This year I have been a bit distracted and I suppose I could have done a lot better for week 1 games, but I tried a different approach in picking games and it obviously didn't work. I'll go back to assessing each teams motivation and making picks as I see fit.
08/14 8:00 PM 401 JAC 42½ *under* 402 CHI -3½ * JAC D much improved last wk vs TB O JAC QB Henne 1st half QB Bortle 2nd half JAC QB Henne stinking it up CHI O starters 'on fire' last week vs PHI D CHI O passes to TE and deep to WRs CHI ST issues CHI 2nd string OL depth issues
I'm very unsure in this game. I prefer the total. JAC D appears to be much improved, but it's their O that's a real question, with their starters expected to play a half, I don't expect more than a FG or two to be generated by their first team O. The 2nd half for JAC should feature rookie QB Bortles, I would play him into Q4 and maybe let QB Stanzi get a drive or two. I'd expect anywhere from a TD or two at the most from JAC 2nd stringers and the rest of their depth players. Thus perhaps JAC will reach 20 pts, but I think it's likely it will be less. CHI scored a lot in week 1, thus the 'high' total of 42.5 and this could be true this week as well, but it's likely CHI QB Cutler will only play a quarter as he and the rest of the first string O doesn't appear to need the reps. I'll guess CHI will play QB Clausen from Q2-Q3 and maybe let QB Palmer play Q4. At this point I don't expect to see QB Fales as I would want to clearly see if Palmer or Clausen should be QB2 (I'm thinking Clausen at this point). I would expect the loser to be cut very soon to allow for QB Fales to gain more experience. Since both D's did fairly well last week (and yes I thought CHI D did fairly well vs PHI O), I don't expect a high scoring game, but the sports books have a high total for a preseason game. CHI just has a better rotation of QBs, it's their length of playing time which is the unknown factor. JAC doesn't appear to have the 'horses' on O, thus I'm thinking a fairly close low scoring game.
08/15 7:30 PM 403 PHI 46½ ** 404 NE -2 **OVER** PHI @NE for joint practices (2nd yr in a row) rainy wet windy practices *NE 2nd wk of joint practices* NE will they be interested this week? NE not set at SS road team 4-0 SU in series PHI WR Maclin OUT? NE QB2 Mallett limited reps, Garoppolo more? 08/15 8:00 PM 405 TEN 43 over 406 NO -3 **** TEN starting and back up C OUT?? NO QB#2 Griffin/McCown 'battle' last wk @STL NO QB Brees 'OUT' 08/15 10:00 PM 407 DET 40 *** 408 OAK -3 ***UNDER*** DET sluggish? OAK O pathetic last week @MIN OAK almost goose egg'd OAK @Oxnard for joint practice w/DAL brawling 8/11 08/15 10:00 PM 409 SD 38½ * 410 SEA -6½ *UNDER SD O starters 'on fire' vs DAL D SD OL still has issues
08/16 4:00 PM 411 GB 41 * 412 STL -2½ *over GB QB2 battle Flynn vs Tolzien STL QB Bradford starts (DNP PSG1 vs NO) **STL QB Hill 2TDs PSG1 on 7 attempts** 08/16 7:00 PM 413 NYG 41 *under 414 IND -2 * NYG 1's to play longer 5+drives (Q1-Q2) NYG QBs Manning Painter Nassib IND QBs Luck Hasselbeck Harnish IND OL injuries, C Holmes OUT IND QB Luck Q1 2 series, if he does well again IND CB Davis and S Landry starts 08/16 7:00 PM 415 BAL -1 over 416 DAL 41½ * BAL satisfied w/joint practice vs SF BAL starters to play Q1 (maybe more) BAL QB Taylor to play Q2-Q4(partial?) DAL D 'hideous' @SD, 'the show must go on' OAK @Oxnard for joint practice w/DAL brawling 8/11 08/16 7:00 PM 417 NYJ 41½ *** 418 CIN -3 UNDER NYJ starters 2-3? series NYJ DT Richardson 'we owe them one' for LY 49-9 butt kicking CIN QB2 Campbell OUT, QB Wilson p/u 8/10 CIN QBs Dalton, Scott, Wilson (QB2n3 1yr exp) 08/16 7:30 PM 419 BUF 40 UNDER 420 PIT -2½ * BUF QB Manuel 0 TDs in preseason vs NYG, @CAR BUF @PIT for joint practice 8/12-13 PIT "Separation Saturday" PIT D dominating joint practice day 1 08/16 7:30 PM 421 MIA 37 under 422 TB -2½ * MIA QB Quinn (8/10 p/u) QB#2 'battle' w/Moore MIA QB2 Moore sore shoulder MIA QB3 Quinn MIA QB4 Lobato not NFL caliber MIA OL2 can't run ball MIA LBs can't cover RB in flat MIA ST solid TB OL 'shambles' @JAC ??RAIN?? 08/16 8:00 PM 423 ATL 40 *UNDER? 424 HOU -3 * ATL @HOU for joint practice 8/13-14 ATL D still in a rut ATL TC injuriesX6 ATL WR JOnes OUT? ATL HC Smith wants RZ improvements HOU HC O'Brien "we're terrible" last week @ARI HOU WR Johnson hamstring OUT? HOU D does well joint practice, O???? 08/16 8:30 PM 425 ARI 38 under 426 MIN -3 * MIN QB1 can move the ball, other QBs ??? last wk vs OAK 08/17 4:00 PM 427 DEN 40 under 428 SF -3½ * DEN 2nd game vs NFC W D SF satisfied w/joint practice @BAL 08/17 8:00 PM 429 KC 39 ***UNDER*** 430 CAR -3½ * KC QB Smith 1st half KC WR Bowe sucks KC D ahead of O, except at DB, very very suspect CAR O QB Newton, RB Stewart and Williams to start CAR D tough vs run CAR miff'd no respect from nat'l media 'mostly likely to fall this year' 08/18 8:00 PM 431 CLE 41 *over 432 WAS -2 * CLE QB Hoyer and Manziel equal 1st team reps CLE QB Grossman to play? (8/10 p/u) CLE WRs depth too many dropsies CLE starters for 1st half