Wednesday, September 23, 2015

2015 - week 03 - picks

note:
UPDATES 9/25: numbers for NO @CAR and DEN @DET (picks unchanged)
due to uncertainty of starting QBs of NO and DET
for games, NO @CAR and DEN @DET
numbers you see will likely be updated on Friday/Saturday


GiB = Going into Bye (NE, TEN)
WH = White Hat
AFC West, road warriors this week

Last week, wk1 TNF teams NE and PIT, wk2 results 2-0 ATS/SU
This week, wk2 TNF teams DEN and KC ?-?



09/24 8:25 PM
301 WAS 44 *
302 NYG -4 under

WAS 1st road game
w/WAS UNDER 2-0
WAS/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NYG has swept last 4 games 
w/NYG DOG 2-0 ATS
NYG Opponent/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NYG/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH ROAD 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
461 PIT -1 *****
462 STL 47½ over

PIT has won last 2 games (07, 11) by 17 and 27 pts
PIT RB Bell returns
PIT/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
STL OL average? run block
w/STL home team 2-0 ATS
WH ROAD 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
463 SD 45 *over*
464 MIN -2½ *

BIG W/L?(MIN) or CLOSE W/L?(SD) - alternating W/L
w/SD HomeFav 2-0 ATS
SD/SD opponent/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
w/MIN Home/Under 2-0 ATS
w/MIN Under only 6pt teaser 2-0. over 0-2 this season
WH FAV 2-0 SU
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS



09/27 1:00 PM
465 TB 40½ *
466 HOU -6½ ***UNDER***

teams have only play 3x, margin of victory 13,14,28 HOU leads 2-1 series
w/TB DOG 2-0 ATS
w/TB Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
HOU LG ?liability? RT? OL issues 3rd new starting 5 in 3 weeks
w/HOU OVER 2-0
HOU opponent/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
HOU opponent/Over/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
467 PHI 47½ under
468 NYJ -2½ **

PHI HC Kelly 'I was embarrassed'
PHI beat up?
PHI has swept series 9-0
w/PHI DOG/UNDER 2-0 ATS
NYJ 2-0 ATS
NYJ/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH UNDER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
469 NO 42½ ***UNDER***
470 CAR -8 **

NO QB Brees out? L McCown starts?
NO 0-2 ATS 
NO O 'turd'
CAR 2-0 ATS
CAR/Under 6pt teaser 2-0
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH UNDER 2-0
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
471 JAC 47½ under
472 NE -13½ *

JAC 1st road game
w/JAC under only 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NE has swept series 6-0
NE/Over 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
NE GiB



09/27 1:00 PM
473 CIN 44 *
474 BAL -3 over

CIN has won L3G
CIN 2-0 ATS
CIN/Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
BAL 0-2 ATS
BAL home opener
WH OVER 2-0



09/27 1:00 PM
475 OAK 42 *
476 CLE -3½ **OVER**

OAK 1st road game
w/OAK OVER 2-0
CLE has won L2G (has won L3G @CLE)
w/CLE home/over 2-0 ATS
w/CLE Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
477 IND -3½ *
478 TEN 45½ over

IND has won L3G
IND 0-2 ATS/SU
IND opponent/under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
w/TEN DOG/OVER 2-0 ATS
TEN home opener, GiB
TEN RT Warmack OUT
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 1:00 PM
479 ATL -1 ***
480 DAL 44½ UNDER

ATL/Under 2-0 ATS
w/ATL DOG 2-0 ATS
DAL QB Brandon Weeden STARTS
DAL TE Witten?
w/DAL DOG 2-0 ATS
DAL/Under 6pt teaser 2-0 this season
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU



09/27 4:05 PM
481 SF 43½ over
482 ARI -6½ *

w/SF home team 2-0 ATS
ARI/Over 2-0 ATS
ARI OL starts? RT Massie? LG Iupati?
ARI PR ?



09/27 4:25 PM
483 CHI 44 **OVER**
484 SEA -14½ *
 
CHI QB Jimmy Clausen STARTS
CHI 1st road game
w/CHI Fav/Over 2-0 ATS
SEA has won L3G during regular season
w/SEA home team 2-0 ATS
w/SEA over only 6pt teaser 2-0
WH UNDER 2-0



09/27 4:25 PM
485 BUF 43½ ***
486 MIA -3 under

w/BUF Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
La Canfora on Miami 'can't run the ball and can't stop the run''horrible dynamic'
MIA DC?
w/MIA Under only 6pt teaser 2-0
MIA home opener
WH FAV 2-0 ATS
WH OVER 2-0
WH FAV 2-0 SU



09/27 8:30 PM
487 DEN -3 *****
488 DET 44½ under?

DEN 2-0 ATS
DET has won L2G
DET QB Stafford out? Orlovsky starts?
DET DC?
DET home opener
w/DET HomeFav 2-0 ATS 
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
Question: When will DEN HC/OC Kubiak let QB Manning run his Offense all game?



09/28 8:30 PM
489 KC 49 over
490 GB -7 *

w/KC Dog/Over 2-0 ATS
w/KC Over only 6pt teaser 2-0
GB 2-0 ATS
GB/Over/Under 6pt teaser 2-0
GB/opponent/Over/Under 7pt teaser 2-0 this season ('middle')
WH HOME 2-0 ATS
WH DOG 2-0 ATS
WH FAV 0-2 SU


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