Wednesday, November 14, 2012

2012 - week 11 - picks (includes Thursday)

11/15 8:25 PM

305 MIA 45½ UNDER
306 BUF -1½ *

MIA D appears to be injured, but not listed on injury reports. For example I recall watchin' NT Soliai come out of a game a couple weeks ago (or was it more?). Perhaps there's more under reporting of inj's by MIA
BUF has a number of inj's but has played much better on O the past 2 games. Changing directions? BUF appears to be going UP and MIA DOWN

mid 30's, near freezing temperatures


11/18 1:00 PM
411 PHI 43½ OVER
412 WAS -3½ ***

PHI QB Foles(rookie) to start
CoB WAS
Rookie QBs to start against weak D's, we should see more scoring, edge goes to home team


11/18 1:00 PM
413 GB -3½ *
414 DET 51½ over?

CoB GB
GB should be way UP for this game, considering game @ DET last year (Thanksgiving w/DET DT Suh foot stomp on leg of GB OL Dietrich-Smith)
DET appears to have shored up 2ndary w/pick up of CB Lee and activation of CB Florence


11/18 1:00 PM
415 ARI 44 *
416 ATL -10 UNDER

CoB ARI
I don't think ARI will win due to inj's on D, but ATL win by 10pts? ATL seems to play tight games at home


11/18 1:00 PM
417 TB -1½ ***
418 CAR 48½ UNDER

CAR ST coach FIRED, desperate move/change


11/18 1:00 PM
419 CLE 43½ UNDER
420 DAL -7½ *

CoB CLE
MUST WIN for DAL to stay in playoff contention I'm not sure giving up the 1/2 pt is a smart thing


11/18 1:00 PM
421 NYJ 38½ UNDER
422 STL -3 ***

NYJ O would need significant improvement to win
STL plays inspired, NYJ could put you to sleep

NYJ 0-2 vs NFC West, scoring 7 allowing 62
STL 0-2 vs AFC East, scoring 21 allowing 62

NYJ p/u of RB Kahlil Bell, how much will he play?


11/18 4:25 PM
423 IND 53½ *
424 NE -9½ over

NE maybe taking IND lightly with NYJ up on deck for next week


11/18 1:00 PM
425 JAC 40½ UNDER
426 HOU -15½ *

HOU @home has won by 20,24,30,12 and lost by 18 (GB) it's either win big or lose big


11/18 1:00 PM
427 CIN -3½ under
428 KC 43½ *

KC has lost 6 straight, but has played AFC North opponents well, losing by 3pts to PIT and BAL, just a hunch, but this maybe the upset KC needs - its the desperate win


11/18 4:05 PM
429 NO -4½ *
430 OAK 54½ OVER

Really thought of taking OAK, but their D is stinkin' up the joint ....


11/18 4:25 PM
431 SD 48½ UNDER
432 DEN -7½ ***

One team is on the UP swing, the other ... trying not to roll down hill to fast


11/18 8:30 PM
433 BAL -3½ over?
434 PIT 41 *

PIT QB Leftwich starts
Taking the dog... I'm thinking PIT will run more and BAL D will suffer. PIT D has learned to win w/o Polamalu


11/19 8:40 PM
435 CHI 39 Under
436 SF -4½ *

CHI QB Campbell to start
SF QB Kaepernick to start


NO TEAM Going into bye week

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