Sunday, August 27, 2006

week 1

GM# TEAM spread pick (bold - favored side or total, green - best bet)

101 MIA 34 under
102 PIT pk X
Lines moved alot on news of PIT QB not playing total dropping from 37 and PIT as -5 fav. I know, I know I originally picked MIA, but the more I thought about it the circumstances are set for PIT's D to prove once again it is a dominant force and that MIA's D is aging.

203 DEN -3.5 X
204 STL 46.5 under
3.5? should be 14.5 ....

205 NYJ 36 X
206 TEN -3 under
with so much starting QB ?'s unanswered, TEN lacks unity and a field general. OUT TEN TE E Kinney

207 BUF 41 under
208 NE -9 X
let's see what Jauron and staff can come up with to stop NE, I didn't see or hear a thing yep that's NE w/$$ and nice cap management, they don't need a WR in this game

209 BAL 34.5 under
210 TB -3 X
hard to choose side or total as under 34.5 is likely to occur

211 CIN 45.5 X
212 KC -3 over
straight up upset take the moneyline in this game

213 SEA -6 X
214 DET 45 under
spread should at least be -7.5 for me to stop and think .... nahhhh make it 10.5 OUT - SEA TE J Stevens

215 ATL 40.5 X
216 CAR -6 under
might be the best game of the day, I was really tempted to take ATL +6 as my favored choice, one of the reasons is ATL has an extra player because they have a triple threat kicker for FG's , punts, and KO's. ATL doesn't have to carry a separate punter or FG/KO kicker and that allows another good player (ATL appears to have an extra FB) or consider him a good ST player, which is the often overlooked part of the team, but in this case may give ATL an edge. OUT ATL LB E Hartwell

217 PHI -4 X
218 HOU 37 over
Let's just say PHI is back and HOU is rebuilding, could be a laugher ...

219 NO 37 X
220 CLE -3 under
tough to pick, CLE has a little more exp playing w/each other and NO doesn't have depth, You could take CLE -3 and make a case for the $$ OUT CLE CB D McCutcheon

221 DAL 36.5 X
222 JAC -2.5 under
DAL may make me sorry for taking them, JAC is a deep team w/a lot of team speed OUT? DT M Stroud

223 CHI -3.5 X
224 GB 34.5 over
another laugher maybe, QB Grossman should be able to move ball and you know their D at home is just stout. GB appears to be in rebuilding mode, not reload/restock mode

225 SF 42 under
226 ARI -7.5 X
Will SF score? this looks like a nice two team pick. INJ's ARI - RT O Ross, LB K Dansby

227 IND -3 X
228 NYG 49 over
little bro, needs more seasoning ...

229 MIN 35.5 X
230 WAS -4.5 over
You can buy a win in the NFL, game could go under if weather and WAS comply. OUT CB S Springs

231 SD -3 under
232 OAK 43.5 X
taking OAK, only cause 1st game on the road for SD QB Rivers, he won't be nervous now will he?

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