2015 - week 17 - picks

1/3 finally.... we have numbers for TEN @IND, looks like bettors are taking the points, I'll stick w/my original thoughts of going against TEN QB Mettenberger and trying out the one game start of IND QB Freeman
Still waiting on numbers for TEN @IND (Hopefully I have time to update when they appear), no TNF or MNF game this week...

Last week DIV games:
OAK sweeps series w/SD ***an unexpected sweep***
WAS sweeps series w/PHI clinches division PO spot
ATL splits series w/CAR ***an unexpected split***
NYJ splits series w/NE
HOU sweeps series w/TEN
STL sweeps series w/SEA ***an unexpected sweep***
BAL sweeps series w/PIT ***an unexpected sweep***


01/03 1:00 PM
301 NYJ -3 ***
302 BUF 42½ under

NYJ w/win they're in PO (5th or 6th seed)
BUF won 1st game of series 22-17



01/03 4:25 PM
303 TB 47 under
304 CAR -10½ **

CAR NFC S champs
CAR w/win have home field advantage
CAR "bounce back win"
CAR won 1st game of series 37-23



01/03 1:00 PM
305 NE -10 *
306 MIA 47 under

NE (AFC E champs and have bye)
NE w/win have home field advantage
NE won 1st game of series 36-7
NE in Miami on Thursday (2days early than norm)



01/03 1:00 PM
307 BAL 42½ *
308 CIN -9½ *under*

BAL QB Mallett 2nd start
CIN QB McCarron 3rd start
CIN (AFC N champs)
CIN (either 2nd 3rd or 5th seed)
CIN won 1st game of series 28-24



01/03 1:00 PM
309 NO 53 *
310 ATL -4 over

NO won 1st game of series 31-21



01/03 1:00 PM
311 JAC 46 over
312 HOU -6 *

HOU w/win are AFC S champs
HOU won 1st game of series 31-20



01/03 1:00 PM
313 PIT -10 **
314 CLE 47 under

PIT w/win and NYJ loss in PO
PIT won 1st game of series 30-9
CLE QB Davis starts



01/03 4:25 PM
315 OAK 43½ UNDER
316 KC -6½ *

KC (PO berth, 3rd or 5th seed)
KC w/win and DEN loss, win AFC W (3rd seed vs NYJ? 6th? seed)
KC w/loss likely 5th seed (vs 4th seed HOU)
KC won 1st game of series 34-20



01/03 1:00 PM
317 TEN 39 UNDER
318 IND -3½ *

IND w/win and HOU loss in PO
IND won 1st game of series 35-33



01/03 1:00 PM
319 WAS 40 * 
320 DAL -3 under

WAS can't improve PO position (host, 4th seed)
DAL won 1st game of series 19-16



01/03 1:00 PM
321 DET 46 ***
322 CHI -1 over

DET won 1st game of series 37-34



01/03 1:00 PM
323 PHI 51 under
324 NYG -3 ***

PHI fired HC Kelly
PHI won 1st game of series 27-7



01/03 8:30 PM
325 MIN 46 ***
326 GB -3 over

MIN w/win NFC N champ
GB w/win NFC N champ
GB won 1st game of series 30-13



01/03 4:25 PM
327 SD 41 under
328 DEN -9 *****

SD team disenchantment?
DEN won 1st game of series 17-3
DEN (PO berth, 2nd, 3rd or 5th seed)



01/03 4:25 PM
329 STL -3½ ***
330 SF 37½ under

STL won 1st game of series 27-6
STL w/win 8-8
STL stayed on West Coast



01/03 4:25 PM
331 SEA 47½ under
332 ARI -6½ *

SEA likely #6th seed
ARI NFC W champs and likely #2 seed
ARI w/win and CAR loss = #1 seed
ARI won 1st game of series 39-32

2015 - week 16 - results

TNF - nice combo win w/SD and Under
SatNF- now why did I pick PHI? though I actually bet on WAS, I didn't change my pick
Sunday-Monday - ouch it was a dog day weekend. Dogs were 11-5 ATS, half of the games were won by Dog and Under combo.

I was miserable ATS (5-11), but on fire for totals (12-3-1) and I ended up with the same season record for ATS and totals 123-112-5

2015 - week 16 - results

2015 - week 16 - picks

4/24 changed SD/Over to SD/Under due to weather. It's tempting to take OAK @home, but I'll go with first instincts.
4/24 updated numbers for IND @MIA, I'm leaving the numbers "as is" for JAC @NO and HOU @TEN, though numbers are not posted at this time.
Waiting on numbers for IND @MIA

Last week DIV games:
MIN sweeps series w/CHI
HOU splits series w/IND

Last week in/out of Conference DIV games:
NE sweeps AFC South
TEN swept by AFC East
OAK swept by NFC North
NYJ 3-1 vs NFC East (lost to PHI)
ATL 3-1 vs AFC South (lost to IND)
BAL 2-2 vs AFC West (lost to KC SD)
WAS 1-3 vs AFC East (won vs BUF)
PIT 3-1 vs AFC West (lost to KC)
CIN 3-1 vs NFC West (lost to ARI) ***4-0 ATS***
SF 1-3 vs AFC North (won vs BAL)




12/24 8:25 PM
101 SD 47 *
102 OAK -5½ *under*

OAK won 1st game of series 37-29 (wk7)



12/26 8:25 PM
103 WAS 48 under
104 PHI -3 *

WAS won 1st game of series 23-20 (wk4)



12/27 8:30 PM
105 NYG 44½ *OVER*
106 MIN -5 *

PEER Game
NYG WR Beckham susp'd 1G
NYG won 1st game vs SF 30-27
MIN won 1st game @ATL 20-10



12/27 1:00 PM
107 CHI 46 *over*
108 TB -3 **

PEER Game
CHI loss 1st game vs WAS 21-24 (wk14)
TB loss 1st game @STL 23-31 (wk15)



12/27 1:00 PM
109 CAR -7 *
110 ATL 47½ under

CAR won 1st game of series 38-0 (wk14)



12/27 1:00 PM
111 DAL 43½ **
112 BUF -6 under

DAL QB Moore starts (1st)
DAL 1-2 vs AFC East (MIA-NE,NYJ)
BUF 0-3 vs NFC East (NYG,PHI,WAS)



12/27 4:05 PM
113 JAC 52 *
114 NO -3½ *over*

JAC 0-3 vs NFC South (CAR,TB,ATL)
NO 1-2 vs AFC South (IND-TEN,HOU)



12/27 1:00 PM
115 SF 42½ under
116 DET -8½ *

SF 2-1 vs NFC North (MIN,CHI-GB)
DET 0-3 vs NFC West (SEA,ARI,STL)[ATS 1-2]



12/27 1:00 PM
117 CLE 42½ under
118 KC -12½ *

CLE 0-3 vs AFC West (OAK,SD,DEN)[ATS 2-1]
KC 2-1 vs AFC North (PIT,BAL-CIN)



12/27 1:00 PM
119 IND 44 under
120 MIA -2 *

IND QB Hasselbeck starts? Whitehurst starts?
IND 0-3 vs AFC East (BUF,NYJ,NE)[ATS 1-2]
MIA 2-1 vs AFC South (TEN,HOU-JAC)



12/27 1:00 PM
121 NE -3½ *
122 NYJ 46 under

NE won 1st game of series 30-23 (wk7)



12/27 1:00 PM
123 HOU 42½ *
124 TEN -4½ under

HOU won 1st game of series 20-6 (wk8)
HOU QB Weeden starts (4th)
TEN QB Mettenberger starts (3rd)



12/27 4:25 PM
125 GB 50½ **
126 ARI -4½ over

GB 3-0 vs NFC West (SEA,SF,STL)
ARI 3-0 vs NFC North (CHI,DET,MIN)[ATS 2-1]



12/27 4:25 PM
127 STL 41 under
128 SEA -13½ *

STL won 1st game of series 34-31 (wk1)



12/27 1:00 PM
129 PIT -10½ *
130 BAL 47½ under

BAL won 1st game of series 23-20 (wk4)



12/28 8:30 PM
131 CIN 41 *
132 DEN -3½ under

CIN QB McCarron (2nd start)
CIN 3-0 vs AFC West (OAK,SD,KC)
DEN 2-1 vs AFC North (BAL,CLE-PIT)[1-2]

2015 - week 15 - results

for week 15, just above .500 ATS(8-7-1) and really nice for totals (11-4-1)

for the season I'm finally above .500 for totals and ATS as well...

NOTE: STL and SD won their home games, which were possibly there last at that venue...

2015 - week 15 - results

2015 - week 15 - picks

12/17 UPDATED numbers for HOU @IND
Still waiting on numbers for HOU @IND, I will update later
I did notice except for PHI, I'm picking against NFC East teams this weekend

Last week DIV games:
NO splits series w/TB
PIT splits series w/CIN
JAC splits series w/IND
KC sweeps series w/SD
CAR sweeps series w/ATL
OAK splits series w/DEN



12/17 8:25 PM
301 TB 41 *
302 STL -1½ over

PEER Game
TB 1st Game
STL 1st Game @WAS lost 10-24



12/19 8:25 PM
303 NYJ -3 *
304 DAL 42 over

NYJ 2-1 vs NFC E (WAS,@NYG-PHI)
DAL 1-1 vs AFC E (@MIA-NE)



12/20 1:00 PM
305 CHI 43 *
306 MIN -5 over

MIN won 1st game of series 23-20



12/20 1:00 PM
307 ATL 48½ *
308 JAC -3 OVER

ATL 2-1 vs AFC S (HOU,TEN-IND)
JAC 0-2 vs NFC S (CAR,TB)



12/20 1:00 PM
309 HOU 41 *
310 IND -1 UNDER

HOU QB Yates starts?
IND QB Whitehurst starts?
IND won 1st game of series 27-20



12/20 1:00 PM
311 KC -7½ *
312 BAL 42 **UNDER**

KC 1-1 vs AFC N (@CIN-PIT)
BAL 2-1 vs AFC W (@DEN,@OAK-SD)
BAL QB Clausen starts (1st game for BAL, 2nd of season[CHI])



12/20 1:00 PM
313 BUF -1 ****
314 WAS 44 over

BUF 0-2 vs NFC E (NYG @PHI)
WAS 0-3 vs AFC E (MIA @NYJ @NE)



12/20 1:00 PM
315 TEN 46½ ***UNDER***
316 NE -14 *

TEN D effort?
TEN 0-3 vs AFC E (BUF MIA @NYJ)
NE 3-0 vs AFC S (JAC @IND @HOU)



12/20 8:30 PM
317 ARI -3½ over
318 PHI 50½ *

PEER Game
ARI won 1st game 31-19 vs NO
PHI lost 1st game 14-45 @DET



12/20 1:00 PM
319 CAR -5½ **
320 NYG 48 over

CAR 3-0 vs NFC E (PHI WAS @DAL)
NYG 1-2 vs NFC S (@TB-ATL,@NO)



12/20 4:05 PM
321 CLE 43 under
322 SEA -14½ ***

CLE 1-2 vs NFC W (SF-@STL,ARI)
SEA 2-1 vs AFC N (PIT,@BAL-@CIN)



12/20 4:05 PM
323 GB -3 *
324 OAK 47 *over*

GB 2-1 vs AFC W (KC,SD-@DEN)
OAK 0-3 vs NFC N (@CHI MIN @DET)



12/20 4:25 PM
325 MIA 45½ *
326 SD -1½ under

PEER Game
MIA won 1st game 15-13 vs BAL
SD won 1st game 31-25 vs JAC



12/20 4:25 PM
327 DEN 45 over
328 PIT -6 *

DEN QB Osweiler (5th)
DEN 2-0 vs AFC N (BAL @CLE)
PIT 2-1 vs AFC W (@SD,OAK-@KC)



12/20 4:25 PM
329 CIN -4½ *
330 SF 40½ **under**

CIN QB McCarron starts (1st)
CIN 2-1 vs NFC W (SEA,STL-ARI) note:3-0 ATS
SF 1-2 vs AFC N (BAL-PIT,CLE)


12/21 8:30 PM
331 DET 51 ***OVER***
332 NO -3 *

PEER Game
DET won 45-14 vs PHI
NO lost 19-31 @ARI

2014 - week 14 - results

The best weekend I've had this season... 10-6 ATS and 11-5 totals...

2015 - week 14 - results

2015 - week 14 - picks

Guess I'll be updating numbers later this week when something comes out for IND @JAC and SEA @BAL
Changed pick from BUF/Over to PHI/Under
12/13 late updates for IND @JAC and SEA @BAL

Last week DIV games:
GB splits series w/DET
CIN sweeps series w/CLE
TEN splits series w/JAC
CAR sweeps series w/NO
ARI splits series w/STL
TB sweeps series w/ATL
DEN wins 1st game of series w/SD
KC wins 1st game of series w/OAK
WAS wins 1st game of series w/DAL



12/10 8:25 PM
101 MIN 45½ under
102 ARI -7½ *

MIN 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-SF,SEA)
ARI 2-0 vs NFC N (CHI,DET)



12/13 1:00 PM
105 PIT 49 *
106 CIN -3 over

CIN won 1st game of series (16-10)



12/13 1:00 PM
107 BUF -1 *under*
108 PHI 47 *

BUF 0-1 vs NFC E (NYG)
PHI 2-1 vs AFC E (NYJ,NE-MIA)



12/13 1:00 PM
109 ATL 46½ *under*
110 CAR -7½ ***

1st game of series



12/13 1:00 PM
111 SF 41 ***
112 CLE -1½ under

SF 1-1 vs AFC N (BAL-PIT)
CLE 0-2 vs NFC W (STL,ARI)



12/13 1:00 PM
113 WAS 44 *
114 CHI -3 over

PEER GAME
WAS 2nd game (won vs STL 24-10 wk2)
CHI 1st game



12/13 1:00 PM
115 DET 40½ *
116 STL -1 under

DET 0-2 vs NFC W (SEA,ARI)
STL 0-3 vs NFC N (GB,MIN,CHI)



12/13 1:00 PM
117 SD 45½ under
118 KC -10 *

KC won 1st game 33-3



12/13 1:00 PM
119 NO 50½ **
120 TB -3½ over

TB won 1st game 26-19



12/13 1:00 PM
121 IND 46 under
122 JAC -1 *

IND won 1st game 16-13



12/13 1:00 PM
123 TEN 43 over
124 NYJ -7 *

TEN 0-2 vs AFC E (BUF,MIA)
NYJ 2-1 vs AFC S (IND,JAC-HOU)



12/13 8:30 PM
125 NE -3½ under
126 HOU 45 *

NE 2-0 vs AFC S (JAC,IND)
HOU 1-2 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA,BUF)



12/13 4:05 PM
127 OAK 43½ *
128 DEN -7½ over

DEN won 1st game 16-10



12/13 4:25 PM
129 DAL 44 *
130 GB -7 *under*

PEER GAME
DAL 2nd game (loss to SEA 12-13)
GB 2nd game (loss to CAR 29-37)



12/13 1:00 PM
131 SEA -10 ***
132 BAL 42 under

SEA 1-1 vs AFC N (PIT-CIN)
BAL 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-SF,ARI)



12/14 8:30 PM
133 NYG -1 *
134 MIA 46½ *UNDER*

NYG 1-2 vs AFC E (BUF-NE,NYJ)
MIA 2-1 VS NFC E (WAS,PHI-DAL)

2015 - week 13 - results

A .500 weekend ATS and for Totals as well, I guess I shouldn't complain, I need to focus on games more...

surprised me games:
NYJ @NYG
BUF @HOU
CAR @NO
DAL @WAS
I guess I was surprised by home team performances, I was expecting more except in the case of NO less.

2015 - week 13 - results

2015 - week 13 - picks

hmmm - TNF I know DET won the first game of the series and normally I'd go for the split (GB wins this game), but GB is in a funk and I don't think they can get out of it in motown...

Last week teams CoB:
0-4 ATS [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]
0-4 SU [NO,NYG,PIT,CLE]

Last week DIV:
CHI splits series w/GB
WAS splits series w/NYG
NYJ sweeps series w/MIA
ARI sweeps series w/SF
BAL splits series w/CLE




12/03 8:25 PM
301 GB -3 *over
302 DET 47 *

GB 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,MIN-DET,CHI)
DET 2-2 vs DIV (CHI,GB-MINx2)
DET won 1st game of series 18-16
WH HOME ATS 7-2-1 FAV SU 8-2 O/U 2-8



12/06 1:00 PM
351 SF 43 *over*
352 CHI -7 *

SF 1-1 vs NFC N (MIN-GB)
CHI 1-2 vs NFC W (STL-ARI,SEA)
WH O/U 8-3 



12/06 1:00 PM
353 CIN -9 *
354 CLE 43½ under

CIN 3-0 vs DIV (BAL,PIT,CLE)
CLE 1-1 vs DIV (BAL-CIN)
CIN won 1st game of series 31-10



12/06 1:00 PM
355 JAC 43 over
356 TEN -2½ *

JAC 1-2 vs DIV (TEN-IND,HOU)
TEN 0-3 vs DIV (IND,HOU,JAC)
JAC won 1st game of series 19-13



12/06 1:00 PM
357 HOU 41½ *
358 BUF -3 under

HOU 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
BUF 2-1 vs AFC S (IND,TEN-JAC)
WH DOG ATS 7-3

 

12/06 1:00 PM
359 BAL 43½ *
360 MIA -4½ over

PEER GAME
BAL 0-1 vs PEER (loss to JAC 20-22)
MIA 1st game
MIA new OC ?
WH HOME ATS 10-1 DOG ATS 8-3 FAV SU 3-8



12/06 4:25 PM
361 CAR -7 **
362 NO 49½ under

CAR 2-0 vs DIV (NO,TB)
NO 1-2 vs DIV (ATL-TB,CAR)
CAR won 1st game of series 27-22



12/06 1:00 PM
363 SEA 41½ *
364 MIN pk over

SEA 2-1 vs NFC N (CHI,DET-GB)
MIN 1-1 vs NFC W (STL-SF)



12/06 1:00 PM
365 ARI -5½ *
366 STL 43 *UNDER*

ARI 3-1 vs DIV (SEA,SFx2-STL)
STL 3-0 vs DIV (SEA,ARI,SF)
STL won 1st game of series 24-22
WH FAV SU 10-0



12/06 1:00 PM
367 ATL 46 *
368 TB -2½ OVER

ATL 0-2 vs DIV (NO,TB)
TB 2-1 vs DIV (NO,ATL-CAR)
TB won 1st game of series 23-20
WH DOG ATS 8-2



12/06 1:00 PM
369 NYJ -2 over
370 NYG 45 *

NYJ 1-1 vs NFC E (WAS-PHI)
NYG 1-1 vs AFC E (BUF-NE)
WH road ATS 8-2 O/U 3-7 FAV SU 6-4



12/06 4:05 PM
371 DEN -4½ *
372 SD 43½ *over*

DEN 2-1 vs DIV (KC,OAK-KC)
SD 0-2 vs DIV (OAK,KC)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 8-2-1 FAV SU 8-3



12/06 4:05 PM
373 KC -3 *
374 OAK 44 over

KC 2-1 vs DIV (DEN,SD-DEN)
OAK 1-1 vs DIV (SD-DEN)
1st game of series
WH FAV SU 9-1



12/06 4:25 PM
375 PHI 49 *
376 NE -9½ under

PHI 1-1 vs AFC E (NYJ-MIA)
NE 3-0 vs NFC E (DAL,WAS,NYG)
I still don't think PHI will win, I just think the score will be closer



12/06 8:30 PM
377 IND 48½ *
378 PIT -7 over

PEER GAME
IND 1-0 vs PEER (won vs IND 27-24)
PIT 0-1 vs PEER (loss @NE 21-28)
WH FAV ATS/SU 9-1



12/07 8:30 PM
379 DAL 42 over
380 WAS -4 *

DAL 2-2 vs DIV (NYG,PHI-NYG,PHI)
WAS 2-1 vs DIV (PHI,NYG-NYG)
1st game of series
WH ROAD ATS 6-3 FAV SU 6-3

2015 - week 12 - results

TNF - great night for me 3-0 ATS

Sunday and Monday not good... sigh

for the week:
.500 ATS (8-8)
sub .500 totals (7-9)

for the season:
above .500 ATS (92-80-4)
sub .500 totals (81-92-3)

2015 - week 12 - results

2015 - week 12 - picks

It's the annual TNF - Thanksgiving classics @DET and @DAL, This year add @GB to the mix...
Short week, home teams should prevail, but I'm taking CAR on the road at DAL.

CoB CLE NO NYG PIT


Last week teams CoB:
1-3 ATS [IND-ATL,SD,SF]
1-3 SU [IND-ATL,SD,SF]


Last week DIV:
JAC wins 1st game vs TEN (JAC 1-2 vs DIV, TEN 0-3 vs DIV)
KC wins 1st game vs SD (KC 1-1 vs DIV, SD 0-2 vs DIV)
SEA sweeps series vs SF (SEA 2-2 vs DIV, SF 0-4 vs DIV)





11/26 12:30 PM
105 PHI 46 under
106 DET pk ***

PEER game (1st for both)
PHI QB Sanchez starts (2nd game)



11/26 4:30 PM
107 CAR -1 *
108 DAL 46½ over

CAR vs NFC E 2-0
DAL vs NFC S 0-3



11/26 8:30 PM
109 CHI 46½ *
110 GB -9 *over*

2nd game of series (GB won 31-24 @CHI wk1)



11/29 1:00 PM
251 NO 48 **OVER**
252 HOU -3 *

NO CoB
NO new DC
NO 1-1 vs AFC S (won 27-21 @IND, loss 34-28 vs TEN)
HOU 1-2 vs NFC S (loss at CAR, ATL, won vs TB)
HOU QB Yates starts (2nd Game)



11/29 1:00 PM
253 MIN 46 ****
254 ATL -2½ under

PEER game
(1st game, MIN)
(2nd game, ATL 0-1 @SF)



11/29 1:00 PM
255 STL 42½ under
256 CIN -9 *

STL QB Keenum starts? (2nd game)
STL 1-1 vs AFC N (won vs CLE, loss @PIT)
CIN 1-1 vs NFC W (won vs SEA, loss @ARI)



11/29 1:00 PM
257 TB 46½ *
258 IND -3 over

TB 1-2 vs AFC S (won vs JAC, losses vs TB, @HOU)
IND 0-2 vs NFC S (losses vs NO, @CAR)



11/29 1:00 PM
259 NYG -2½ *OVER
260 WAS 46½ *

NYG CoB
2nd game of series (NYG won 32-21 vs WAS)



11/29 1:00 PM
261 OAK -2 under
262 TEN 44½ *

PEER game
(2nd game, OAK 1-0 vs NYJ)
(2nd game, TEN 1-0 @CLE)



11/29 1:00 PM
263 BUF 41 under
264 KC -4 ***

PEER game
(2nd game, BUF 0-1 vs CIN)
(2nd game, KC 1-0 @HOU)



11/29 1:00 PM
265 MIA 42½ *
266 NYJ -3½ over

2nd game of series (NYJ won 27-14 [@london])



11/29 1:00 PM
267 SD 46½ OVER
268 JAC -4 *

PEER game
(1st game, SD)
(2nd game, JAC 1-0 vs BAL)



11/29 4:05 PM
269 ARI -10½ ****
270 SF 45 under

2nd game of series (ARI won 47-7)
SF QB Gabbert starts (3rd game)



11/29 4:25 PM
271 PIT 44½ *
272 SEA -4 OVER

PIT CoB
PIT 3-0 vs NFC W
SEA 0-1 vs AFC N (@CIN OT)



11/29 8:30 PM
273 NE -3 *
274 DEN 44 under

PEER game
(2nd game, NE 1-0 vs PIT)
(2nd game, KC 0-1 @IND)



11/30 8:30 PM
275 BAL 41½ under
276 CLE -2½ *

BAL QB Schaub starts (1st game since '13)
CLE CoB
CLE QB McCown starts
2nd game of series (CLE won OT 33-30)
Normally, I'd prefer the split for this series, but BAL injuries are piling up

2015 - week 11 - results

TNF - TEN @JAC, a loss-loss game for me (loss-ATS, loss-Totals) and it wasn't a really good week as I ended up sub .500 ATS (6-7-1) and for totals as well (4-10). OAK @DET, DEN @CHI, SF @SEA and CIN @ARI - all loss-loss sigh... MNF was not kind as well a push-loss for my pickings,,,,

only six more weeks to go for the regular season....

2015 - week 11 - results

2015 - week 11 - picks

and so the race is on for the playoffs, with a few teams conceding their season... (CLE, STL named new starting QBs)

CoB: ATL IND SD SF

Last week teams CoB:
4-2 ATS [ARI,DET,KC,HOU-BAL,SEA]
4-2 SU [ARI,DET,KC,HOU-BAL,SEA]

Last week teams GiB:
2-2 ATS [NYG,PIT-CLE,NO]
1-3 SU [PIT-CLE,NO,NYG]

Last week DIV:
BUF wins 1st game @NYJ (BUF 3-1 vs DIV, NYJ 1-2 vs DIV)
DET wins 1st game @GB (DET 2-2 vs DIV, GB 1-1 vs DIV)
PIT wins 1st game vs CLE (PIT 1-2 vs DIV, CLE 1-2 vs DIV)
KC splits series w/DEN (KC 1-1 vs DIV, DEN 2-1 vs DIV)
ARI wins 1st game @SEA (ARI 2-1 vs DIV, SEA 1-2 vs DIV)

11/19 8:25 PM
309 TEN 43 *
310 JAC -3 ***OVER***

DIV (1st of series) teams have split since '09
WH FAV SU 7-1



11/22 1:00 PM
451 WAS 45 under?
452 CAR -7 *

WAS 2-1 vs NFC S (TB, NO - ATL) 
CAR 1-0 vs NFC E (PHI)
WH O/U alt UOUOUO?



11/22 1:00 PM
453 OAK -2 *
454 DET 48½ *over*

OAK 0-2 vs NFC N (CHI,MIN)
DET 0-3 vs AFC W (SD,DEN,KC)
WH FAV ATS/SU 7-2
WH Road ATS 6-3



11/22 1:00 PM
455 DAL 47 *under*
456 MIA PK *

DAL QB Romo returns?
DAL 0-1 vs AFC E (NE)
MIA 2-0 vs NFC E (WAS,PHI)
WH O/U 6-3



11/22 1:00 PM
457 IND 47½ *
458 ATL -6 *over*

IND QB Hasselbeck starts (3rd game)
IND 0-2 SU vs NFC S (NO,CAR)[1-1 ATS]
IND CoB
ATL CoB
ATL 2-0 SU vs AFC S (HOU,TEN)[1-1 ATS]
WH Road ATS 5-2
WH FAV SU 5-2



11/22 1:00 PM
459 STL 42 UNDER
460 BAL -2½ *

STL QB Keenum starts (1st game)
STL 1-1 vs AFC N (CLE - PIT)
BAL 0-2 vs NFC W (SF,ARI)
BAL Prior game officiating error
WH Dog ATS 6-2



11/22 1:00 PM
461 NYJ -2½ **UNDER**
462 HOU 41½ **

NYJ QB FitzPatrick starts? Smith starts?
NYJ 2-0 vs AFC South (IND, JAC)[1-1 ATS]
HOU 0-1 vs AFC East (MIA)
HOU QB Hoyer starts? Yates starts?
WH Home ATS 8-1
WH O/U 6-3
WH DOG ATS 6-3
WH DOG SU 6-3



11/22 4:25 PM
463 GB 45 under
464 MIN -1 ***

DIV (1st of series)
WH Road ATS 7-1-1
WH FAV SU 7-2



11/22 1:00 PM
465 TB 45 *
466 PHI -5½ *under*

TB 1-2 SU vs NFC East (DAL - WAS,NYG)[3-0 ATS]
PHI 1-2 vs NFC South (NO - ATL,CAR)
PHI QB Sanchez starts

 

11/22 1:00 PM
467 DEN 41½ over
468 CHI -1 **

DEN QB Osweiler starts (1st game)
DEN 3-0 vs NFC N (DET,MIN,GB)[2-1 ATS]
CHI 3-0 vs AFC W (OAK,KC,SD)



11/22 8:30 PM
469 CIN 47½ under
470 ARI -4 ***

CIN 1-0 vs NFC W (SEA)
ARI 2-1 vs AFC N (BAL,CLE - PIT)



11/22 4:25 PM
471 SF 40½ *
472 SEA -12 *UNDER*

SF CoB
SF QB Gabbert starts (2nd game)
SEA won 1st game 20-3
WH DOG ATS 8-1



11/22 4:05 PM
473 KC -3 ***
474 SD 45 over

SD CoB
DIV (1st of series)
WH HOME ATS 6-1-1
WH FAV SU 7-1
WH O/U 2-6



11/23 8:30 PM
475 BUF 48½ *
476 NE -7 over

NE won 1st game 40-32

2015 - week 10 - results

I can't recall when there were this many upsets in a week. The "dog" won 11 of 14 games ATS. Only TB, CAR and PIT covered as favorites.

TNF - Though I posted my pick of NYJ/Over, I actually bet on BUF/Over normal ATS (which I lost -BUF/Under won the $) and as a 6pt tease which I won.

I had also changed my mind to picking TB/Under combo, but forgot once again to change from DAL/combo


I ended up sub .500 ATS (6-8) as well as for totals (6-7-1) for week 10.... sigh....

2015 - week 10 - results

2015 - week 10 - picks

Last week teams CoB:
3-1 ATS [BUF,JAC,PHI-WAS]
2-2 SU [BUF,PHI-JAC,WAS]

Last week teams GiB:
2-2 ATS [IND,SF-ATL,SD]
2-2 SU [IND,SF-ATL,SD]

Last week DIV:
CIN wins 1st game vs CLE (CIN 3-0 vs DIV, CLE 1-1 vs DIV)
BUF sweeps series w/MIA (BUF 2-0 vs DIV, MIA 0-4 vs DIV)
PHI splits series w/DAL (PHI 2-1 vs DIV, DAL 0-2 vs DIV)

CoB ARI BAL DET HOU KC SEA
GiB CLE NO NYG PIT


11/12 8:25 PM
109 BUF 43 ***OVER*** 
110 NYJ -2½ *



11/15 1:00 PM
251 DET 48 *
252 GB -11½ *over*

DET CoB



11/15 1:00 PM
253 DAL 43½ *
254 TB -1½ over



11/15 1:00 PM
255 CAR -5 *
256 TEN 43 *OVER*



11/15 1:00 PM
257 CHI 42½ *
258 STL -7½ under



11/15 1:00 PM
259 NO -1½ OVER
260 WAS 50½ *

NO GiB



11/15 1:00 PM
261 MIA 47 UNDER
262 PHI -6½ **



11/15 1:00 PM
263 CLE 41 *
264 PIT -4½ under

CLE QB Manziel 3rd start
CLE 1-1 vs DIV (BAL[W], CIN[L])
CLE GiB
PIT GiB
PIT QB Jones 2nd start
PIT 0-2 vs DIV (BAL, CIN)



11/15 1:00 PM
265 JAC 48 **
266 BAL -5 OVER

BAL CoB



11/15 4:05 PM
267 MIN 42½ UNDER
268 OAK -3 *

MIN QB Bridgewater starts?



11/15 4:25 PM
269 KC 42 **
270 DEN -6½ over

KC CoB
DEN won 1st game of series 31-24



11/15 4:25 PM
271 NE -7 *
272 NYG 55 under

NYG GiB



11/15 8:30 PM
273 ARI 45 over
274 SEA -3 *

ARI 1-1 vs DIV (SF[w], STL[L])
ARI CoB
SEA CoB
SEA 1-1 vs DIV (SF[w], STL[L])



11/16 8:30 PM
275 HOU 47 under
276 CIN -10½ *

HOU CoB

2015 - week 09 - results

note: I had an error with season totals ATS for week 8. The pix shows 63-53-1 it should be 63-53-3


For week 9:
ATS: 9-4
Totals: 6-7

For the season:
ATS: 72-57-3
Totals: 64-66-2

I'm still sub .500 for totals. I'm close but so far this season, I haven't been as consistent as prior seasons.

2015 - week 09 - results

2015 - week 09 - picks

A few games had numbers posted then rescinded due to the latest news (JAC @NYJ and TEN @NO)
If I need to I'll update as needed due to numbers changing...

CoB BUF JAC PHI WAS
GiB ATL IND SD SF



Last week teams CoB
2-2 ATS [CIN,DEN-CHI,GB]
2-2 SU [CIN,DEN-CHI,GB]

Last week teams GiB 
3-2-1 ATS [ARI,HOU,KC-DET,SEA-BAL]
5-1 SU [ARI,BAL,HOU,KC,SEA-DET]

Last week DIV:
NE wins 1st game vs MIA (NE 3-0 vs DIV, MIA 0-fer vs DIV)
STL wins 1st game vs SF (STL 3-0 vs DIV, SF 0-fer vs DIV)
MIN wins 1st game vs CHI (MIN 2-0 vs DIV, CHI 0-fer vs DIV)
CIN wins 1st game vs PIT (CIN 2-0 vs DIV, PIT 0-fer vs DIV)
HOU wins 1st game vs TEN (HOU 2-1 vs DIV, TEN 0-fer vs DIV)
 





11/05 5:25pm
305 CLE 46 UNDER
306 CIN -10 *

CLE QB Manziel starts (2nd game)
CLE w/o CB, S, WR
CLE totals road (41 @NYJ, 57 @SD, 63 @BAL, 30 @STL)
CIN total home (43 SD, 57 KC, 51 SEA)
CIN looks to sweep div 1st games
WH HOME ATS 5-1-1, O/U 1-6, FAV SU 6-1
LY CLE won TNF matchup @CIN



11/08 10:00am
451 OAK 48 *
452 PIT -5 over

OAK totals road (47 @CLE, 42 @CHI, 66 @SD)
PIT totals home (61 SF, 43 BAL, 38 ARI, 26 CIN)
WH FAV SU 7-0



11/08 10:00am
453 JAC 42 *
454 NYJ -7 over

JAC CoB
JAC totals road (68 @NE, 29 @IND, 69 @TB)
NYJ totals home (41 CLE, 41 PHI, 54 WAS)
NYJ QB Fitzpatrick starts? (thumb inj)
WH FAV SU 6-1



11/08 10:00am
455 STL 40 ***
456 MIN -2½ under

STL totals road (34 @WAS, 46 @ARI, 34 @GB) O/U 1-2
MIN totals @home (36 DET, 45 SD, 26 KC) O/U 0-2-1
WH FAV ATS/SU 6-1



11/08 10:00am
457 MIA 44½ *under
458 BUF -3 *

MIA 0-fer vs DIV
MIA totals road (27 @WAS, 43 @JAC, 48 @TEN)
BUF totals home (41 IND, 72 NE, 34 NYG, 55 CIN)
BUF QB Taylor returns
BUF CoB
BUF 1-1 SU DIV
BUF sweeps? MIA
MIA splits? w/BUF



11/08 10:00am
459 TEN 47½ under
460 NO -8 ***

TEN new interim HC Mike Mularkey
TEN run O? again and again?
TEN totals road (56 @TB, 42 @CLE)
NO totals home (45 TB, 46 DAL, 52 ATL, 101 NYG)
WH alt R? D? O?



11/08 10:00am
461 WAS 52½ over
462 NE -14 *

WAS CoB
WAS totals road (53 @NYG, 44 @ATL, 54 @NYJ) scored 21,20,19
NE totals home (49 PIT, 68 JAC, 53 NYJ, 43 MIA)



11/08 10:00am
463 GB -1½ under
464 CAR 45 **

GB totals road (54 @CHI, 20 @SF ??@DEN)
CAR totals home (41 HOU, 49 NO, 43 PHI)
Prior game DEN shows league blue print to beat GB



11/08 1:05pm
465 ATL -4½ *
466 SF 45 *UNDER*

ATL GiB
ATL totals road (44 @NYG, 67 @DAL, 52 @NO, 17 @TEN)
SF GiB
SF totals home (23 MIN, 20 GB, 45 BAL, 23 SEA)
SF QB Gabbert starts (1st game this season)
WH Road/Under



11/08 1:05pm
467 NYG -2½ *
468 TB 48 ***OVER***

NYG totals road (53 @DAL, 34 @BUF, 34 @PHI, 101 @NOJ)
TB totals @home (56 TEN, 60 CAR, 69 JAC)
TB DL beat up?
WH FAV ATS/SU 6-1



11/08 1:25pm
469 DEN -4 *
470 IND 47 UNDER

DEN totals road (55 @KC, 36 @DET, 26 @OAK, 49 @CLE)
IND totals @home (27 NYJ, 29 JAC, 61 NE, 48 NO)
IND GiB
IND new OC Chudzinski (Hamilton OUT)
WH FAV ATS/SU 5-1



11/08 5:30pm
471 PHI -2½ ***
472 DAL 44½ UNDER

PHI CoB
PHI DIVg O/U 0-3
DAL won 1st DIV game 20-10
PHI splits? w/DAL
WH DOG ATS 7-0



11/09 5:30pm
473 CHI 49½ *
474 SD -4 OVER

CHI totals road (26 @CHI, 35 @KC, 71 @DET)
SD GiB
SD totals @home (61,57,44,66 DET,CLE,PIT,OAK)
SD WR Allen IR OFY
SD 'BEAT UP'
WH FAV SU 7-0

2015 - week 08 - results

TNF - NE crushing, MIA D is playing well enough, but O miscues and lack of 'fire' or play calling.... sucks looks like a loss.
note: Q1 MIA RT inj'd Q3 MIA DE Wake inj'd

TB and OAK, got upsets - as thought...
NYG @NO - so much scoring....
SEA @DAL - so little scoring...

SNF - DEN nice upset, combined w/today's trade for TE Vernon Davis - they look like a contender. GB? well... too many down the field plays, they needed to dink and dunk

MNF - CAR eventually wins in OT, but this game should've been won in Q4, but CAR D and O step off the gas and IND scores 17 pts in Q4. IND QB Luck throws his final interception of the game to setup the winning FG by CAR



It's the second week in a row that I'm above .500 ATS (8-5-1) and for totals (9-5)
for the season ATS (63-53-1) Totals (58-59-2)

2015 - week 08 - results

2015 - week 08 - picks

11/1 update: added numbers for TEN @HOU
10/28 update: changed pick from CHI/OVER to MIN/OVER

Waiting on numbers for TEN @HOU

CoB CHI CIN DEN GB
GiB ARI BAL DET HOU KC SEA

Last week teams CoB
3-1 ATS [STL,TB,OAK-DAL]
2-2 SU [STL,OAK-TB,DAL]

Last week teams GiB 
1-3 ATS [JAC-BUF,WAS,PHI]
2-2 SU [JAC,WAS-BUF,PHI]

Last week DIV:
MIN sweeps DET 
NYG splits w/DAL


10/29 5:25pm
101 MIA 51 **
102 NE -8 over



11/01 6:30am
251 DET 45½ under
252 KC -5 *

at Wembley Stadium, London, England
DET new coaches OC,OLx2
DET OC Jim Bob Cooter
DET GiB
KC GiB



11/01 10:00am
253 MIN -1 *
254 CHI 42½  over

CHI CoB
WH ROAD 6-0 ATS



11/01 10:00am
255 TB 48½ *
256 ATL -7 over

WH FAV 6-0 ATS/SU


  
11/01 10:00am
257 NYG 50 over
258 NO  -3½ *

WH FAV 6-0 SU


11/01 10:00am
259 SF 39½ *UNDER*
260 STL -8½ *****

SF CoTNF



11/01 10:00am
261 ARI -5 *
262 CLE 46 over

ARI GiB
CLE QB Manziel starts?
WH FAV 5-1 SU



11/01 10:00am
263 CIN -1½ *
264 PIT 48½ under

CIN CoB



11/01 10:00am
265 SD  50½ over
266 BAL -3 *

BAL GiB



11/01 10:00am
267 TEN 42 under
268 HOU -4 *

HOU GiB
WH FAV 5-1 ATS/SU



11/01 1:05pm
269 NYJ -2 OVER
270 OAK 44 *

WH DOG 6-0 ATS



11/01 1:25pm
271 SEA -6 ***
272 DAL 41 over

SEA CoTNF
SEA GiB
WH HOME 4-1-1 ATS
WH FAV SU 5-1
WH O/U 1-5



11/01 5:30pm
273 GB -3 *
274 DEN 46 under

GB CoB
DEN CoB
WH HOME 6-1 ATS



11/02 5:30pm
275 IND 46 under
276 CAR -7 ***

WH FAV SU 6-0

2015 - week 7 - results

TNF - 2min warning SEA leads 17-0, SF is punting again (x5). Will SEA relax in Q4? NOPE!


Much better this week ending up 9-5 ATS and for Totals as well
for the season: ATS 55-48-2 Totals 49-54-2

2015 - week 07 - results

2015 - week 7 - picks

10/25 updated numbers for PIT @KC
Waiting on numbers for PIT @KC

MIN @DET, looks like a really close game... I just wonder if DET exhausted themselves last week with their near loss at home vs CHI. MIN had an easier time @home vs KC, though I'd say it was more physical. KC has a lack of O prowness. DET should still be really hungry...

CoB DAL OAK STL TB
GiB BUF JAC PHI WAS

Last week teams CoB 4-0 ATS/SU
Last week teams GiB 
1-2-1 ATS [CIN-DEN,GB-CHI]
3-1 SU [CIN,DEN,GB-CHI]



10/22 8:25 PM
303 SEA -6½ *
304 SF 42 under?

LY SEA swept SF (19-3,17-7) L2Y 4-1 SU includes PO
WH DOG 4-1 ATS



10/25 9:30 AM
451 BUF -6 over
452 JAC 42 *

at Wembley Stadium, London, England
BUF GiB
BUF QB Manuel starts (2ndGame)
BUF arrived on Monday
JAC GiB
JAC arrived on Friday
interesting arrival dates, 
JAC treating as road game
BUF trying to adjust
BUF has won L2G 2012 34-18(@BUF), 2013 27-20 (@JAC)
??? BUF injs ???


10/25 1:00 PM
453 CLE 42 under
454 STL -5½ *

STL CoB
WH O/U 4-1



10/25 1:00 PM
455 PIT 42 *
456 KC -3 under

PIT QB L Jones starts (1stGame)
WH 5-0 FAV SU



10/25 1:00 PM
457 HOU 44 over?
458 MIA -4½ *

MIA 2nd game for new interim HC
WH F-D/FAV 4-1 ATS/SU



10/25 1:00 PM
459 NYJ 48½ under?
460 NE -9 *



10/25 1:00 PM
461 MIN -2½ OVER
462 DET 44½ *

WH 5-0 road ATS, O/U 1-4



10/25 1:00 PM
463 ATL -4 ****
464 TEN 48 **UNDER**

ATL CoTNF (10days)
TEN QB Mariota OUT?
TEN QB Mettenberger starts?
TEN OL shuffle, (C OFY)
WH F-D/FAV 3-1-1/4-1 ATS/SU, O/U 1-4



10/25 1:00 PM
465 TB 43½ *
466 WAS -3½ under

TB CoB
WAS GiB
WH DOG 5-0 ATS, O/U 1-4



10/25 1:00 PM
467 NO 52 *
468 IND -4½ over

NO CoTNF (10days)
NO won L2G 2009 31-17(SBXLIV), 2011 62-7
SoS(opponent W-L) NO>IND (21-12>16-17)
likely 30s-30s game
note: 
IND wins vs DIV, losses vs AFC E
NO SU 0-3 on the road, 2-1 at home
WH FAV 5-0 SU



10/25 4:05 PM
469 OAK 47 *
470 SD -4 *OVER*

OAK CoB
?predict 24-28?
4 scores - 4 scores



10/25 4:25 PM
471 DAL 45½ **
472 NYG -3½ over

DAL CoB
DAL QB Cassel starts
NYG CoMNF (6days)
NYG ...injs...
WH HOME 5-1 ATS, O/U 5-1
wk1 NYG 26 DAL 27, NYG wins ATS, DAL wins SU



10/25 8:30 PM
473 PHI 46 over
474 CAR -3 *

PHI GiB
PHI CoMNF (6days)
WH FAV 5-0 SU, O/U 4-1
CAR ST edge?



10/26 8:30 PM
475 BAL 48½ under
476 ARI -7½ *****

BAL ...injs...
WH FAV 5-0 ATS/SU, O/U 4-1

2015 - week 06 - results

TNF - NO gets the upset, now I wish I had changed my pick, but I forgot... sigh

So who will win?
Will MIA coming off a bye week (CoB) w/an interim HC and new DC and on the road pull off the upset @TEN?    YES!

Other teams CoB, CAR (@SEA), NYJ (vs WAS) and MIN (vs KC) YES, YES, YES

Will BAL w/their numerous injuries get the win @SF? NO

Will NYG w/their numerous injuries get the win @PHI? NO

HOU @JAC is also a tossup game for me, HOU and JAC both have their own issues. HOU will "re-start" QB Hoyer and JAC should have their MLB back. Due to injuries or less than expected defensive prowness this game may be an OVER game
  HOU/OVER combo won

First bits of winter weather this weekend: DEN @CLE, CIN @BUF, ARI @PIT, WAS @NYJ. Definitely cooler: SD @GB, MIA @TEN, KC @MIN (note: MIN in the midst of stadium building, thus they are an outdoor team this year) ONLY PIT won as a home dog and MIA won as a road dog, all other favorites won


Another less than .500 weekend ATS and I just reached .500 for TOTALS
ATS = 6-7-1
Totals = 7-7
Season ATS = 46-43-2
Season Totals = 40-49-2

Notes:
Surprise game ARI loss @PIT, PIT QB Landry Jones subs for PIT QB Vick in Q3 and promptly leads team to TD, for the rest of the half IMO Jones does really well. He needs to start next game.

I was also sorta surprised by MIA domination of TEN, but I guess MIA interim HC Campbell has a fiery personality that inspires the players.

NE did dominate the 2nd half of the game, IND got a garbage time TD to get the cover ATS

2015 - week 07 - results

2015 - week 06 - picks

10/18 update: changed pick from NYG/Under to PHI/Under
10/18 update: changed pick from WAS/Over to NYJ/Under
10/14 update: changed pick from SF/Over to BAL/Over

CoB MIA NYJ CAR MIN
GiB CHI CIN DEN GB
GiB team records:
wk3 1-1 SU 2-0 ATS* (NE* TEN*)
wk4 2-2 SU 3-1 ATS* (MIA NYJ* MIN* CAR*)
wk5 1-3 SU 1-3 ATS* (DAL OAK STL TB*)
wk6 ?-? SU ?-? ATS (CHI? CIN? DEN? GB?)

CoB
wk5 1-1 SU 2-0 ATS* (NE* TEN*)
wk6 ?-? SU ?-? ATS (MIA? NYJ? MIN? CAR?)

10/15 8:25 PM
103 ATL -3 *
104 NO 51 over 

ATL swept NO LY (@ATL 37-34 OT, @NO 30-14)



10/18 1:00 PM
251 DEN -4 ***
252 CLE 42½ *over*

DEN GiB
WH FAV 4-0 SU



10/18 1:00 PM
253 CIN -3½ ******
254 BUF 43 *UNDER*

CIN GiB
BUF QB EJ Manuel 1st start



10/18 1:00 PM
255 KC 44½ under
256 MIN -3½ **

KC O ???
MIN CoB



10/18 1:00 PM
257 HOU -1½ **
258 JAC 43 under

HOU coming off TNF
HOU QB Hoyer 2nd start
HOU swept JAC LY (@JAC 27-13, @HOU 23-17)
5TDs+3-4FGs= 38-41pts
47pts?
taking pts? prudent?
each team s/b able to run on each other



10/18 1:00 PM
259 CHI 43½ *
260 DET -3 under

CHI GiB
DET QB Stafford starts?
DET QB/RB TOs?
DET has swept L4G vs CHI 
(@DET 40-32, @CHI 21-19, @DET 10-0, @CHI 20-14)
The difference this year for CHI, HC/OC Fox/Gase
WH FAV 4-0 SU



10/18 1:00 PM
261 WAS 40½ *under*
262 NYJ -6 *

NYJ CoB
10/18 update LT, CBs OUT



10/18 1:00 PM
263 ARI -3 *
264 PIT 44½ OVER

PIT coming off MNF
PIT WR Bryant starts (off susp 4G)
PIT QB Vick 3rd start
WH DOG 4-0 ATS



10/18 1:00 PM
265 MIA 43½ *UNDER
266 TEN -2½ *

MIA interim HC Campbell 1st game
MIA players keep your job game for interim HC?
MIA CoB



10/18 4:05 PM
267 CAR 41 *
268 SEA -7 ***UNDER***

CAR CoB
SEA 3-0 SU vs CAR L3Y (all @CAR 16-12,12-7,13-9)



10/18 4:25 PM
269 SD 50 under
270 GB -10 ***

SD coming off MNF
GB GiB
AFC West (except of DEN) losing vs NFC N



10/18 4:25 PM
271 BAL -2½ *
272 SF 44 *OVER*



10/18 8:30 PM
273 NE -8½ ***
274 IND 55 UNDER

IND coming off TNF
IND QB Luck starts?



10/19 8:30 PM
275 NYG 50 **UNDER**
276 PHI -4 *

10/15 update: NYG CB, WR OUT

2015 - week 05 - results

Ouch, my pick of HOU/Under combo is the opposite if the winning IND/OVER combo... sigh
Not a good sign for the rest of the weekend. note: odds opened at IND -1 game time IND +5
HUGE losses for bettors, HUGE win for casino

Douch (double ouch) my change from PHI/Under to NO/Under is the same result as above. If I had left it alone, I would have had at least half of it right for the game

KC losing RB Charles will lower scoring or keep their games low scoring...
(this ruined my KC/Over pick as CHI/Under won)

So I ended up 6-8 ATS and 6-8 totals for the week, sub .500
I ended up with loss/loss (ATS/total) for several games - IND @HOU, CHI @KC, WAS @ATL, NO @PHI, SF@NYG

and what a dramatic finish for MNF, with PIT RB Bell scoring the game winning TD in the final seconds of the game.

2015 - week 05 - results

2015 - week 05 - picks

10/7 update:
 - numbers added for IND @HOU, looks like early bettors are taking HOU
 - changed pick from PHI/Under to NO/Under

CoB NE TEN
GiB DAL OAK STL TB

301 IND  -1 under
302 HOU  45 **

IND 'DOG 4-0 ATS
even if IND QB Luck starts, HOU s/b the right side for ATS
HOU QB Mallet starts
HOU opponent 6pt tease 4-0 ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
451 JAC 42 *
452 TB -3 **OVER**

JAC alt wins ATS LWLW?
TB GiB



10/11 1:00 PM
453 BUF -2½ ***
454 TEN 42½ under

WH OVER 3-0
BUF might lose if they do more self infliction
BUF alt wins ATS WLWL?
TEN CoB
TEN 'DOG/OVER 3-0 ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
455 CLE 43½ *
456 BAL -6½ *OVER*

CLE alt wins LWLW?
CLE OVER 4-0
BAL opponent 6pt tease 4-0 ATS
BAL should win SU, I'm not so sure ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
457 WAS 48 over
458 ATL -7½ *

WH FAV SU 4-0
WAS alt wins ATS LWLW?
ATL should win SU, I'm not so sure ATS
ATL 4-0 ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
459 CHI 45 **OVER**
460 KC -9½ *

KC should win SU, I'm not so sure ATS
KC OVER 4-0 ATS
CHI C Montgomery OFY, OL shuffle?
CHI opponent 6pt tease 4-0 ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
461 NO 49 *
462 PHI -5 *UNDER

WH FAV 4-0 ATS
NO opponent/OVER 6pt tease ATS 4-0
PHI 'DOG/UNDER 4-0 ATS


10/11 1:00 PM
463 STL 46½ under
464 GB -9½ *

STL GiB
STL another letdown game?
GB 4-0 ATS



10/11 1:00 PM
465 SEA 44 *under*
466 CIN -1 ***

CIN O = at least 4 scores, same for SEA?
CIN 4-0 ATS/SU
CIN 6pt tease OVER 4-0



10/11 4:05 PM
467 ARI -3 ***
468 DET 44 over

ARI OVER 4-0
will DET score 14 pts?



10/11 4:25 PM
469 NE -9 *
470 DAL 50 over

NE CoB
NE 2-0-1 ATS
NE 6pt tease OVER 3-0
DAL DE Hardy, LB McClain returns
DAL QB Weedon 2nd start
DAL GiB



10/11 4:25 PM
471 DEN -5½ *under
472 OAK 43½ *

WH Road 4-0 ATS
DEN LB Wolfe returns
DEN 6pt tease 4-0 ATS
OAK GiB
OAK OVER 6pt tease 4-0 ATS



10/11 8:30 PM
473 SF 43 under
474 NYG -7 *****



10/12 8:30 PM
475 PIT 45½ *
476 SD -3½ over

WH Over 3-0
PIT WR Bryant returns
PIT QB Vick start #2
PIT 6pt tease 4-0 ATS
SD TE Gates returns
SD opponent/OVER 6pt tease 4-0 ATS

2015 - week 04 - results

TNF - A game that looks like PIT kicker Scobee gave it away with two misses (just like w/Game 1 @NE) and in OT BAL gets the cover (or push if bet it later on where the number increased to -3)

Hurricane Joaquin looks to be a factor in PHI @WAS (rain, wind) and maybe NYG @BUF (gusty?)

QB shenanigans?
Late scratch IND QB Luck (Hasselbeck gets the win)
Late start CHI QB Cutler (gets the win)
and NO QB Brees starts (gets the win)

Another good week 9-6 ATS 9-5-1 for Totals, results below:

2015 - week 04 - results

NE, TEN on bye week

Bright green = UPSET winner (ATS/SU win)

Bright pink = UPSET loser (ATS/SU loss)

darker green = ATS winner (SU loss)

darker brick = ATS loser (SU win)

2015 - week 04 - picks

10/03 Update: Changed pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under,
10/03 Update: Changed pick from NYG/Over to NYG/Under,
9/30 Update: Hurricane Joaquin appears to be on track to disrupt PHI @WAS.
I might change my pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under
also RAIN? @BUF, @CHI @CIN


GiB = Going into Bye
GiB CAR MIA MIN NYJ
GiB team record ATS/SU 2-0/1-1 (NE,TEN)
WH = White Hat

10/01 8:25 PM
101 BAL -2½ under
102 PIT 44 *

PIT QB Vick start #1
BAL opponent 3-0 ATS/SU
PIT 2-0-1 ATS
PIT 3-0 6pt teaser
WH OVER 3-0



10/04 9:30 AM
251 NYJ -2 *
252 MIA 41½ under

at Wembley Stadium, England
NYJ GiB
MIA GiB
w/NYJ UNDER 6pt tease 3-0
w/MIA opponent 6pt tease 3-0 ATS
WH FAV 3-0 SU, OVER 3-0



10/04 1:00 PM
253 JAC 48 *
254 IND -9 over

w/IND dog 3-0 ATS
w/IND opponent 6pt tease 3-0 ATS
WH DOG 3-0 ATS



10/04 1:00 PM
255 HOU 46½ over
256 ATL -6½ *

w/HOU opponent 6pt tease 3-0 ATS
w/HOU UNDER 6pt tease 2-0-1
ATL 3-0 ATS/SU
HOU QB Mallett start #2
WH UNDER 3-0



10/04 1:00 PM
257 CAR -3 *
258 TB 40 under

CAR GiB
CAR 3-0 6pt teaser
CAR/Under 7pt teaser 3-0
WH UNDER 3-0



10/04 1:00 PM
259 NYG 47 *
260 BUF -6 **UNDER**

w/BUF OVER 6pt tease 3-0
WH ROAD 3-0



10/04 1:00 PM
261 OAK -3 ****
262 CHI 44 under

w/OAK OVER 3-0
CHI opponent 3-0 ATS
CHI QB Clausen start #2



10/04 1:00 PM
263 PHI -3½ under
264 WAS 47½ *

w/PHI DOG 3-0 ATS
w/PHI UNDER 6pt tease 3-0
WH OVER 3-0



10/04 1:00 PM
265 KC 44½ OVER
266 CIN -3½ ***

CIN 3-0 ATS
w/CIN OVER 6pt tease 3-0
WH FAV 3-0, SU 3-0



10/04 4:05 PM
267 CLE 45 **
268 SD -7½ under

w/CLE OVER and UNDER 6pt tease 3-0 (middler)
w/SD HomeFAV 3-0 ATS
w/SD opponent/OVER 6pt tease 3-0 ATS 
CLE QB McCown start #3
WH FAV 3-0



10/04 4:25 PM
269 GB -9 ***
270 SF 48 over

w/SF HOME 3-0 ATS 
WH HOME 3-0



10/04 4:25 PM
271 MIN 43 *under
272 DEN -6½ *

MIN GiB
w/MIN HOME 3-0 ATS
w/MIN UNDER 2-0-1
WH FAV 2-0, SU 2-0



10/04 4:25 PM
273 STL 42 under
274 ARI -6½ **

ARI/Over 3-0 ATS
WH HOME 3-0



10/04 8:30 PM
275 DAL 46½ *
276 NO -4 under

w/DAL ROAD team 3-0 ATS
w/NO OVER 6pt tease 3-0
DAL QB Weeden start #2
NO QB McCown start #2
WH ROAD 2-0



10/05 8:30 PM
277 DET 43 under
278 SEA -10 ***

w/SEA HOME 3-0 ATS

2015 - week 03 - results

ugghhh, what an ugly game, I'm talking about Thursday night WAS @NYG.
WAS played ok except for turnovers, QB questionable throws, ST snafus, player attrition and questionable play calling by OC and DC.
NYG did win, but they have just as many issues to contend with. Really ugly to watch....Way to start the weekend 0-fer... sigh


Finally, I'm above .500 ATS for the season (25-22-1) as I ended up 11-5 for the week ATS.
I also ended up above .500 for totals this week 8-7-1, I just need to rise above .500 for the season (18-29-1 - looks really tough with my rough start)

2015 - week 03 - results

2015 - week 03 - picks

note:
UPDATES 9/25: numbers for NO @CAR and DEN @DET (picks unchanged)
due to uncertainty of starting QBs of NO and DET
for games, NO @CAR and DEN @DET
numbers you see will likely be updated on Friday/Saturday

GiB = Going into Bye (NE, TEN)
WH = White Hat
AFC West, road warriors this week

Last week, wk1 TNF teams NE and PIT, wk2 results 2-0 ATS/SU
This week, wk2 TNF teams DEN and KC ?-?

09/24 8:25 PM
301 WAS 44 *
302 NYG -4 under

WAS 1st road game
w/WAS UNDER 2-0
WAS/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NYG has swept last 4 games 
w/NYG DOG 2-0 ATS
NYG Opponent/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NYG/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH ROAD 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
461 PIT -1 *****
462 STL 47½ over

PIT has won last 2 games (07, 11) by 17 and 27 pts
PIT RB Bell returns
PIT/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
STL OL average? run block
w/STL home team 2-0 ATS
WH ROAD 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
463 SD 45 *over*
464 MIN -2½ *

BIG W/L?(MIN) or CLOSE W/L?(SD) - alternating W/L
w/SD HomeFav 2-0 ATS
SD/SD opponent/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
w/MIN Home/Under 2-0 ATS
w/MIN Under only 6pt teaser 2-0. over 0-2 this season
WH FAV 2-0 SU
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS



09/27 1:00 PM
465 TB 40½ *
466 HOU -6½ ***UNDER***

teams have only play 3x, margin of victory 13,14,28 HOU leads 2-1 series
w/TB DOG 2-0 ATS
w/TB Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
HOU LG ?liability? RT? OL issues 3rd new starting 5 in 3 weeks
w/HOU OVER 2-0
HOU opponent/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
HOU opponent/Over/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
467 PHI 47½ under
468 NYJ -2½ **

PHI HC Kelly 'I was embarrassed'
PHI beat up?
PHI has swept series 9-0
w/PHI DOG/UNDER 2-0 ATS
NYJ 2-0 ATS
NYJ/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH UNDER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
469 NO 42½ ***UNDER***
470 CAR -8 **

NO QB Brees out? L McCown starts?
NO 0-2 ATS 
NO O 'turd'
CAR 2-0 ATS
CAR/Under 6pt teaser 2-0
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH UNDER 2-0
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
471 JAC 47½ under
472 NE -13½ *

JAC 1st road game
w/JAC under only 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NE has swept series 6-0
NE/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NE GiB



09/27 1:00 PM
473 CIN 44 *
474 BAL -3 over

CIN has won L3G
CIN 2-0 ATS
CIN/Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
BAL 0-2 ATS
BAL home opener
WH OVER 2-0



09/27 1:00 PM
475 OAK 42 *
476 CLE -3½ **OVER**

OAK 1st road game
w/OAK OVER 2-0
CLE has won L2G (has won L3G @CLE)
w/CLE home/over 2-0 ATS
w/CLE Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
477 IND -3½ *
478 TEN 45½ over

IND has won L3G
IND 0-2 ATS/SU
IND opponent/under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
w/TEN DOG/OVER 2-0 ATS
TEN home opener, GiB
TEN RT Warmack OUT
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
479 ATL -1 ***
480 DAL 44½ UNDER

ATL/Under 2-0 ATS
w/ATL DOG 2-0 ATS
DAL QB Brandon Weeden STARTS
DAL TE Witten?
w/DAL DOG 2-0 ATS
DAL/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 4:05 PM
481 SF 43½ over
482 ARI -6½ *

w/SF home team 2-0 ATS
ARI/Over 2-0 ATS
ARI OL starts? RT Massie? LG Iupati?
ARI PR ?



09/27 4:25 PM
483 CHI 44 **OVER**
484 SEA -14½ *
 
CHI QB Jimmy Clausen STARTS
CHI 1st road game
w/CHI Fav/Over 2-0 ATS
SEA has won L3G during regular season
w/SEA home team 2-0 ATS
w/SEA over only 6pt teaser 2-0
WH UNDER 2-0



09/27 4:25 PM
485 BUF 43½ ***
486 MIA -3 under

w/BUF Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
La Canfora on Miami 'can't run the ball and can't stop the run''horrible dynamic'
MIA DC?
w/MIA Under only 6pt teaser 2-0
MIA home opener
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 8:30 PM
487 DEN -3 *****
488 DET 44½ under?

DEN 2-0 ATS
DET has won L2G
DET QB Stafford out? Orlovsky starts?
DET DC?
DET home opener
w/DET HomeFav 2-0 ATS 
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
Question: When will DEN HC/OC Kubiak let QB Manning run his Offense all game?



09/28 8:30 PM
489 KC 49 over
490 GB -7 *

w/KC Dog/Over 2-0 ATS
w/KC Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
GB 2-0 ATS
GB/Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0
GB/opponent/Over/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season ('middle')
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU

2015 - week 02 - results

You gotta hand it to Manning & Company, they are finding ways to win. It's the 2nd week in a row the game is decided on a defensive TD. Manning is now 14-1 vs KC. KC's turnovers really killed them.


just an awful week picking sides (6-10) and totals (4-12)...
for the season ATS(14-17-1) totals (10-22)

2015 - week 02 - results

2015 - week 02 - picks

Update 9/17:
changed pick from CAR/Under to HOU/Under
changed pick from TB/Under to NO/Under
changed pick from SF/Under to PIT/Under

my picks (in bold) using an efficiency method...

09/17 8:25 PM
101 DEN 42½ *UNDER*
102 KC -3 *

DEN has swept div series L3Y



09/20 1:00 PM
261 HOU 40½ *
262 CAR -3 *under

HOU QB Mallet starts



09/20 1:00 PM
263 TB 47 *under
264 NO -10 *

09/20 1:00 PM
265 SF 45 *under*
266 PIT -6 *

09/20 1:00 PM
267 DET 43 ****
268 MIN -3 under

DET tale of two halves last week
MIN O? worst in NFL?


09/20 1:00 PM
269 NE -1 *over*
270 BUF 45 *

BUF DT Dareus returns from G1 suspension



09/20 1:00 PM
271 ARI -2½ ***
272 CHI 46 over

09/20 1:00 PM
273 TEN -1½ **
274 CLE 41½ under

CLE QB Manziel starts



09/20 1:00 PM
275 SD 46½ *over*
276 CIN -3 *

SD tale of two halves last week



09/20 1:00 PM
277 STL -3 *
278 WAS 41½ *over*

09/20 1:00 PM
279 ATL 51 **
280 NYG -2½ over

09/20 4:05 PM
281 BAL -6 *
282 OAK 43 *under*

OAK QB McGloin starts?
OAK S N Allen (knee) & C Woodson (shoulder), CB Hayden OUT?



09/20 4:05 PM
283 MIA -6 *
284 JAC 41½ **UNDER**

09/20 4:25 PM
285 DAL 55½ over
286 PHI -5 *

09/20 8:30 PM
287 SEA 48½ over
288 GB -3½ *


09/21 8:30 PM
289 NYJ 47 *
290 IND -7 over

Just for SU, picks using QB with more NFL experience

DEN
CAR
PIT
NO
DET
ARI
NE
SD
CLE
NYG
STL
MIA
BAL
DAL
GB
NYJ

2015 - week 01 - results

The opening game win for the SB champ trend continues w/NE getting the home win. PIT had a garbage time TD which made the score 21-28, it wasn't that close. 1st half miscues by PIT ST, D and O had the game in NE favor early on. PIT looked like a 20's team and with 2 missed FGs. Play calling by O was a bit curious on the first drive. PIT 2ndary has real issues.

I guess I did ok, compared to last year I did better ATS, but worse on totals.... sigh
results below:

2015 - results - week 01

In hindsight, what would have won more SU:

Just picking the older QB, the QB with more NFL experience won 11 games SU

There were a few games with ties for years of NFL experience. If you had chosen the dog in each case (SEA @STL, TEN @TB, MIA @WAS) you would have won 2 of 3 [MIA was only favorite to win SU]

Of the remaining two games (CLE @NYJ) CLE starting QB inj'd and (NO @ARI) ARI D is formidable or NO O (specifically WRs) are in a funk

ATS:
(if you just picked the QB w/more years of NFL experience, and if tied pick dog)
Again you would have won 11 game ATS, the games that bucked the trend are below:
PIT @NE = Push
CLE @NYJ = HF
MIA @WAS = RF
NO @ARI = HF
NYG @DAL = RD

As for totals... I was doing ok, until the TEN game, from there on the games were not as I envisioned them...sigh..

2015 - week 01 - picks

And so the season begins with a big 'splash' game. Will this game be over hyped? There's a lot of media attention on NE. PIT doesn't have as much, but should be focused as they will be up against the reigning SB champs. You see this every season, SB champs will be taking the toughest shots from their opponents every weekend. It's a schedule that seems to wear down most SB champs, some slower, some faster.

Here's my opening weekend picks:

09/10 8:30 PM
461 PIT 52½ *over*
462 NE -7 *

I've been going over this game flipping back and forth on my picks
for either side and with totals as well...
there are only 4 possibilities:
Fav/Over
Fav/Under
Dog/Over
Dog/Under
In the end, NE seems to be content with their OL, despite their starting center being place on IR (returnable).
They signed a CB off of MIN practice squad.
PIT D seems to be more of a mystery to me. As for PIT O, missing skilled players due to suspensions it's hard to believe they'll keep the scoring up at their previous rate from last year. It's more likely they'll return to that 31+pt scoring once the suspended players return.
Thus with my logic on scoring... PIT should score approx half of the total (26pts) to cover ATS NE will need to score 34+pts and Fav/Over will be the winning combo. Even if PIT only scores 21pts, NE will need to score 32pts for the Fav/Over combo.
I make this with the assumption that PIT will not be running the ball as much, they will be throwing the ball. If PIT runs the ball more than expected, than the over will not occur, due to running the ball shortens the game.
I do expect NE to control the majority of the game. First with passing and later on with running.
Oh well I could be wrong...



09/13 1:00 PM
463 GB -7 *****
464 CHI 49 under

09/13 1:00 PM
465 KC 41 *
466 HOU -1 over

09/13 1:00 PM
467 CLE 39½ *UNDER*
468 NYJ -3 **

09/13 1:00 PM
469 IND -2½ *
470 BUF 46 over

09/13 1:00 PM
471 MIA -4 *****
472 WAS 43½ UNDER

09/13 1:00 PM
473 CAR -3 *
474 JAC 41 *UNDER*

09/13 1:00 PM
475 SEA -4 *
476 STL 41 UNDER

09/13 4:05 PM
477 NO 48 **OVER**
478 ARI -3 *

09/13 4:05 PM
479 DET 46 *
480 SD -3 *OVER*

09/13 4:25 PM
481 TEN 41½ *
482 TB -3 under

09/13 4:25 PM
483 CIN -3½ **
484 OAK 43½ under

09/13 4:25 PM
485 BAL 48½ *
486 DEN -4 over

09/13 8:30 PM
487 NYG 51½ UNDER
488 DAL -6 *****

09/14 7:10 PM
489 PHI -3 ***
490 ATL 56 over

09/14 10:20 PM
491 MIN -2½ ****
492 SF 41½ under

2015 - random thoughts....

The 2015 season is upon us and in a couple of days the season begins....

So I'm a bit confused with PIT @NE, the first game of the regular season awaiting my picks....

Right now I see NE favored by -7 and a total of 51.5 for most 'vegas sports books.

I'm confused by the similarities, neither team will have their starting Center and their secondaries are not as tested as last years version.

Is the emotion edge really with NE? (due to the recent court victory for QB Brady w/'deflate gate').

IMO NE QB Brady was not in sync w/the majority of WRs during preseason and PIT QB Roethlisberger was only slightly better w/his set of WRs

So I decided to look at last year and prior years records, so what better way than to review the '2015 NFL Record and Fact Book' (http://www.nfl.com/static/content/public/photo/2015/07/21/0ap3000000502939.pdf)

And though for the most part it's accurate (I guess, I reviewed it for about an hour or so...) I did find inaccuracies. Take for instance winning percentage, the formula should be wins divided by total games played, but I found instances where the calculated winning percentage did not include all games. In fact if you look at teams that had ties during the regular season. In this case I was reviewing Active coaches, I noted the above error where tied games were not included in the winning percentage, thus boosting the winning percentage of some coaches (page 27 for pdf reader, page 26 of the book).

I also noted an inaccuracy in TV markets where San Antonio is considered an NFL market, which is really odd to me since they don't have an NFL team in their market (starts on page 321).

So should I really consider this book as "factual"??? At 851 pages I guess inaccuracies will creep in with various editors. It's so massive they've included 'Digest of rules' and 'Official signals'.

I do like the Sunday Night Football All Time Standings for the AFC and NFC, as well as the Monday Night records as well. 'Inside the Numbers' is also interesting with 'Records of teams on Kickoff Weekend' (page 302) [CLE has lost 10 straight games for their openers, HOU has the longest win streak with 5 wins]. 'Starting Records of Active NFL QBs' is another gem (page 312). Records after Bye weeks (page 314) could be useful

and what did I review for this upcoming Thursday Night game on CBS? I looked at NE vs PIT regular season and in the past 10 or so years NE holds the edge (as well as in the post season) see 'All Time Records Team vs Team' (starts on page 403, NE vs PIT 465-466).

The home team has won the last 11 of 13 games for Opening Kickoff games (page 513)

Maybe useful???
Thanksgiving day results (page 521)
Interconference Games (page 522)

SU I guess NE is the pick, the question is will they cover -7? The total seems to be a bit high to me at 51.5, but if you consider both teams secondaries maybe this game will go over...

So the choices are NE/Over, NE/Under, PIT/Over, PIT/Under - an automatic 25% chance of picking the right combo...

Which combo will double your money???

2014 - week 22 - playoffs week 4, SB 49 - results

Wow, I'd like to say it was a game for the ages.

NE and Over the total won the money.

Just really odd to me 66 seconds to go ball on the 5 for SEA after what some will call a fluke catch by SEA WR.

I expected 3 or 4 running plays from SEA. NE is ahead 28-24, I guess every football fanatic will be questioning the SEA OC. SEA did gain 4 yds on 1st and goal, then the curious call for a slant pass on 2nd and goal. It's intercepted by NE and it's now end of story for NE especially after SEA D gets an encroachment penalty, which pushes the ball out to the 6 yd line and gives Brady and company the cushion for our traditional kneel.

Well the SB 49 champs are NE and the 2014 season comes to a close.

SEA and BAL will be tough to beat next season.

My playoff record this season just sucks....sigh...

Minor comment - the referees did not have the greatest of games, several non-calls or incorrect calls were made.

just one other comment Brady won the MVP, but NE won despite Brady's 2 ints. If anyone I'd vote for the CB Butler and of course my headline would be "The Butler did it",

2014 - week 22 - playoffs week 4, SB 49 - picks

early post.... and you'll noticed the bettors are putting their $$$ on NE
hopefully I'll remember to post my picks....

So I'm a bit late, but it's SEA and Under for me....

02/01 6:30 PM
101 NE -1 
102 SEA 48½ 






opened
101 NE  48½
102 SEA -3

2014 - week 20 - PO week 3 - picks

So I'm either crazy or a ...

01/18 3:05 PM
301 GB 47 *
302 SEA -7 under

strength vs strength, GB O vs SEA D



01/18 6:40 PM
303 IND 54 *
304 NE -7 over

IND underestimated?
NE lucky last week?

2014 - week 19 results

a lot better this week with picks (compared to last week). I ended up 2-2 ATS and for totals as well
So far home teams winning 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
CAR @SEA ended with up with a much higher total than expected due to SEA scoring on TO. And setting their Offense with a short field to score.
BAL and DAL, played well, but not good enough to win.
IND has 'arrived', they appear ready for NE

2014 - week 19 - playoffs week 2 - picks

so I hope this week will be better...

01/10 4:35 PM
111 BAL 49 OVER
112 NE -7 *

what PIT wouldn't do (just pass)
NE will do (NE in prior games vs BAL)



01/10 8:15 PM
113 CAR 40½ ***UNDER***
114 SEA -11 *

Just hard to see CAR getting any control in this game



01/11 1:05 PM
117 DAL 53 *UNDER*
118 GB -6½ *

should I take pts? DAL is good on the road



01/11 4:40 PM
119 IND 53½ *
120 DEN -7 *OVER*

Is this the 'young team' vs the 'old team'?

2014 - week 18 - results

OUCH! in hindsight if I had paid attention to my Offensive efficiency and Defensive efficiency, I would have picked 3/4 correct (ATS/total)... sigh...

as it is I have a 2014 PO record of 1-3 ATS and 0-3-1 for totals, OUCH!

only ARI @CAR ended up a bit predictable ATS

other thoughts...
CIN may be done, their window of opportunity to get to SB is shrinking, the same could be said for DET and perhaps ARI. IND looks like they'll be a perennial PO contender.

I wonder if DAL will get another opportunity next season? BAL and PIT are still status quo as PO contenders.