2015 - week 01 - picks

And so the season begins with a big 'splash' game. Will this game be over hyped? There's a lot of media attention on NE. PIT doesn't have as much, but should be focused as they will be up against the reigning SB champs. You see this every season, SB champs will be taking the toughest shots from their opponents every weekend. It's a schedule that seems to wear down most SB champs, some slower, some faster.

Here's my opening weekend picks:

09/10 8:30 PM
461 PIT 52½ *over*
462 NE -7 *

I've been going over this game flipping back and forth on my picks
for either side and with totals as well...
there are only 4 possibilities:
Fav/Over
Fav/Under
Dog/Over
Dog/Under
In the end, NE seems to be content with their OL, despite their starting center being place on IR (returnable).
They signed a CB off of MIN practice squad.
PIT D seems to be more of a mystery to me. As for PIT O, missing skilled players due to suspensions it's hard to believe they'll keep the scoring up at their previous rate from last year. It's more likely they'll return to that 31+pt scoring once the suspended players return.
Thus with my logic on scoring... PIT should score approx half of the total (26pts) to cover ATS NE will need to score 34+pts and Fav/Over will be the winning combo. Even if PIT only scores 21pts, NE will need to score 32pts for the Fav/Over combo.
I make this with the assumption that PIT will not be running the ball as much, they will be throwing the ball. If PIT runs the ball more than expected, than the over will not occur, due to running the ball shortens the game.
I do expect NE to control the majority of the game. First with passing and later on with running.
Oh well I could be wrong...



09/13 1:00 PM
463 GB -7 *****
464 CHI 49 under

09/13 1:00 PM
465 KC 41 *
466 HOU -1 over

09/13 1:00 PM
467 CLE 39½ *UNDER*
468 NYJ -3 **

09/13 1:00 PM
469 IND -2½ *
470 BUF 46 over

09/13 1:00 PM
471 MIA -4 *****
472 WAS 43½ UNDER

09/13 1:00 PM
473 CAR -3 *
474 JAC 41 *UNDER*

09/13 1:00 PM
475 SEA -4 *
476 STL 41 UNDER

09/13 4:05 PM
477 NO 48 **OVER**
478 ARI -3 *

09/13 4:05 PM
479 DET 46 *
480 SD -3 *OVER*

09/13 4:25 PM
481 TEN 41½ *
482 TB -3 under

09/13 4:25 PM
483 CIN -3½ **
484 OAK 43½ under

09/13 4:25 PM
485 BAL 48½ *
486 DEN -4 over

09/13 8:30 PM
487 NYG 51½ UNDER
488 DAL -6 *****

09/14 7:10 PM
489 PHI -3 ***
490 ATL 56 over

09/14 10:20 PM
491 MIN -2½ ****
492 SF 41½ under