Tuesday, November 29, 2016

2016 - week 13 - picks

With the news of CAR C Kalil and Gradkowski on IR, taking CAR on the road is iffy...

Hmmmmm?
AFC North loses all their games this week?
NFC East wins all their games this week?

12/01 8:25 PM
301 DAL -3½ ***
302 MIN 44 under

DAL CoTNF
MIN CoTNF


12/04 1:00 PM
351 DEN -5 *
352 JAC 41 under

DEN CoSNF OT



12/04 1:00 PM
353 KC 49½ ***over***
354 ATL -3½ *

KC CoSNF OT
ATL wins vs teams w/winning record



12/04 1:00 PM
355 HOU 45½ **under**
356 GB -6 *

HOU O awful
GB CoMNF


12/04 1:00 PM
357 PHI -1 *
358 CIN 42½ *under*

PHI a little more desperate?
PHI CoMNF



12/04 1:00 PM
359 DET 53½ ***over***
360 NO -6 *

DET CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
361 SF 43½ ***
362 CHI -1½ **under**

CHI inj's continue LB Trevathan OFY
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
363 LA 44½ *
364 NE -13½ *under*

NE will win, will they cover?



12/04 1:00 PM
365 MIA 41 ***
366 BAL -3½ *over*

MIA coming of age?



12/04 4:05 PM
367 BUF 49 over
368 OAK -3 *

PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
369 TB 47½ *
370 SD -4 over

TB impressive past 2 weeks



12/04 4:25 PM
371 WAS 49½ ***
372 ARI -2½ under

WAS CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
373 NYG 49½ *
374 PIT -6 over

Will Peytons help give NYG edge?
PIT CoTNF



12/04 8:30 PM
375 CAR 44½ *
376 SEA -7 ***UNDER***

CAR rookie C Larsen starts (1st)



12/05 8:30 PM
377 IND -1½ ***
378 NYJ 49½ **over**

Expecting IND QB Luck to start and dominate
PEER Game



Monday, November 28, 2016

2016 - week 12 - results

oddity? the last 7 games of the week were won by the 'dogs, the first 9 games were 7-1-1 (fav-dog-push)


week 12 results:
ok - ATS: 8-7-1
awful - Totals: 5-11


for the season:
ATS: 89-82-5
Totals: 89-84-3

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

2016 - week 12 - picks

Weather pick: UNDER 39 KC @DEN
winds via: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/WINDcast.aspx?region=den
(you'll need to review the appropiate time as it's been moved to SNF [8:30pm EST])
also note it's 'windcast' by region and in this case MST (Mountain Standard Time)
It appears the winds will die down a bit as the game goes on, so a 1st half bet on the UNDER 20 or 19.5
either 1271 or 1272 will do...

There's also wind for TEN @CHI, JAC @BUF, CIN @BAL among the early games, but it's not enough for me to call them weather picks


Turkey day is coming up with 3 games...
If IND QB Luck plays I'll changed my pick from PIT/Under to IND/Over
If IND QB Luck remains in concussion protocol - no change...



CoB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD
11/24 12:30 PM
107 MIN 43 *
108 DET -2½ over

wk9 DET won 22-16 @MIN



11/24 4:30 PM
109 WAS 51 *
110 DAL -7 over

week2 DAL won 27-23 @WAS



11/24 8:30 PM
111 PIT -9 *
112 IND 50½ **UNDER**

IND QB Luck OUT?
IND QB Tolzien starts?



11/27 1:00 PM
251 SD 45 over
252 HOU -1 *

SD CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
253 TEN -3½ *****
254 CHI 43½ under

CHI QB Cutler OUT
CHI QB Barkley starts
CHI numerous injs + 2 susp'd



11/27 1:00 PM
255 JAC 45½ *
256 BUF -7 under

BUF WR Woods OUT



11/27 1:00 PM
257 CIN 41½ *UNDER*
258 BAL -4½ ***

where will CIN O come from?


11/27 1:00 PM
259 ARI 50½ over
260 ATL -4 *

ARI turnover prone
ATL CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
261 SF 45½ under
262 MIA -7½ *




11/27 1:00 PM
263 LA 46 under
264 NO -7 ***



11/27 1:00 PM
265 NYG -7 over
266 CLE 44½ *

CLE QB McCown starts



11/27 4:05 PM
267 SEA -5½ *
268 TB 44½ **over**

SEA FS Thomas OUT
SEA CB Shead OUT



11/27 4:25 PM
269 CAR 50 *
270 OAK -4½ under



11/27 8:30 PM
271 KC 39½ *
272 DEN -3½ ***Under***

DEN CoB



11/27 4:25 PM
273 NE -8 *
274 NYJ 47 *over*


NYJ CoB



11/28 8:30 PM
275 GB 48 under
276 PHI -3½ *

PHI nicked up RBx2 RT



2016 - week 11 - results

This week - just above .500 ATS and for Totals as well


week 11 results:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 8-6

for the season:
ATS: 81-75-4
Totals: 84-73-3

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

2016 - week 11 - picks

Changed pick from TB/Over to KC/Under
Changed pick from CLE/Over to CLE/Under (looks like snow?)
Changed pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under (looks like snow?)

CoB:
BUF DET IND OAK



11/17 8:25 PM
309 NO 52 *under*
310 CAR -3½ *

I'm unsure if CAR will cover the spread...
But since I do believe in the series season split...
CAR will get the win SU and I think the cover...
note: if I were to take NO I would combine w/OVER the total


11/20 1:00 PM
451 TEN 53½ *
452 IND -3 over

IND won 34-26 @TEN



11/20 1:00 PM
453 JAC 47 over
454 DET -6½ *

with the rest of the NFC North 'hurting' (CHI GB MIN)
this looks like a chance for DET to ascend to #1



11/20 1:00 PM
455 TB 44½ *under*
456 KC -7 **

TB C?



11/20 1:00 PM
457 CHI 43½ under
458 NYG -7 ****

CHI WR Jefferies susp'd G11-14
CHI injuries... (RG, RT)
NYG CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
459 ARI 40½ *
460 MIN -2 **under**

MIN LT Long OFY
MIN D nicked up



11/20 1:00 PM
461 BUF 47 *
462 CIN -2½ under

CIN CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
463 BAL 45 over
464 DAL -7 *

BAL CoTNF
BAL RG Yanda returns


11/20 1:00 PM
465 PIT -8 *under*
466 CLE 45 *

PIT disarray?
CLE CoTNF



11/20 4:05 PM
467 MIA -2½ **
468 LA 40 under

MIA LT Albert OUT
MIA C Pouncey OUT?
LA QB Goff starts (1st)



11/20 4:25 PM
469 NE -12 over
470 SF 51½ *



11/20 4:25 PM
471 PHI 43 under
472 SEA -6½ *

PHI much better @home



11/20 8:30 PM
473 GB 49½ **under**
474 WAS -3 ***

GB fading fast...
GB numerous inj's...
GB RG Lang OUT?
GB RB Michael starts?
WAS LS Sundberg OUT



11/21 8:30 PM
475 HOU 46½ over
476 OAK -6 ***

OAK still rising

2016 - week 10 - results

Just a little better than last week....


week 10:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 10-4


for the season:
ATS: 73-70-4
Totals: 76-68-3

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

2016 - week 10 - picks

I may change a few picks later on this week, watching for injury updates...
10NOV - changed pick from CAR/Under to KC/Under (QB Smith, RB Ware and LB Houston return)



CoB:
ARI CHI CIN HOU NE WAS

GiB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD





11/10 8:25 PM
109 CLE 45 *
110 BAL -10 under

11/13 1:00 PM
251 HOU -1½ *
252 JAC 43 under

11/13 1:00 PM
253 KC 44 *
254 CAR -3 ***UNDER***

11/13 1:00 PM
255 DEN 49½ under
256 NO -1½ ***

11/13 1:00 PM
257 LA 39½ *
258 NYJ -2 under

11/13 1:00 PM
259 ATL 50½ *
260 PHI -1 over

11/13 1:00 PM
261 MIN 42 under
262 WAS -2½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
263 GB -2½ ***OVER***
264 TEN 49½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
265 CHI -1½ ***
266 TB 45 over

11/13 4:05 PM
267 MIA 49 *
268 SD -3½ **OVER**

11/13 4:25 PM
269 SF 48½ *
270 ARI -13½ under

11/13 4:25 PM
271 DAL 50½ *
272 PIT -2½ over

11/13 8:30 PM
273 SEA 48½ over
274 NE -7½ ***

11/14 8:30 PM
275 CIN 47 over
276 NYG -2½ *


Monday, November 07, 2016

2016 - week 09 - results

not the greatest results for a weekend, but season totals have risen above .500

week 9 results:
ATS:  8-4-1
Totals: 6-7

for the season results:
ATS: 65-64-4
Totals: 66-64-3

Wednesday, November 02, 2016

2016 - week 9 - picks

Curious, curious.... now why would a nfl veteran coach resign at mid-season with a 5-2 record? An OC as respected as Turner is around the league if he was choosing to resign this year wait it out until the end of the season. xMIN OC Turner resigns and he states it's not due to health reason, but offensive philosophy....
And why oh why is HC Zimmer so surprised? The only person closer to the QB than Turner is coach Shurmur - who actually was w/QB Bradford twice on different teams ... the Rams and the Eagles...
Me thinks Turner was expecting something else than what he was getting from coach Shurmur and it really affected MIN O and I think it'll affect them this week as well...



CoB:
BAL LA MIA NYG PIT SF

GiB:
BUF DET IND OAK



11/03 8:25 PM
307 ATL -3½ *****
308 TB 51½ under

ATL RB Coleman OUT
TB RB Rodgers OUT
TB DT McDonald OUT
wk1 TB 31 @ATL 24



11/06 1:00 PM
451 JAC 45½ **UNDER**
452 KC -9 *

JAC new OC Hackett
JAC CoTNF
KC QB Foles starts
KC RB West starts



11/06 1:00 PM
453 DET 41 *
454 MIN -6 *UNDER*

DET DE Bryant susp'd
DET GiB
MIN OC Turner resigns, new OC Shurmur 
MIN CoMNF


11/06 1:00 PM
455 PHI 43 *
456 NYG -2½ over

PHI G Barbre OUT?
NYG CoB



11/06 1:00 PM
457 DAL -7½ *
458 CLE 48½ over

DAL S Church OUT
DAL CB Clairborne OUT
CLE LB Collins starts?



11/06 1:00 PM
459 NYJ 44 under
460 MIA -3½ **

MIA CoB



11/06 1:00 PM
461 PIT 43½ **UNDER**
462 BAL -2 *

PIT QB Landry 2nd start
PIT CoB
BAL CoB



11/06 4:05 PM
463 NO -3½ ***
464 SF 52 under

SF CoB



11/06 4:05 PM
465 CAR -3 ***
466 LA 45 under

LA CoB



11/06 4:25 PM
467 IND 54 *under*
468 GB -7 ***

IND inj's WR,S,CB,RT,RG
IND GiB



11/06 4:25 PM
469 TEN 47½ *OVER*
470 SD -5 *

TEN RB Henry starts?
TEN CoTNF



11/06 8:30 PM
471 DEN -1 *
472 OAK 43½ *under*

OAK CB Smith OUT
OAK GiB



11/07 8:30 PM
473 BUF 44 *
474 SEA -7 **UNDER**

BUF GiB
SEA DE Bennett OUT
SEA S Chancellor OUT?

Tuesday, November 01, 2016

2016 - week 8 - results

another decent week...

week 8 results:
ATS 8-4-1
Totals: 7-6

for the season:
ATS: 57-60-3
Totals: 60-57-3