Wednesday, October 23, 2013

2013 - week 08 - picks

Trends:
'SEA hangover' teams the week after playing SEA 0-6 SU/ATS
this week ARI

NFC East 4-12 SU vs non-division opponents
this week, DAL @DET, WAS @DEN

TEAMS w/10 days rest 8-4 ATS/SU
 W (BAL,DEN,NYJ,NE,KC,SF,STL,NYG) 
 L [PHI,BUF,CLE,CHI] 
this week SEA ARI

Teams Going into Bye 4-10 ATS/SU 
W(CAR,MIN,WAS,SD) 
L[GB,PIT,TB,MIA,ATL,NO,OAK,CHI,HOU,TEN]
Teams Going into Bye (GiB) JAC, DEN, NYG, DET, SF, ARI

Teams Coming Off Bye 3-5 ATS/SU
 W(GB,PIT,ATL) 
 L (CAR,MIN,WAS,TB,MIA) 
Teams Coming Off Bye (CoB) NO, OAK





10/27 1:00 PM
209 SF -16½ *
210 JAC 41 under

@Wembly Stadium, London, England
JAC HC Bradley disappointed in lack of effort for last weeks game vs SD
10/21 update: JAC HC Bradley has left team due to fathers passing away
JAC interim HC DB coach DeWayne Walker
GiB JAC
GiB SF
JAC got 28pts vs DEN and they covered, so why pick against them?
SF D, they are the reason and this game is essentially another road game for JAC so no home crowd, not that they get that much of an advantage at home.
On the road and in another country I think we'll see SF have more fans than JAC.
BTW I picked JAC to cover when they were getting 28pts (see week 6)

10/27 1:00 PM
211 DAL 51 *
212 DET -3 OVER

GiB DET
DET OL injuries


10/27 1:00 PM
213 NYG 53 *
214 PHI -6 under

GiB NYG
PHI QB Vick?
series split?


10/27 1:00 PM
215 CLE 39½ ***UNDER***
216 KC -7 *****

CLE QB Campbell starts (preseason game 1)
CLE QB Carousel
This should be -17½


10/27 1:00 PM
217 BUF 50½ *
218 NO -12½ *UNDER

NO TE Graham starts?
CoB NO
this might be the most interesting game of the week
due to BUF HC Marrone (xNO OC 06-08)


10/27 1:00 PM
219 MIA 45½ *
220 NE -6½ *under

MIA OL shuffle? new LT, old LT->RT?
can NE cover? I expect MIA to lose due to errors
10/25 update: changed pick from MIA/OVER to MIA/UNDER


10/27 4:05 PM
221 NYJ 41 *
222 CIN -6½ *under*

NYJ just not as good/lucky on the road, but...
CIN CB Hall IR OFY


10/27 4:05 PM
223 PIT -3 *under?
224 OAK 40½ *

CoB OAK
This game could go over. ST play for both PIT and OAK are both down this year.


10/27 4:25 PM
225 WAS 58½ *
226 DEN -13 ***OVER***

WAS FS Meriweather OUT
WAS SS Doughty out?
GiB DEN
10/24 update: changed pick from DEN/OVER to WAS/OVER


10/27 4:25 PM
227 ATL 45 ******
228 ARI -2½ **over**

GiB ARI
ATL bet on 1st half, bet against 2nd half
TO's will kill ARI chances



10/27 8:30 PM
229 GB -9½ *
230 MIN 46½ under

MIN QB Ponder returns (after 4 weeks)
MIN QB Carousel
MIN desperate moves @QB, but team isn't playing desperate


10/28 8:40 PM
231 SEA -10½ *
232 STL 42½ under

SEA FB Robinson returns
STL QB Clemens starts (preseason game 1)



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