Thursday, December 31, 2015

2015 - week 17 - picks

1/3 finally.... we have numbers for TEN @IND, looks like bettors are taking the points, I'll stick w/my original thoughts of going against TEN QB Mettenberger and trying out the one game start of IND QB Freeman
Still waiting on numbers for TEN @IND (Hopefully I have time to update when they appear), no TNF or MNF game this week...




Last week DIV games:
OAK sweeps series w/SD ***an unexpected sweep***
WAS sweeps series w/PHI clinches division PO spot
ATL splits series w/CAR ***an unexpected split***
NYJ splits series w/NE
HOU sweeps series w/TEN
STL sweeps series w/SEA ***an unexpected sweep***
BAL sweeps series w/PIT ***an unexpected sweep***


01/03 1:00 PM
301 NYJ -3 ***
302 BUF 42½ under

NYJ w/win they're in PO (5th or 6th seed)
BUF won 1st game of series 22-17



01/03 4:25 PM
303 TB 47 under
304 CAR -10½ **

CAR NFC S champs
CAR w/win have home field advantage
CAR "bounce back win"
CAR won 1st game of series 37-23



01/03 1:00 PM
305 NE -10 *
306 MIA 47 under

NE (AFC E champs and have bye)
NE w/win have home field advantage
NE won 1st game of series 36-7
NE in Miami on Thursday (2days early than norm)



01/03 1:00 PM
307 BAL 42½ *
308 CIN -9½ *under*

BAL QB Mallett 2nd start
CIN QB McCarron 3rd start
CIN (AFC N champs)
CIN (either 2nd 3rd or 5th seed)
CIN won 1st game of series 28-24



01/03 1:00 PM
309 NO 53 *
310 ATL -4 over

NO won 1st game of series 31-21



01/03 1:00 PM
311 JAC 46 over
312 HOU -6 *

HOU w/win are AFC S champs
HOU won 1st game of series 31-20



01/03 1:00 PM
313 PIT -10 **
314 CLE 47 under

PIT w/win and NYJ loss in PO
PIT won 1st game of series 30-9
CLE QB Davis starts



01/03 4:25 PM
315 OAK 43½ UNDER
316 KC -6½ *

KC (PO berth, 3rd or 5th seed)
KC w/win and DEN loss, win AFC W (3rd seed vs NYJ? 6th? seed)
KC w/loss likely 5th seed (vs 4th seed HOU)
KC won 1st game of series 34-20



01/03 1:00 PM
317 TEN 39 UNDER
318 IND -3½ *

IND w/win and HOU loss in PO
IND won 1st game of series 35-33



01/03 1:00 PM
319 WAS 40 * 
320 DAL -3 under

WAS can't improve PO position (host, 4th seed)
DAL won 1st game of series 19-16



01/03 1:00 PM
321 DET 46 ***
322 CHI -1 over

DET won 1st game of series 37-34



01/03 1:00 PM
323 PHI 51 under
324 NYG -3 ***

PHI fired HC Kelly
PHI won 1st game of series 27-7



01/03 8:30 PM
325 MIN 46 ***
326 GB -3 over

MIN w/win NFC N champ
GB w/win NFC N champ
GB won 1st game of series 30-13



01/03 4:25 PM
327 SD 41 under
328 DEN -9 *****

SD team disenchantment?
DEN won 1st game of series 17-3
DEN (PO berth, 2nd, 3rd or 5th seed)



01/03 4:25 PM
329 STL -3½ ***
330 SF 37½ under

STL won 1st game of series 27-6
STL w/win 8-8
STL stayed on West Coast



01/03 4:25 PM
331 SEA 47½ under
332 ARI -6½ *

SEA likely #6th seed
ARI NFC W champs and likely #2 seed
ARI w/win and CAR loss = #1 seed
ARI won 1st game of series 39-32

Monday, December 28, 2015

2015 - week 16 - results

TNF - nice combo win w/SD and Under
SatNF- now why did I pick PHI? though I actually bet on WAS, I didn't change my pick
Sunday-Monday - ouch it was a dog day weekend. Dogs were 11-5 ATS, half of the games were won by Dog and Under combo.

I was miserable ATS (5-11), but on fire for totals (12-3-1) and I ended up with the same season record for ATS and totals 123-112-5

2015 - week 16 - results



Monday, December 21, 2015

2015 - week 16 - picks

4/24 changed SD/Over to SD/Under due to weather. It's tempting to take OAK @home, but I'll go with first instincts.
4/24 updated numbers for IND @MIA, I'm leaving the numbers "as is" for JAC @NO and HOU @TEN, though numbers are not posted at this time.
Waiting on numbers for IND @MIA




Last week DIV games:
MIN sweeps series w/CHI
HOU splits series w/IND

Last week in/out of Conference DIV games:
NE sweeps AFC South
TEN swept by AFC East
OAK swept by NFC North
NYJ 3-1 vs NFC East (lost to PHI)
ATL 3-1 vs AFC South (lost to IND)
BAL 2-2 vs AFC West (lost to KC SD)
WAS 1-3 vs AFC East (won vs BUF)
PIT 3-1 vs AFC West (lost to KC)
CIN 3-1 vs NFC West (lost to ARI) ***4-0 ATS***
SF 1-3 vs AFC North (won vs BAL)




12/24 8:25 PM
101 SD 47 *
102 OAK -5½ *under*

OAK won 1st game of series 37-29 (wk7)



12/26 8:25 PM
103 WAS 48 under
104 PHI -3 *

WAS won 1st game of series 23-20 (wk4)



12/27 8:30 PM
105 NYG 44½ *OVER*
106 MIN -5 *

PEER Game
NYG WR Beckham susp'd 1G
NYG won 1st game vs SF 30-27
MIN won 1st game @ATL 20-10



12/27 1:00 PM
107 CHI 46 *over*
108 TB -3 **

PEER Game
CHI loss 1st game vs WAS 21-24 (wk14)
TB loss 1st game @STL 23-31 (wk15)



12/27 1:00 PM
109 CAR -7 *
110 ATL 47½ under

CAR won 1st game of series 38-0 (wk14)



12/27 1:00 PM
111 DAL 43½ **
112 BUF -6 under

DAL QB Moore starts (1st)
DAL 1-2 vs AFC East (MIA-NE,NYJ)
BUF 0-3 vs NFC East (NYG,PHI,WAS)



12/27 4:05 PM
113 JAC 52 *
114 NO -3½ *over*

JAC 0-3 vs NFC South (CAR,TB,ATL)
NO 1-2 vs AFC South (IND-TEN,HOU)



12/27 1:00 PM
115 SF 42½ under
116 DET -8½ *

SF 2-1 vs NFC North (MIN,CHI-GB)
DET 0-3 vs NFC West (SEA,ARI,STL)[ATS 1-2]



12/27 1:00 PM
117 CLE 42½ under
118 KC -12½ *

CLE 0-3 vs AFC West (OAK,SD,DEN)[ATS 2-1]
KC 2-1 vs AFC North (PIT,BAL-CIN)



12/27 1:00 PM
119 IND 44 under
120 MIA -2 *

IND QB Hasselbeck starts? Whitehurst starts?
IND 0-3 vs AFC East (BUF,NYJ,NE)[ATS 1-2]
MIA 2-1 vs AFC South (TEN,HOU-JAC)



12/27 1:00 PM
121 NE -3½ *
122 NYJ 46 under

NE won 1st game of series 30-23 (wk7)



12/27 1:00 PM
123 HOU 42½ *
124 TEN -4½ under

HOU won 1st game of series 20-6 (wk8)
HOU QB Weeden starts (4th)
TEN QB Mettenberger starts (3rd)



12/27 4:25 PM
125 GB 50½ **
126 ARI -4½ over

GB 3-0 vs NFC West (SEA,SF,STL)
ARI 3-0 vs NFC North (CHI,DET,MIN)[ATS 2-1]



12/27 4:25 PM
127 STL 41 under
128 SEA -13½ *

STL won 1st game of series 34-31 (wk1)



12/27 1:00 PM
129 PIT -10½ *
130 BAL 47½ under

BAL won 1st game of series 23-20 (wk4)



12/28 8:30 PM
131 CIN 41 *
132 DEN -3½ under

CIN QB McCarron (2nd start)
CIN 3-0 vs AFC West (OAK,SD,KC)
DEN 2-1 vs AFC North (BAL,CLE-PIT)[1-2]

2015 - week 15 - results

for week 15, just above .500 ATS(8-7-1) and really nice for totals (11-4-1)

for the season I'm finally above .500 for totals and ATS as well...

NOTE: STL and SD won their home games, which were possibly there last at that venue...

2015 - week 15 - results



Tuesday, December 15, 2015

2015 - week 15 - picks

12/17 UPDATED numbers for HOU @IND
Still waiting on numbers for HOU @IND, I will update later
I did notice except for PHI, I'm picking against NFC East teams this weekend



Last week DIV games:
NO splits series w/TB
PIT splits series w/CIN
JAC splits series w/IND
KC sweeps series w/SD
CAR sweeps series w/ATL
OAK splits series w/DEN



12/17 8:25 PM
301 TB 41 *
302 STL -1½ over

PEER Game
TB 1st Game
STL 1st Game @WAS lost 10-24



12/19 8:25 PM
303 NYJ -3 *
304 DAL 42 over

NYJ 2-1 vs NFC E (WAS,@NYG-PHI)
DAL 1-1 vs AFC E (@MIA-NE)



12/20 1:00 PM
305 CHI 43 *
306 MIN -5 over

MIN won 1st game of series 23-20



12/20 1:00 PM
307 ATL 48½ *
308 JAC -3 OVER

ATL 2-1 vs AFC S (HOU,TEN-IND)
JAC 0-2 vs NFC S (CAR,TB)



12/20 1:00 PM
309 HOU 41 *
310 IND -1 UNDER

HOU QB Yates starts?
IND QB Whitehurst starts?
IND won 1st game of series 27-20



12/20 1:00 PM
311 KC -7½ *
312 BAL 42 **UNDER**

KC 1-1 vs AFC N (@CIN-PIT)
BAL 2-1 vs AFC W (@DEN,@OAK-SD)
BAL QB Clausen starts (1st game for BAL, 2nd of season[CHI])



12/20 1:00 PM
313 BUF -1 ****
314 WAS 44 over

BUF 0-2 vs NFC E (NYG @PHI)
WAS 0-3 vs AFC E (MIA @NYJ @NE)



12/20 1:00 PM
315 TEN 46½ ***UNDER***
316 NE -14 *

TEN D effort?
TEN 0-3 vs AFC E (BUF MIA @NYJ)
NE 3-0 vs AFC S (JAC @IND @HOU)



12/20 8:30 PM
317 ARI -3½ over
318 PHI 50½ *

PEER Game
ARI won 1st game 31-19 vs NO
PHI lost 1st game 14-45 @DET



12/20 1:00 PM
319 CAR -5½ **
320 NYG 48 over

CAR 3-0 vs NFC E (PHI WAS @DAL)
NYG 1-2 vs NFC S (@TB-ATL,@NO)



12/20 4:05 PM
321 CLE 43 under
322 SEA -14½ ***

CLE 1-2 vs NFC W (SF-@STL,ARI)
SEA 2-1 vs AFC N (PIT,@BAL-@CIN)



12/20 4:05 PM
323 GB -3 *
324 OAK 47 *over*

GB 2-1 vs AFC W (KC,SD-@DEN)
OAK 0-3 vs NFC N (@CHI MIN @DET)



12/20 4:25 PM
325 MIA 45½ *
326 SD -1½ under

PEER Game
MIA won 1st game 15-13 vs BAL
SD won 1st game 31-25 vs JAC



12/20 4:25 PM
327 DEN 45 over
328 PIT -6 *

DEN QB Osweiler (5th)
DEN 2-0 vs AFC N (BAL @CLE)
PIT 2-1 vs AFC W (@SD,OAK-@KC)



12/20 4:25 PM
329 CIN -4½ *
330 SF 40½ **under**

CIN QB McCarron starts (1st)
CIN 2-1 vs NFC W (SEA,STL-ARI) note:3-0 ATS
SF 1-2 vs AFC N (BAL-PIT,CLE)


12/21 8:30 PM
331 DET 51 ***OVER***
332 NO -3 *

PEER Game
DET won 45-14 vs PHI
NO lost 19-31 @ARI

Monday, December 14, 2015

2014 - week 14 - results

The best weekend I've had this season... 10-6 ATS and 11-5 totals...


2015 - week 14 - results

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

2015 - week 14 - picks

Guess I'll be updating numbers later this week when something comes out for IND @JAC and SEA @BAL
Changed pick from BUF/Over to PHI/Under
12/13 late updates for IND @JAC and SEA @BAL



Last week DIV games:
GB splits series w/DET
CIN sweeps series w/CLE
TEN splits series w/JAC
CAR sweeps series w/NO
ARI splits series w/STL
TB sweeps series w/ATL
DEN wins 1st game of series w/SD
KC wins 1st game of series w/OAK
WAS wins 1st game of series w/DAL



12/10 8:25 PM
101 MIN 45½ under
102 ARI -7½ *

MIN 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-SF,SEA)
ARI 2-0 vs NFC N (CHI,DET)



12/13 1:00 PM
105 PIT 49 *
106 CIN -3 over

CIN won 1st game of series (16-10)



12/13 1:00 PM
107 BUF -1 *under*
108 PHI 47 *

BUF 0-1 vs NFC E (NYG)
PHI 2-1 vs AFC E (NYJ,NE-MIA)



12/13 1:00 PM
109 ATL 46½ *under*
110 CAR -7½ ***

1st game of series



12/13 1:00 PM
111 SF 41 ***
112 CLE -1½ under

SF 1-1 vs AFC N (BAL-PIT)
CLE 0-2 vs NFC W (STL,ARI)



12/13 1:00 PM
113 WAS 44 *
114 CHI -3 over

PEER GAME
WAS 2nd game (won vs STL 24-10 wk2)
CHI 1st game



12/13 1:00 PM
115 DET 40½ *
116 STL -1 under

DET 0-2 vs NFC W (SEA,ARI)
STL 0-3 vs NFC N (GB,MIN,CHI)



12/13 1:00 PM
117 SD 45½ under
118 KC -10 *

KC won 1st game 33-3



12/13 1:00 PM
119 NO 50½ **
120 TB -3½ over

TB won 1st game 26-19



12/13 1:00 PM
121 IND 46 under
122 JAC -1 *

IND won 1st game 16-13



12/13 1:00 PM
123 TEN 43 over
124 NYJ -7 *

TEN 0-2 vs AFC E (BUF,MIA)
NYJ 2-1 vs AFC S (IND,JAC-HOU)



12/13 8:30 PM
125 NE -3½ under
126 HOU 45 *

NE 2-0 vs AFC S (JAC,IND)
HOU 1-2 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA,BUF)



12/13 4:05 PM
127 OAK 43½ *
128 DEN -7½ over

DEN won 1st game 16-10



12/13 4:25 PM
129 DAL 44 *
130 GB -7 *under*

PEER GAME
DAL 2nd game (loss to SEA 12-13)
GB 2nd game (loss to CAR 29-37)



12/13 1:00 PM
131 SEA -10 ***
132 BAL 42 under

SEA 1-1 vs AFC N (PIT-CIN)
BAL 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-SF,ARI)



12/14 8:30 PM
133 NYG -1 *
134 MIA 46½ *UNDER*

NYG 1-2 vs AFC E (BUF-NE,NYJ)
MIA 2-1 VS NFC E (WAS,PHI-DAL)

Monday, December 07, 2015

2015 - week 13 - results

A .500 weekend ATS and for Totals as well, I guess I shouldn't complain, I need to focus on games more...

surprised me games:
NYJ @NYG
BUF @HOU
CAR @NO
DAL @WAS
I guess I was surprised by home team performances, I was expecting more except in the case of NO less.


2015 - week 13 - results

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

2015 - week 13 - picks

hmmm - TNF I know DET won the first game of the series and normally I'd go for the split (GB wins this game), but GB is in a funk and I don't think they can get out of it in motown...



Last week teams CoB:
0-4 ATS [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]
0-4 SU [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]

Last week DIV:
CHI splits series w/GB
WAS splits series w/NYG
NYJ sweeps series w/MIA
ARI sweeps series w/SF
BAL splits series w/CLE




12/03 8:25 PM
301 GB -3 *over
302 DET 47 *

GB 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,MIN-DET,CHI)
DET 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,GB-MINx2)
DET won 1st game of series 18-16
WH HOME ATS 7-2-1 FAV SU 8-2 O/U 2-8



12/06 1:00 PM
351 SF 43 *over*
352 CHI -7 *

SF 1-1 vs NFC N (MIN-GB)
CHI 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-ARI,SEA)
WH O/U 8-3 



12/06 1:00 PM
353 CIN -9 *
354 CLE 43½ under

CIN 3-0 vs DIV (BAL,PIT,CLE)
CLE 1-1 vs DIV (BAL-CIN)
CIN won 1st game of series 31-10



12/06 1:00 PM
355 JAC 43 over
356 TEN -2½ *

JAC 1-2 vs DIV (TEN-IND,HOU)
TEN 0-3 vs DIV (IND,HOU,JAC)
JAC won 1st game of series 19-13



12/06 1:00 PM
357 HOU 41½ *
358 BUF -3 under

HOU 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
BUF 2-1 vs AFC S (IND,TEN-JAC)
WH DOG ATS 7-3

 

12/06 1:00 PM
359 BAL 43½ *
360 MIA -4½ over

PEER GAME
BAL 0-1 vs PEER (loss to JAC 20-22)
MIA 1st game
MIA new OC ?
WH HOME ATS 10-1 DOG ATS 8-3 FAV SU 3-8



12/06 4:25 PM
361 CAR -7 **
362 NO 49½ under

CAR 2-0 vs DIV (NO,TB)
NO 1-2 vs DIV (ATL-TB,CAR)
CAR won 1st game of series 27-22



12/06 1:00 PM
363 SEA 41½ *
364 MIN pk over

SEA 2-1 vs NFC N (CHI,DET-GB)
MIN 1-1 vs NFC W (STL-SF)



12/06 1:00 PM
365 ARI -5½ *
366 STL 43 *UNDER*

ARI 3-1 vs DIV (SEA,SFx2-STL)
STL 3-0 vs DIV (SEA,ARI,SF)
STL won 1st game of series 24-22
WH FAV SU 10-0



12/06 1:00 PM
367 ATL 46 *
368 TB -2½ OVER

ATL 0-2 vs DIV (NO,TB)
TB 2-1 vs DIV (NO,ATL-CAR)
TB won 1st game of series 23-20
WH DOG ATS 8-2



12/06 1:00 PM
369 NYJ -2 over
370 NYG 45 *

NYJ 1-1 vs NFC E (WAS-PHI)
NYG 1-1 vs AFC E (BUF-NE)
WH road ATS 8-2 O/U 3-7 FAV SU 6-4



12/06 4:05 PM
371 DEN -4½ *
372 SD 43½ *over*

DEN 2-1 vs DIV (KC,OAK-KC)
SD 0-2 vs DIV (OAK,KC)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 8-2-1 FAV SU 8-3



12/06 4:05 PM
373 KC -3 *
374 OAK 44 over

KC 2-1 vs DIV (DEN,SD-DEN)
OAK 1-1 vs DIV (SD-DEN)
1st game of series
WH FAV SU 9-1



12/06 4:25 PM
375 PHI 49 *
376 NE -9½ under

PHI 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
NE 3-0 vs NFC E (DAL,WAS,NYG)
I still don't think PHI will win, I just think the score will be closer



12/06 8:30 PM
377 IND 48½ *
378 PIT -7 over

PEER GAME
IND 1-0 vs PEER (won vs IND 27-24)
PIT 0-1 vs PEER (loss @NE 21-28)
WH FAV ATS/SU 9-1



12/07 8:30 PM
379 DAL 42 over
380 WAS -4 *

DAL 2-2 vs DIV (NYG,PHI-NYG,PHI)
WAS 2-1 vs DIV (PHI,NYG-NYG)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 6-3 FAV SU 6-3