2016 - week 13 - results

OUCH, week 13, awful ATS... and pretty good for totals...


week 13 results:
ATS: 5-10
Totals: 10-5


for the season:
ATS: 94-92-5
Totals: 99-89-3

2016 - week 13 - picks

With the news of CAR C Kalil and Gradkowski on IR, taking CAR on the road is iffy...

Hmmmmm?
AFC North loses all their games this week?
NFC East wins all their games this week?

12/01 8:25 PM
301 DAL -3½ ***
302 MIN 44 under

DAL CoTNF
MIN CoTNF


12/04 1:00 PM
351 DEN -5 *
352 JAC 41 under

DEN CoSNF OT



12/04 1:00 PM
353 KC 49½ ***over***
354 ATL -3½ *

KC CoSNF OT
ATL wins vs teams w/winning record



12/04 1:00 PM
355 HOU 45½ **under**
356 GB -6 *

HOU O awful
GB CoMNF


12/04 1:00 PM
357 PHI -1 *
358 CIN 42½ *under*

PHI a little more desperate?
PHI CoMNF



12/04 1:00 PM
359 DET 53½ ***over***
360 NO -6 *

DET CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
361 SF 43½ ***
362 CHI -1½ **under**

CHI inj's continue LB Trevathan OFY
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
363 LA 44½ *
364 NE -13½ *under*

NE will win, will they cover?



12/04 1:00 PM
365 MIA 41 ***
366 BAL -3½ *over*

MIA coming of age?



12/04 4:05 PM
367 BUF 49 over
368 OAK -3 *

PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
369 TB 47½ *
370 SD -4 over

TB impressive past 2 weeks



12/04 4:25 PM
371 WAS 49½ ***
372 ARI -2½ under

WAS CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
373 NYG 49½ *
374 PIT -6 over

Will Peytons help give NYG edge?
PIT CoTNF



12/04 8:30 PM
375 CAR 44½ *
376 SEA -7 ***UNDER***

CAR rookie C Larsen starts (1st)



12/05 8:30 PM
377 IND -1½ ***
378 NYJ 49½ **over**

Expecting IND QB Luck to start and dominate
PEER Game

2015 - week 13 - results

A .500 weekend ATS and for Totals as well, I guess I shouldn't complain, I need to focus on games more...

surprised me games:
NYJ @NYG
BUF @HOU
CAR @NO
DAL @WAS
I guess I was surprised by home team performances, I was expecting more except in the case of NO less.

2015 - week 13 - results

2015 - week 13 - picks

hmmm - TNF I know DET won the first game of the series and normally I'd go for the split (GB wins this game), but GB is in a funk and I don't think they can get out of it in motown...

Last week teams CoB:
0-4 ATS [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]
0-4 SU [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]

Last week DIV:
CHI splits series w/GB
WAS splits series w/NYG
NYJ sweeps series w/MIA
ARI sweeps series w/SF
BAL splits series w/CLE




12/03 8:25 PM
301 GB -3 *over
302 DET 47 *

GB 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,MIN-DET,CHI)
DET 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,GB-MINx2)
DET won 1st game of series 18-16
WH HOME ATS 7-2-1 FAV SU 8-2 O/U 2-8



12/06 1:00 PM
351 SF 43 *over*
352 CHI -7 *

SF 1-1 vs NFC N (MIN-GB)
CHI 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-ARI,SEA)
WH O/U 8-3 



12/06 1:00 PM
353 CIN -9 *
354 CLE 43½ under

CIN 3-0 vs DIV (BAL,PIT,CLE)
CLE 1-1 vs DIV (BAL-CIN)
CIN won 1st game of series 31-10



12/06 1:00 PM
355 JAC 43 over
356 TEN -2½ *

JAC 1-2 vs DIV (TEN-IND,HOU)
TEN 0-3 vs DIV (IND,HOU,JAC)
JAC won 1st game of series 19-13



12/06 1:00 PM
357 HOU 41½ *
358 BUF -3 under

HOU 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
BUF 2-1 vs AFC S (IND,TEN-JAC)
WH DOG ATS 7-3

 

12/06 1:00 PM
359 BAL 43½ *
360 MIA -4½ over

PEER GAME
BAL 0-1 vs PEER (loss to JAC 20-22)
MIA 1st game
MIA new OC ?
WH HOME ATS 10-1 DOG ATS 8-3 FAV SU 3-8



12/06 4:25 PM
361 CAR -7 **
362 NO 49½ under

CAR 2-0 vs DIV (NO,TB)
NO 1-2 vs DIV (ATL-TB,CAR)
CAR won 1st game of series 27-22



12/06 1:00 PM
363 SEA 41½ *
364 MIN pk over

SEA 2-1 vs NFC N (CHI,DET-GB)
MIN 1-1 vs NFC W (STL-SF)



12/06 1:00 PM
365 ARI -5½ *
366 STL 43 *UNDER*

ARI 3-1 vs DIV (SEA,SFx2-STL)
STL 3-0 vs DIV (SEA,ARI,SF)
STL won 1st game of series 24-22
WH FAV SU 10-0



12/06 1:00 PM
367 ATL 46 *
368 TB -2½ OVER

ATL 0-2 vs DIV (NO,TB)
TB 2-1 vs DIV (NO,ATL-CAR)
TB won 1st game of series 23-20
WH DOG ATS 8-2



12/06 1:00 PM
369 NYJ -2 over
370 NYG 45 *

NYJ 1-1 vs NFC E (WAS-PHI)
NYG 1-1 vs AFC E (BUF-NE)
WH road ATS 8-2 O/U 3-7 FAV SU 6-4



12/06 4:05 PM
371 DEN -4½ *
372 SD 43½ *over*

DEN 2-1 vs DIV (KC,OAK-KC)
SD 0-2 vs DIV (OAK,KC)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 8-2-1 FAV SU 8-3



12/06 4:05 PM
373 KC -3 *
374 OAK 44 over

KC 2-1 vs DIV (DEN,SD-DEN)
OAK 1-1 vs DIV (SD-DEN)
1st game of series
WH FAV SU 9-1



12/06 4:25 PM
375 PHI 49 *
376 NE -9½ under

PHI 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
NE 3-0 vs NFC E (DAL,WAS,NYG)
I still don't think PHI will win, I just think the score will be closer



12/06 8:30 PM
377 IND 48½ *
378 PIT -7 over

PEER GAME
IND 1-0 vs PEER (won vs IND 27-24)
PIT 0-1 vs PEER (loss @NE 21-28)
WH FAV ATS/SU 9-1



12/07 8:30 PM
379 DAL 42 over
380 WAS -4 *

DAL 2-2 vs DIV (NYG,PHI-NYG,PHI)
WAS 2-1 vs DIV (PHI,NYG-NYG)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 6-3 FAV SU 6-3

2014 - week 13 - results

Now why did I pick SF? Was it because it's a division rivalry and usually the home team wins?
Ouch! I ended up 8-8 ATS, but 4-12 on totals. It really shows when I don't have time to review games.

2014 - week 13 - results

2014 - week 13 - the rest of the weekend picks

well here goes... nothing..

11/30 1:00 PM
451 WAS 51½ over
452 IND -9½ ***

WAS ST Captain, Hayward IR OFY
WAS QB McCoy starts



11/30 1:00 PM
453 TEN 42½ under
454 HOU -6½ **

TEN LT? RT? new C?
HOU QB FtizPatrick starts



11/30 1:00 PM
455 CLE 40½ over
456 BUF -2½ *

CLE FS Gipson OUT 
(CLE lost LB Dansby last week)



11/30 1:00 PM
457 SD 45½ under
458 BAL -5½ ***



11/30 1:00 PM
459 NYG -2½ *
460 JAC 44½ UNDER



11/30 1:00 PM
461 CIN -3½ **
462 TB 44 over



11/30 1:00 PM
463 OAK 42½ *UNDER*
464 STL -6½ *

OAK 2ndary banged up



11/30 1:00 PM
465 NO 53½ under
466 PIT -4½ **

NO inj's OL/DL, WR, 2ndary



11/30 1:00 PM
467 CAR 42½ *under*
468 MIN -2½ *

MIN RT Loadhold IR



11/30 4:05 PM
469 ARI -2½ *
470 ATL 44½ under



11/30 4:25 PM
471 NE 58½ *OVER*
472 GB -3 *



11/30 8:30 PM
473 DEN -2½ over
474 KC 49½ *



12/01 8:30 PM
475 MIA -6½ ***
476 NYJ 41½ UNDER

NYJ DE Wilkerson OUT
NYJ QB Smith starts

2014 - week 13 - TNF - picks

Thanksgiving weekend...

I'm picking more on instinct than anything else as I've had very little time to go thru week 12 games...
If I have the time, I'll be back to refine my picks....

11/27 12:30 PM
305 CHI 47½ UNDER
306 DET -7 *

11/27 4:30 PM
307 PHI 56½ *
308 DAL -3½ under

11/27 8:30 PM
309 SEA 39½ UNDER
310 SF -1½ *

2013 - week 13 - results

TNF, GB @DET, watched from mid Q2 to half, DET D playing really well, DET O getting stymied at times, but DET doesn't look like they'll lose at home. Wish I had checked if this was the 2nd games of division series, I would have taken DET for series split, but too late and I was really tired, night prior to game and instinct was off for side, and ok for totals

TNF, OAK @DAL, every preseason, OAK and DAL would hold a joint practice, so their is a familiarity. OAK also has a tendency to be a 1st half team, this held true for thus game. DAL did not get the cover and the 1st half was over the total (so did the whole game)

TNF, PIT @BAL, should've taken dog/pts due to intensity of rivalry, the series split did occur, it's just that BAL did not cover. At the end of the 1st half (10-0 BAL) you'd have thought the total would stay under for the game, but both of these teams are looking like 2nd half teams and the over occurred.

TNF, home teams won SU, but only DET covered ATS, totals ended up 2-0-1. It'll be tough for GB to get a playoff spot with either CAR or NO in one spot and likely either SF or ARI in the other wildcard spot. DET controls it's fate for the rest of the season. DAL is also in a tough spot for a playoff berth, but not as tough as GB. In the AFC, I wonder if PIT can make it into playoffs, it's likely KC will be in one spot and the other may go to SD or BAL. If CIN falls back to the pack, PIT will still have a tough time to gain a playoff berth. TEN may have a better chance than PIT due to schedule, but the 6th spot is up in the air a bit more than in the NFC.

NE @HOU, turns out to be an interesting game as HOU puts up a fight, but it's not enough as NE proves to be too much.

DEN @KC, KC has a good first half, DEN has a better second half and gets the sweep

SNF, NYG @WAS, NYG D gets in gear after Q1 and secures the win.

It was SWEEPS weekend as CAR swept TB, IND swept TEN and DEN swept KC.

As you can see below from the results, since I did watch any games for two weeks, it really does affect picks, well at least for me....

2013 - week 13 - results

2013 - week 13 - picks

GB 14-2-1 vs division SU
this week, DET

NFC East 10-17 SU vs non-division opponents
this week, OAK @DAL, ARI @PHI, 

TEAMS w/10 days rest 12-10 ATS/SU
W (BAL,DEN,NYJ,NE,KC,SF,STL,NYG,ARI,SEA*,CAR,IND) 
L [PHI,BUF,CLE,CHI,TB**,CIN,MIA,WAS,MIN,TEN]
* indicates lost ATS
** indicates won ATS
TEAMS w/10 days rest (10Dr)
this week, NO, ATL

Teams Coming Off Bye 12-10 SU  
Teams Coming Off Bye 10-12 ATS
W (GB,PIT,ATL,NO,OAK,CHI,IND,TEN,ARI,DEN,DET*,JAC,NYG*,DAL,STL) 
L [CAR,MIN,WAS,TB,MIA,BAL,HOU,SD,SF,CLE,KC,NE,NYJ]
* = loss ATS
Teams Coming Off Bye  (CoB) 
this week, BUF,CIN,PHI,SEA



12/01 1:00 PM
425 TEN 44½ ***
426 IND -4½ over

IND won wk11 30-27



12/01 4:25 PM
427 DEN -4 under
428 KC 49½ *

DEN won wk11 27-17



12/01 1:00 PM
429 JAC 40½ *
430 CLE -7 under

CLE QB Weeden starts



12/01 1:00 PM
431 TB 41½ *
432 CAR -8½ OVER

CAR won wk08 31-13



12/01 1:00 PM
433 CHI 49 under
434 MIN -1 **

CHI QB McCown starts
CHI won wk02 31-30



12/01 1:00 PM
435 ARI 48½ ***
436 PHI -3½ over

PHI CoB



12/01 1:00 PM
437 MIA 38½ *
438 NYJ -1½ under

1st game of division series



12/01 4:05 PM
439 ATL 46 under
440 BUF -3½ ****

how could anyone look at ATL?
ATL 10Dr
BUF CoB



12/01 4:05 PM
441 STL 42 *
442 SF -9 over

SF won wk04 35-11



12/01 1:00 PM
443 NE -7½ ***
444 HOU 47 under
 
HOU QB Keenum starts



12/01 4:25 PM
445 CIN 48½ OVER
446 SD -1½ *

CIN CoB



12/01 8:30 PM
447 NYG -1½ *
448 WAS 46½ OVER

1st game of division series



12/02 8:40 PM
449 NO 47 UNDER
450 SEA -5½ *

NO 10Dr
SEA CoB

2013 - week 13 - Thursday picks

Here's my thoughts for what it's worth...

11/28 12:30 PM
303 GB 50 *
304 DET -6 over

GB QB Flynn starts?
Hopefully at GB, the 'Tolzien' experiment is over and done with. GB really needs the win after last weekends tie at home vs MIN. DET had a very surprising home loss, at this point of the season I wouldn't expect to see home losses, so this is as good a sign as any to doubt DET as a playoff ready team.



11/28 4:30 PM
305 OAK 46½ *
306 DAL -9½ over

OAK QB McGloin starts
After 3 straight games at home OAK takes to the road, where OAK has played much better than expected. I don't expect OAK to win, I just don't expect DAL to cover.



11/28 8:30 PM
307 PIT 40½ over
308 BAL -3 *

WC 22
BAL with a win will split series for the season and though PIT has been playing better as of late, so has BAL.