 TEN 48 *
436 HOU -4.5 over

Monday, November 16, 2009

NFL '09 - week 10 - results

W W CHI @SF
L L JAC @NYJ
L L DEN @WAS
W W CIN @PIT
W L BUF @TEN
P W DET @MIN
L L NO @STL
W L ATL @CAR
L W TB @MIA
W L KC @OAK
W L SEA @ARI
W W PHI @SD
L W DAL @GB
L W NE @IND
W W BAL @CLE
8-6-1 8-7 results for wk 10

73-69-2 55-88-1 for the year(fty)

7-7-1 favored side or total wk10 (bold & green)

68-73-3 favored side or total for the yr

2-2 best bet (green)

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

week 10 - '09

11/12 8:20 PM
105 CHI 43½ under
106 SF -3 *******

11/15 1:00 PM
215 JAC 40 under
216 NYJ -6.5 *** coming off bye

11/15 1:00 PM
217 DEN -3.5 *********
218 WAS 36½ **UNDER**

11/15 1:00 PM
219 CIN 41½ *****
220 PIT -7 under

11/15 1:00 PM
221 BUF 40½ under
222 TEN -6.5 *****

11/15 1:00 PM
223 DET 47 under*
224 MIN -17 *

11/15 1:00 PM
225 NO -13.5 **
226 STL 50 under coming off bye, but yet to play well

11/15 1:00 PM
227 ATL -1.5 UNDER
228 CAR 44½ **

11/15 1:00 PM
229 TB 44 over
230 MIA -10 ***

11/15 4:05 PM
231 KC 36½ **
232 OAK -2 over

11/15 4:15 PM
233 SEA 47 *under
234 ARI -8.5 *

11/15 4:15 PM
235 PHI 47 over
236 SD -2.5 *

11/15 4:15 PM
237 DAL -3 ******
238 GB 47½ UNDER

11/15 8:20 PM
239 NE 50 OVER**
240 IND -3 *

11/16 8:35 PM
243 BAL -11 ****
244 CLE 40½ under

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

NFL '09 week 09 - results

W W KC @JAC
W W BAL @CIN
W W HOU @IND
L L WAS @ATL
L L GB @TB
W L ARI @CHI
W W MIA @NE
W L CAR @NO
W L DET @SEA
L L TEN @SF
W L SD @NYG
L L DAL @PHI
W L PIT @DEN
9-4 4-9 results for wk 09

65-63-1 47-81-1 for the year(fty)

6-7 favored side or total wk09 (bold & green)

61-66-2 favored side or total for the yr

2-1 best bet (green)

Friday, November 06, 2009

week 9 - '09

11/08 1:00 PM
403 KC 42 *
404 JAC -6.5 *over

11/08 1:00 PM
405 BAL -3 under
406 CIN 44½ * dog6-1, 3-0vsDiv

11/08 1:00 PM
407 HOU 48½ * altATS-WLW?
408 IND -9 UNDER, road6-1

11/08 1:00 PM
409 WAS 41½ * dog6-1
410 ATL -9.5 *under fav5-2

11/08 1:00 PM
411 GB -9.5 *****
412 TB 43½ under

11/08 1:00 PM
413 ARI 44½ * road6-1ATS,3-0road
414 CHI -3 UNDER? fav6-1,3-0home

11/08 1:00 PM
415 MIA 47 *** last4OVER
416 NE -10.5 ***under

11/08 4:05 PM
417 CAR 51½ * L4WSroadats
418 NO -13.5 over

11/08 4:05 PM
419 DET 42½ under
420 SEA -10 *********

11/08 4:15 PM
421 TEN 41 under
422 SF -4 *5-1-1ATS

11/08 4:15 PM
423 SD 47½ *-roadO/U3-0
424 NYG -5 *over

11/08 8:20 PM
425 DAL 48½ over 5GHSats
426 PHI -3 *

11/09 8:35 PM
429 PIT -3 **** dog/home5-2, L5>40
430 DEN 39½ over 6-1ATS

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

NFL '09 week 08 - results

L W DEN @BAL
W L CLE @CHI
W W HOU @BUF
W W MIN @GB
L L SF @IND
L W MIA @NYJ
L L STL @DET
W L SEA @DAL
L W OAK @SD
L L JAC @TEN
L L CAR @ARI
L L NYG @PHI
L L ATL @NO
4-9 5-8 results for wk 08



56-59-1 43-72-1 for the year(fty)

5-8 favored side or total wk08 (bold & green)

55-59-2 favored side or total for the yr

1-1 best bet (green)

Thursday, October 29, 2009

week 8 - '09

11/01 1:00 PM
207 DEN 41½ *
208 BAL -3.5 UNDER

11/01 1:00 PM
209 CLE 40 OVER
210 CHI -13.5 *
(CHI should win SU, but 13.5 is a bit much, until you watch CLE O, only Cribbs can score quickly)

11/01 1:00 PM
211 HOU -3.5 *
212 BUF 41½ UNDER
(picked OVER originally, but weather and BUF D & O make me think 17-13 is likely)

11/01 4:15 PM
213 MIN 47½ *
214 GB -3 OVER

11/01 1:00 PM
215 SF 44½ OVER
216 IND -12 *

11/01 1:00 PM
217 MIA 40½ OVER
218 NYJ -3 **
(picked MIA originally, but I think NYJ can stop MIA, after watching NO 8-man front in 2nd half of previous game)

11/01 1:00 PM
219 STL 46½ OVER
220 DET -3 *

11/01 1:00 PM
221 SEA 45½ UNDER
222 DAL -9.5 *****

11/01 4:05 PM
223 OAK 41½ UNDER
224 SD -16.5 *
(big spread, but OAK on the road, with a team that is just "dysfunctional")

11/01 4:05 PM
225 JAC 44½ *
226 TEN -3 OVER
(TEN should come out w/a supreme effort to get their first win, but will they?)

11/01 4:15 PM
227 CAR 41½ UNDER
228 ARI -10 *

11/01 1:00 PM
229 NYG 44 *
230 PHI -1 UNDER
(line has moved from -3 to pick'm in many locales)

11/02 8:35 PM
233 ATL 54½ under
234 NO -10 ***

NFL 09 week 07 - results

side total game
W W SD @KC
W L IND @STL
L W CHI @CIN
W W GB @CLE
L L MIN @PIT
W W NE @TB(London)
P L SF @HOU
L L NYJ @OAK
L W BUF @CAR
L W NO @MIA
W W ATL @DAL
W L ARI @BYG
W L PHI @WAS
7-5-1 7-6 results for wk 07


52-50-1 38-64-1 for the year(fty)

7-5-1 favored side or total

wk07 (bold & green)


50-51-2 favored side or total

for the yr

2-1 best bet (green)

Friday, October 23, 2009

week 7 - '09

10/25 1:00 PM
413 SD -4.5 *
414 KC 43½ OVER

10/25 1:00 PM
415 IND -13.5 *****
416 STL 45½ under

10/25 4:15 PM
417 CHI 42 *
418 CIN -1 over

10/25 1:00 PM
419 GB -9 *****
420 CLE 41 under

10/25 1:00 PM
421 MIN 45 *
422 Pit -5 ****OVER****

10/25 1:00 PM
423 NE -14.5 *
424 TB 45 under
@ Wembly Stadium - London, England

10/25 1:00 PM
425 SF 44 under
426 HOU -3 *

10/25 4:05 PM
427 NYJ -6.5 UNDER
428 OAK 35 **

10/25 4:05 PM
429 BUF 37 UNDER
430 CAR -7 *

10/25 4:15 PM
431 NO -6.5 **OVER**
432 MIA 47 *

10/25 4:15 PM
433 ATL 47½ OVER
434 DAL -4 ***

10/25 8:20 PM
435 ARI 46½ ***
436 NYG -7 OVER

10/26 8:35 PM
437 PHI -7 **
438 WAS 37½ UNDER

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

NFL 09 week 06 - results

side total game
W W KC @WAS
L P HOU @CIN
L L CLE @PIT
L W BAL @MIN
L L STL @JAC
W L NYG @NO
L L CAR @TB
W L DET @GB
L W PHI @OAK
L L ARI @SEA
L W BUF @NYJ
W L TEN @NE
W L CHI @ATL
W L DEN @SD
6-8 4-9-1 results for wk 06

45-45 31-58-1 for the year(fty)

5-8-1 favored side or total wk06 (bold & green)

43-46-1 favored side or total for the yr

1-3 best bet (green)

Thursday, October 15, 2009

week 06 - '09

10/18 1:00 PM
209 KC 37 ***
210 WAS -6.5 UNDER

10/18 1:00 PM
211 HOU 45 OVER
212 CIN -5 *

10/18 1:00 PM
213 CLE 38 UNDER
214 PIT -14 *****

10/18 1:00 PM
215 BAL 44 OVER***
216 MIN -3 *

10/18 1:00 PM
217 STL 43 UNDER
218 JAC -9.5 **

10/18 1:00 PM
219 NYG 47½ UNDER
220 NO -3 *

10/18 1:00 PM
221 CAR -3 UNDER
222 TB 40 *

10/18 1:00 PM
223 DET 47½ OVER
224 GB -13.5 ***

10/18 4:05 PM
225 PHI -14 ***
226 OAK 40½ UNDER

10/18 4:05 PM
227 ARI 47 OVER
228 SEA -3 *

10/18 4:15 PM
229 BUF 37½ UNDER
230 NYJ -10 ***

10/18 4:15 PM
231 TEN 43½ UNDER
232 NE -9.5 **

10/18 8:20 PM
233 CHI 46 OVER
234 ATL -3 *

10/19 8:35 PM
235 DEN 44 *
236 SD -3.5 UNDER

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

NFL 09 week 05 - results

side total game
W L MIN @STL
L W DAL @KC
L W WAS @CAR
W L TB @PHI
W L OAK @NYG
W L CLE @BUF
W L CIN @BAL
L L PIT @DET
L L ATL @SF
W W NE @DEN
W L HOU @ARI
L L JAC @SEA
W W IND @TEN
W L NYJ @MIA
9-5 4-10 results for wk 05


39-37 27-49 for the year(fty)

8-6 favored side or total wk05 (bold & green)

38-38 favored side or total for the yr

5-0 best bet (green)

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Week 05 '09

10/11 1:00 PM
401 MIN -10.5 ***
402 STL 41 UNDER

10/11 1:00 PM
403 DAL -8 **
404 KC 42½ OVER

10/11 1:00 PM
405 WAS 37½ UNDER
406 CAR -4 *

10/11 1:00 PM
407 TB 42 UNDER
408 PHI -15 ****

10/11 1:00 PM
409 OAK 37½ OVER
410 NYG -15 ******

10/11 1:00 PM
411 CLE 41 ***
412 BUF -6 OVER

10/11 1:00 PM
413 CIN 42 ***
414 BAL -8.5 OVER

10/11 1:00 PM
415 PIT -10.5 **
416 DET 44 UNDER

10/11 4:05 PM
417 ATL 40½ UNDER
418 SF -2.5 *

10/11 4:15 PM
419 NE -3 *UNDER*
420 DEN 41 *

10/11 4:15 PM
421 HOU 50 over
422 ARI -5.5 *

10/11 4:15 PM
423 JAC 44 **
424 SEA -1.5 OVER

10/11 8:20 PM
425 IND -4 *
426 TEN 45 UNDER

10/12 8:35 PM
427 NYJ -2 UNDER
428 MIA 36½ *

Monday, October 05, 2009

NFL 09 week 04 - results

side total game
L L OAK @HOU
L W TEN @JAC
W W BAL @NE
L L CIN @CLE
W L NYG @KC
W L DET @CHI
L W TB @WAS
L L SEA @IND
W W NYJ @NO
W W BUF @MIA
W W STL @SF
W L DAL @DEN
L W SD @PIT
W L GB @MIN
8-6 7-7 results for wk 04

30-32 23-39 for the year(fty)

7-7 favored side or total wk04 (bold & green)

30-32 favored side or total for the yr

3-3 best bet (green)

Friday, October 02, 2009

Week 04 - '09

10/04 1:00 PM
201 OAK 42 *
202 HOU -9 OVER

10/04 1:00 PM
203 TEN -3 *
204 JAC 41½ OVER

10/04 1:00 PM
205 BAL 44½ OVER
206 NE -2 *

10/04 1:00 PM
207 CIN -6 ***
208 CLE 38½ under

10/04 1:00 PM
209 NYG -8.5 ***
210 KC 42½ UNDER

10/04 1:00 PM
211 DET 39½ UNDER
212 CHI -10 ***

10/04 1:00 PM
213 TB 37 UNDER
214 WAS -8 *

10/04 1:00 PM
215 SEA 44 *
216 IND -10 UNDER

10/04 4:05 PM
217 NYJ 45½ UNDER
218 NO -7 *

10/04 4:05 PM
219 BUF -1 OVER
220 MIA 37 *

10/04 4:15 PM
221 STL 37 UNDER
222 SF -9.5 *

10/04 4:15 PM
223 DAL -3 OVER
224 DEN 42 *

10/04 8:20 PM
225 SD 43 *
226 PIT -6.5 over*

10/05 8:35 PM
227 GB 45½ UNDER
228 MIN -3.5 ****

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

NFL 09 week 03 - results

side total game
L W TEN @NYJ
L W JAC @HOU
L L KC @PHI
W L CLE @BAL
W L NYG @TB
L W WAS @DET
L L GB @STL
L L SF @MIN
L L ATL @NE
W L CHI @SEA
W L NO @BUF
L W MIA @SD
W L PIT @CIN
L W DEN @OAK
L L IND @ARI
L W CAR @DAL
5-11 6-10 results for wk 03
22-26 16-32 for the year(fty)
7-9 favored side or total wk03 (bold & green)
23-25 favored side or total for the yr

4-1 best bet (green)


even worst than last week, the only thing that was good was the best bets, everything else I smelt it up

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Week 03 -'09

09/27 1:00 PM
401 TEN 37 **** unlucky fumble led 21-7lw 2WKS UNLUCKY
402 NYJ -2.5 over?
Taking the pts, but I'm not convinced as NYJ D is stellar and is a top 3 D, TEN is either unlucky or just make more mental errors than last year

09/27 1:00 PM
403 JAC 47 OVER? youngest D weak passD
404 HOU -4 ***LG OUT? lucky lw? weak runD weakpassD

09/27 1:00 PM
405 KC 39½ * STcoverage30ydline
406 PHI -8 under STcoverage33ydline
if KC QB Cassel sucks again, PHI covers

09/27 1:00 PM
407 CLE 39 over weak runD
408 BAL -13.5 ** weak passD
CLE QB's just too puzzling

09/27 1:00 PM
409 NYG -6.5 **** weak runD
410 TB 45 over weak runD lost last 2 by 13pts, secondary too many big plays/TDs
NYG might be the best play of theday

09/27 1:00 PM
411 WAS -6.5 ** LG OUT? lucky lw?
412 DET 38½ under D issues x3?4?
I don't think WAS will lose, I'm just not convinced they will cover

09/27 1:00 PM
413 GB -6.5 **UNDER** OL issue STcoverage41-37ydline(bad coverage)
414 STL 41½ ** C/LT issue unlucky lw? could be painful
though STL is the worst team on O and D, I'm taking a chance @home w/STL 0-2

09/27 1:00 PM
415 SF 39½ *under STcoverage26ydlineSTOUT
416 MIN -7 * STreturn39-44ydline(amazing)
tough to pick I believe MIN will win SU not so sure about ATS


09/27 1:00 PM
417 ATL 47 * wowSTcoverage22ydline Ohot
418 NE -4.5 over

09/27 4:05 PM
419 CHI -2.5 *lucky lw?
420 SEA 37 **UNDER** OL issues????????
SEA is just too beat up to win

09/27 4:05 PM
421 NO -6 *** STstart37.5ydlineWHEW
422 BUF 52 over young OL, weak pass D
NO SB bound?

09/27 4:15 PM
423 MIA 44 *
424 SD -5.5 under
I'm thinking that MIA ball control will work vs SD

09/27 4:15 PM
425 PIT -3.5 **UNDER** unlucky 2mFG lw
426 CIN 37 *
just thinking if PIT can't run on road, they should be giving up pts

09/27 4:15 PM
427 DEN -2 under D doUbelieve? stout runD
428 OAK 36½ ***
I know, I know OAK gave up way too many yds to KC lw, but this week they should run and run

09/27 8:20 PM
429 IND 48 over weak runD
430 ARI -3 * ?
This game will go over as both teams are pass oriented w/a lot of 3,4&5 WR's sets which extends games and I'm just taking ARI 'cause they're at home, but IND could steal another game

09/28 8:35 PM
431 CAR 47½ * DL/depth/D issues x4 pass'g? no consistency
432 DAL -8.5 under TO's?
If I was CAR I'd run alot more and if I was DAL I'd do the same, they both need the win, just who wants it more?

Who's HOT picking teams?

Bill Simmons (ESPN analyst) is HOT see "Nobody believed me!" These are his week 3 NFL picks, you can find his week 1 and 2 picks as well online though they are not obvious.
see Week 1 = "The NFL enters the Tyson Zone"
see Week 2 = "In Jake we trust"
ATS I daresay none have been better than the host of "SPORTS GUY'S WORLD".
SU Brian Baldinger has a slight lead over Sterling Sharpe w/Joe Theisman lagging several games behind the two front runners at NFL network. Again their picks are not easily found on the NFL.com site, but they are doing very well.
At least they're easier than trying to discern the NFL Live analysts picks (videos are nice, but put it down in writing) or a site such as ProFootball Weekly which I know picks, but you'll need to pay for "insider knowledge" or follow their rss feed (which I don't do).

Monday, September 21, 2009

NFL 09 week 02 - results

side total game
L L OAK @KC
L L HOU @TEN
W L NE @NYJ
L L CIN @GB
W L MIN @DET
W L NO @PHI
W L CAR @ATL
L W STL @WAS
L L ARI @JAC
W L SEA @SF
L L TB @BUF
L W CLE @DEN
W W BAL @SD
L L PIT @CHI
W W NYG @DAL
W L IND @MIA
8-8 4-12 results for wk02
17-15 10-22 for the year(fty)


7-9 favored side or total (bold picks)
16-16 favored side or total (bold picks)

fty

owww....

what a bad week

I guess I should've played the "could've/should/ve won" angle which would have been good w/OAK,CIN,BUF but not w/TEN

should've lost angle NE, but not DEN

maybe the "I was embarrassed" angle is better, HOU, CAR, CIN, ARI, STL, CHI, BUF

maybe even apply to DEN as "I was embarrassed to win"

BUT none of that explains how bad I did w/totals, just atrocious, sucks to be me

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Week 02 - '09

09/20 1:00 PM
205 OAK 38½ over***
206 KC -3 ***
Wondering if OAK will do well on road, they need to run much more often KC just played better after block'd punt returned for TD, thinking it will carry over to this week

09/20 1:00 PM
207 HOU 40½ under
208 TEN -6.5 *****
6.5? s/b 14.5 TEN in a rout

09/20 1:00 PM
209 NE -3.5 over
210 NYJ 46 ***
NE MLB MAYO (RoY LY) OUT
NYJ D is motivated and NE D might be a little green

09/20 1:00 PM
211 CIN 42 UNDER
212 GB -9 *****
IF CIN show'd any signs of O life +9 would be nice, but GB @home could cover by 20pts even w/o SS Bigby

09/20 1:00 PM
213 MIN -10 **
214 DET 46½ over*
-10? perhaps -20 is better

09/20 1:00 PM
215 NO 46½ *
216 PHI -1 UNDER
w/McNabb out, can't see how PHI will score enough pts

09/20 1:00 PM
217 CAR 43 under
218 ATL -6.5 **
CAR had a miserable wk1, they should bounce back, just not enough on the road @ATL

09/20 1:00 PM
219 STL 37 UNDER
220 WAS -9.5 *****
STL NO points, zero pts, 0 pts, WAS is hungrier for a win and should blast away at STL

09/20 1:00 PM
221 ARI 42½ under
222 JAC -3 *?
JAC has youngest starting DL/front 7
ARI has 4th best rush D from wk1
Tough to pick, I could make an argument for either side, taking the pts, the total is the better pick

09/20 4:05 PM
223 SEA 39½ over
224 SF -1.5 *
Early Div game to one up the other, SEA LB's could have a problem in this game and I expect Hasselbeck to increase his int total


09/20 4:05 PM
225 TB 42 *
226 BUF -4.5 under?
BUF DE & MLB OUT
another tough one to decide, both TB and BUF hung into Q4 in wk1, I'm just think'n BUF will have an emo letdown after last min lost to NE in wk1

09/20 4:15 PM
227 CLE 37½ **
228 DEN -3 under
CLE who's RB? all are nick'd, FB L Vickers???

09/20 4:15 PM
229 BAL 40½ **
230 SD -3 over
Can't believe both teams D(and ST w/BAL) gave up so many pts in wk1.
SD OL appears to be nick'd up, maybe sproles will keep this close, but SD D had a tough time w/OAK run game LW, BAL run game is much, much better


09/20 4:15 PM
231 PIT -3 ***
232 CHI 37½ over
CHI MLB & SLB OUT
both teams have inj's to key players (out for the year), Cutler needs more seasoning w/his WR's, PIT doesn't

09/20 8:20 PM
233 NYG 44½ *
234 DAL -3 over
This should be a physical game, total is way too high for a normal game time slot, but since it's on snf and DAL QB Romo can hit WR's in stride, look for this to go over as NYG 2ndary is a bit young


09/21 8:35 PM
235 IND -3 *
236 MIA 42 UNDER
MIA loss first two games LY, the trend continues this yr...

Sunday, September 13, 2009

NFL 09 week 01 - results

side total game
W W TEN @PIT
L L MIA @ATL
W L KC @BAL
L L PHI @CAR
L W DEN @CIN
W L MIN @CLE
L L NYJ @HOU
W W JAC @IND
W L DET @NO
W L DAL @TB
W W SF @ARI
W L WAS @NYG
L W STL @SEA
W L CHI @GB
L L BUF @NE
L W SD @OAK
9-7 6-10 results for wk01

9-7 favored side or total (bold picks)

I was doing fairly well until the SNF & MNF games, sigh....


I was suprised by...
HOU, my thinking was NYJ D had 2 key players susp'd for game, I really thought HOU O would take advantage and their D would have less reps to play

MIA, though last year they also loss every out of conference and I should have
considered this as well

PHI O gell'd earlier than I thought it would (I was giving it a few more weeks)

BAL allowed so many points

STL O was so inept (0 pts) vs SEA D

DEN was very lucky w/tipped pass for TD at end of game, so next week their luck runs out

except for STL & CHI games, div dogs won the money ATS (JAC, SF, WAS, BUF, OAK)

Did you notice the three teams that fired their OC's (KC, TB, BUF), all did much better than I thought they would, good to very good team effort, will this continue into next week?

Monday, September 07, 2009

Week 01 - '09

09/10 8:30 PM
451 TEN 35 **
452 PIT -6 UNDER
both teams will be up for this showcase game, TEN has more to prove

09/13 1:00 PM
453 MIA 43 *
454 ATL -4 over
unsure of this game, MIA was 0-4 LY playing OC(out of conference) games

09/13 1:00 PM
455 KC 36 UNDER
456 BAL -13 *******
KC-QB-Cassel-Doubtful

09/13 1:00 PM
457 PHI -1 UNDER
458 CAR 43½ *****
CAR-WR-Smith-Questionable
It's not often that CAR is a home underdog, and they have the running game to control the clock. PHI OL has not gell'd IMO thus, CAR even w/their D ?'s rate the edge


09/13 1:00 PM
459 DEN 43½ UNDER***
460 CIN -4.5 *
DEN-QBs-Orton, Simms-Questionable CIN-QB-Palmer-Probable
DEN has too much chaos, CIN may yet fall to "Hard Knocks" curse, but in this case I don't think so

09/13 1:00 PM
461 MIN -4 *****
462 CLE 40½ UNDER
MIN-QB-Favre-Probable CLE-WR-Stallworth-susp'd
CLE is trying to get any advantage it can, withholding designated starters @QB & RB,
not good for fantasy owners, but it's a weakness I've seen before. MIN has deep elite talent at many positions, spread should be -14

09/13 1:00 PM
463 NYJ 43 OVER
464 HOU -4.5 *
NYJ-DE-Ellis & LB Pace-susp'd
HOU front 7 are young and not sound, HOU O will have to get the lead and not let up on the gas all year long

09/13 1:00 PM
465 JAC 44½ ******
466 IND -7 UNDER
JAC-RB-Jones-Drew-Probable
A division game where IND is again giving up too many pts, JAC will be way UP

09/13 1:00 PM
467 DET 48½ UNDER
468 NO -13 ******
DET-QB-Stafford-Starting QB
DET-RB-Smith
NO 2xDEs SUSP'D
DET's best hope is to run the ball and not give NO QB Brees much time w/ball
maybe total is a bit high. I expect NO D to be suspect to any play on the edges

09/13 1:00 PM
469 DAL -6 *****
470 TB 39½ UNDER
TB new OC, DAL should ROMP

09/13 4:15 PM
471 SF 46½ *
472 ARI -6.5 UNDER**
A division game where I'll take dog, expecting SF to RUN and eat clock up

09/13 4:15 PM
473 WAS 37½ *
474 NYG -6.5 UNDER****
Another division game where D's are stout and O's have their ?'s

09/13 4:15 PM
475 STL 41½ ****
476 SEA -8.5 UNDER
STL-QB-Bulger-??s
STL is rebuilding, but I just don't like the youth along SEA OL and their best CB will be out of the game. Bulger was a top 5 QB, if his OL holds and create holes for RB Jackson, this could be the UPSET of the day

09/13 8:20 PM
477 CHI 46 OVER***
478 GB -3.5 ***
Bitter rivals, introduces CHI QB Cutler to the new 3-4 D of GB. GB O should have its way, it's the SNF game and thus the over, else I would have thought under

09/14 7:00 PM
479 BUF 47½ UNDER
480 NE -11 *****
BUF-RB-Lynch-susp'd
BUF, OC fired, and is woeful vs 3-4 D's and their AFC E bretheren

09/14 10:15 PM
481 SD -9 *
482 OAK 43 OVER
SD-LB-Merriman-?suspension?
Except for Merriman(distraction?), it really tough to take the home dog. I'd have to see alot more from OAK O and D, besides their HC has a distraction of his own

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

09 Preseason week 4

09/03 6:30 PM
101 DET 34 over*
102 BUF -3.5 *
total headin' under (-2)
BUF going up as fav (-1)

09/03 7:00 PM
103 PHI 37 *
104 NYJ -2.5 under

09/03 7:30 PM
105 NYG -3 *
106 NE 36 under

09/03 7:30 PM
107 WAS 35 under**
108 JAC -6 *
major line move to -6 (3pts)

09/03 7:30 PM
109 BAL 35½ under
110 ATL -2.5 *

09/03 7:30 PM
111 IND 36½ under**
112 CIN -3.5 *
total headin' over (+2)

09/03 8:00 PM
113 PIT 33½ *
114 CAR -3 under
total headin' under (-1.5)

09/03 8:00 PM
115 CLE 36 *
116 CHI -2.5 under*
total headin' under (-1)

09/03 8:00 PM
117 MIA 36½ under*
118 NO -3 *
total headin' under (-1)

09/03 8:00 PM
119 GB 36 under****
120 TEN -3.5 *

09/03 8:00 PM
121 KC -1 *****
122 STL 36 under
major line move to -1 (+3.5pts)

09/03 9:00 PM
123 ARI -3 *
124 DEN 36 under*
ARI going up as fav (-2)

09/03 10:00 PM
125 OAK 37 under
126 SEA -3 *
total headin' over (+1.5)
OAK going up as dog (+1)

09/04 7:00 PM
137 HOU 34 *
138 TB -3 under

09/04 8:00 PM
139 DAL 36 under**
140 MIN -3 *

09/04 10:00 PM
141 SF 37 under*
142 SD -4 *

results - Preseason wk3

Totals really killed me this week, but I guess this week balances out the past two weeks.

GB is looking very good, the early season game vs MIN should be very interesting.

Best Sleeper team: JAC, some would look to SEA but they have O-Line and pass protection issues, perhaps a more run oriented O will be better.

Bottom 5 in no particular order:
DET
CIN
KC
STL
OAK
other candidates: BUF, CLE, TB, STL, DEN, SF

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

09 Preseason week 3

08/27 7:00 PM
251 JAC 37½ ****
252 PHI -7 over***
PHI-RB-Westbrook?

08/27 7:30 PM
253 STL 35 *
254 CIN -2.5 UNDER*
STL-QB-Bulger-OUT, WR-Avery-OUT

CIN-QB-Palmer-OUT

08/27 8:00 PM
255 MIA 35 ***
256 TB -2.5 over
TB-WR-Bryant-OUT

08/28 8:00 PM
257 NE -3.5 **
258 WAS 37 UNDER
WAS-WR-Moss?

08/28 10:00 PM
259 GB 42 under
260 ARI -3 **
ARZ-WR-Breaston?

08/29 1:00 PM
261 IND -3 over?
262 DET 40 *
DET-WR-C. Johnson?

08/29 4:00 PM
263 NO -1.5 under
264 OAK 41½ *
NO-WR-Moore? RB-Bush?

08/29 7:30 PM
265 TEN 38½ *
266 CLE -1 UNDER

08/29 7:30 PM
267 BUF 37 OVER
268 PIT -4.5 *
BUF-WR-Owens-OUT

08/29 8:00 PM
269 BAL 34 OVER
270 CAR -3 *
BAL-WR-Clayton-OUT,WR-Mason?
CAR-RB-Stewart?
CAR- toughest Preseason opponents
NYG,MIA,BAL,PIT

08/29 8:00 PM
271 NYJ 36½ under
272 NYG -3.5 *

08/29 8:00 PM
273 SEA 39½ ***
274 KC -3 under
SEA-RB-Jones? WR-Burleson?

08/29 8:00 PM
275 SF 40 *
276 DAL -7 under
SF-QB-Smith? LB-Willis?

08/29 8:00 PM
277 SD 42½ ***
278 ATL -2.5 under*
SD-WR-Jackson?

08/30 8:00 PM
279 CHI 38 OVER*
280 DEN -2.5 *
DEN-QB-Simms? WR-Marshall?

08/31 8:00 PM
281 MIN 41 ****
282 HOU -3 under
MIN-WR-Berrian?

Buffalo Bills are they predictable?

Bills again turned upside down by 3-4 D is a highly interesting view. So what about this year?
BUF will play the same amount of 3-4 and 4-3 D's this season.
3-4's NE, NYJ, MIA twice, CLE & KC once
4-3's ATL, CAR, NO, TB,(NFC S), IND, TEN, JAC, HOU,(AFC S)

OK, so BUF has been 7-9 for the (has it been) past 3 yrs? and always lose to their AFC E rivals, but CLE? and KC? I think depending on how CLE and KC are "gell'g" I'd stick w/BUF.

As far as the 4-3 teams, the AFC S is tough w/maybe HOU and maybe JAC as possible wins. The NFC S w/ATL & NO playing well I don't see a win, if CAR D can hold it together, that'll be a really tough win and TB is the only real possibility..

So for '09, a record of 6-10 is optimistic and 7-9 is the goal, w/8-8 over their heads.

And the betting angle would be to play the BUF SU(straight up) on the money line as a dog vs (weaker)4-3 & 3-4 teams, stick to the fav's w/the stronger teams (though you'll probably be looking at least a -225 fav). The Over when playing 4-3 teams and maybe Unders w/3-4 opponents.
I haven't check'd their ATS record so I can't state a position, but BUF should be getting points for the majority of their games w/maybe the CLE, KC & TB games as fav's and the game in Toronto vs NYJ does them no favors, which I rate NYJ w/the edge (now).

Game 1 @NE, getting 11pts (Hilton), Brady's 1st game back since inj, he'll air it out, though I think he maybe rusty (preseason games appears to align w/this thought). BUF and their "no huddle" O will get them more reps, but will it be effective? I doubt it, Belichick is running a tougher camp this year, the focus is much higher this yr at the beginning of the season. BUF appears to have some OL issues. I'd have to give NE the edge in covering fairly easy. BUF only real edge is at ST where coach Bobby April may take advantage of the change in rules for only two players to form a wedge. He could have a new zone(s) alignment to help the PR, maybe a wing(s)? and if NE get's out of their lanes, who knows? But this is unlikely and if Brady & Co. get a 2 TD lead, I think they'll extend it, Edwards may press and int's/fumbles will kill drives.
BUF should be getting +17.5 then I would stop and think....

results - Preseason wk2

Just a little bit better on totals and a little worse on sides, since last week

overall record for two weeks:

sides:
15-16-1

totals:
18-13-1

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

09 Preseason week 2

08/20 7:30 PM
401 CIN 36½ UNDER*
402 NE -7 ***
CIN-QB-C. Palmer-OUT, lots of TC inj's TE's, 2ndary

08/20 8:00 PM
403 PHI -3 ***
404 IND 36 under*
PHI-RB-Westbrook, QB-Kolb-Questionable, QB-Vick-OUT
IND-QB-Sorgi-OUT, + 6 starters OUT

08/21 8:00 PM
405 TEN 37½ *
406 DAL -2.5 OVER***

08/21 8:00 PM
407 KC 36 over
408 MIN -3.5 ****
MIN-QB-Favre starts

08/21 8:00 PM
409 ATL -3 *
410 STL 37 OVER
STL-QB-Bulger-OUT

08/22 7:30 PM
411 TB 34 OVER***
412 JAC -3 *

08/22 7:30 PM
413 PIT -1 UNDER****
414 WAS 33 ****
WAS-RB-Portis-Questionable

08/22 7:30 PM
415 CAR 33½ under
416 MIA -2 ****
CAR-WR-Smith-Doubtful

08/22 7:30 PM
417 DET 37½ ****
418 CLE -3 over

08/22 8:00 PM
419 BUF 38 ****
420 GB -3.5 over
BUF-WR-Owens-Questionable

08/22 8:00 PM
421 NO 40 OVER***
422 HOU -3 *

08/22 8:00 PM
423 NYG 36 ****
424 CHI -2.5 over
CHI-RB-Forte-Questionable

08/22 8:15 PM
425 OAK 36 over
426 SF -3 ***
OAK-QB-Garcia-Questionable
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable

08/22 10:00 PM
427 SD 37½ ***
428 ARI -1.5 under

08/22 10:30 PM
429 DEN 36½ under
430 SEA -3 ***
DEN-RB-Moreno-Doubtful, WR-Marshall-Questionable

08/24 8:00 PM
431 NYJ 32½ ***
432 BAL -3 over
BAL-QB-Beck-OUT

results - Preseason 09 wk 1


It's difficult to post table's in this format, probably a pix will do best:

Not bad for the 1st wk of '09 Preseason (discounting HoF game BUF @TEN). We'll see about next week.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

09 PreSeason week 1

OK so I forgot to post a pick for BUF @TEN HoF game, it would've ended up as a push and over. Notations: 4-stars **** favored side or total, anything less means I'm not to certain. Totals w/capitals means a much stronger lean toward either OVER or UNDER, small caps are for just my thoughts, not very strong play at all. There should be more stars for the either the side or total and this denotes the stronger play. CAPs and 4-stars are my fav's.

Teams to watch, HOU, why? QB Grossman is 3rd string and should get a lot of playing time during preseason. It's just this week they're up against KC w/new coaches, players etc and teams rebuilding (DET, STL, TB) tend to play alot harder than "established" teams.
Teams w/QB competition should make for good 1st half bets, NYJ, CLE, MIN, (ARI though this is due to QB2 vs QB3).
Perhaps I should pick PHI over NE, but I think NE will blitz more, PHI does have a more physical camp and QB2 AJ Feeley (spell?) and yet I can't pick this game really well. Gotta go...

08/13 7:30 PM
251 WAS 31½ ****
252 BAL -3.0 over

08/13 7:30 PM
253 NE 33 *
254 PHI -3 UNDER****
PHI-QB-Kolb-OUT

08/13 8:00 PM
255 ARI 33 ****
256 PIT -3 over

08/13 10:00 PM
257 DAL 34½ UNDER**
258 OAK -2 ****

08/14 7:05 PM
259 STL 33½ *
260 NYJ -3.5 OVER****

08/14 7:30 PM
261 MIN -1 **
262 IND 35 UNDER****
IND-QB-Sorgi-OUT

08/14 8:00 PM
263 CIN 37 under
264 NO -3.5 ****
QB-Brees-Upgraded to Probable

08/14 10:00 PM
265 DEN 34 *
266 SF -3 OVER****

08/15 4:00 PM
267 ATL 35 under
268 DET -3 ****

08/15 7:00 PM
269 CHI 32½ ****
270 BUF -3 over

08/15 8:00 PM
271 TB 34½ ****
272 TEN -4 over

08/15 8:00 PM
273 HOU 37 under**
274 KC -2 *

08/15 8:00 PM
275 CLE 34½ **
276 GB -3 UNDER***

08/15 10:00 PM
277 SEA 36 ****
278 SD -3.5 under

08/17 7:30 PM
279 JAC 31 under**
280 MIA -3 *

08/17 8:00 PM
281 CAR 32½ under
282 NYG -3 ***
CAR-WR-Smith-OUT

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Train'g Camps

Here's a list of all the training camps and their dates. Profootballweekly.com has also revamped their site. Sue Nemitz was kind enough to provide a direct link to their rss feeds, my only comment is I wish they would put the ProFootballWeekly tag on the rss so that it appears on my list of rss feeds instead of "News top stories" and their logo would be nice as well.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

National Football Post

They've changed their site, new look and I was just getting to like their "old" look, but I guess things change and I notice that they have twitter and facebook links on the front page as well.

Still highly informative, I wonder if they could post numbers like I saw on NFL network of "$$ spent per win" worst was OAK, DET, among the best was DEN, but w/a change of regime I think they'll fall in the rankings

Gambler's Book Shop

Here in 'vegas, the venerable Gambler's Book Shop has moved to 1550 E Tropicana #4, 89119

It's on the north side of Tropicana, if you're coming from the west (I-15/strip properties), you can make a U-turn @Spencer (Liberace Museum will be on your right), head back on Tropicana and turn in (right) at Casey's Cameras sign.

I picked up Phil Steele '09 College Football Preview (BTW Phil's site has gotten larger w/much more relevant info and angles for the informed bettor) and will go back for Andy Iskoe info.

Take a look at this Las Vegas Sun article on early NFL action from 6/23 this could cure the itch or just make you want to scratch.

It would be nice to compare early numbers to the game day numbers that are posted, yet sadly the Hilton will not post numbers on their web site. You can go to donbest.com or vegasinsider.com (they have numbers for all the major local casinos, see page 2 for more) for current odds.

81 days 'til regular season starts, 45 days to Hall of Fame game and preseason action!

Monday, February 09, 2009

Super Bowl XLIII - results

so I got the big one perfect, but I didn't do so well on prop bets. I had actually marked winners on the prop sheet, but alas I didn't follow my first instincts and on game morning I went in placed bets on losers.... sigh. I had actually pick a range of bets for exact score w/'zona & pitt, but I didn't follow the plan and I ended up a bit down for the playoffs.

Next year, I need to remember to stick to the plan, what's the plan? follow instinct...

I missed the All-Pro game due to work, and I noticed the total was 51 which seems high 'til I checked the O/U total line @donbest.com which shows a total of 66 and NFC -3, side seem'd right, but 66? seems like a college game total....

Friday, January 30, 2009

Super Bowl XLIII - picks

02/01 6:20 PM
101 PIT -7 OVER
102 ARI 46½ *****
SUPER BOWL XLIII [NBC] @Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL

I'm going w/Pittsburgh West, that's right ARIZONA, getting pts appears to be the thing to do and over the total really goes along w/what ARI & PIT are doing as far as totals..

I'd try to offer more convincing thoughts, but it just seems to be what should happen, w/ARI in the underdog role and playing it to the hilt...

NFL 08 - Conference Championships - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PHI @ARI (DO)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BAL @PIT (FO)

for the week:
ATS 0-4 side 0-2 total 0-2

for the playoffs:
ATS 8-12 side 4-6 total 4-6

green picks: 0-fer


what a shamble... I'm 0-fer guess it was bound to happen, when I can't watch football on weekend due to work requirements, this follows my previous pattern of when I miss the weekend games and I'll miss on my picks the following week. Watching highlights and NFL network shorten games still isn't good enough to get a sense of how the game went and if DC/OC/HC or referees make calls or don't make calls that affect the game. But yeah I stunk it up !!!!

notes: PHI had a better average gain per play, but ARI has a better average gain per pass play.Both playoff winners got the TO's and PIT turned their TO's into 10 pts. ARI took a missed FG and struck for a TD w/good field position.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

NFL 08 - conference championships - picks

01/18 3:00 PM
313 PHI -3.5 *****
314 ARI 47½ UNDER
NFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (FOX)

I have a hard time reading ARI O & D or maybe I just don't believe what I'm seeing...PHI D is on par w/PIT D, but not quite BAL D
PHI O except for a blip @WAS has been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 38-67%
ARI O except for blips @NE, & vs MIN, has also been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 31-67%. The difference is PHI D has allowed scoring at no greater than 25%, while ARI has allowed 15% this last game which is really good, but this season each time their D has allowed <20%
scoring, the following game is between 33-45% so this doesn't bode well for ARI D
I expect PHI D to play very well again, keep PHI in the game and their O to solve the riddle sometime in the late 2nd Q or mid 3rd Q. Everything rides on ARI QB Warner if he plays well,
they stay close (and the over) if not, then we could see a blow out....

01/18 6:30 PM
315 BAL 33½ *****
316 PIT -6 UNDER
AFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (CBS)

This should be a close game so taking the pts will win ATS.
I watched MLB Ray Lewis talk about the injustice of a called TD while @home vs PIT, when the receiver had feet in the TD zone, but the ball had not crossed the plane. BAL will be playing not to let the ref's decide the game and should be ferocious on D and O.
PIT D scoring efficiency is not quite as good as BAL D in the past 7 weeks.
PIT O scoring efficiency has been much better than BAL O, but PIT this year, has not been able to keep up these scoring outbursts and so I suspect that w/BAL conservative O that this game will be an UNDER game and pts will be at a premium.

Sunday, January 11, 2009

NFL 08 - division - results

ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 ARI @CAR (DU)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 SD @PIT (FO)

for the week:
ATS 4-4 side 2-2 total 2-2

for the playoffs:
ATS 8-8 side 4-4 total 4-4

green picks: 2-2

ARI fooled me again, their D is playing very well and w/this upcoming home game, well.... I'm still pickin against them...

PHI @NYG, PHI converted on 3rd downs, NYG couldn't, but avg yards per pass play was 5.4 (for PHI) and NYG was 5.8, this does not bode well for PHI @ARI

also PIT avg yards per pass play was 6.3 and SD was 7.1 again not a good sign for PIT @home next week, no TO's for PIT which is good football

Friday, January 09, 2009

NFL 08 - division playoffs - picks

01/10 4:30 PM
301 BAL 35 ******
302 TEN -3 UNDER
AFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS - [CBS]
BAL-RB-Rice-Probable
TEN-DT-Haynesworth-Probable, DE-Vanden Bosch-Probable, C-Mawae-OUT

w/Mawae out we'll see an OL shuffle, ....advantage BAL

01/10 8:15 PM
303 ARI 48 over
304 CAR -10 ******
NFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS - [FOX]
AZ-WR-Boldin-Questionable

I know 10 is a big number to cover, but I expect that CAR will be rested and motivated, ARI has yet to win on the road on east coast. ARI QB Warner will throw int's which will lead to TD's (yeah I'm counting on at least 2). I'm so certain w/over game could be a fav/under game due to ARI high from 1st playoff win in years... (emo high)

01/11 1:00 PM
305 PHI 40 **
306 NYG -4.5 under
NFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS -[FOX]
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Probable
NYG D has sustain inj's throughout yr and aren't the same as last yr, PHI QB will have time to throw, normally I pick the road team and the over, but PHI D is playing well and if NYG continues on run O strategy I expect the time to fly by....

01/11 4:45 PM
307 SD 38 *
308 PIT -6.5 UNDER
AFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS - [CBS]
SD-K-Kaeding-Probable (Groin Pull), RB-Tomlinson-Downgraded to Doubtful, WR-Jackson-Questionable (arrested for suspicion of DUI)
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Probable
PIT OL and running game appear to be motivated, they may just cover the spread


SU picks BAL, CAR, PHI, PIT

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

NFL 08 - wildcard weekend - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 ATL @ARI (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 4-4 side 2-2 total 2-2

green picks: 0-1

comments:
ARI D played the run very well. ATL D couldn't get to ARI QB, ARI Coach Whisenhunt seems to have the answers for ATL OC Mularkey (note: they were both w/PIT earlier this decade)


SD ST played exceptional. SD D played the worst of all the weekend winners. SD O average gain per play as well as per pass was worst then IND O. Big indicator that their next game will be a LOSS.
IND for whatever reason doesn't get wins vs IND (just 1 in ? yrs)


BAL D played very very well 14pts from 5 TO's
MIA O couldn't sustain drives (2-10 on 3rd downs)
BAL O run game is their key


PHI O & D are playing very well and have the best chance of getting the road win, though D does allow the big play every now and then and their O could use more rushing yardage and yards gained per attempt ( weakest of remaining wildcard teams). PHI O average gain per play was 5.8 and average gain per pass play was 7.6 (second to ARI 6.0/8.5)

Friday, January 02, 2009

NFL 08 - wildcard weekend - picks

01/03 4:30 PM
101 ATL -2 *****
102 ARI 51 under
NFC WILDCARD ROUND - [NBC]
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Probable

ATL on the road>
totals 33,33,51,41,24,38,54,41
@ TB,CAR,GB,PHI,OAK,SD,NO,MIN
scored 9,9,27,14,24,22,25,24
allowed 24,24,24,27,0,16,29,17

ATL on the road ATS 3-2 since bye wk, losses to PHI & NO
NOTE: ATL wins after ATS lost, last wk ATS loss, this week ???
ARI @home ATS 2-3 since bye wk, wins vs STL & SEA

ARI @home>
totals 41,58,54,53,66,44,49,55
vs MIA,BUF,DAL,SF,NYG,STL,MIN,SEA
scored 31,41,30,29,29,34,14,34
allowed 10,17,24,24,37,10,35,21

ATL seems to be on an offensive TO streak 1,3,1,3,0,3, ?
ATL D # of tackles for loss 5,5,1,6,8,8
ATL has lost only 2 games SU of last 7 games

ARI# of Offensive TO's last 7 games> 3,2,4,1,2,2,2
ARI has won only 2 games SU of last 6 games

ATL D is the key, if they dominate they'll win easily, if not the game will be high scoring and close



01/03 8:00 PM
103 IND -1 *****
104 SD 51 UNDER
AFC WILDCARD ROUND - [NBC]
IND-S-Sanders-Probable
SD-RB-Tomlinson-Probable, TE-Gates-Probable

rematch of 11/23 game
IND on the road>
totals 33,58,48,52,44,43,16,55
@ MIN,HOU,GB,TEN,PIT,SD,CLE,JAC
notice OVER games were division games
vs interconference teams totals of 34,33,44,43,16,38
IND on 9 game winning streak since loss to TEN

SD @home since bye wk very iffy
1pt wins vs KC twice, 27 & 31 pt wins vs OAK & DEN, 3 & 6 pt loss @home vs IND & ATL
won @ TB by 17 (wk16), trailed into Q4 20-24

IND Manning & Co are so good in the playoffs, that I don't see how SD D will keep up and IND D is underrated and will get TO's



01/04 1:00 PM
105 BAL -3.5 ****
106 MIA 37½ OVER
AFC WILDCARD ROUND - [CBS]

rematch of 10/19 game
BAL on the road>
totals 43,34,40,64,54,40,37,57
@ PIT,IND,MIA,CLE,HOU,NYG,CIN,DAL
lost to PIT by 3, IND by 28, NYG by 20

BAL appears to be in a groove for last 11 weeks w/only losses to PIT by 4 & NYG by 20,
winning by double digits except @DAL by 9

BAL 10-3-1 ATS last 14 wks (12-3-1 ATS/season)
MIA 'dog is 13-1 ATS last 14 wks (13-3 season)
MIA road team is 11-3 ATS last 14 wks (12-4 season)
MIA plays close games except w/NE (win @NE 25 wk3/loss @MIA 20 wk12)
loss to @ARI 21 (wk2) loss vs BAL 14 (wk7) win at BUF 13 (wk14)

Probably best game of the weekend, will MIA have answer for BAL unbalanced OL plays?

01/04 4:30 PM
107 PHI -3 *
108 MIN 41½ UNDER
NFC WILDCARD ROUND - [FOX]

PHI on the road>
totals 78,44,66,33,26,43,34,13
@ DAL,CHI,SF,SEA,CIN,BAL,NYG,WAS
scored 37,20,40,26,13,7,20,3
allowed 41,24,26,7,13,36,14,10

PHI home team ATS 6-1 last 7
PHI last 6 games double digit winning margin (+20) except vs division opponents

MIN @home>
totals 33,30,22,49,55,48,41,39
vs IND,CAR,DET,HOU,GB,CHI,ATL,NYG
scored 15,20,12,28,34,17,20
allowed 18,10,10,21,27,14,24,19

MIN since bye, except for game vs CHI, winning margin is single digits, 7,1,20,7,1,?

PHI should win as long as D doesn't give up big yardage plays.