Monday, December 31, 2007

week 17 results - you can tell I'm not paying attention this week

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 2 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 3 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CAR, RFO)
game 4 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CIN, RFO)
game 5 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (WAS, HFO)
game 6 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 7 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (HOU, HFO)
game 8 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 9 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (BAL, HDO)
game 10 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ATL, HFO)
game 11 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 12 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 13 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (DEN, HDU)
game 14 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (SD, RFO)
game 15 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ARI, HFO)
game 16 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

ATS weekly:
ATS 9-23 side 5-11 total 4-12

ATS for the year:
ATS 254-245-13 sides 131-116-1 totals 124-129-4

Sunday, December 30, 2007

week 17 picks - belated for Saturday

12/29 8:15 PM
411 NE -13.5 under
412 NYG 46½ *
New England clinched #1 seed (playing for undefeated season)
NY Giants clinched #5 seed (may rest starters)
NE-S-Harrison-Questionable
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Probable

12/30 1:00 PM
419 BUF 37 under
420 PHI -7.5 *
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather

12/30 1:00 PM
421 CAR -2.5 under
422 TB 36 *
CAR-QB-Testaverde-Questionable
Tampa Bay clinched #4 seed (may rest starters)

12/30 1:00 PM
423 CIN -3 under**
424 MIA 46 *
CIN-RB-R. Johnson-Questionable

12/30 4:15 PM
425 DAL 39 *
426 WAS -9 over
Dallas may rest starters clinched #1 seed
Washington win clinches #6 seed
DAL-WR-Owens-OUT

12/30 1:00 PM
427 DET 39 under
428 GB -4 *Green Bay clinched #2 seed (may rest starters)
DET-RB-Jones-OUT
GB-WR-Jennings-Questionable

12/30 1:00 PM
429 JAC 41 *
430 HOU -6.5 under
Jacksonville clinched #5 seed (may rest starters)
HOU-RB-Dayne-Questionable, QB-Schaub-Questionable

12/30 1:00 PM
431 NO -2.5 under***
432 CHI 40 *
New Orleans playing for possible widcard
(Needs a win and both Minnesota and Washington to lose)
NO-RB-Bush-Questionable, WR-Colston-Questionable

12/30 4:15 PM
433 PIT -4 *
434 BAL 35 under
Pittsburgh may rest starters, clinched playoff (#3 or #4 seed)
PIT-RB-Parker-OUT
BAL-QB-Boller-Doubtful, RB-McGahee-Doubtful

12/30 1:00 PM
435 SEA 38 *
436 ATL -2.5 under*Seattle clinched #3 seed (may rest starters)
SEA-WR-Hackett-Questionable

12/30 1:00 PM
437 SF 40 ****
438 CLE -10 under*
Cleveland playing for possible wild card (needs a Tennessee loss)
S F-QB-Hill-Questionable

12/30 8:15 PM
439 TEN -6.5 under*
440 IND 39½ *
Tennessee win clinches #6 seed
IND-RB-Addai-Questionable, WR-Gonzalez-Questionable
IND-WR-Harrison-Questionable

12/30 4:15 PM
441 MIN -3 over*
442 DEN 41½ *
Minnesota playing for possible wildcard(Needs a win and a Washington loss)

12/30 4:15 PM
443 SD -8 under*
444 OAK 42½ *
San Diego clinched playoff, could be #3 seed
OAK-QB-Russell-Expected to start

12/30 4:15 PM
445 STL 48 *
446 ARI -6 under*

12/30 4:15 PM
447 KC 34 under
448 NYJ -6 *
KC-QB-Croyle-Questionable, RB-Johnson-Doubtful

Thursday, December 27, 2007

week 16 results

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 2 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 3 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 4 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 5 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 6 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 7 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 8 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (NYG, RFU -BUF@home?)
game 9 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 10 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 11 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 12 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ATL, RDO -ARI@home? )
game 13 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 14 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 15 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 16 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS weekly:
ATS 21-11 side 10-6 total 11-5

ATS for the year:
ATS 245-222-13 sides 126-105-1 totals 120-117-4

Thursday, December 20, 2007

week 16 picks

12/20 8:15 PM
301 PIT -7.5 over******
302 STL 44 ***
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Probable
STL-QB-Bulger-Probable
Pittsburgh can earn possible #3 seed

12/22 8:15 PM
307 DAL -10.5 under*
308 CAR 43 *****
DAL-QB-Romo-Probable
CAR-QB-Testaverde-Probable, WR-Smith Questionable
Dallas can earn possible #1 seed
Carolina has remote chance of playoffs

12/23 1:00 PM
315 CLE -3 *
316 CIN 43½ under*
Possible inclement weather
Cleveland controls wild card destiny

12/23 1:00 PM
317 GB -8.5 under*
318 CHI 36 *
Possible inclement weather
Green Bay can earn possible #1 seed

12/23 1:00 PM
319 HOU 45 **
320 IND -7 over*****
INDY is locked in to #2 spot, could potentially rest starters?
HOU-QB-Schaub-Questionable, RB-Green-OUT
IND-WR-Harrison-OUT

12/23 1:00 PM
321 KC 43½ under*
322 DET -4.5 ****
KC-RB-Johnson-Doubtful

12/23 4:15 PM
323 MIA 44½ **
324 NE -22 under*
Possible inclement weather
New England locked into #1 seed

12/23 1:00 PM
325 NYG -2.5 under*
326 BUF 33 *
Possible inclement weather
NY Giants have chance at Wild Card
NYG-TE-Shockey-OUT

12/23 1:00 PM
327 OAK 39 over*****
328 JAC -13 ******
OAK-RB-Fargas-OUT
Jacksonville possible Wild Card

12/23 1:00 PM
329 PHI 47 *
330 NO -3 over***
New Orleans possible Wild Card

12/23 8:15 PM
331 WAS 40½ *
332 MIN -6.5 over***
Washington still in contention for wildcard
Minnesota controls Wild Card Destiny

12/23 4:05 PM
333 ATL 43½ under*
334 ARI -10 ********

12/23 4:15 PM
335 BAL 39½ under*
336 SEA -10 ******
BAL-QB-Boller-Questionable; LB-Lewis-OUT
Seattle possible #3 or #4 seed

12/23 4:15 PM
337 NYJ 37 under*
338 TEN -9 ***
NYJ-QB-Clemens-Questionable
Tennessee possible Wild Card

12/23 4:05 PM
339 TB -7 over
340 SF 37 ***
Tampa Bay possible #3 or #4 seed

12/24 8:00 PM
343 DEN 47 over***
344 SD -8.5 **
San Diego possible #3 seed

Monday, December 17, 2007

week 15 results

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 2 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 3 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (NO, HFO)

game 4 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 5 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 6 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CLE, HFU) blizzard - should have changed total pick

game 7 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 8 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 9 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 10 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CAR, HDU - SEA eastcoast meltdown?)

game 11 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 12 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 13 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0 (should've known DET the big emo letdown)

game 14 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 15 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1


game 16 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0


ATS weekly:

ATS 16-16 side 8-8 total 8-8


ATS for the year:

ATS 224-211-13 sides 116-99-1 totals 109-112-4

Thursday, December 13, 2007

week 15 picks

12/13 8:15 PM
251 DEN -1.5 over
252 HOU 47 ****
HOU-QB-Schaub-Doubtful, RB-Darius Walker-Expected to start
HOU-RB-Dayne-Doubtful

12/15 8:15 PM
253 CIN -8.5 ******
254 SF 43 under***
SF-QB-Dilfer-Doubtful, QB-Hill-Expected to start

12/16 1:00 PM
255 ARI 47 *
256 NO -4 under
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Questionable
NO-RB-Bush-OUT

12/16 1:00 PM
257 ATL 39 ***
258 TB -13 over
ATL-QB-Leftwich-Probable
TB-QB-Garcia-Probable

12/16 1:00 PM
259 BAL -3.5 **
260 MIA 37½ over******
MIA-QB-Lemon-Expected to start, RB-Chatman-Questionable

12/16 1:00 PM
261 BUF 43 *
262 CLE -5.5 over**
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather

12/16 1:00 PM
263 GB -9.5 *
264 STL 45 over*
STL-QB-Bulger-Questionable; QB-Frerotte-Questionable

12/16 1:00 PM
265 JAC 37 ****
266 PIT -3.5 over
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather
PIT-S-Polamalu-Questionable

12/16 1:00 PM
267 NYJ 46½ ***
268 NE -23.5 under***
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather
NYJ-WR-Coles-Questionable
NE-TE-Watson-Questionable

12/16 1:00 PM
269 SEA -7 ****
270 CAR 37 over***
SEA-WR-Hackett-OUT, WR-Engram-Questionable
CAR-QB-Testaverde-Questionable

12/16 1:00 PM
271 TEN -4 *
272 KC 34 under
KC-RB-Smith-Questionable

12/16 4:05 PM
273 IND -10.5 over
274 OAK 45 **
IND-WR-Harrison-OUT
OAK-RB-Fargas-Probable

12/16 4:15 PM
275 DET 45½ *****
276 SD -10 over*
SD-Rivers-Upgraded to Probable, TE-Gates-Questionable
SD-OLB-Merriman-Out

12/16 4:15 PM
277 PHI 48½ *
278 DAL -10.5 over*
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Probable
DAL-WR-Crayton-Probable

12/16 8:15 PM
279 WAS 37 ***
280 NYG -4.5 over****
TOTAL CIRCLED: Possible inclement weather
WAS-QB-Campbell-OUT

12/17 8:30 PM
281 CHI 43½ under*
282 MIN -10 *
CHI-QB-Grossman-OUT, QB-Orton-Expected to start

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

week 14 results

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 2 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 3 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (DET, HDO)
game 4 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 5 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 6 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (GB, HFO)
game 7 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 8 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 9 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CIN, HFU)
game 10 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (HOU, HDO)
game 11 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 12 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 13 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 14 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (DEN, HFO)
game 15 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 16 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS weekly:
ATS 15-17 side 10-6 total 5-11

ATS for the year:
ATS 208-195-13 sides 108-91-1 totals 101-104-4

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

week 14 picks

12/06 8:15 PM
101 CHI 37 under
102 WAS -3 ** just an emo pick stats say to take dog

12/09 1:00 PM
103 CAR 38 over
104 JAC -10.5 * DT Stroud is back from 4 game suspension

12/09 1:00 PM
105 DAL -11 *******
106 DET 51½ under
DET-WR-Williams-OUT for season

12/09 1:00 PM
107 MIA 36½ under*
108 BUF -7 *Possible inclement weather
MIA-RB-Chatman-Questionable
BUF-RB-Lynch-Questionable

12/09 1:00 PM
109 NYG 42½ under*** NYG on the road an under team
110 PHI -3 *** PHI @home UOUOUO?
NY-RB-Jacobs-Probable, RB-Ward-OUT
PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable

12/09 1:00 PM
111 OAK 42 *
112 GB -10 under* QB issues * can clinch NFC North
OAK-QB-Culpepper-Questionable
GB-QB-Favre-Probable dislocated shoulder (non-throwing), QB Rogers out? QB Nall pickup off street cramming on Wed
Possible inclement weather, snow, wind chill

12/09 4:15 PM
113 PIT 49½ under
114 NE -11 ***
PIT-WR-Holmes-Questionable, RB-Davenport-Questionable

12/09 1:00 PM
115 SD -1 *****
116 TEN 41 under
TEN-RB-White-Questionable

12/09 1:00 PM
117 STL 48 ****
118 CIN -6.5 over
STL-QB-Bulger-Upgraded to PROBABLE, QB-Frerotte-OUT

12/09 1:00 PM
119 TB -3 ** nice article on MLB B Rudd @footballoutsiders.com
120 HOU 40 under*
TB-QB-Garcia-Probable
HOU-QB-Schaub-OUT, RB-Green-Questionable

12/09 4:05 PM
121 ARI 44 under
122 SEA -7 ****
ARZ-WR''s-Fitzgerald-Questionable, Boldin-Doubtful
SEA-WR-Hackett-OUT

12/09 4:05 PM
123 MIN -8 **
124 SF 39 under*
MIN-WR-Williamson-Questionable
SF-QB-Smith-Doubtful

12/09 4:15 PM
125 CLE -3.5 *
126 NYJ 47½ over****
NYJ-WR-Cotchery-Questionable

12/09 4:15 PM
127 KC 37½ **
128 DEN -6.5 under* can they stop KC run game?
Possible inclement weather
KC-QB''s-Croyle-Probable, Huard-Questionable, RB-Johnson-OUT
DEN-RB-Young-Questionable

12/09 8:15 PM
129 IND -9.5 *
130 BAL 43 under* letdown? I noticed if a team won ATS when playing NE, they have lost next game outright and ATS
IND-WR-Harrison-Doubtful
BAL-TE-Heap-Questionable

12/10 8:30 PM
131 NO -4.5 ****
132 ATL 43 under
ATL-QB-Leftwich-Questionable

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

MNF comment

With the weather wreaking havoc before NE @BAL game, the casinos decided either to remove total of 48 (which dropped to 46) or only offer by itself (without parlay).

Since I tend to be a game day bettor, this was crummy but in retrospect turned out very good for me as I was unable to bet the dog/under combo (BAL +19/under 48) and thus only took the points. As it was BAL played far better than expected and the total ended up at 51 (27+24). The casinos in their defensive posture of not taking in parlays of side & total for MNF won less money than if they had just allowed parlays. Of course if you had the 6point tease parlay going you won w/BAL and/or under and/or over.

Turnovers killed BAL as the rest of the stats say they should have won. I'd bet on BAL and against NE in there respective upcoming games

week 13 results

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 2 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 3 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 4 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 5 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (TEN, HFO)
game 6 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 7 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 8 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 9 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 10 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CAR, HFO)
game 11 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (TB, ADO)
game 12 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 13 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (OAK, HDO)
game 14 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 15 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (PIT, HFU)
game 16 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (BAL, HDO)
ATS weekly:
ATS 12-20 side 6-10 total 6-10

ATS for the year:
ATS 193-178-13 sides 98-85-1 totals 96-93-4