2013 - week 10 - picks

GB 14-2 vs division SU
this week, NONE

'SEA hangover' teams the week after playing SEA 1-7 SU/ATS
this week, TB

NFC East 7-14 SU vs non-division opponents
this week, WAS @MIN, DAL @NO, PHI @GB, OAK @NYG

TEAMS w/10 days rest 11-5 ATS/SU
W (BAL,DEN,NYJ,NE,KC,SF,STL,NYG,ARI,SEA*,CAR) 
L [PHI,BUF,CLE,CHI,TB**]
* indicates lost ATS
** indicates won ATS
TEAMS w/10 days rest (10Dr)*=11Dr
this week CIN MIA*


Teams Going into Bye 13-11 SU
Teams Going into Bye 12-12 ATS
W (CAR,MIN,WAS,SD,DEN,NYG,DET*,SF,ARI,CLE,KC,NE,NYJ) 
L [GB,PIT,TB,MIA,ATL,NO,OAK,CHI,HOU,TEN,JAC]
* indicates lost ATS
Teams Going into Bye (GiB) 
this week, DAL STL


Teams Coming Off Bye 5-5 ATS/SU  
W (GB,PIT,ATL,NO,OAK,CHI,IND,TEN) 
L [CAR,MIN,WAS,TB,MIA,BAL,HOU,SD]
Teams Coming Off Bye  (CoB) 
this week, ARI DEN DET JAC NYG SF

11/10 1:00 PM
203 JAC 41 *UNDER*
204 TEN -13 ?*

CoB JAC
?TAKE PTS?


11/10 1:00 PM
205 PHI 54½ *
206 GB -9½ under

GB QB Wallace starts (preseason game 1)


11/10 1:00 PM
207 BUF 41 *OVER*
208 PIT -3½ *

BUF QB Tuel starts (preseason game 2)
11/7 update: BUF QB Manuel starts


11/10 1:00 PM
209 OAK 43½ under
210 NYG -7 *

CoB NYG


11/10 1:00 PM
211 STL 43½ *
212 IND -10 UNDER

GiB STL
STL QB Clemens starts (preseason game 3)
Taking pts, just not comfortable w/IND O, really sputtering w/o WR Wayne


11/10 1:00 PM
213 SEA -6½ under
214 ATL 44 *

??TAKE THE PTS??
ATL has won last 3 games vs SEA (including playoffs)



11/10 1:00 PM
215 CIN -1½ *UNDER*
216 BAL 44 *

10Dr CIN
LY series split, home teams wins
CIN injuries taking a toll on D?
if CIN has a 3rd pony to ride on O, they'll win if not, it's a road loss
unless of course BAL keeps going 3 wide, I suspect with the start of the '2nd season' (9th game) and their record 3-5 and CIN leading their division w/6-3, that BAL will return to ol' school



11/10 1:00 PM
217 DET -2½ ****OVER****
218 CHI 50 *

CoB DET
CHI QB McCown starts (preseason game 2)
series split? home team wins? wk4 DET @home won 40-32
11/7 update: CHI QB Cutler starts


11/10 4:05 PM
219 CAR 42½ UNDER
220 SF -6 *

CoB SF


11/10 4:25 PM
221 HOU 41 *
222 ARI -2½ UNDER

HOU QB Keenum starts (preseason game 3)
3rd tough D in a row for HOU QB Keenum
motivation: DEN 1st game w/o HC Kubiak, DC Phillips interim HC
CoB ARI


11/10 4:25 PM
223 DEN -7 under
224 SD 57½ *

CoB DEN
Both teams know each others O, so should this game be UNDER?
I initially picked OVER, but thought better of it
motivation: DEN 1st game w/o HC Fox, DC Del Rio interim HC


11/10 8:30 PM
225 DAL 53 *
226 NO -7 *OVER*

GiB DAL
NO has yet to lose at home this season and coming off a loss
DAL coming off a 'lucky' home win, they'll need more than luck to win on the road.
DAL 1-3 SU on the road, 3-1 ATS 
?TAKE pts?


11/11 8:40 PM
227 MIA -3 *UNDER?
228 TB 41 *

11Dr MIA
Both teams coming off of OT games, MIA won, TB loss
If TB has not quit on Coach Schiano, I suspect this is a desperate team, they played over their heads on the road at SEA, MIA barely got the win last week AND plays better @home, this game is on the road.
MIA OL controversy, G Incognito OUT, T Martin OUT, coaching ordered '?code red?', media circus, 

it's always a bet against w/drama on a team.