tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-315259912024-03-05T01:57:12.491-08:00Betting on NFL - ATS O/U SU NFL - sports betting as a hobby, recreation, perhaps more...Bettin' in vegas, ATS (against the spread), O/U (Over/Under Total points), SU (Straight Up), just for recreational bettingUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger756125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-74866493226705231592017-06-06T18:06:00.000-07:002017-06-06T18:10:50.208-07:00NFL 2017 regular season total wins - and more...The LVRJ had a fairly recent post see:
https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/betting/here-are-the-nfl-2017-regular-season-win-totals/
as well as this: http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/2017-nfl-season-win-totals
there's also season props here:
http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/2017-nfl-season-props
With the recent news of NYJ overhaul/rebuilding that 5.5 win season total win is mighty high.
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-2467623020622435852017-05-31T11:47:00.002-07:002017-05-31T11:47:21.851-07:002017 - OT shortened to 10 minutes - an angle to bet on? or bet against?I read this: http://www.footballzebras.com/2017/05/23/owners-approve-shortened-overtime-dont-know/
and noted the article stated that if this had been implemented last season, then there would be 3 additional games ending up as tied.
I recall ARI HC Arians stating that after their 6-6 OT game w/SEA, their team did not have a normal week for the next game. I believe he stated they only had aUnknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-12013559439721588522017-02-05T22:28:00.002-08:002017-02-05T22:28:46.608-08:002016 - week 21 (aka Play offs week 4) - resultsSo an OT win for NE vs ATL at SB LI with an ending score of 34-28. I wasn't too far off with my thoughts of a 35-30 game. The favorite/over combo won the money. My instincts are thinking the sports books got hit hard.
What a game, things were really looking bleak for NE with ATL up 28-3 in Q3 and I also thought the game was over as well, but I wonder if game management by ATL could have been Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-8698830467811441682017-01-22T22:55:00.001-08:002017-01-22T23:20:08.139-08:002016 - week 21 (aka Play offs week 4) - picksTwo weeks away, but here's my instinct picks....
02/05 6:30 PM
101 NE -3 *
102 ATL 59 over
I normally would take under the total, but due to TV timeouts (and their length - longer than normal as compared to regular season) I'll go over... say... 35-30?
Below is a chart of each teams regular season opponents as well as the past two weeks of post season.
As you can see below, they have Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-19604007948569338072017-01-22T22:52:00.002-08:002017-01-22T22:53:07.253-08:002016 - week 20 (aka Play offs week 3) - resultsjust sucked ..... 0-2 ATS 1-1 totals, fav/over won for each game
the 2nd game PIT @NE was going at an under pace, until end of 1st half, from then on it was an over game....Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-50126602299019455262017-01-15T21:19:00.004-08:002017-01-15T21:19:49.505-08:002016 - week 20 (aka Play offs week 3) - picksthese games should be great to watch....
01/22 3:05 PM
311 GB 60 *
312 ATL -4½ *over*
week 8 rematch ATL won 33-32 vs GB
01/22 6:40 PM
313 PIT 51½ *
314 NE -6 *under*
week 7 rematch NE won 27-16 @PIT
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-24496362797021086702017-01-15T21:14:00.000-08:002017-01-15T21:14:04.579-08:002016 - week 19 (aka Play offs week 2) - resultsThe late change of game time for PIT @KC due to an expected ice storm, may or may not have affected the game, but it did affect my thinking. It left me frozen I did not change my picks, I would have at least changed the total to under, but I doubt I would have changed to PIT -1
as for this weeks results (much better, odd how fav's won on saturday, and dogs won on sunday):
ATS: 3-1
Totals: Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-28275342418951769012017-01-08T18:11:00.003-08:002017-01-08T18:11:33.136-08:002016 - week 19 (aka Play offs week 2) - pickswell here goes nothing...
01/14 4:35 PM
301 SEA 51½ *over*
302 ATL -4½ *
SEA doesn't do well on the road...
29-20?
01/14 8:15 PM
303 HOU 45 under
304 NE -16 *
tempted to take pts, but this will be disciple against master... lol
27-6?
01/15 1:05 PM
305 PIT -1 over
306 KC 46½ *
noted: PIT QB Roethlisberger wearing ankle boot after PO week 1 game
30-24?
01/15 4:40 PM
307 GB 51½ *
308 DALUnknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-36831508236879233702017-01-08T18:05:00.001-08:002017-01-08T18:05:14.390-08:002016 - week 18 (aka Play offs week 1) - resultsI can't believe it, but I guess it was time for this to happen...
ALL the home favorites won ATS(Against The Spread) and SU (Straight Up)
1st and 4th games went Over the total, with 2nd and 3rd games ending Under the total
I ended up 2-2 ATS and 0-4 for Totals.... just awful... sigh..
oh well, on to next week...Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-63832041335726785732017-01-02T10:11:00.000-08:002017-01-04T06:58:16.338-08:002016 - week 18 (aka Play offs week 1) - picksUpdate 1/4: added White Hat(WH) records - tendencies - of which some are going against what I picked, maybe I'll change...
OAK @HOU, is a game that's tough to call. Overall OAK is the better team, the edge @QB should go to HOU, but each team will need to win running the ball, stopping the run and playing field position w/their respective ST players OAK has the more experienced FG Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-11725031598437874492017-01-01T21:22:00.000-08:002017-01-01T21:22:32.866-08:002016 - week 17 - resultsAn unusual season, but one I ended on the UP swing, which is nice.
No teams looks truly dominant, with all playoff bound teams having an Achilles heel (or two).
I'll remember this season for the white hats calling less penalties and there were far more sweeps of division series than I can recall.
SF will need to find a new direction as this franchise is in disarray. It was a waste of a season Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-89111735591050055252016-12-28T20:03:00.004-08:002016-12-28T20:03:38.166-08:002016 - week 17 - picksaaahhh... the last week of the regular season - just as tough to pick (well at least for me) this week as last week...
01/01 1:00 PM
301 HOU 40 *under*
302 TEN -3 *
HOU QB Savage starts (2nd)
TEN QB Cassel starts (1st)
01/01 1:00 PM
303 BUF -6½ **under**
304 NYJ 44 *
BUF interim HC OC Lynn
BUF HC Ryan fired
BUF QB Manuel starts
NYJ QB Ftzpatrick starts
01/01 1:00 PM
305 BAL 41½ *
306 Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-79665897770844042632016-12-28T19:12:00.003-08:002016-12-28T19:12:55.152-08:002016 - week 16 - resultsnot a good week... a sub .500 weekend..
week 16 results:
ATS: 7-9
Totals: 6-9-1
and what are the chances of having identical ATS and Totals records???
for the season:
ATS: 122-111-6
Totals: 122-111-6Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-83976955461885241152016-12-21T21:50:00.000-08:002016-12-21T21:50:06.951-08:002016 - week 16 - picksThe games with playoff motivation are easy to spot, the games w/o motivation are much tougher to predict...
12/22 8:25 PM
101 NYG -2½ *
102 PHI 41½ under
wk9 NYG won 28-23 vs PHI
sweep?
sub-freezing, windy
12/24 1:00 PM
103 WAS -3½ *under*
104 CHI 45½ *
WAS CoMNF (6 days between games)
WAS vs NFC N 2-1 SU/ATS (MIN,GB-DET)
CHI vs NFC E 0-3 SU 1-2 ATS (PHI,DAL,NYG)
cloudy, cold
12/24 1:00 Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-55814053438094156622016-12-21T21:45:00.001-08:002016-12-21T21:45:27.687-08:002016 - week 15 - resultsA really nice weekend ATS, but not nice at all for Totals.
(note: if I had not changed my pick for GB @CHI, I'd have a better record, then again if I had left my pick for JAC @HOU alone I would have had a worse record..
week 15 results:
ATS: 12-3-1
Totals: 6-8-2
for the season:
ATS: 115-102-6
Totals: 116-102-5Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-22353740360031925362016-12-15T00:47:00.003-08:002016-12-17T18:53:08.640-08:002016 - week 15 - picksUpdate 12/17 changed HOU/Under to JAC/Under
Update 12/16 changed CHI/Over to GB/Under due to weather
I'm a bit tired, wish I could be more thorough...
12/15 8:25 PM
301 LA 38½ *under*
302 SEA -15 *
LA HC Fisher fired
?20-10?
12/17 8:25 PM
303 MIA -2½ *
304 NYJ 38½ over
MIA QB Moore starts
NYJ inj's
wk9 MIA won 27-23 vs NYJ
MIA vs div SU/ATS 2-1
NYJ vs div SU 1-2 ATS 2-1
?27-24?
12/18 8Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-68118580176204209062016-12-12T21:02:00.000-08:002016-12-12T21:02:31.326-08:002016 - week 14 - resultsjust above .500 ATS and above .666 for totals for this week
notes (highly unusual, its normally the opposite):
division sweeps = 5
(KC swept OAK, WAS swept PHI, CIN swept CLE, HOU swept IND, NYG swept DAL)
division splits = 1
(DET splits w/CHI)
week 14 results:
ATS: 9-7
Totals: 11-5
for the season results:
ATS: 103-99-5
Totals: 110-94-3Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-15420724054622931832016-12-05T21:09:00.000-08:002016-12-07T18:56:57.490-08:002016 - week 14 - picksChanged pick from NE/Under to BAL/Under
Changed pick from GB/Over to SEA/Over
CoB (Coming off Bye)
CLE TEN
12/08 8:25 PM
101 OAK 47 under
102 KC -3 *
Which team is 'charmed'?
12/11 1:00 PM
105 DEN 43½ under
106 TEN -1 *
TEN CoB
12/11 1:00 PM
107 SD 48½ *
108 CAR -3 under
CAR CoSNF
12/11 1:00 PM
109 HOU 46½ **UNDER**
110 IND -5½ *
IND CoMNF
12/11 1:00 PM
111 CIN -6 *
112 CLE 43Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-40180349615166067752016-12-05T20:56:00.001-08:002016-12-05T20:56:49.312-08:002016 - week 13 - resultsOUCH, week 13, awful ATS... and pretty good for totals...
week 13 results:
ATS: 5-10
Totals: 10-5
for the season:
ATS: 94-92-5
Totals: 99-89-3Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-49017133928065967292016-11-29T20:28:00.000-08:002016-11-29T20:28:16.996-08:002016 - week 13 - picksWith the news of CAR C Kalil and Gradkowski on IR, taking CAR on the road is iffy...
Hmmmmm?
AFC North loses all their games this week?
NFC East wins all their games this week?
12/01 8:25 PM
301 DAL -3½ ***
302 MIN 44 under
DAL CoTNF
MIN CoTNF
12/04 1:00 PM
351 DEN -5 *
352 JAC 41 under
DEN CoSNF OT
12/04 1:00 PM
353 KC 49½ ***over***
354 ATL -3½ *
KC CoSNF OT
ATL wins vs teams w/Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-63637560780490815312016-11-28T21:40:00.000-08:002016-11-28T21:40:52.091-08:002016 - week 12 - resultsoddity? the last 7 games of the week were won by the 'dogs, the first 9 games were 7-1-1 (fav-dog-push)
week 12 results:
ok - ATS: 8-7-1
awful - Totals: 5-11
for the season:
ATS: 89-82-5
Totals: 89-84-3Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-65716039529884769892016-11-22T21:03:00.000-08:002016-11-27T09:38:13.794-08:002016 - week 12 - picksWeather pick: UNDER 39 KC @DEN
winds via: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/WINDcast.aspx?region=den
(you'll need to review the appropiate time as it's been moved to SNF [8:30pm EST])
also note it's 'windcast' by region and in this case MST (Mountain Standard Time)
It appears the winds will die down a bit as the game goes on, so a 1st half bet on the UNDER 20 or 19.5
either 1271 or Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-72220317766061188072016-11-22T20:55:00.001-08:002016-11-22T20:55:36.874-08:002016 - week 11 - resultsThis week - just above .500 ATS and for Totals as well
week 11 results:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 8-6
for the season:
ATS: 81-75-4
Totals: 84-73-3
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-23197617589478921642016-11-15T14:31:00.001-08:002016-11-19T13:22:32.948-08:002016 - week 11 - picksChanged pick from TB/Over to KC/Under
Changed pick from CLE/Over to CLE/Under (looks like snow?)
Changed pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under (looks like snow?)
CoB:
BUF DET IND OAK
11/17 8:25 PM
309 NO 52 *under*
310 CAR -3½ *
I'm unsure if CAR will cover the spread...
But since I do believe in the series season split...
CAR will get the win SU and I think the cover...
note: if I were to take NOUnknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31525991.post-804415671059447242016-11-15T14:30:00.001-08:002016-11-15T14:30:19.735-08:002016 - week 10 - resultsJust a little better than last week....
week 10:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 10-4
for the season:
ATS: 73-70-4
Totals: 76-68-3Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0