Thursday, September 26, 2013

2013 - week 04 - picks

09/29 1:00 PM
199 PIT -1 **
200 MIN 42½ over

0-3 vs 0-3 even more desperate
@Wembley Stadium, London, England

no home field advantage for MIN
MIN FB Felton returns


09/29 1:00 PM
201 BAL -3½ ****
202 BUF 43½ *UNDER*

BUF COSTLY DEFEAT, 20s team, @least 4players inj'd from LW
BUF DE Carrington IR OFY
BUF appears to be regressing on O and D
BAL emphasis on run O?


09/29 1:00 PM
203 CIN -5½ **
204 CLE 41½ under

CLE returns to earth?


09/29 1:00 PM
205 IND -9 **
206 JAC 42½ under

JAC QB Gabbert starts
IND EXCELLENT 1st half bet as favorite
as JAC tends to score in Q4 (garbage time )


09/29 1:00 PM
207 SEA -3 **
208 HOU 43 under

HOU O regressing, D progressing


09/29 1:00 PM
209 ARI 41 ***UNDER***
210 TB -3 *

ARI practicing in FL (did not return home)
ARI LBx2 Acho and Alexander IR OFY
(also core ST players)
ARI D can't cover TE's
TB D zone schemes, big day for ARI WR's?
really tempted to take ARI
TB QB Glennon startS



09/29 1:00 PM
211 CHI 48½ *over
212 DET -2½ *

CHI DT Melton OUT
DET DE Jones OUT
DET WR Burleson OUT



09/29 1:00 PM
213 NYG 44 UNDER
214 KC -4 *

KC O/ST 0 TO's this season, amazing D
KC 10 days rest


09/29 4:05 PM
215 NYJ 39 ***UNDER***
216 TEN -4½ **

NYJ D sacking team (x8 vs BUF)
TEN should win SU, will they cover?
LY NYJ 10 @TEN 14


09/29 4:25 PM
217 DAL -2 *
218 SD 46½ **OVER**

DAL needs to prove they can win on the road this season
SD OL best up?
changed initial pick from SD/O to DAL/O


09/29 4:25 PM
219 WAS -3 *
220 OAK 47½ *over*

OAK QB Flynn starts?
?pts prudent? I originally took OAK/O changed to WAS/O


09/29 4:25 PM
221 PHI 57½ over
222 DEN -10 **

PHI 0-3 desperate, players on the fence? w/Kelly? or w/o Kelly?
PHI 10 days rest


09/29 8:30 PM
223 NE -1 **UNDER**
224 ATL 49 *

NE 3-0 @ATL 1-2, ATL much more desperate and plays better at home,
ATL has played the tougher schedule and though depleted, keeps calm and wins the game
ATL excellent? 1st half bet


09/30 8:40 PM
225 MIA 47 over?
226 NO -6 **

MIA LW LUCKY? COSTLY WIN?
MIA DE Wake OUT

TEAMS w/10 days rest 4-0 ATS/SU (BAL, DEN, NYJ, NE) this week KC, PHI

Teams Going into Bye (GiB) PIT, MIN, TB, WAS
Teams Going into Bye 1-1 ATS/SU (CAR, GB)

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