game 6, 1-1, MIA +2.5 *(win) - TB QB Simms got a FG from their 1st drive, 2nd drive wasn't good and 3rd drive OL didn't play as well (QB Rattay took over in 2nd qtr)
[ note: 2nd week in a row 1st score for TB is a FG].
MIA QB Culpepper played into 2nd and got into a rhythm (or TB D called off dogs in 2nd qtr) and got a TD. D's for both team are ahead of O.
game 7, 1-1, CAR +3 *(win) - CAR scored on 1st possession for 2nd week in a row, looking very good even against a very quick and tough JAC D. JAC QB Leftwich did not play for long (no TD or FG) QB Garrard and O played into 3rd, but CAR D proven to be up to the challenge and is at least a notch better than JAC
game 8, 0-2, ARI @NE over 37.5 - wow NE looks like in mid-season form QB Brady played for a lot longer than I thought he would and QB Cassell did well. QB Leinhart did well at first. Rain in 2nd half. I find it interesting that Eisen on NFL networks called the game "NE Brady vs ARI Leinhart" on highlights. ARI QB Warner is not getting any love, though I believe he's a team player and is really needed for Leinhart's ascent as well as ARI ascent this year. NE D (1st team) did very well vs ARI O (1st team). I should have been looking for ARI to be "flat" on the road after opening stadium last weekend.
game 9, 0-2, ATL +3 - After a poor showing last week @SD, GB really stepped it up this week, lucky at times, effort (speed) was a lot better @home. ATL Vick did good, just INT was bad spot. I thought ATL QB Schaub would play better.
game 10, 2-0, MIN +3.5 *(win) - PIT QB "Big Ben" played well scored TD, Safety Polamalu was out of position (got beat) a couple of times (losing 1/2 a step?). PIT w/o Roethlisberger is a different team as O is inconsistent, though prior preseasons were about the same and they are defending SB champs . I just wish PIT was more in sync during preseason. MIN OL played good, QB Johnson played very well as did RB C Taylor.
game 11, 0-2, STL-3.5 - HOU DE M Williams played a lot better, STL still has problems w/ST and did you notice STL 1st team has yet to score a TD?
game 12, 0-2, WAS -3 - you gotta expect a lot better effort next week from WAS as NYJ had their way for the most part except for the 1st qtr when neither team scored. It's two weeks in a row that WAS has not played well. NYJ OL and RB's played a lot better, ST hmmm punter needs work. NYJ RB L Washington, small by NFL standards (blocking), but a very smart (reads D very well) and quick runner. NYJ O attacked the edges of WAS D very well. Wet field.
game 13, 1-1, DEN -5.5 *(win) wet field, DEN @home adjusted quickly, TEN appeared to be very tentative at times.
ouch!... O/U totals, picks 1-7 (w/l) sigh...
sides break even at .500 (4-4)
Did you notice the dog was 5-1?
I came out ahead on my bets. How? I bet three 2-team parlays. A 2 team parlay pays $26 on a $10 bet. I had 3 $10 bets (or $30 out of pocket). I lost 2 bets (lost $20) won 1 bet (win $26 + original $10).
I ended up w/$36 in my pocket. That' s $6 more than what I started. So a little ahead. (20%)
ATS
overall: 11-15
favored side/total: 7-6
best bet: 1-0
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