2016 - week 17 - picks

aaahhh... the last week of the regular season - just as tough to pick (well at least for me) this week as last week...

01/01 1:00 PM
301 HOU 40 *under*
302 TEN -3 *

HOU QB Savage starts (2nd)
TEN QB Cassel starts (1st)



01/01 1:00 PM
303 BUF -6½ **under**
304 NYJ 44 *

BUF interim HC OC Lynn
BUF HC Ryan fired
BUF QB Manuel starts
NYJ QB Ftzpatrick starts



01/01 1:00 PM
305 BAL 41½ *
306 CIN -2½ *under*

BAL WR Smith last game (retires?)
BAL sweeps?
CIN splits?



01/01 4:25 PM
307 NYG 44 *
308 WAS -8 over

NYG in PO spot
NYG splits?
WAS sweeps?
WAS must win for chance @PO spot



01/01 8:30 PM
309 GB -3 ***OVER***
310 DET 46½ *

winner NFC North champ
GB sweeps?
DET splits?



01/01 1:00 PM
311 JAC 47 ***over***
312 IND -4½ *

JAC RBs OUT who starts?
JAC sweeps?
IND splits?



01/01 1:00 PM
313 DAL 42½ under
314 PHI -6 *

DAL sweeps?
PHI splits?



01/01 1:00 PM
315 CHI 41 under
316 MIN -5½ *

CHI sweeps?
MIN splits?



01/01 1:00 PM
317 CAR 46½ *
318 TB -6½ over

CAR splits?
TB sweeps?
TB must win for chance @PO spot



01/01 1:00 PM
319 CLE 44 *
320 PIT -7 under

CLE splits?
PIT sweeps?



01/01 4:25 PM
321 NO 56 ***over***
322 ATL -7 *

NO splits?
ATL sweeps?
ATL win/loss could affect PO seeding



01/01 1:00 PM
323 NE -9½ over
324 MIA 44½ ***

NE likely AFC #1 seed
NE sweeps?
MIA splits?
MIA in PO spot, could move up a knotch
MIA QB Moore starts (2nd)
MIA HC Gase we're not resting starters



01/01 4:25 PM
325 ARI -6½ *
326 LA 41 under

ARI splits?
LA sweeps?



01/01 4:25 PM
327 KC -5 *
328 SD 45½ over

KC either AFC West champ or PO berth
KC sweeps?
SD splits?



01/01 4:25 PM
329 SEA -9½ *
330 SF 43 under

SEA win/loss could affect PO seeding
SEA win #2 seed
SEA loss #3? seed
SEA sweeps?
SF splits?



01/01 4:25 PM
331 OAK 41½ under
332 DEN -2½ *

OAK QB McGloin starts (1st)
OAK either AFC West champ or PO berth
OAK sweeps?
DEN splits?

2016 - week 16 - results

not a good week... a sub .500 weekend..

week 16 results:
ATS: 7-9
Totals: 6-9-1


and what are the chances of having identical ATS and Totals records???

for the season:
ATS: 122-111-6
Totals:  122-111-6

2016 - week 16 - picks

The games with playoff motivation are easy to spot, the games w/o motivation are much tougher to predict...

12/22 8:25 PM
101 NYG -2½ *
102 PHI 41½ under

wk9 NYG won 28-23 vs PHI
sweep?
sub-freezing, windy


12/24 1:00 PM
103 WAS -3½ *under*
104 CHI 45½ *

WAS CoMNF (6 days between games)
WAS vs NFC N 2-1 SU/ATS (MIN,GB-DET)
CHI vs NFC E 0-3 SU 1-2 ATS (PHI,DAL,NYG)
cloudy, cold


12/24 1:00 PM
105 MIA 42 *
106 BUF -4 over

wk7 MIA won 28-25 vs BUF
MIA ST 2wks-in-a-row block
sweep?
RAIN, gusty? cold



12/24 4:25 PM
107 TB 52½ * 
108 NO -3 under

wk14 TB won 16-11 vs NO
sweep?



12/24 1:00 PM
109 ATL -2½ *over*
110 CAR 52 *

ATL w/win clinch div and PO berth
CAR spoiler?
CAR CoMNF (6 days between games)
wk4 ATL won 48-33 vs CAR
split?



12/24 1:00 PM
111 MIN 43 over
112 GB -6½ *

wk2 MIN won 17-14 vs GB
split?
cold, sun/cloud


12/24 1:00 PM
113 NYJ 44 *
114 NE -16½ *under*

NE should win SU, but ATS?
wk12 NE won 22-17 @NYJ
sweep?
RAIN, windy



12/24 1:00 PM
115 TEN -5 ***
116 JAC 44 under

TEN will run over JAC
JAC HC Bradley fired
wk8 TEN won 36-22 vs JAC
sweep?



12/24 1:00 PM
117 SD -6 under
118 CLE 44 *

Peer Game
SD 0-1 SU/ATS (MIA)
CLE 0-1 SU 1-0 ATS (TEN)
RAIN? windy



12/24 4:05 PM
119 IND 53 *
120 OAK -3½ *over*

IND vs AFC W 1-2 SU/ATS (SD-DEN,KC)
OAK vs AFC S 3-0 SU/ATS
WH road 10-3-1 dog 10-3-1



12/24 4:25 PM
121 SF 40 under
122 LA -3½ *

SF inj's
wk1 SF won 28-0 vs LA
split?
WH FAV SU 9-4



12/24 4:25 PM
123 ARI 43 *
124 SEA -8½ *under*

wk7 ARI tie 6-6 vs SEA
WH FAV SU 11-2



12/24 8:25 PM
125 CIN 41 **UNDER**
126 HOU -1½ *

CIN LB Burfict OUT?
CIN LG Boling OUT?
Peer Game
CIN 0-1 SU/ATS (DEN)
HOU 0-1 SU/ATS (NE)
HOU QB Savage starts (1st) (nice Q4 comeback win last week vs JAC)



12/25 4:30 PM
127 BAL 44 under
128 PIT -5 *

wk9 BAL won 21-14 vs PIT
split?
rain? wind?



12/25 8:30 PM
129 DEN 37½ ***under***
130 KC -3½ *

wk12 KC won 30-27 @DEN
sweep?
RAIN, GUSTY, COLD, clears?



12/26 8:30 PM
131 DET 43 over
132 DAL -7 *

DET inj's?
DET vs NFC E 2-1 SU/ATS (PHI,WAS-NYG)
DAL vs NFC N 3-0 SU 2-1 ATS (CHI,GB,MIN)

2016 - week 15 - results

A really nice weekend ATS, but not nice at all for Totals.
(note: if I had not changed my pick for GB @CHI, I'd have a better record, then again if I had left my pick for JAC @HOU alone I would have had a worse record..

week 15 results:
ATS: 12-3-1
Totals: 6-8-2


for the season:
ATS: 115-102-6
Totals: 116-102-5

2016 - week 15 - picks

Update 12/17 changed HOU/Under to JAC/Under
Update 12/16 changed CHI/Over to GB/Under due to weather
I'm a bit tired, wish I could be more thorough...

12/15 8:25 PM
301 LA 38½ *under*
302 SEA -15 *

LA HC Fisher fired
?20-10?



12/17 8:25 PM
303 MIA -2½ *
304 NYJ 38½ over

MIA QB Moore starts
NYJ inj's
wk9 MIA won 27-23 vs NYJ
MIA vs div SU/ATS 2-1
NYJ vs div SU 1-2 ATS 2-1
?27-24?



12/18 8:30 PM
305 TB 46 *
306 DAL -7 **under**

PEER game
wk10 TB won 36-10 vs CHI (wk7 won 34-17 @SF)
wk4 DAL won 24-17 @SF (wk3 won 31-17 vs CHI



12/18 1:00 PM
307 DET 41½ *under*
308 NYG -4½ *

DET QB Stafford finger ?limited?
DET vs NFC E SU/ATS 2-0
NYG vs NFC N SU 1-2 ATS 0-2-1
NYG last game @home SU 6-1 ATS 3-4
DET on the road SU 3-3 ATS 4-2



12/18 1:00 PM
309 PHI 41½ *under*
310 BAL -6 *

PHI inj's
BAL CoMNF



12/18 1:00 PM
311 GB -7 *
312 CHI 41 **under**

wk7 GB won 26-10 vs CHI
CHI WR Jeffery returns
GB SU on moneyline, I don't expect them to lose SU
just ATS loss



12/18 1:00 PM
313 IND 45 *
314 MIN -4 over

IND inj's
IND on the road SU 3-3 ATS 3-2-1
IND vs NFC N SU/ATS 2-1
MIN vs AFC S SU/ATS 3-0
MIN @home SU 4-2 ATS 5-1



12/18 1:00 PM
315 CLE 42 *under*
316 BUF -10 *

CLE QB RGIII 3rd start (2nd in a row)



12/18 1:00 PM
317 TEN 42½ *
318 KC -5½ ***UNDER***

TEN CoTNF (10 days rest)
PLAYOFF implications



12/18 1:00 PM
319 JAC 39½ *
320 HOU -6 *under*

wk10 HOU WON 24-21 @JAC
WH road dog ATS 9-3-1
not a game to bet on...



12/18 4:05 PM
321 NO 50½ *
322 ARI -2½ **over**

NO on the road SU 2-4, ATS 5-1
NO 3-0 vs NFC W 
ARI last game @home SU 4-2-1 W-L-T ATS 3-4
ARI 1-2 vs NFC S (win TB, lost CAR ATL)
?27-24?


12/18 4:05 PM
323 SF 51½ ***UNDER***
324 ATL -13½ ***

SF injs



12/18 4:25 PM
325 NE -3 ***
326 DEN 44 *under*

PEER game
NE CoMNF
NE on the road SU 6-0 ATS 5-1
DEN @home SU/ATS 4-2



12/18 4:25 PM
327 OAK -3 *****
328 SD 50 over

OAK CoTNF (10 days rest)
OAK on the road SU/ATS 5-1
SD inj's
wk5 OAK won 34-31 vs SD



12/18 1:00 PM
329 PIT -3 *
330 CIN 44 under

wk2 PIT won 24-16 vs CIN
PIT vs DIV SU/ATS 2-1
PIT final road game SU/ATS 4-3
CIN vs DIV SU/ATS 2-2
CIN @home SU 3-2-1 ATS 3-3



12/19 8:30 PM
331 CAR 51 over
332 WAS -4½ *

PEER Game
wk3 (Peer game 1) CAR lost vs MIN
wk13 (Peer game 1) WAS lost @ARI
CAR on the road, SU 1-5 ATS 1-4-1
WAS @home SU/ATS 4-2
WAS has inj's but CAR has not played very well in road games

2016 - week 14 - results

just above .500 ATS and above .666 for totals for this week

notes (highly unusual, its normally the opposite):
division sweeps = 5
(KC swept OAK, WAS swept PHI, CIN swept CLE, HOU swept IND, NYG swept DAL)
division splits = 1
(DET splits w/CHI)

week 14 results:
ATS: 9-7
Totals: 11-5


for the season results:
ATS: 103-99-5
Totals: 110-94-3

2016 - week 14 - picks

Changed pick from NE/Under to BAL/Under
Changed pick from GB/Over to SEA/Over

CoB (Coming off Bye)
CLE TEN

12/08 8:25 PM
101 OAK 47 under
102 KC -3 *

Which team is 'charmed'?



12/11 1:00 PM
105 DEN 43½ under
106 TEN -1 *

TEN CoB



12/11 1:00 PM
107 SD 48½ *
108 CAR -3 under

CAR CoSNF



12/11 1:00 PM
109 HOU 46½ **UNDER**
110 IND -5½ *

IND CoMNF



12/11 1:00 PM
111 CIN -6 *
112 CLE 43½ over

CLE CoB



12/11 1:00 PM
113 PIT -2 *
114 BUF 47½ ***OVER***



12/11 1:00 PM
115 ARI 43½ *
116 MIA -2 over



12/11 1:00 PM
117 CHI 43½ *under*
118 DET -8 *



12/11 1:00 PM
119 MIN -3½ *
120 JAC 39½ **UNDER**

MIN CoTNF



12/11 4:25 PM
121 NO 51½ under
122 TB -2½ *



12/11 1:00 PM
123 WAS -1 *
124 PHI 47 over



12/11 4:05 PM
125 NYJ 46½ under
126 SF -1 *

NYJ CoMNF



12/11 4:25 PM
127 SEA -2½ *
128 GB 46½ *over *

SEA FS Thomas IR OFY
SEA CoSNF



12/11 4:25 PM
129 ATL -6 *
130 LA 45 **UNDER**



12/11 8:30 PM
131 DAL -3 *
132 NYG 47½ under

DAL CoTNF



12/12 8:30 PM
133 BAL 46 *
134 NE -7½ *under*

2016 - week 13 - results

OUCH, week 13, awful ATS... and pretty good for totals...


week 13 results:
ATS: 5-10
Totals: 10-5


for the season:
ATS: 94-92-5
Totals: 99-89-3

2016 - week 13 - picks

With the news of CAR C Kalil and Gradkowski on IR, taking CAR on the road is iffy...

Hmmmmm?
AFC North loses all their games this week?
NFC East wins all their games this week?

12/01 8:25 PM
301 DAL -3½ ***
302 MIN 44 under

DAL CoTNF
MIN CoTNF


12/04 1:00 PM
351 DEN -5 *
352 JAC 41 under

DEN CoSNF OT



12/04 1:00 PM
353 KC 49½ ***over***
354 ATL -3½ *

KC CoSNF OT
ATL wins vs teams w/winning record



12/04 1:00 PM
355 HOU 45½ **under**
356 GB -6 *

HOU O awful
GB CoMNF


12/04 1:00 PM
357 PHI -1 *
358 CIN 42½ *under*

PHI a little more desperate?
PHI CoMNF



12/04 1:00 PM
359 DET 53½ ***over***
360 NO -6 *

DET CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
361 SF 43½ ***
362 CHI -1½ **under**

CHI inj's continue LB Trevathan OFY
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
363 LA 44½ *
364 NE -13½ *under*

NE will win, will they cover?



12/04 1:00 PM
365 MIA 41 ***
366 BAL -3½ *over*

MIA coming of age?



12/04 4:05 PM
367 BUF 49 over
368 OAK -3 *

PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
369 TB 47½ *
370 SD -4 over

TB impressive past 2 weeks



12/04 4:25 PM
371 WAS 49½ ***
372 ARI -2½ under

WAS CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
373 NYG 49½ *
374 PIT -6 over

Will Peytons help give NYG edge?
PIT CoTNF



12/04 8:30 PM
375 CAR 44½ *
376 SEA -7 ***UNDER***

CAR rookie C Larsen starts (1st)



12/05 8:30 PM
377 IND -1½ ***
378 NYJ 49½ **over**

Expecting IND QB Luck to start and dominate
PEER Game

2016 - week 12 - results

oddity? the last 7 games of the week were won by the 'dogs, the first 9 games were 7-1-1 (fav-dog-push)


week 12 results:
ok - ATS: 8-7-1
awful - Totals: 5-11


for the season:
ATS: 89-82-5
Totals: 89-84-3

2016 - week 12 - picks

Weather pick: UNDER 39 KC @DEN
winds via: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/WINDcast.aspx?region=den
(you'll need to review the appropiate time as it's been moved to SNF [8:30pm EST])
also note it's 'windcast' by region and in this case MST (Mountain Standard Time)
It appears the winds will die down a bit as the game goes on, so a 1st half bet on the UNDER 20 or 19.5
either 1271 or 1272 will do...

There's also wind for TEN @CHI, JAC @BUF, CIN @BAL among the early games, but it's not enough for me to call them weather picks


Turkey day is coming up with 3 games...
If IND QB Luck plays I'll changed my pick from PIT/Under to IND/Over
If IND QB Luck remains in concussion protocol - no change...



CoB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD

11/24 12:30 PM
107 MIN 43 *
108 DET -2½ over

wk9 DET won 22-16 @MIN



11/24 4:30 PM
109 WAS 51 *
110 DAL -7 over

week2 DAL won 27-23 @WAS



11/24 8:30 PM
111 PIT -9 *
112 IND 50½ **UNDER**

IND QB Luck OUT?
IND QB Tolzien starts?



11/27 1:00 PM
251 SD 45 over
252 HOU -1 *

SD CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
253 TEN -3½ *****
254 CHI 43½ under

CHI QB Cutler OUT
CHI QB Barkley starts
CHI numerous injs + 2 susp'd



11/27 1:00 PM
255 JAC 45½ *
256 BUF -7 under

BUF WR Woods OUT



11/27 1:00 PM
257 CIN 41½ *UNDER*
258 BAL -4½ ***

where will CIN O come from?


11/27 1:00 PM
259 ARI 50½ over
260 ATL -4 *

ARI turnover prone
ATL CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
261 SF 45½ under
262 MIA -7½ *




11/27 1:00 PM
263 LA 46 under
264 NO -7 ***



11/27 1:00 PM
265 NYG -7 over
266 CLE 44½ *

CLE QB McCown starts



11/27 4:05 PM
267 SEA -5½ *
268 TB 44½ **over**

SEA FS Thomas OUT
SEA CB Shead OUT



11/27 4:25 PM
269 CAR 50 *
270 OAK -4½ under



11/27 8:30 PM
271 KC 39½ *
272 DEN -3½ ***Under***

DEN CoB



11/27 4:25 PM
273 NE -8 *
274 NYJ 47 *over*


NYJ CoB



11/28 8:30 PM
275 GB 48 under
276 PHI -3½ *

PHI nicked up RBx2 RT

2016 - week 11 - results

This week - just above .500 ATS and for Totals as well


week 11 results:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 8-6

for the season:
ATS: 81-75-4
Totals: 84-73-3

2016 - week 11 - picks

Changed pick from TB/Over to KC/Under
Changed pick from CLE/Over to CLE/Under (looks like snow?)
Changed pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under (looks like snow?)

CoB:
BUF DET IND OAK

11/17 8:25 PM
309 NO 52 *under*
310 CAR -3½ *

I'm unsure if CAR will cover the spread...
But since I do believe in the series season split...
CAR will get the win SU and I think the cover...
note: if I were to take NO I would combine w/OVER the total


11/20 1:00 PM
451 TEN 53½ *
452 IND -3 over

IND won 34-26 @TEN



11/20 1:00 PM
453 JAC 47 over
454 DET -6½ *

with the rest of the NFC North 'hurting' (CHI GB MIN)
this looks like a chance for DET to ascend to #1



11/20 1:00 PM
455 TB 44½ *under*
456 KC -7 **

TB C?



11/20 1:00 PM
457 CHI 43½ under
458 NYG -7 ****

CHI WR Jefferies susp'd G11-14
CHI injuries... (RG, RT)
NYG CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
459 ARI 40½ *
460 MIN -2 **under**

MIN LT Long OFY
MIN D nicked up



11/20 1:00 PM
461 BUF 47 *
462 CIN -2½ under

CIN CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
463 BAL 45 over
464 DAL -7 *

BAL CoTNF
BAL RG Yanda returns


11/20 1:00 PM
465 PIT -8 *under*
466 CLE 45 *

PIT disarray?
CLE CoTNF



11/20 4:05 PM
467 MIA -2½ **
468 LA 40 under

MIA LT Albert OUT
MIA C Pouncey OUT?
LA QB Goff starts (1st)



11/20 4:25 PM
469 NE -12 over
470 SF 51½ *



11/20 4:25 PM
471 PHI 43 under
472 SEA -6½ *

PHI much better @home



11/20 8:30 PM
473 GB 49½ **under**
474 WAS -3 ***

GB fading fast...
GB numerous inj's...
GB RG Lang OUT?
GB RB Michael starts?
WAS LS Sundberg OUT



11/21 8:30 PM
475 HOU 46½ over
476 OAK -6 ***

OAK still rising

2016 - week 10 - results

Just a little better than last week....


week 10:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 10-4


for the season:
ATS: 73-70-4
Totals: 76-68-3

2016 - week 10 - picks

I may change a few picks later on this week, watching for injury updates...
10NOV - changed pick from CAR/Under to KC/Under (QB Smith, RB Ware and LB Houston return)

CoB:
ARI CHI CIN HOU NE WAS

GiB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD





11/10 8:25 PM
109 CLE 45 *
110 BAL -10 under

11/13 1:00 PM
251 HOU -1½ *
252 JAC 43 under

11/13 1:00 PM
253 KC 44 *
254 CAR -3 ***UNDER***

11/13 1:00 PM
255 DEN 49½ under
256 NO -1½ ***

11/13 1:00 PM
257 LA 39½ *
258 NYJ -2 under

11/13 1:00 PM
259 ATL 50½ *
260 PHI -1 over

11/13 1:00 PM
261 MIN 42 under
262 WAS -2½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
263 GB -2½ ***OVER***
264 TEN 49½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
265 CHI -1½ ***
266 TB 45 over

11/13 4:05 PM
267 MIA 49 *
268 SD -3½ **OVER**

11/13 4:25 PM
269 SF 48½ *
270 ARI -13½ under

11/13 4:25 PM
271 DAL 50½ *
272 PIT -2½ over

11/13 8:30 PM
273 SEA 48½ over
274 NE -7½ ***

11/14 8:30 PM
275 CIN 47 over
276 NYG -2½ *

2016 - week 09 - results

not the greatest results for a weekend, but season totals have risen above .500

week 9 results:
ATS:  8-4-1
Totals: 6-7

for the season results:
ATS: 65-64-4
Totals: 66-64-3

2016 - week 9 - picks

Curious, curious.... now why would a nfl veteran coach resign at mid-season with a 5-2 record? An OC as respected as Turner is around the league if he was choosing to resign this year wait it out until the end of the season. xMIN OC Turner resigns and he states it's not due to health reason, but offensive philosophy....
And why oh why is HC Zimmer so surprised? The only person closer to the QB than Turner is coach Shurmur - who actually was w/QB Bradford twice on different teams ... the Rams and the Eagles...
Me thinks Turner was expecting something else than what he was getting from coach Shurmur and it really affected MIN O and I think it'll affect them this week as well...

CoB:
BAL LA MIA NYG PIT SF

GiB:
BUF DET IND OAK



11/03 8:25 PM
307 ATL -3½ *****
308 TB 51½ under

ATL RB Coleman OUT
TB RB Rodgers OUT
TB DT McDonald OUT
wk1 TB 31 @ATL 24



11/06 1:00 PM
451 JAC 45½ **UNDER**
452 KC -9 *

JAC new OC Hackett
JAC CoTNF
KC QB Foles starts
KC RB West starts



11/06 1:00 PM
453 DET 41 *
454 MIN -6 *UNDER*

DET DE Bryant susp'd
DET GiB
MIN OC Turner resigns, new OC Shurmur 
MIN CoMNF


11/06 1:00 PM
455 PHI 43 *
456 NYG -2½ over

PHI G Barbre OUT?
NYG CoB



11/06 1:00 PM
457 DAL -7½ *
458 CLE 48½ over

DAL S Church OUT
DAL CB Clairborne OUT
CLE LB Collins starts?



11/06 1:00 PM
459 NYJ 44 under
460 MIA -3½ **

MIA CoB



11/06 1:00 PM
461 PIT 43½ **UNDER**
462 BAL -2 *

PIT QB Landry 2nd start
PIT CoB
BAL CoB



11/06 4:05 PM
463 NO -3½ ***
464 SF 52 under

SF CoB



11/06 4:05 PM
465 CAR -3 ***
466 LA 45 under

LA CoB



11/06 4:25 PM
467 IND 54 *under*
468 GB -7 ***

IND inj's WR,S,CB,RT,RG
IND GiB



11/06 4:25 PM
469 TEN 47½ *OVER*
470 SD -5 *

TEN RB Henry starts?
TEN CoTNF



11/06 8:30 PM
471 DEN -1 *
472 OAK 43½ *under*

OAK CB Smith OUT
OAK GiB



11/07 8:30 PM
473 BUF 44 *
474 SEA -7 **UNDER**

BUF GiB
SEA DE Bennett OUT
SEA S Chancellor OUT?

2016 - week 8 - results

another decent week...

week 8 results:
ATS 8-4-1
Totals: 7-6

for the season:
ATS: 57-60-3
Totals: 60-57-3

2016 - week 8 - picks

all hallow's weekend....


CoB
CAR DAL

GiB
ARI CHI CIN HOU NE WAS

10/27 8:25 PM
101 JAC 44 ***over**
102 TEN -3½ **

TEN LG Spain OUT
TEN RCB Cox OUT
WH DOG ATS 6-1
WH O/U 5-2


10/30 9:30 AM
251 WAS 47 under
252 CIN -3 **

WAS LT Williams OUT?
WAS CB Norman OUT?
WAS RB Jones OUT?
WAS GiB
CIN LT Whitworth OUT?
CIN GiB
@Wembley
WH FAV SU 6-0
WH O/U 5-1


10/30 4:25 PM
253 GB 53 *
254 ATL -3 **OVER**

GB CoTNF
ATL RB Coleman OUT?
WH HOME ATS 6-0


10/30 1:00 PM
255 DET 45½ *
256 HOU -2½ ***OVER***

HOU CoMNF
HOU GiB
WH O/U 1-5


10/30 1:00 PM
257 SEA -3 **under**
258 NO 48 *

SEA D vs NO O
SEA O vs NO D


10/30 1:00 PM
259 NE -6½ *
260 BUF 47½ under

NE GiB
BUF beat up on O skill
can't see BUF sweeping NE, NE should be motivated



10/30 1:00 PM
261 NYJ -3 *under*
262 CLE 43 *

NYJ beat up
CLE QB Hogan starts? (1st) or McCown (collarbone 5?wks)



10/30 1:00 PM
263 OAK 49½ **
264 TB -1 over

OAK stays on East Coast after week 7 game @JAC
OAK TC 2.0 in Bradenton Florida


10/30 1:00 PM
265 KC -3 ***
266 IND 50 over



10/30 4:05 PM
267 SD 44 *
268 DEN -5½ over

SD TE Henry concussion OUT?
SD CB Mager concussion OUT?
DEN RB Anderson OUT
DEN CoMNF
WH DOG ATS 5-1
WH O/U 1-5


10/30 1:00 PM
269 ARI 48 ***UNDER***
270 CAR -2½ *

ARI GiB
CAR CoB



10/30 8:30 PM
271 PHI 43½ under
272 DAL -4½ *

DAL CoB



10/31 8:30 PM
273 MIN -5½ *
274 CHI 41 under

CHI CoTNF
CHI GiB
CHI QB Cutler returns

2016 - week 7 - results

My best week so far this season, both totals and ATS above .500
season totals is back above .500


week 7 results:
ATS: 8-7
Totals: 11-3-1


for the season:
ATS: 49-56-2
Totals: 53-51-3

2016 - week 7 - picks

I'm a bit late posting due to things beyond my control....

10/20 8:25 PM
301 CHI 46 *under*
302 GB -8 *

CHI LG Sitton OUT
taking the pts...


10/23 9:30 AM
451 NYG -3 **
452 LA 43½ under

@Wembley Stadium, London, England
NYG GiB
LA GiB


10/23 1:00 PM
453 MIN -2½ *****
454 PHI 40 under

MIN CoB
WH Dog/Over 5-1


10/23 1:00 PM
455 NO 50½ under
456 KC -6½ *

WH Dog ATS 5-1


10/23 1:00 PM
457 WAS 49 *
458 DET -1½ over

10/23 1:00 PM
459 CLE 45½ *
460 CIN -10 *over*

CLE inj's catching up w/team?


10/23 1:00 PM
461 BUF -3 *over*
462 MIA 44½ *

MIA S Jones OUT
MIA GiB
WH O/U 0-5


10/23 1:00 PM
463 OAK 49 *
464 JAC -1 over

WH O/U 5-0-1


10/23 1:00 PM
465 IND 48½ under
466 TEN -2½ *

10/23 1:00 PM
467 BAL 41½ under
468 NYJ -1 **

BAL GiB
NYJ CoMNF
NYJ QB Smith starts
WH Home ATS 5-0


10/23 4:05 PM
469 SD 53½ ***OVER***
470 ATL -6½ *

SD CoTnF


10/23 4:05 PM
471 TB -2 *over*
472 SF 47½ *

TB CoB
SF GiB


10/23 4:25 PM
473 NE -7 ***
474 PIT 46 under

PIT QB Jones starts
PIT GiB


10/23 8:30 PM
475 SEA 44 *
476 ARI -2 over

ARI CoMNF

10/24 8:30 PM
477 HOU 40½ under
478 DEN -7 *

DEN HC Kubiak returns
DEN CoTnF
WH O/U 5-0, FAV SU 5-0

2016 - week 6 - results

this week much better ATS, and just the opposite result for totals...


week 6 results:
ATS: 9-5-1
results: 5-10

for the season:
ATS: 41-49-2
results: 42-48-2


notable:
TEN, DET and SEA won SU but lost ATS
HOU won SU and got a PUSH ATS

2016 - week 6 - picks

CoB (coming off bye week):
JAC KC NO SEA

GiB (going into bye week):
CAR DAL

10/13 8:25 PM
103 DEN -3 *over*
104 SD 45 *

DEN HC Kubiak OUT
DEN QB Siemian starts?
DEN RT issue, SD should exploit
SD Fans says team "garbage"
WH O/U 4-0


10/16 1:00 PM
251 CIN 47 under
252 NE -9 *

NE wins SU, will they cover ATS?



10/16 1:00 PM
253 BAL 44½ **under**
254 NYG -3 **

BAL new OC Mornhinweg
BAL WRs Smith OUT? Wallace OUT?
BAL OL shuffle, LT/RG/RT?
NYG OL n 2ndary ???
NYG DE Pierre-Paul OUT?
I go back n forth on pick'g BAL and NYG
WH O/U 4-0-1


10/16 1:00 PM
255 CAR -3½ under
256 NO 53 *

CAR QB Newton starts? Anderson starts?
CAR GiB
CAR CoMNF
NO CoB
I expect NO to run much more than usual
WH HOME ATS 4-0


10/16 1:00 PM
257 PIT -7½ ***
258 MIA 48 under

could MIA be embarrassed any worse?
MIA RB Foster returns?
WH Road ATS 4-0-1


10/16 1:00 PM
259 JAC 47½ **
260 CHI -2½ over

JAC CoB


10/16 1:00 PM
261 SF 44½ *over*
262 BUF -8 ***

SF QB Kaepernick starts
SF CoTnF


10/16 1:00 PM
263 LA 43½ under
264 DET -3½ *

LA D inj's
DET NT Ngata OUT


10/16 1:00 PM
265 CLE 44 *over*
266 TEN -7 *

CLE QB McCown starts? Kessler? Whitehurst?
perhaps best chance for CLE to win until DEC
really thought about taking pts...
WH O/U 4-0 FAV SU 4-0


10/16 1:00 PM
267 PHI -2 *
268 WAS 45 ***OVER***

PHI healthy



10/16 4:05 PM
269 KC 47 *
270 OAK -1 ***OVER***

KC CoB


10/16 4:25 PM
271 ATL 45½ **UNDER**
272 SEA -6½ *

ATL is already in SEA practicing (unusual road trip)
ATL HC Quinn (xSEA DC 2 yrs ago)
SEA CoB
WH O/U 0-5


10/16 4:25 PM
273 DAL 47½ *
274 GB -4½ ***OVER***

DAL GiB
GB RB Lacy OUT?
WH O/U 0-4


10/16 8:30 PM
275 IND 46 *under*
276 HOU -3 *

HOU concussions TE/RG/CB OUT?


10/17 8:30 PM
277 NYJ 47 *under*
278 ARI -7½ *

NYJ lots of inj's
NYJ HC Bowles (xARI DC 2 yrs ago)
ARI CoTnF
ARI QB Palmer returns
ARI OL shuffle LG/RG

2016 - week 5 - results

better than last week for sides not good at all for totals...

week 5 results:
ATS: 7-6-1
Totals: 4-10


for the season:
ATS: 32-44-1
Totals: 37-38-2

2016 - week 5 - picks

Coming off Bye - GB PHI
Going into Bye - MIN TB

10/06 8:25 PM
303 ARI -3 *
304 SF 42 **UNDER**

ARI QB Palmer OUT? Stanton starts?
SF LB Bowman OFY
SF LB Lynch starts off suspension
SF DE Buckner OUT
I expect ARI to run the ball much more
WH O/U 4-0, FAV SU 4-0


10/09 1:00 PM
451 HOU 40 under
452 MIN -6 *

MIN should be able to run on HOU D
MIN GiB


10/09 1:00 PM
453 TEN 43½ *
454 MIA -3½ under

TEN STc Bobby April fired
TEN aSTc Steve Hoffman assumes STc position
WH FAV ATS/SU O/U 4-0


10/09 1:00 PM
455 NE -10 ***
456 CLE 47 under

NE QB Brady starts off suspension


10/09 1:00 PM
457 NYJ 48½ under
458 PIT -7 *

WH O/U 3-0


10/09 1:00 PM
459 WAS 45 *over*
460 BAL -3½ **

should be a 50's game
WAS D 3 starters(SS, OLB, ILB) OUT?


10/09 1:00 PM
461 PHI -3 ****
462 DET 46 under

PHI CoB


10/09 1:00 PM
463 CHI 48 *
464 IND -4½ *over*

CHI committed to run O
IND DT Jones starts off suspension
WH DOG 4-0 ATS


10/09 4:05 PM
465 ATL 47 *over*
466 DEN -6 *

ATL thin @LB
DEN QB Siemian OUT? Lynch starts?
DEN should win, will they cover?


10/09 4:25 PM
467 BUF 39½ **
468 LA -2½ ***UNDER***

BUF DT Dareus starts off suspension
BUF RT Henderson starts? off suspension
Even though BUF has a interesting run O, if LA can scheme to put their best DL 
players at the edge, this could be very interesting...
Who wins? BUF run O or LA run D


10/09 4:25 PM
469 SD 50½ *
470 OAK -4 ***OVER***

SD HC McCoy 'furious' over last weeks lost to NO
OAK inj's TE, MLB, WLB
WH O/U 0-4


10/09 4:25 PM
471 CIN -1 ***
472 DAL 45½ over

DE Lawrence starts off suspension
DE Gregory starts? off suspension
MLB McClain starts? off suspension
WH O/U 0-4


10/09 8:30 PM
473 NYG 48 *over*
474 GB -7 *

GB CoB
DE Pennel starts off suspension
WH ROAD/OVER 4-0


10/10 8:30 PM
475 TB 42½ **under**
476 CAR -6 *

TB GiB
TB DT McCoy OUT?
WH O/U 4-0
L3Y CAR 6-0 SU 

2016 - week 4 - results

ohhh, ouch crappy results....

week 4 results:
ATS: 5-10
Totals: 7-8


for the season:
ATS: 25-38
Totals: 33-28-2

2016 - week 4 - picks

And the attrition continues...

10/02 9:30 AM
251 IND -2½ **OVER**
252 JAC 49 *

@wembley
JAC GiB
WH trend home 3-0 ATS


10/02 1:00 PM
253 CLE 47 *
254 WAS -7½ under

WAS C? LG?
WAS 2ndary?
WAS lucky? last week @NYG (so says NYG G Pugh)


10/02 1:00 PM
255 BUF 43½ under
256 NE -7 *

NE 10day rest off TNF


10/02 1:00 PM
257 SEA -1½ under
258 NYJ 40 *

SEA GiB
WH trend FAV/Over 2-0


10/02 1:00 PM
259 CAR -3 *
260 ATL 50½ UNDER

ATL 6day rest off of MNF
WH trend dog 3-0 ATS


10/02 1:00 PM
261 DET -3 *
262 CHI 47½ *over*

WH trend over-under 0-3


10/02 1:00 PM
263 TEN 40½ **
264 HOU -4½ under

HOU 10day rest off TNF
WH trend Dog/Over 3-0


10/02 1:00 PM
265 OAK 46½ under
266 BAL -3½ *

BAL LG OUT?
WH trend Road/Over 3-0


10/02 4:05 PM
267 DEN -3 ***
268 TB 43 under

WH trend dog 3-0 ATS


10/02 4:25 PM
269 DAL -2 **
270 SF 44½ over

SF WR Smith OUT?
SF TE MacDonald OUT?


10/02 4:25 PM
271 NO 53½ ***OVER***
272 SD -4 *

NO 6day rest off of MNF
NO GiB
NO ST/D issues,


10/02 4:25 PM
273 LA 43 under
274 ARI -8½ *

ARI OL confused by D stunts
ARI ST? O out-of-sync
WH trend over-under 0-3


10/02 8:30 PM
275 KC 47 over
276 PIT -4 *

KC GiB
PIT RB Bell starts (off suspension)
WH trend over-under 0-3


10/03 8:30 PM
277 NYG 42½ over
278 MIN -4½ **

WH trend over-under 0-3

2016 - week 4 - TNF - picks

I feel a little better about the side rather than the total as the number of 44½ is low. With defenses for each team being the best part of the team at this time, it's a race to the 20's, first team to 20 will win. If both team score in the 20's the total should go over. Their is a new upgrade factor w/CIN LB Burfict, I suspect this will keep the score low under 20's for MIA. CIN without TE Eifert, WR Jones and Sanu, xOC Jackson - just hasn't gelled enough, maybe another month is needed...

A simpler way to win would be to do a 6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and under 50½ for a two pick 6pt tease, $11 should pay around $10

of if you're feeling brave, try "middling" w/6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and MIA +13½ as well as under 50½ and over 38½, $10 should pay around $65
or you could just middle sides or the total

09/29 8:25 PM
101 MIA 44½ *
102 CIN -7½ under

MIA HC Gase 'perform or else'
CIN LB Burfict starts (off 3G suspension)
CIN should win SU, but ATS???
Will MIA get to 20pts if so over, if not under

2016 - week 3 - results

the 'dog won 11 of 16 games, among the notables, BUF gets home UPSET vs ARI, PHI gets home UPSET vs PIT, MIN get ROAD UPSET @CAR and 'lowly' LA (w/the help of an hour long rain delay) triumph on the road @TB.

week 3 results:
ATS: 7-9
Totals: 11-5

for the season:
ATS: 20-28
Totals: 26-20-2

2016 - week 3 - picks

I'm posting a little later than normal, a little tired with work and home life...

Here's a little more with White Hat trends:

WH trends:
HOU @NE FAV

DEN @CIN OVER
OAK @TEN UNDER
ARI @BUF HOME/UNDER
BAL @JAC DOG/UNDER
CLE @MIA DOG/OVER
WAS @NYG FAV SU/DOG ATS
DET @GB HFO
MIN @CAR DOG

SF @SEA ROAD/DOG
LA @TB ROAD/OVER
PIT @PHI UNDER
NYJ @KC DOG
SD @IND UNDER

CHI @DAL FAV/OVER

ATL @NO HFU

HFO = Home Fav Over

HFU = Home Fav Under

09/22 8:25 PM
301 HOU -2½ ***UNDER***
302 NE 41 **

NE QB Brissett starts (1st)


09/25 1:00 PM
461 DEN 42 ***
462 CIN -3 under

CIN every week, - a step up against good/great D


09/25 1:00 PM
463 OAK 47 *
464 TEN -1½ under

OAK D 'Oley'
TEN D among best RZ this season


09/25 1:00 PM
465 ARI -4½ ****
466 BUF 47 under

BUF new OC


09/25 1:00 PM
467 BAL -1 *
468 JAC 47½ *under*

2-0 vs 0-2
JAC LT Beachum OUT?


09/25 1:00 PM
469 CLE 41½ **UNDER**
470 MIA -10 **

CLE QB Kessler starts
CLE C Erving OUT
MIA C Pouncey OUT
MIA RB Foster OUT
0-2 vs 0-2
MIA should win, but cover ATS?


09/25 1:00 PM
471 WAS 46½ *
472 NYG -4 *under*

NYG should win SU, WAS wins ATS?


09/25 1:00 PM
473 DET 48 over
474 GB -7½ *

DET so many inj's..


09/25 1:00 PM
475 MIN 43 *
476 CAR -7 *under*

MIN LT Kalil OUT
MIN RB Petersen OUT
CAR RB Stewart OUT


09/25 4:05 PM
477 SF 40½ *
478 SEA -10 over

history sides w/SEA


09/25 4:05 PM
479 LA 42 under
480 TB -5 *

2nd road game for LA, 1st East coast trip
TB RB Martin OUT


09/25 4:25 PM
481 PIT -6 ***
482 PHI 46 under

PHI has played CLE and CHI, confidence builders


09/25 4:25 PM
483 NYJ 43 *
484 KC -3 *under

1st half take NYJ?
KC O awful slow starts, D can't stop good QBs


09/25 4:25 PM
485 SD 52 ***
486 IND -3 under

1st Half take SD?
2nd Half take IND?


09/25 8:30 PM
487 CHI 45½ *over*
488 DAL -5 *

CHI QB Hoyer starts?
CHI QB Cutler thumb D2D
CHI LB Trevathan thumb OUT
CHI LB Houston knee OUT
CHI NT Goldman ankle OUT



09/26 8:30 PM
489 ATL 54 over
490 NO -3 *

ATL 1-1
NO 0-2

2016 - week 2 - results

lots of injuries this weekend... (such as DET - lost starters - DE Ansah, RB Abdullah and TE Ebron during the game, IND and JAC also w/multiple inj's).

Costly wins?
NE QB Garoppolo OUT G3-?
MIN RB Peterson OUT G3-9?
CAR RB Stewart OUT G3-4?
SD RB Woodhead OFY


week 2 results:
ATS: 8-8
Totals: 6-9-1

for the season:
ATS: 13-19
Totals: 15-15-2

2016 - week 02 - picks

??

09/15 8:25 PM
101 NYJ -1 *
102 BUF 40½ *UNDER*

BUF LT Glenn OUT?
LY BUF wonx2 vs NYJ


09/18 1:00 PM
261 TEN 47 under
262 DET -5½ *


09/18 1:00 PM
263 KC 43½ *
264 HOU -2½ UNDER

LY KC 27 @HOU 20
LY PO KC 30 HOU 0
KC a bit lucky to win last week (if SD made FG, they win game)
HOU D formidable
HOU LT Brown OUT


09/18 1:00 PM
265 MIA 41½ UNDER
266 NE -6½ **

LY MIA 7 @NE 36
LY NE 10 @MIA 20
MIA played well enough to win last week vs SEA
NE surprised last week w/o LT/RT/TE


09/18 1:00 PM
267 BAL -6½ ***
268 CLE 42½ *UNDER*

LY CLE 33 @BAL 30 (OT)
LY BAL 33 @CLE 27
BAL D on the rise?
CLE QB J McCown starts


09/18 1:00 PM
269 CIN 48½ over
270 PIT -3½ *

CIN O run weak? pass good
LY CIN 16 @PIT 10
LY PIT 30 @CIN 20
LY PO PIT 18 CIN 16


09/18 1:00 PM
271 DAL 45½ under
272 WAS -3 *

LY DAL 19 @WAS 16
LY WAS 23 @DAL 34


09/18 1:00 PM
273 NO 53½ *
274 NYG -4½ over

LY NYG 49 @NO 52
NO will start 2 rookie CBs
NYG lucky? again (last week @DAL)
NYG LBs 'shaky'


09/18 1:00 PM
275 SF 45 under
276 CAR -13½ *

CAR should be pissed off they should have won game


09/18 4:05 PM
277 TB 50 *
278 ARI -6½ OVER

ARI D couldn't stop run last wk vs NE (RB Blount)


09/18 4:05 PM
279 SEA -6 UNDER
280 LA 38½ *

LY SEA 31 @STL 34 (OT)
LY STL 23 @SEA 17
SEA O non-functional?


09/18 4:25 PM
281 IND 46 under
282 DEN -6 *

LY DEN 24 @IND 27
IND another slow start?


09/18 4:25 PM
283 ATL 49½ **OVER**
284 OAK -5 *

ATL can't tackle, sack or score in RZ
OAK impressive win w/OL shuffle due to RT inj'd
OAK OL RT? 


09/18 4:25 PM
285 JAC 47 ***
286 SD -3 *OVER*

LY SD 31 @JAC 25


09/18 8:30 PM
287 GB -2½ *
288 MIN 44 under

LY GB 30 @MIN 13
LY MIN 20 @GB 13


09/19 8:30 PM
289 PHI 43 *
290 CHI -3 *under*

PHI TE Ertz ribs OUT?
PHI CB McKelvin hamstring OUT?
PHI QB nice debut, CHI D is a step up?
PHI ST punter, a 'weapon'
will CHI O get shut out in 2nd Half again (did well in 1st Half last week)

2016 - week 01 - results

mixed results for week 01 and I should have kept my original pick of DEN for Thursday night game

ATS 5-11 (not good)
Totals 9-6-1 (good)


notable surprises:
OAK scores 22 Q4 wins @NO
KC scores 17 Q4 + 6 in OT wins vs SD
ATL starts 3 rookies on D 2LB, NB
BAL WR Smith starts
CHI starts rookie OLB and very young secondary
NE wins despite TE/LT/RT OUT
MIA despite 3 starts out (C, WLB, WR) they kept the game close
MIN D scores twice w/frTD and intrTD

DIV games - dogs won ATS (4-0)

2016 - week 01 - picks

9/5 update: change pick from DEN/Under to CAR/Under

I should wait for 53 man rosters, and trades etc... but I'm unsure of the time I'll have next week....
I may update as time permits...

09/08 8:30 PM
451 CAR -3 *
452 DEN 42 *under*

09/11 1:00 PM
453 TB 47½ under
454 ATL -3 *

09/11 1:00 PM
455 MIN -1 *
456 TEN 41 *UNDER*

09/11 1:00 PM
457 CLE 43½ **UNDER**
458 PHI -6 *

09/11 1:00 PM
459 CIN -2½ ***
460 NYJ 42 over

09/11 1:00 PM
461 OAK 51 **
462 NO -1 under

09/11 1:00 PM
463 SD 44 *OVER*
464 KC -7 *

09/11 1:00 PM
465 BUF 44½ *
466 BAL -3 over

09/11 1:00 PM
467 CHI 44½ *
468 HOU -6 over

09/11 1:00 PM
469 GB -5 *
470 JAC 48 over

09/11 4:05 PM
471 MIA 44 UNDER
472 SEA -10½ *

09/11 4:25 PM
473 NYG 46½ *
474 DAL -1 over

09/11 4:25 PM
475 DET 50½ ****
476 IND -4 over

09/11 8:30 PM
477 NE 47½ UNDER
478 ARI -6 *

09/12 7:10 PM
479 PIT -3 **OVER**
480 WAS 50 *

09/12 10:20 PM
481 LA -2½ *
482 SF 44½ OVER

2016 - preseason - week 4 - results

for the week:
ATS: 8-8
Totals: 10-6

for the preseason:
ATS: 30-33-1
Totals: 32-30-2

not bad, not good, maybe average? hard to say with preseason.... you just never know...

2016 - preseason - week 4 - picks

on a whim,,,,

09/01 7:00 PM
101 NYJ 39 UNDER
102 PHI -4 *

09/01 7:00 PM
103 JAC 40 *
104 ATL -3½ OVER

09/01 7:00 PM
105 TEN 39½ UNDER
106 MIA -2½ *
 
09/01 7:00 PM
107 NE 40 under
108 NYG -3 *

09/01 7:30 PM
109 BUF 38½ under
110 DET -3 *
 
09/01 7:30 PM
111 WAS 39½ over
112 TB -3 *

09/01 7:30 PM
113 IND 39 under
114 CIN -4 *
 
09/01 7:30 PM
115 PIT 39 *
116 CAR -4 over

09/01 8:00 PM
117 GB 38 under
118 KC -3½ *

09/01 8:00 PM
119 BAL 40½ *
120 NO -3½ under
 
09/01 8:00 PM
121 HOU -1½ OVER
122 DAL 38½ *

09/01 8:00 PM
123 CHI 37 *
124 CLE -3½ *UNDER*

09/01 8:00 PM
125 LA 36½ **UNDER**
126 MIN -4 *

09/01 9:30 PM
127 DEN 38 *
128 ARI -4 over

09/01 10:00 PM
129 SF 39½ under
130 SD -3 *

09/01 10:00 PM
131 SEA 38½ *
132 OAK -2 under

2016 - preseason - week 3 - results

week 3 results:
ATS 8-7-1
Totals 7-9

for the preseason:
ATS: 22-25-1
Totals: 22-24-2


notables week 3:
favorites ATS: 10-5-1
O/U 4-12

2016 - preseason week 3 - picks

08/25 8:00 PM
251 ATL 43½ *
252 MIA -2½ under

ATL ATS 2-1 O/U 0-3 (O 20-28 D 13-21)
MIA FAV-O/U 3-0 (O 14? D 21?)


08/25 10:00 PM
253 DAL 44½ *under*
254 SEA -5 *

DAL SU 2-2 ATS 1-3 O/U 0-2-2
SEA SU 4-0 ATS 3-0-1 O/U 1-3


08/26 7:30 PM
255 NE 45 over
256 CAR -3½ *

NE 2-0 0-2 (NE/O 2-0 TY 2 home games)
CAR vs NE 0-2 ATS-O/U preseason home opener
(TY CAR 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U)


08/26 8:00 PM
257 CLE 41½ under
258 TB -4 **

CLE 0-2 ATS/SU TY, LY CLE 31 @TB 7
CLE 1-3 ATS-O/U (RD 3-1)
TB preseason home opener 24?-10?


08/26 8:00 PM
259 PIT 45 **OVER**
260 NO -1½ *

NO 3-1 ATS-O/U (RD 3-1 ATS/SU)
TY NO 0-2 ATS (HF 2-0 ATS) preseason home opener
PIT 1-3 ATS/SU 4-0 O/U
TY PIT 0-2 ATS (RD 2-0 ATS)
PIT QB Roethlisberger starts? (has not played this preseason)


08/26 10:00 PM
261 GB 46½ **
262 SF -1½ under

GB QB Rogers starts? (has not played this preseason)
TY GB 2-0 ATS 0-2 O/U (HFU)
TY SF 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U (RDO 2-0) allowing opponent 24pt/game


08/26 7:30 PM
269 BUF 43½ *under*
270 WAS -3 *

BUF 0-2 ATS/SU-O/U vs WAS L4Y
TY WAS FAV 2-0 O/U 1-0-1


08/27 1:00 PM
263 KC -1 ***
264 CHI 41 UNDER

TY KC RD 2-0 O/U 1-1
TY CHI RD 2-0 O/U 1-1


08/27 7:00 PM
265 PHI 42½ *
266 IND -3 ***UNDER***

TY PHI/U 2-0
PHI 4-0 ATS/SU vs wk3 opp L4Y
TY IND RD 2-0, total 37 L2G


08/27 7:00 PM
267 DET 43 *
268 BAL -3½ *OVER*

TY BAL 2-0 ATS/SU (totals 41, 37)
TY DET RDO 2-0 (totals 47,44)


08/27 7:30 PM
271 NYG -1 *
272 NYJ 42½ *over*

series L3Y RD-O/U 3-0 
TY NYG 0-2 ATS (totals 37,21)
TY NYJ HF 2-0 (totals 30,40)


08/27 8:00 PM
273 TEN 43½ over
274 OAK -3½ *

TY TEN 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U (totals 37,42)
TY OAK 1-1 ATS-O/U (totals 41,23)
OAK 4-0 O/U L4Y, preseason home opener



08/27 9:00 PM
275 LA 42 under
276 DEN -5 *

TY LA 2-0 SU-O/U 1-1 ATS (2 home games, totals 52,41)
LA L4Y RD 4-0
TY DEN RD 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 22,55)


08/28 1:00 PM
277 SD 41½ *under*
278 MIN -4 *

TY SD HF 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 37,22)
SD 4-0 vs wk3 opp
TY MIN/U/RDU 2-0 (totals 33,29) preseason home opener
MIN Grand Opening of new stadium


08/28 4:00 PM
279 ARI 41½ *
280 HOU -1 under

TY ARI 0-2 ATS/SU 1-1 O/U (totals 41,22)
ARI 3-1 ATS-RD L4Y
TY HOU 2-0 SU/ATS 1-1 O/U (totals 37,25)
HOU DO 3-1 L4Y wk3 opponent


08/28 8:00 PM
281 CIN 43½ *
282 JAC -1½ under

TY CIN RD 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 33,44)
CIN L4Y O/U 0-4 L2Y ATS 2-0
TY JAC 1-1 ATS-O/U (totals 30,48)
L4Y JAC 0-4 SU 1-2 ATS

2016 - Preseason week 2 - results

Oddly enough, nearly identical results as last week:
7-9 ATS
7-7-2 totals


Preseason accumulated totals:
14-18 ATS
15-15-2 totals

2016 - preseason week 2 - picks

08/18 7:00 PM
401 PHI 40½ *
402 PIT -3½ under

PIT QB Roethlisberger starts?


08/18 7:30 PM
403 CIN 41 under
404 DET -2½ *

08/18 8:00 PM
405 OAK 42½ ***
406 GB -3 *under*

08/18 8:00 PM
407 CHI 40½ *
408 NE -4 over

08/18 8:00 PM
409 ATL 37 *
410 CLE -2½ under

08/18 10:00 PM
411 MIN 38½ under
412 SEA -3 *

08/19 7:30 PM
413 NYJ 40 under
414 WAS -3½ *

08/19 8:00 PM
415 MIA 40½ over
416 DAL -3½ ***

08/19 9:00 PM
417 ARI 40½ *
418 SD -1½ under

08/20 3:00 PM
419 CAR 41½ under
420 TEN -1 *

08/20 4:00 PM
421 NYG 40 *
422 BUF -2½ over

08/20 7:00 PM
423 BAL 41 *
424 IND -2½ under

IND QB Luck starts?


08/20 7:30 PM
425 TB 40½ under
426 JAC -3 *

08/20 8:00 PM
427 NO 41 **
428 HOU -3 over

HOU QB Osweiler doubtful to improve


08/20 9:00 PM
429 SF 40 **UNDER**
430 DEN -4½ ***

08/20 10:00 PM
431 KC 39 *
432 LA -3 under

2016 - preseason week 1 and Hall of Fame game - results

With the cancellation of the Hall of Fame game, that left me with 16 picks ATS and totals.
I wiped out (0-2) on CAR @BAL, NO @NE, MIA @NYG, and OAK @ARI
I was perfect with DEN @CHI, SEA @KC and SD @TEN, the remaining games I won either the side or the total.

Week01 - ATS 7-9 Totals 8-8

2016 - preseason week 1 - Saturday and Sunday picks

08/13 4:30 PM
273 SEA 35½ *
274 KC -3 *under*

KC 5QBs - someone has to go


08/13 7:00 PM
275 IND 36½ *
276 BUF -2½ under (PUP)

BUF lots of injs


08/13 8:00 PM
277 DAL 36½ under (PUP)
278 LA -3 *

LA QB1 Keenum starts
LA QB Goff plays a 'half'


08/13 8:00 PM
279 SD 35½ over
280 TEN -3 *

SD DE Bosa distraction?
TEN run O?


08/14 7:00 PM
281 HOU 35 over? 
282 SF -3 *

HOU S/DBs deep
new SF HC Kelly

2016 - preseason week 1 - Friday - picks

Finally numbers posted, I'll post picks for SAT/SUN games later on Friday.

08/12 7:00 PM
263 MIA 36½ **UNDER**
264 NYG -2½ ***

MIA O woes (1st,2nd,3rdteams) during TC, D dominates scrimmage
NYG DBs dominate except vs WR Beckham


08/12 7:00 PM
265 DET 35½ over
266 PIT -3 **

PIT physical TC, deep @QB


08/12 7:30 PM
267 MIN 35 *
268 CIN -3 over

Similiar Ds, different Os


08/12 8:00 PM
269 CLE 36½ *
270 GB -3 under?

CLE QB edge?


08/12 10:00 PM
271 OAK 37½ under
272 ARI -3 ****

ARI QB3 edge

2016 - pre season week 1 Thursday - picks

There are no numbers for CLE @GB and IND @BUF, so I decided just to post for Thursday (8/11) games. It could be due to the cancellation of the Hall of Fame game between IND and GB, or something else??? I've added a few comments for each game

08/11 7:00 PM
251 WAS 37 under
252 ATL -3 ****

WAS 'vanilla' game plan


08/11 7:00 PM
253 TB 37½ ***
254 PHI -3 *under*

PHI 'D' dominates, O woes - physical TC, inj list grows


08/11 7:30 PM
255 JAC 36½ *
256 NYJ -2 *under*

JAC 'game planning'


08/11 7:30 PM
257 CAR 36½ ***
258 BAL -1 under

BAL should be eager after last season, but lots of inj's


08/11 7:30 PM
259 NO 39½ *
260 NE -4 **UNDER**

NO D dominating O - physical TC
NE deepest roster in 5? years, quality depth


08/11 8:00 PM
261 DEN 35 **
262 CHI -1½ under

DEN QB competition

2016 - Hall of Fame game - picks

Looks like big advantage for IND, total should stay under, bettors have moved line heavily toward IND (3pt move) and small lean toward under (1 pt move)

08/07 8:00 PM
241 GB 34½ under
242 IND -3 ***

GB QB 1 & 2 likely OUT
GB QB 3 & 4 projected to start play (rookies)
IND QB 1-3 projected to start play (5,6,1 yrs exp)

2015 - week 21 - picks

Conference championships won by home teams
(Six game winning streak for home teams)

02/07 6:30 PM
101 CAR -4 *
102 DEN 45½ over

DEN designated home team

WH records
ATS R/H 8-7
ATS F/D 8-7
O/U 8-6-1
SU 8-7

common opponent IND
CAR vsIND wk8 29-26 OT
DEN @IND wk9 24-27

common opponent GB
CAR vsGB wk9 37-29
DEN vsGB wk8 29-10

2015 - week 20 - results

A perfect weekend, 4-0 overall, 2-0 ATS and for totals

Overall for the playoffs, 5-4-1 ATS, 6-4 for totals, all picks 11-8-1

2015 - week 20 - results

2015 - week 20 - picks

last week - all home teams won SU, but not ATS
Weather will be colder for both games (than earlier in the week projections)

01/24 3:00 PM
311 NE -3 UNDER
312 DEN 44½ *

strength vs strength
NE O vs DEN D

non-strength vs strength
DEN O vs NE D

ST edge
NE FG kicking
DEN punting
? - punt/KO coverage


01/24 6:40 PM
313 ARI 48 over
314 CAR -3 ***

strength vs strength
ARI O vs CAR D

non-strength vs strength
ARI D vs CAR O

ST edge
CAR FG kicking
CAR punting
? - punt/KO coverage

2015 - week 19 - results

KC @NE - 1st half, KC scored FGs, NE scored TDs. With a comfortable lead NE moves on to the playoffs in the 2nd half

GB @ARI - GB with a Hail Mary TD ties the game at the end of regulation, but in OT ARI wins the game with stellar play from their WR Fitzgerald

SEA @CAR - CAR had a 31-0 lead at the end of the first half and holds on for a 31-24 win

PIT @DEN - PIT scores the first TD and had the lead in Q4, but an ill timed fumble leads to DEN TD and the win for the Broncos

As for my picks - ok ATS, but not good enough for totals. Surprisingly (to me) both the NE and CAR game were "over" games, as well as the GB @ARI game "under" the total.
It was a homer weekend SU, but ATS was 2-1-1

2015 - week 19 - results

2015 - week 19 - picks

I've been waiting on numbers for PIT @DEN and finally someone has the cajones to post numbers.
CG Technology (which is at the M Resort and somewhere else here in 'vegas [it just escapes me atm]) is ahead of the pack. Everyone else will soon follow...

Last week:
All road teams won SU (#5,#6 seeds), but not ATS.
(only KC and GB covered, PIT and SEA did not cover)


01/16 4:35 PM
301 KC 42 *
302 NE -5 under

KC WR Maclin starts?

KC opponent W-L record 127-129
NE opponent W-L record 121-135

common opponent PIT (NE PEER)
KC won vs PIT 23-13 wk7
NE won vs PIT 28-21 wk1

common opponent DEN (NE PEER)
KC loss vs DEN 24-31 wk2
KC won @DEN 29-13 wk10
NE loss @DEN 24-30 wk12

common opponent BUF (BUF PEER)
KC won vs BUF 30-22 wk12
NE won @BUF 40-32 wk2
NE won vs BUF 20-13 wk11

common opponent HOU (BUF PEER)
KC won @HOU 27-20 wk1
NE won @HOU 27-6 wk14

WH records
FAV SU 12-3 
O/U 7-8
F/D 8-6-1
R/H 7-7-1
streak 3G-under



01/16 8:15 PM
303 GB 50 *
304 ARI -7 over

GB opponent W-L record 136-120
ARI opponent W-L record 122-134

ARI won vs GB 38-8 wk15 

common opponent SEA
GB won vs SEA 27-17 wk2
ARI won @SEA 39-32 wk10
ARI loss vs 6-36 SEA wk17

common opponent STL
GB won vs STL 24-10 wk5
ARI loss vs STL 22-24 wk4
ARI won @STL 27-3 wk13

common opponent SF
GB won @SF 17-3 wk4
ARI won vs SF 47-7 wk3
ARI won @SF 19-13 wk12

common opponent MIN
GB won @MIN 30-13 wk11
GB loss vs MIN 13-20 wk17
ARI won vs MIN 23-20 wk14

common opponent CHI
GB won @CHI 31-23 wk1
GB loss vs CHI 13-17 wk12
ARI won @CHI 48-23 wk2

common opponent DET
GB loss vs DET 16-18 wk10
GB won @DET 27-23 wk13
ARI won @DET 42-17 wk5

WH records
FAV SU 8-7 
O/U 8-6-1
F/D 8-7
R/H 8-7
streak 3G-home



01/17 1:05 PM
305 SEA 44 under
306 CAR -2½ *

SEA opponent W-L record 133-123
CAR opponent W-L record 113-143

CAR won @SEA 27-23 wk6

common opponent GB (CAR peer)
SEA loss @GB 17-27 wk2
CAR won vs GB 37-29 wk9

common opponent DAL (DAL peer)
SEA won @DAL 13-12 wk8
CAR won @DAL 33-14 wk12

WH records
FAV SU 10-5
O/U 7-8
F/D 7-8
R/H 7-8
streak 5G-FAV SU







01/17 4:40 PM
307 PIT 39½ under
308 DEN -7 *

PIT QB Roethlisberger starts?
PIT WR A Brown starts?
DEN QB Manning starts

PIT O vs DEN D
strength vs strength?

PIT opponent W-L record 129-127
DEN opponent W-L record 128-128

DEN loss @PIT 27-34 wk15


common opponent NE (both PIT and DEN PEER)
PIT loss @NE 21-28 wk1
DEN won vs NE 30-24 wk12

common opponent IND (both PIT and DEN PEER)
PIT won vs IND 45-10 wk13
DEN loss @IND 24-27 wk9

common opponent CIN
PIT loss vs CIN 10-16 wk8
PIT won @CIN 33-20 wk14
DEN won vs CIN 27-20 wk16

common opponent BAL
PIT loss vs BAL 20-23 wk4
PIT loss @BAL 17-20 wk16
DEN won vs BAL 19-13 wk1

common opponent CLE
PIT won vs CLE 30-9 wk10
PIT won @CLE 28-12 wk17
DEN won @CLE 26-23 wk6

common opponent KC
PIT loss @KC 13-23 wk7
DEN won @KC 31-24 wk2
DEN loss vs KC 13-29 wk10

common opponent OAK
PIT won vs OAK 38-35 wk9
DEN won @OAK 16-10 wk5
DEN loss vsOAK 12-15 wk14

common opponent SD
PIT won @SD 24-20 wk5
DEN won @SD 17-3 wk13
DEN won vs SD 27-20 wk17

WH records
FAV SU 9-6
O/U 8-6-1
F/D 8-7
R/H 6-9
streak 3G-FAV SU and home

2015 - week 18 - results

I should've been 4-0 for totals, but I forgot to change my pick for the SEA @MIN game to UNDER (due to sub-zero weather)
As for sides, the road teams (wild card teams - seeds #5 and #6 ) all won SU, but only KC and GB won ATS, of the home teams CIN and MIN won ATS.

2015 - week 18 - results

2015 - week 18 - picks (aka week 1 Wild Card Playoffs weekend)

Hmmm?

Last week DIV games:
BUF sweeps series w/NYJ ***an unexpected sweep***
CAR sweeps series w/TB
MIA splits series w/NE
CIN sweeps series w/BAL
NO sweeps series w/ATL ***an unexpected sweep***
HOU sweeps series w/JAC ***an unexpected sweep***
PIT sweeps series w/CLE
KC sweeps series w/OAK ***an unexpected sweep***
IND sweeps series w/TEN
WAS splits series w/DAL
DET sweeps series w/CHI ***an unexpected sweep***
PHI sweeps series w/NYG ***an unexpected sweep***
DEN sweeps series w/SD
SF splits series w/SF
MIN splits series w/GB


REALLY SURPRISED by the number of series sweeps
normally splits occur


01/09 4:35 PM
101 KC -3 *****
102 HOU 40½ under?

KC won 27-20 @HOU wk1
KC opponent season W-L record 127-129
HOU opponent season W-L record 127-129
6pt tease? KC/under? or HOU/under?
Which OL will let down the most? HOU?
WH F-D 12-3, FAV SU 13-2, O-U 9-6



01/09 8:15 PM
105 PIT -2½ *
106 CIN 46½ under

PIT won 33-20 @CIN wk14
CIN won 16-10 @PIT wk8 CoB
CIN QB McCarron starts
PIT opponent season W-L record 129-127
CIN opponent season W-L record 122-134
Will CIN be able to run on PIT D?

PIT DIV games 5of6 UNDER total (only @CIN OVER)
CIN DIV games 4of6 UNDER total (only vsPIT @BAL OVER)
WH ATS/SU R-H 4-11, F-D 3-12. O-U 9-6



01/10 1:05 PM
103 SEA -5½ *
104 MIN 41½ **over**

SEA won 38-7 @MIN wk13
SEA opponent season W-L record 133-123
MIN opponent season W-L record 129-127
WH ATS R-H 11-4-1, SU 11-5



01/10 4:40 PM
107 GB 45½ ***OVER***
108 WAS -1 *

common opponent CAR
GB loss 29-37 @CAR wk9
WAS loss 16-44 @CAR wk11

common opponent DAL
GB won 28-7 vs DAL wk14
WAS loss 16-19 vs DAL wk13
WAS won 34-23 @DAL wk17

common opponent CHI
GB won 31-23 @CHI wk1
GB loss 13-17 vs CHI wk12
WAS won 24-21 @CHI wk14

common opponent STL
GB won 24-10 vs STL wk5
WAS won 24-10 vs STL wk2


GB opponent season W-L record 136-120
WAS opponent season W-L record 119-137

GB SU road W-L record 5-3
WAS SU home W-L record 6-2

GB ATS road W-L record 5-3
WAS ATSU home W-L record 5-3

GB O/U road record 4-4
WAS O/U home record 3-5

LAST 4 GAMES
GB 2-2 last 4G (split home/road)
WAS 4G win streak, (3 on the road) has won 5 of last 6

GB (28-7vsDAL 30-20@OAK 8-38@ARI 13-20vsMIN) 35-29
WAS (24-21@CHI 35-25vsBUF 38-24@PHI 34-23@DAL) 25-39

L4G TOTALS
GB 35 50 46 33 
WAS 45 60 62 57

ATS
GB 2-2
WAS 4-0

WH FAV SU 9-6

2015 - week 17 - results

My win-loss record for week 17 just above .500 ATS (9-7) and just below .500 for totals (7-9).
As for the season, I did fairly well for both ATS (132-119-5) and Totals (130-121-5)


Below are results for the week and for the season:
note: ATS Dogs are 12-4 in week 17, O/U 5-11
(similar to week 16 ATS Dogs 11-5, O/U 4-12)

2015 - week 17 - results