Friday, August 30, 2013

2013 - Preseason week 4 - results

Not the greatest results, not the worse...

2013 - Preseason week 4 - results

Thursday, August 29, 2013

2013 - Preseason week 3 - results

Not the greatest results, especially for totals, but it is preseason...


Tuesday, August 27, 2013

2013 - preseason week 4 - picks

08/29 7:00 PM
101 PHI -3 ***
102 NYJ 39½ over



08/29 7:00 PM
103 IND 37½ *
104 CIN -3½ under


 
08/29 7:00 PM
105 DET -4½ over
106 BUF 39½ *



08/29 7:30 PM
107 JAC -3 under
108 ATL 39½ *



08/29 7:30 PM
109 PIT 36½ under
110 CAR -3½ ***


 
08/29 7:30 PM
111 WAS -2 *
112 TB 37 over



08/29 7:30 PM
113 NO 36 under
114 MIA -6 **


 
08/29 7:30 PM
115 NYG 39 under
116 NE -1½ *



08/29 8:00 PM
117 TEN -4 **
118 MIN 38½ over


 
08/29 8:00 PM
119 BAL 38 *
120 STL -7 *under?


 
08/29 8:00 PM
121 CLE -1 *
122 CHI 39 UNDER


 
08/29 8:00 PM
123 GB 36½ under
124 KC -3½ *


 
08/29 8:00 PM
125 HOU -2½ over
126 DAL 37½ *



08/29 9:00 PM
127 ARI -1 under
128 DEN 38 *



08/29 10:00 PM
129 SF 38½ UNDER
130 SD PK *



08/29 10:00 PM
131 OAK 36½ *
132 SEA -7 UNDER



Wednesday, August 21, 2013

google and NFL

Just read this ...Google and NFL meet; Sunday Ticket up for grabs?

After some initial thought, why not? DirectTV has always been limited to satellite subscribers, but the internet is a far bigger market, not just here but overseas. I wonder if Google will need to pay re-transmission fees of local broadcast game to Fox, ABC/ESPN, CBS and NBC?

Since the conferences are split up among divisions of East, North, South, and West I always thought it would be nice to have the each of the major broadcasters have a division and have the broadcast rights for the home games of that division. Instead of the current convoluted mish mash of Thursday Night games, Sunday Night games and Monday Night games as well as Sunday football. There's also DirectTV and their out-of-market games broadcast as well as Dish and their Red Zone broadcast.

Google could consolidate all of this much better and really saturate broadband links on game days/nights. It's interesting that their is speculation that DirectTV is losing money.

One thing I do know is the regular TV broadcast is the first to be transmitted out to the world as the DirectTV broadcast is seconds behind I'll estimate about 5-6 seconds. Enough to make a difference in the betting world for in-game betting. Imagine if Google had control of all the broadcasts, they could cut that delay down to milliseconds (or a least a second or two), thus no advantage would be gained by an informed gambler (with access to real time broadcast of the game).

With Google in the game, a new bidding war appears to have begun and this time, the normal TV broadcaster will probably play the regulation rules and fees to gain an advantage, but the NFL should move on to the most successful online presence if they expect to grow the sport as well as revenues.

Well we'll see how this all plays out....

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

2013 - Preseason wk 3 - picks

Thursday:
08/22 7:30 PM
251 NE 45½ over
252 DET -2 *


08/22 8:00 PM
253 CAR 42 under
254 BAL -3 *


Friday:
08/23 8:00 PM
255 SEA -2 *
256 GB 42½ *OVER*


08/23 10:00 PM
257 CHI -3½ over
258 OAK 38½ *


Saturday:
08/24 4:30 PM
259 BUF 42½ *
260 WAS -3½ over


08/24 7:00 PM
261 NYJ 39½ *?
262 NYG -2½ under?


08/24 7:00 PM
263 CLE 42½ *over*
264 IND -2½ *


08/24 7:30 PM
265 TB 40½ under
266 MIA -3 *


08/24 7:30 PM
267 KC 40 *
268 PIT -3 UNDER


08/24 7:30 PM
269 PHI -3½ *
270 JAC 43 under


08/24 8:00 PM
271 ATL 43 *
272 TEN -3 over


08/24 8:00 PM
273 STL 43 * 
274 DEN -6½ *UNDER


08/24 8:00 PM
275 CIN 43½ *
276 DAL -3 *over


08/24 10:00 PM
277 SD 40½ under
278 ARI -4 *


Sunday:
08/25 4:00 PM
279 NO 43½ under
280 HOU -3 *


08/25 8:00 PM
281 MIN 40 UNDER
282 SF -4½ *



GRID ranking - Preseason

2013 - GRID Ranking - Preseason

I had a much tougher time sizing up BAL/NYG/CHI and KC/TB/ARI than the rest of the ranking, they are nearly interchangeable IMO.

You'll notice the NFC slant/tilt as far as stronger divisions, I just feel that the AFC has a greater disparity between teams this year than last. Sure CAR and STL could be in the bottom 10, but who would you then raise into their place? DET? CLE? PHI?
Of all the teams in the bottom 10, MIA has the best D, but I suspect that their O will have issues this year.
JAC maybe the surprise team, if they start QB Henne and win w/run game, D and ST, but it appears they will start QB Gabbert and injured thumb on throwing hand, rather than sit him for the next couple of months, so I left them near the bottom.
BAL even though they are the defending Super Bowl champs will play the season with a target on their back for every game and I suspect with all their new additions will not be up to the task.
CHI is among the oldest teams (total starts, total career games), but due to new regime and lackluster preseason will need to surprise in regular season to move up.
MIN is the most complete team, except at the most important position QB and that's why GB for all their issues along OL still rates the highest in NFC North. DET has yet to show they can win several games in a row and if the opposing D can force DET O to look elsewhere (other than option #1 Megatron) than they've won.

Right now the AFC East except for NE should be called the AFC "Least", MIA, BUF, NYJ all have multiple issues to overcome. The AFC South and West aren't far behind with problem child teams. TEN needs to find a new QB, accuracy is the most overlooked factor by most pundits, management and their ilk (those who choose/draft/evaluate players) is the second and unless JAC upgrades their management personnel or perhaps just a wholesale change (which OAK and SD have done) they'll be stuck in the mud. OAK and SD should be much better next year, but for now they will be mired near the bottom.

SEA depth has been very impressive this preseason and should be ranked #1, but I guess they don't get the 'press' that the east coast teams and other older teams do. The whole team plays with hunger, we'll see if they go all the way.

2013 - Preseason week 2 - results

2013 - Preseason wk 2 - results
Not the greatest results, but not the worst either...

For the majority of games the SU winner also won ATS except for:
BAL won SU, ATL won ATS
CHI won SU, SD won ATS

Notice: I also lost ATS and totals for ATL @BAL, SD @CHI, as well as SF @KC, TB @NE and JAC @NYJ. I suppose I could've predicted totals better for SF/KC game, but TB/NE and JAC/NYJ going way over the totals were very surprising