Monday, December 29, 2008

NFL 08 - week 17 - results

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-0-1 side 0-0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 STL @ATL (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 total 0-1 WAS @SF (PO)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 17-13-2 side 8-6-2 total 9-7

for the year:
ATS 269-228-13 side 136-110-8 total 133-118-5

The above equates to:
ATS 52.75%-44.71%-2.55%
sides 53.54%-43.31%-3.15%
totals 51.95%-46.09%-1.95%

ok so this year we have the first 0-16 team and last yr we had the first 16-0 regular season.

let the playoffs begin

Thursday, December 25, 2008

NFL 08 - week 17 - picks

12/28 1:00 PM
301 OAK 39 *
302 TB -13 UNDER
TB-needs win + help
OAK-CB-Asomugha-Questionable

12/28 1:00 PM
303 DET 43 *
304 GB -10 OVER
DET-QB-Orlovsky-Expected to start, WR-Johnson-Probable
GB-WR-Driver-Questionable

12/28 4:15 PM
305 DAL 42½ *
306 PHI -1.5 over
DAL-needs win for WC
PHI-needs win + help for WC
DAL-RB-Barber-Upgraded to Probable,
TE-Witten-Probable, QB-Romo-Probable (missed practice Tuesday/Flu)
PHI-WR-Curtis-Probable

12/28 1:00 PM
307 NYG 42 ***
308 MIN -7 over
NYG-#1 SEED; MAY REST STARTERS
MIN-Clinches division w/win or Chicago loss
MIN-WR-Berrian-Probable

12/28 1:00 PM
309 CHI 46½ under
310 HOU -2.5 ***
CHI-Needs a win and Minnesota loss to win division/Still alive for wildcard
CHI-S-Brown-Questionable

12/28 1:00 PM
311 CAR -3 OVER
312 NO 52 *
CAR-needs win for Division
NO-QB-Brees-Needs 402 passing yards for passing record, RB-Bush-OUT

12/28 1:00 PM
313 STL 44½ UNDER
314 ATL -14 *
ATL-Clinched WC; needs win + Carolina loss for Division
STL-RB-Jackson-Questionable

12/28 1:00 PM
315 KC 38 *******
316 CIN -3 *UNDER*
CIN-WR-Johnson-Doubtful

12/28 4:15 PM <<<-NOTE TIME
317 JAC 36 UNDER
318 BAL -12 **
BAL-Clinches WC w/win
JAC-RB-Jones-Drew-Probable
BAL-RB-Rice-Probable, WR-Mason-Questionable

12/28 1:00 PM
319 TEN -3 ***
320 IND 38 under
BOTH TEAMS LOCKED INTO SEEDS; IND WILL REST SEVERAL STARTERS
(TEN #1seed, IND #5 seed)
TEN-RB-Henry-Questionable, QB V Young (will play) & C Simms (may play)
IND-QB-Manning, RB-Addai-BOTH Doubtful,
WR-Harrison-Questionable

12/28 1:00 PM
321 CLE 32 UNDER
322 PIT -10.5 *
PIT-Clinched #2 seed; MAY REST STARTERS
CLE-QB-Dorsey-Doubtful, QB-Gradkowski-Expected to start
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable

12/28 4:15 PM <<<-NOTE TIME
323 MIA 42½ *
324 NYJ -3 OVER
MIA-Clinches division w/win
NYJ-needs win for possible Div

12/28 1:00 PM
325 NE -6 *
326 BUF 41 OVER
NE-needs win for possible Division or WC
BUF-RB-Lynch-Downgraded to Doubtful

12/28 4:15 PM
327 SEA 45½ *
328 ARI -6 over
AZ-Clinched #4 seed
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Doubtful
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Probable

12/28 4:15 PM
329 WAS 37½ under
330 SF -3 *
SF-RB-Gore-Probable

12/28 8:15 PM
331 DEN 50½ *
332 SD -8 over
NBC
Winner wins AFC West
DEN-Multiple RB Injuries, RB-Bell-Expected to start

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

NFL 08 - week 16 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 IND @JAC (FO)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NO @DET (FU)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 CAR @NYG (FO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 18-14 side 8-8 total 10-6

for the year:
ATS 252-215-11 side 128-104-6 total 124-111-5

green picks: 1-1

comments:can DET win a game???

CAR @NYG was a close game, just the TD in OT that made the 'dog the wrong play

I really thought JAC would put up a better fight vs their division foe IND

Thursday, December 18, 2008

NFL 08 - week 16 - picks

12/18 8:15 PM
101 IND -6 UNDER
102 JAC 44 *
NFL Network
IND-RB-Addai, S-Sanders-both Questionable, WR-Harrison-OUT
IND-Clinches playoff berth with win

12/20 8:15 PM
103 BAL 39½ *****
104 DAL -4.5 UNDER
NFL Network
DAL-RB-Barber-Questionable (game time decision)
BAL- AFC #6 seed
DAL- NFC #5 seed

BAL should've won last wk and ATS I believe they will

12/21 1:00 PM
105 PIT -2 UNDER
106 TEN 34½ *
TEN-DE-Haynesworth-OUT, DT-Vanden Bosch-OUT
PIT-#1 seed AFC?
TEN-#1 seed AFC?

PIT lucky? TEN is w/o key players, I'm taking home dog cuz luck runs out today for PIT

12/21 1:00 PM
107 MIA -4 OVER
108 KC 40 ***
MIA-Alive for both Division and Wildcard

Will KC players rally around Coach Edwards? w/GM Peterson resigning, KC may just do it.

12/21 1:00 PM
109 ARI 45 OVER
110 NE -7.5 *
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Questionable
AZ-locked into #4 seed w/1 more loss or 1 Mn
win; can only be #3 or #4
NE-Alive for both Division and Wildcard

AZ is lock'd in and I would rest players, making this a good opportunity for NE to get the win convincingly. There's also a west coast & dome team angle which favors NE....

12/21 1:00 PM
111 CIN 32½ *
112 CLE -3 UNDER
CLE-TE-Winslow-OUT

Do I really need to pick??? maybe UNDER the total should be the fav for this game

12/21 4:15 PM
113 PHI -5 *
114 WAS 38½ UNDER
PHI-WR-Curtis-Probable
PHI- Alive for wildcard
WAS-eliminated????

WAS is just horrible and w/speculation of Coach Zorn's ousting, PHI can name the score

12/21 1:00 PM
115 SF -5.5 UNDER
116 STL 43½ *
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable

SF has been playing well, but in division games the 'dog tends to win ATS

12/21 4:15 PM
117 ATL 43½ ******
118 MIN -3.5 OVER
MIN-QB-Frerotte-Doubtful, QB-Jackson expected to start, DT-P. Williams-OUT
ATL-Alive for wildcard
MN-Clinches Division w/win

DOME teams, should be an OVER game, but I chose ATL w/MIN DT P Williams out

12/21 1:00 PM
119 NO -6.5 OVER
120 DET 50½ ******
NO-RB-Bush-OUT (placed on IR)
DET-QB-Culpepper-Doubtful

NO eliminated last Thursday, and has a prep edge over DET, but desperation rears it's head and the win, though I still see a 1-15 season...

12/21 8:15 PM
121 CAR 37½ **
122 NYG -3 UNDER
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Probable, WR-Burress-OUT
CAR-Clinches #1 seed with win
NYG-Clinches #1 seed with win

NYG w/o RB Jacobs is having problems against D's now geared up and daring the G-men to run it effectively

12/21 4:05 PM
123 NYJ -4.5 UNDER
124 SEA 44 ***
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Questionable
NYJ-Alive for Division and Wildcard

NYJ has yet to win on the West Coast an SEA has been playing close to their opponents ability, even if NYJ wins SU, it just won't happen ATS...

12/21 4:05 PM
125 HOU -7 *
126 OAK 44 UNDER

How can anyone look at OAK, HOU is playing very well, even though they are not in contention for any playoff spot

12/21 4:05 PM
127 BUF 44½ ****
128 DEN -7 OVER
BUF-QB-Edwards-Upgraded to Probable
DEN-Clinches division w/win

BUF should've won last wk, and DEN tends to have letdowns at home, take the pts

12/21 1:00 PM
129 SD 42½ OVER
130 TB -3.5 *
TB-QB-Garcia-Upgraded to Probable
SD-Eliminated w/loss or Denver win
TB-Currently #6 seed

can't see why SD will win, and they're grasping for straws...

12/22 8:35 PM
131 GB 41 *
132 CHI -4.5 UNDER
ESPN
CHI-still alive for Division (remotely) and Wildcard

GB is just playing poorly, but here's there last hurrah for the season and these two teams should play a close game

Monday, December 15, 2008

NFL 08 - week 15 - results

ATS 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-0-2 side 0-0-1 total 0-0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BUF @NYJ (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DEN @CAR (FU)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

for the week:
ATS 15-13-4 side 9-4-2 total 6-9-2

for the year: pending MNF
ATS 234-201-11 side 120-96-6 total 114-105-5

green picks 0-fer ... sigh

it was a 'dog weekend w/dogs ATS 9-4-3
just looking at division games, dogs ATS were 4-1-2

Thursday, December 11, 2008

NFL 08 - week 15 - picks

12/11 8:15 PM
301 NO 45 *
302 CHI -3 UNDER
NFL Network

NO 4-0 ATS last 4
CHI FAV 5-0 ATS last 5


12/14 1:00 PM
303 GB -2.5 ****
304 JAC 45 UNDER
JAC-WR-Jones-Out (susp), RB-Taylor-OUT

get well game for GB? JAC has lost last 4 games by 10,18,13,13


12/14 1:00 PM
305 DET 45 *
306 IND -17 OVER
DET-QBs-Culpepper-Doubtful, Orlovsky-Probable (expected to start), Stanton-Probable (will start if other two QB''s unable to play)
IND-RB-Addai-Probable

Tough game to call, IND can win by 4 scores, but I expect them to play softer w/this game and DET woefulness, a "letdown" game
DET since bye wk, 4-0 ATS on the road


12/14 1:00 PM
307 WAS -7 UNDER
308 CIN 36½ *
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable, OT-Samuels-Out

get well game for WAS?
CIN scored 10,3,3 pts last 3 games, lost by 17,31,32 - appears to have QUIT


12/14 1:00 PM
309 TB 44½ OVER
310 ATL -3 *


12/14 1:00 PM
311 SF 41½ *
312 MIA -6.5 UNDER
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable

DOG 11 gamestreak w/MIA


12/14 1:00 PM
313 SEA -3 **
314 STL 43 *OVER*
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Downgraded to Doubtful, QB-Wallace-Expected to start

STL has scored 16,13,3,16,3,12,10 last 7


12/14 1:00 PM
315 BUF 41 UNDER
316 NYJ -7.5 *****

get well game for NYJ?


12/14 1:00 PM
317 TEN -3 *OVER*
318 HOU 44½ *

rubber game, TEN won by 19 1st game
not likely a split, but at least a win ATS as TEN has clinched playoff spot
TEN ATS 5-0-1 on the road AND playing for homefield advantage...


12/14 4:15 PM
319 PIT 34 *
320 BAL -2 OVER

BAL 7-1 ATS last 8 games, only lost @home to TEN by 3
1st DIV game, PIT won by 3 in OT
most likely split the series 20-21?


12/14 4:15 PM
321 DEN 48 *
322 CAR -7.5 ***OVER***

DEN win/lost margin 2,3,4 vs NFC South
CAR short week due to MNF
CAR D has allowed 22,45,31,23 last 4


12/14 1:00 PM
323 SD -5 **UNDER**
324 KC 45½ *

rubber game, SD won by 1, 1st game
KC 4-1 ATS vs DIV opponents


12/14 4:05 PM
325 MIN 48 **OVER**
326 ARI -3 *
MIN-QB-Frerotte-Doubtful, QB-Jackson-Expected to start
MIN-DE-Allen-Probable; MIN-DTs-Possible Suspensions

ARI letdown? has won DIV crown, can't/won't play for #1 or 2 seed


12/14 4:15 PM
327 NE -7 *
328 OAK 39½ ***UNDER***
NE-QB-Cassell-Questionable (personal/death of father), QB-O'Connell-will start if Casell unable to play
OAK-QB-Russell-Probable

NE ATS 1-1-1 O/U 2-1 vs NFC West
OAK @home scored 14,18,16,0,6,13 if you count only games w/HC Cable (after bye), 7 FG's, 1 TD


12/14 8:15 PM
329 NYG 45 OVER
330 DAL -3 *
NBC
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Questionable
DAL-RB-Barber-Questionable, CB-A. Jones-OUT

DAL FAV has won last 6 in row ATS
NYG 4-1 ATS vs DIV, lost to PHI last wk


12/15 8:35 PM
331 CLE 39 UNDER
332 PHI -14 **
ESPN
CLE-TE-Winslow-Doubtful

CLE scored 6,6,9 pts last 3 games, lost by 10,4,19

Monday, December 08, 2008

NFL 08 - week 14 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 OAK @SD (FU)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 STL @ARI (FU)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DAL @PIT (FU)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NE @SEA (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week: pending MNF
ATS 17-15 side 9-7 total 8-8

for the year: pending MNF
ATS 219-188-7 side 111-92-4 total 108-96-3

green picks 1-2

notes:
a TRO was granted for the susp'd players making my picks for MIN @DET and ATL @NO moot

should've picked MIA & under, but hindsight is 20-20

ARI has me baffled past wks

PHI as a team is playing much better since QB McNabb came back from benching

STL I guess they're an under team, but are up and down as far as effort

SEA won on stats except for TO's (vs NE)
same w/DAL @PIT, DAL won stat's (except for starting field position)
ATL has better passing stats & 3rd down, but still lost game due to TO's & D allowing NO run game

hmmm should've noticed NFC South teams are winning at home

Thursday, December 04, 2008

NFL 08 - week 13 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 TEN @DET (FO)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 ARI @PHI (FO)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 MIA @STL (DU)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 15-17 side 10-6 total 5-11

for the year:
ATS 202-173-7 side 102-85-4 total 100-88-3

green pick 0-1

MIA has me clueless for past 2 weeks

Turkey day really was my undoing, SNF & MNF saved me...

w/DET no turkey could save them, especially w/TEN losing prior wk to NYJ

and w/PHI QB McNabb (as well as team) playing exceptional since controversial yanking of QB at start of 2nd half last wk, I should have seen this coming...

NFL 08 - week 14 - picks

12/04 8:15 PM
103 OAK 41½ *
104 SD -9 OVER


12/07 1:00 PM
135 CIN 42 under
136 IND -13.5 *****


12/07 1:00 PM
137 JAC 40 under
138 CHI -6.5 ******


12/07 1:00 PM
139 HOU 47 *
140 GB -6 ***OVER***
HOU-QB-Schaub-Probable (expected to start)


12/07 1:00 PM
141 CLE 37½ UNDER
142 TEN -13.5 *******
CLE-QB-Dorsey-Expected to start, TE-Winslow-OUT


12/07 1:00 PM
143 MIN -9 UNDER
144 DET 45 *****
MIN VIKINGS-DTs-Kevin Williams, Pat Williams-Questionable (league suspension)


12/07 8:15 PM
145 WAS 36 OVER
146 BAL -5 ***
WAS-RB-Portis-Questionable
NBC


12/07 1:00 PM
147 PHI 43½ UNDER
148 NYG -7 *
NYG-WR-Burress-OUT


12/07 1:00 PM
149 ATL 51½ ******
150 NO -3 OVER
N O SAINTS-NFL has suspended RB-McAllister, DEs-Smith, Grant


12/07 4:05 PM
151 NYJ -4 UNDER
152 SF 44½ **


12/07 4:05 PM
153 MIA 42 *
154 BUF -1 *OVER*
DOME???@ Toronto, Canada
BUF-QB-Edwards-Questionable


12/07 4:05 PM
155 KC 49 **
156 DEN -9 OVER


12/07 4:15 PM
157 STL 48 *
158 ARI -14 **OVER**


12/07 4:15 PM
159 DAL 38½ *
160 PIT -3 **OVER**
DAL-RB-Barber-Probable, DE-Ware-Probable, CB-P. Jones-Expected to return (suspension)
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable


12/07 4:05 PM
161 NE -4.5 ***
162 SEA 43 under
NE-WR-Welker-Probable
will they close DOME roof?


12/08 8:35 PM
163 TB 38½ *
164 CAR -3 OVER
ESPN