Friday, October 31, 2008

NFL 08 - week 9 - picks

BYE: CAR,NO,SD,SF

11/02 12:00 PM
399 HOU 46½ *
400 MIN -4.5 under
MIN - coming off bye

11/02 12:00 PM
401 JAC -7.5 over
402 CIN 39½ *
JAC-RB-Taylor-Probable; WR-Jones-poss. suspension
CIN-QB-Palmer-OUT

11/02 12:00 PM
403 TB -8.5 *
404 KC 36½ under
KC-RB-Johnson-OUT

11/02 12:00 PM
405 BAL 36½ *
406 CLE -2 OVER
CLE-TE-Winslow-Probable

11/02 12:00 PM
407 NYJ 42½ *
408 BUF -5.5 over

11/02 12:00 PM
409 ARI -3 under
410 STL 48½ ****
STL-RB-Jackson-Probable

11/02 12:00 PM
411 DET 43 over
412 CHI -12.5 *
CHI - coming off bye

11/02 12:00 PM
413 GB 41 *
414 TEN -4.5 under
GB - coming off bye

11/02 3:05 PM
415 MIA 49½ *****
416 DEN -3.5 under
DEN-QB-Cutler-Probable, WR-Stokley-Probable, RB-Torain-Probable
DEN coming off bye

11/02 3:15 PM
417 ATL -3 under
418 OAK 41½ *
OAK-RB-McFadden-Questionable

11/02 3:15 PM
419 DAL 41 under
420 NYG -8 *
DAL-QB-Romo-OUT; TE-Witten-Questionable

11/02 3:15 PM
421 PHI -7 over
422 SEA 43 *
PHI-WR-Brown, TE-Smith-Questionable
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT, WR-Branch-Doubtful

11/02 7:15 PM
423 NE 43½ *****
424 IND -6 over
NBC
NE-RB-Jordan-Questionable
IND-RB-Addai-Questionable, S-Sanders-Questionable

11/03 7:35 PM
427 PIT 36½ over
428 WAS -2 *
ESPN
PIT-RB-Parker-Probable; WR-Holmes-Probable, QB-Roethlisberger-Probable
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable, WR-S. Moss-Questionable

Sunday, October 26, 2008

NFL 08 - week 8 - results

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 KC @NYJ (DO)

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

ATS 1-0-1 side 0-0-1 total 1-0

ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:

ATS 16-11-1 side 8-5-1 total 8-6


for the year:

ATS 121-105-6 side 59-53-4 total 62-52-2

hmmm fooled by KC @NYJ, perhaps I should not discount controversy surrounding NYJ QB Favre????? and no new news w/KC


green picks 2-1-1


NFC vs AFC ATS 3-0 this week


Double Digit spread trend resumes w/dog winning ATS (only 1 ATS loss this year)

COB ATS/SU O/U
ARI W/L 1-0
JAC L/L 0-1
ATL L/L 0-1
PHI W/W 0-1

GIB ATS/SU O/U
CAR L/W 1-0
SD L/L 1-0
NO W/W 1-0
SF L/L 1-0

Thursday, October 23, 2008

NFL 08 - week 08 - picks

Byes: Chicago, Denver, Green Bay, Minnesota

10/26 1:00 PM
199 OAK 35½ *UNDER*
200 BAL -7 *
hmmmm, by the numbers neither team should have won last wk, BAL should win, but maybe not ATS

10/26 1:00 PM
201 SD -3 UNDER
202 NO 46 *
@ London, England
SD-WR-Chambers, Davis-Questionable
NO-RB-Bush-OUT, WR-Patten-Questionable, TE-Shockey-Questionable

10/26 1:00 PM
203 KC 38½ under/over? *UNDER*
204 NYJ -13 ******
KC-RB-Johnson-Questionable; QB-Croyle-OUT; QB-Huard-Questionable
can't see how KC will cover ATS and going against DD ATS trend

10/26 1:00 PM
205 BUF -1.5 *
206 MIA 42½ UNDER
MIA lacking consistency, AWAY teams win, (except SD)

10/26 1:00 PM
207 TB 40½ ***
208 DAL -3 UNDER
DAL-QB-Johnson starts

10/26 1:00 PM
209 ATL 45½ UNDER
210 PHI -8.5 ***
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Probable; WRs-Brown, Curtis-Questionable

10/26 1:00 PM
211 STL 43½ *****
212 NE -7 under
STL-RB-Jackson-Probable
NE-RB-Maroney-OUT for season, RB-Jordan-Questionable
NE-RB-Morris-Questionable, S-Harrison-OUT

10/26 1:00 PM
213 ARI 43½ *
214 CAR -4.5 over
AZ-WR-Boldin-Questionable; TE-Patrick-Questionable

10/26 1:00 PM
215 WAS -7.5 *
216 DET 42½ over

10/26 4:05 PM
217 CLE 41½ *UNDER*
218 JAC -7 *
CLE-TE-Winslow-Suspended
JAC-RB-Taylor-Questionable, WR-M. Jones-Expected to miss (suspension)
by the numbers it's hard to take JAC, but I'm going against trend

10/26 4:15 PM
219 NYG 42 *****
220 PIT -3 under
NYG-WR-Tyree-Questionable
PIT-RB-Parker-Questionable, S-Polamalu-Probable

10/26 4:15 PM
221 SEA 41 *****
222 SF -5 UNDER
SEA-QB-Wallace to start
SF-Head Coach Nolan Fired

10/26 4:05 PM
227 CIN 44 *OVER*
228 HOU -9.5 **
CIN-QB-Fitzgerald to start

10/27 8:35 PM
225 IND 41½ *
226 TEN -4 ***OVER***
ESPN
IND-RB-Addai-out

Sunday, October 19, 2008

NFL 08 - week 07 - results

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1


ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0


ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0


ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BAL @MIA (DO)


ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0


ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0


ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NO @CAR (FU)


ATS 1-0-1 side 1-0 total 0-0-1


ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DET @HOU (DO)


ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0


ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 CLE @WAS (DU)


ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1


ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0


ATS 1-0-1 side 1-0 total 0-0-1


for the week:

ATS 13-13-2 side 7-7 total 6-6-2



for the year:

ATS 105-94-5 sie 51-48-2 total 54-46-2


green picks 2-1

Coming off bye
COB ATS/SU O/U

TEN W/W 1-0
KC L/L 1-0
BUF W/W 0-1
PIT W/W 1-0


Going into bye
GIB ATS/SU O/U
CIN L/L 1-0
MIN L/L 1-0
CHI W/W 1-0
HOU L/W 1-0
GB W/W 1-0
DEN L/L 0-0-1

So what can we generalize? teams Coming off bye WON ATS/SU (note: someone had to lose w/TEN @KC matchup and both teams are COB) this week and over the past several wks, they seem to be the better prop to bet on than GIB teams

teams Going into bye weeks all played in OVER games except for DEN in MNF which ended as a push that's 4 games... ATS was more of losing proposition. There are slight edges for playing against teams GIB as well as the OVER

Saturday, October 18, 2008

NFL 08 - week 7 - picks

10/19 1:00 PM
405 TEN -9 ******* coming off bye
406 KC 35 *UNDER* coming off bye
TEN-WR-Gage-Questionable
KC-QB-Croyle-Expected to start, RB-Johnson-suspended
can't see how KC will score more than once

10/19 1:00 PM
407 SD 44½ under
408 BUF -1 * coming off bye
SD-WR-Chambers-Questionable
BUF-QB-Edwards-Probable, WR-Parrish-Probable
wondering if SD on road trip will do well

10/19 1:00 PM
409 PIT -9.5 * coming off bye
410 CIN 35 over going into bye
PIT-RB-Parker-Doubtful, QB-Roethlisberger-Probable, WR-Holmes-Probable
CIN-QB-Palmer-OUT, WR-Houshmandzadeh-Questionable, K-Graham-Questionable

10/19 1:00 PM
411 BAL 36½ under
412 MIA -3 ******
BAL-RB-McGahee-Probable

10/19 1:00 PM
413 DAL -7 over
414 STL 43½ ****
DAL-QB-Romo-Downgraded to Not Expected to Star, QB-B.
Johnson-Would start if Romo is unavailable
DAL-RB-F. Jones-OUT, CB-A. Jones-Suspended for at least 4 games
DAL acquired WR-Roy Williams from DET

10/19 1:00 PM
415 MIN 38 * going into bye
416 CHI -3 ***OVER*** going into bye
MIN-WR-Rice-Questionable
CHI-WR-Lloyd-OUT, secondary beat up

10/19 1:00 PM
417 NO 44½ *
418 CAR -3 over
NO-RB-Bush-Probable, WR-Colston-Probable,
TE-Shockey-Probable, WR-Patten-Probable
CAR-WR-Muhammad-Probable

10/19 1:00 PM
419 SF 46 *OVER*
420 NYG -10.5 ******
NYG-QB-Manning-Probable

10/19 4:05 PM
421 DET 46½ UNDER
422 HOU -9.5 *** going into bye
DET-QB-Kitna-OUT, WR-Johnson-Questionable,Trade WR-Roy Williams to Dal

10/19 4:15 PM
423 NYJ -3 *
424 OAK 41 UNDER

10/19 4:15 PM
425 CLE 42 over
426 WAS -7.5 *
CLE-TE-Winslow-Questionable
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable

10/19 4:15 PM
427 IND -1 under
428 GB 46½ * going into bye
IND-RB-Addai-Downgraded to Doubtful
GB-WR-Jones-Questionable

10/19 8:15 PM
429 SEA 38 *UNDER*
430 TB -10.5 *****
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT, QB Wallace starts, WR-Branch-Doubtful
TB-QB-Garcia-Expected to start, WR-Galloway-Questionable

10/20 8:35 PM
431 DEN 48 *UNDER* going into bye
432 NE -3 *
DEN-Multiple WR/RB Injured
NE-RB-Maroney-Questionable

Monday, October 13, 2008

NFL 08 - week 06 - results

ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 16-12 side 7-7 total 9-5

for the year: pending MNF
ATS 92-81-3 side 44-41-2 total 48-40

green picks 3-1

Coming off bye
COB ATS/SU O/U
OAK L/L 0-1
NYJ W/W 0-1
STL W/W 0-1
CLE W/W 1-0

Going into bye
GIB ATS/SU O/U
ATL W/W 0-1
JAC W/W 0-1
PHI W/W 1-0
ARI W/W 1-0

much better than last weeks and finally no 0-2 picks, could've picked more, but I went against trends like IND has not lost to BAL @home and SEA announced QB Frye starts after I had made picks.

DYK that dd fav's have yet to win ATS this year?
dd= double digit (10 or more pts)

Friday, October 10, 2008

NFL 08 - week 6 - picks

10/12 1:00 PM
203 OAK 47 ***OVER*** Coming Off Bye
204 NO -7.5 **
OAK-RB-Fargas-Probable, RB-McFadden-Probable
NO-WR-Patten, WR-Colston-Questionable, TE-Shockey-Doubtful

10/12 1:00 PM
205 BAL 38½ ***
206 IND -4.5 under
IND-WR-Gonzalez-Questionable

10/12 1:00 PM
207 CIN 44½ ***UNDER***
208 NYJ -6 * Coming Off Bye
CIN-QB-Fitzgerald "Starts"

10/12 1:00 PM
209 CAR 36½ ***
210 TB -1.5 **UNDER**
TB-QB-Griese-Questionable, WR-Galloway-Questionable
TB-QB-Garcia-Expected to start

10/12 1:00 PM
211 DET 45½ **
212 MIN -13.5 *over*
DET-QB-Kitna-Questionable, QB-Orlovsky-Probable
MIN-WR-Rice-Questionable

10/12 1:00 PM
213 CHI -3 *******
214 ATL 43½ *UNDER* Going into bye
CHI-WR-Lloyd-Questionable, DT-Harris-Probable

10/12 1:00 PM
215 MIA 44½ *******
216 HOU -3 *UNDER*
HOU-QB-Schaub-Probable

10/12 1:00 PM
217 STL 44½ ** Coming Off Bye
218 WAS -13.5 *UNDER*
STL-QB-Bulger-Expected to start
WAS-DE-Taylor-Doubtful

10/12 4:05 PM
219 JAC 48½ * Going into bye
220 DEN -3.5 ***OVER***
DEN-RB-Young-OUT, TE-Scheffler-OUT, WR-Royal-Probable

10/12 4:15 PM
221 PHI -5 ******* Going into bye
222 SF 42½ *under*
PHI-RB-Westbrook-OUT

10/12 4:15 PM
223 DAL -5.5 *****
224 ARI 50½ *****OVER***** Going into bye
DAL-TE-Witten-Probable
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Doubtful

10/12 4:15 PM
225 GB 46½ *under*
226 SEA -1.5 **
GB-QB-Rodgers-Probable
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Probable, WR-Branch,RB-Morris-Questionable
GB Coach fired up, expects more from O

10/12 8:15 PM
227 NE 44½ *
228 SD -6 *under*
NBC
SD-WR-Chambers-Doubtful

10/13 8:35 PM
229 NYG -7.5 ******
230 CLE 43½ *over* Coming Off Bye
ESPN
CLE-WR-Stallworth-Probable, TE-Winslow-Questionable

Thursday, October 09, 2008

NFL 08 - week 05 - results

ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-0-1 side 0-0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 SEA @NYG
ATS 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NE @SF
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 CIN @DAL
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PIT @JAC
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 11-15-2 side 5-7-2 total 6-8

for the year:
ATS 76-69-3 side 37-34-2 total 39-35

now why did I pick KC?
I should've never gone against NYG @home...
NE & SF faked me out.... sigh, SF 2wks in-a-row
hmmmm DAL playing down to level of competition?
PIT as a team, just unbelievable....
CIN, JAC, NYG, & NE appear again from wk3 as unpredictable, well at least for me

as far as trends ARI = TRUE, WAS = FALSE

green picks 1-1-1

not a good wk at all....


Coming off bye [COB]
COB ATS/SU O/U
IND W/W 1-0
MIA W/W 0-1
DET L/L 0-1
SEA L/L 1-0
NYG W/W 1-0
NE W/W 1-0

Going into bye [GIB]
GIB ATS/SU O/U
TEN P/W 0-1
KC L/L 0-1
BUF L/L 1-0
PIT W/W 1-0

Friday, October 03, 2008

NFL 08 - week 5 - picks

BYES: CLE, NYJ, OAK, STLnote: teams going into bye 2-2 ATS last wk, it could've been 4-0, but for 4Q rally's by SD and BUF.

10/05 1:00 PM
405 IND -3 **** *coming off bye*
406 HOU 47 *over*
if IND plays sharp w/players coming back from inj's, game will easily go over, if not look at the under. note: IND & HOU D's allow the rush of 100+yds/game

10/05 1:00 PM
407 TEN -3 ***** *going into bye*
408 BAL 33½ under
TEN line should be -7.5, QB's big difference
BAL coming off MNF loss

10/05 1:00 PM
409 SD -6.5 over
410 MIA 45 * *coming off bye*

SD long road trip

10/05 1:00 PM
411 KC 38½ ***** *going into bye*
412 CAR -9.5 under
CAR-both OTs Gross & Otah OUT!!!

10/05 1:00 PM
413 WAS 42 *under*
414 PHI -6 *
WAS-DE-Taylor-OUT
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Probable!!!!!, WR-Curtis-Questionable, TE-Smith-Questionable
note: if 2wk trend is true, WAS will lose

10/05 1:00 PM
415 CHI -3.5 *
416 DET 44½ *over *coming off bye*
CHI-WR-Hester-Probable,WR-Lloyd-Questionable
CHI-DT T. Harris susp'd
DET-QB-Kitna-Questionable

10/05 1:00 PM
417 ATL 40 **
418 GB -4 under
GB-QB-Rodgers-Game time decision
GB MULTIPLE PLAYERS W/INJ'S, DINGED UP D

10/05 1:00 PM
419 SEA 43½ * *coming off bye*
420 NYG -7 under *coming off bye*
SEA-WR's healthy********
NYG-WR-Burress-Suspended*******
normally I wouldn't go against NYG w/SEA on long road trip, but I'm thinking pts should be -3.5

10/05 4:05 PM
421 TB 48 *
422 DEN -3 *over*
TB-WR-Galloway-Questionable
will this really go over?

10/05 4:15 PM
423 NE -3 under *coming off bye*
424 SF 41½ ***
NE-RB-Maroney-Questionable
SF there's nothing like home

10/05 4:15 PM
425 BUF 44½ over *going into bye*
426 ARI -1 *
BUF-WR-Parrish-OUT, CB-McGee-OUT
AZ-WR-Boldin-OUT
BUF you can come back in 4Q only so many times
note: if TOP O 2wk trend is true ARI will win
AZ w/o WR Boldin, makes it tough to win

10/05 4:15 PM
427 CIN 44½ under
428 DAL -16 *
CIN-QB-Palmer-will play

10/05 8:15 PM
429 PIT 36 under *going into bye*
430 JAC -4 *
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Probable
PIT banged up on O and D, short wk w/MNF
JAC jacked up for game "Steelers of South"

10/06 8:35 PM
431 MIN 46½ OVER
432 NO -3 *
MIN-QB-Frerotte-Probable
MIN MLB EJ Henderson ????