2016 - week 4 - TNF - picks

I feel a little better about the side rather than the total as the number of 44½ is low. With defenses for each team being the best part of the team at this time, it's a race to the 20's, first team to 20 will win. If both team score in the 20's the total should go over. Their is a new upgrade factor w/CIN LB Burfict, I suspect this will keep the score low under 20's for MIA. CIN without TE Eifert, WR Jones and Sanu, xOC Jackson - just hasn't gelled enough, maybe another month is needed...

A simpler way to win would be to do a 6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and under 50½ for a two pick 6pt tease, $11 should pay around $10

of if you're feeling brave, try "middling" w/6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and MIA +13½ as well as under 50½ and over 38½, $10 should pay around $65
or you could just middle sides or the total

09/29 8:25 PM
101 MIA 44½ *
102 CIN -7½ under

MIA HC Gase 'perform or else'
CIN LB Burfict starts (off 3G suspension)
CIN should win SU, but ATS???
Will MIA get to 20pts if so over, if not under

2016 - week 3 - results

the 'dog won 11 of 16 games, among the notables, BUF gets home UPSET vs ARI, PHI gets home UPSET vs PIT, MIN get ROAD UPSET @CAR and 'lowly' LA (w/the help of an hour long rain delay) triumph on the road @TB.

week 3 results:
ATS: 7-9
Totals: 11-5

for the season:
ATS: 20-28
Totals: 26-20-2

2016 - week 3 - picks

I'm posting a little later than normal, a little tired with work and home life...

Here's a little more with White Hat trends:

WH trends:
HOU @NE FAV

DEN @CIN OVER
OAK @TEN UNDER
ARI @BUF HOME/UNDER
BAL @JAC DOG/UNDER
CLE @MIA DOG/OVER
WAS @NYG FAV SU/DOG ATS
DET @GB HFO
MIN @CAR DOG

SF @SEA ROAD/DOG
LA @TB ROAD/OVER
PIT @PHI UNDER
NYJ @KC DOG
SD @IND UNDER

CHI @DAL FAV/OVER

ATL @NO HFU

HFO = Home Fav Over

HFU = Home Fav Under

09/22 8:25 PM
301 HOU -2½ ***UNDER***
302 NE 41 **

NE QB Brissett starts (1st)


09/25 1:00 PM
461 DEN 42 ***
462 CIN -3 under

CIN every week, - a step up against good/great D


09/25 1:00 PM
463 OAK 47 *
464 TEN -1½ under

OAK D 'Oley'
TEN D among best RZ this season


09/25 1:00 PM
465 ARI -4½ ****
466 BUF 47 under

BUF new OC


09/25 1:00 PM
467 BAL -1 *
468 JAC 47½ *under*

2-0 vs 0-2
JAC LT Beachum OUT?


09/25 1:00 PM
469 CLE 41½ **UNDER**
470 MIA -10 **

CLE QB Kessler starts
CLE C Erving OUT
MIA C Pouncey OUT
MIA RB Foster OUT
0-2 vs 0-2
MIA should win, but cover ATS?


09/25 1:00 PM
471 WAS 46½ *
472 NYG -4 *under*

NYG should win SU, WAS wins ATS?


09/25 1:00 PM
473 DET 48 over
474 GB -7½ *

DET so many inj's..


09/25 1:00 PM
475 MIN 43 *
476 CAR -7 *under*

MIN LT Kalil OUT
MIN RB Petersen OUT
CAR RB Stewart OUT


09/25 4:05 PM
477 SF 40½ *
478 SEA -10 over

history sides w/SEA


09/25 4:05 PM
479 LA 42 under
480 TB -5 *

2nd road game for LA, 1st East coast trip
TB RB Martin OUT


09/25 4:25 PM
481 PIT -6 ***
482 PHI 46 under

PHI has played CLE and CHI, confidence builders


09/25 4:25 PM
483 NYJ 43 *
484 KC -3 *under

1st half take NYJ?
KC O awful slow starts, D can't stop good QBs


09/25 4:25 PM
485 SD 52 ***
486 IND -3 under

1st Half take SD?
2nd Half take IND?


09/25 8:30 PM
487 CHI 45½ *over*
488 DAL -5 *

CHI QB Hoyer starts?
CHI QB Cutler thumb D2D
CHI LB Trevathan thumb OUT
CHI LB Houston knee OUT
CHI NT Goldman ankle OUT



09/26 8:30 PM
489 ATL 54 over
490 NO -3 *

ATL 1-1
NO 0-2

2016 - week 2 - results

lots of injuries this weekend... (such as DET - lost starters - DE Ansah, RB Abdullah and TE Ebron during the game, IND and JAC also w/multiple inj's).

Costly wins?
NE QB Garoppolo OUT G3-?
MIN RB Peterson OUT G3-9?
CAR RB Stewart OUT G3-4?
SD RB Woodhead OFY


week 2 results:
ATS: 8-8
Totals: 6-9-1

for the season:
ATS: 13-19
Totals: 15-15-2

2016 - week 02 - picks

??

09/15 8:25 PM
101 NYJ -1 *
102 BUF 40½ *UNDER*

BUF LT Glenn OUT?
LY BUF wonx2 vs NYJ


09/18 1:00 PM
261 TEN 47 under
262 DET -5½ *


09/18 1:00 PM
263 KC 43½ *
264 HOU -2½ UNDER

LY KC 27 @HOU 20
LY PO KC 30 HOU 0
KC a bit lucky to win last week (if SD made FG, they win game)
HOU D formidable
HOU LT Brown OUT


09/18 1:00 PM
265 MIA 41½ UNDER
266 NE -6½ **

LY MIA 7 @NE 36
LY NE 10 @MIA 20
MIA played well enough to win last week vs SEA
NE surprised last week w/o LT/RT/TE


09/18 1:00 PM
267 BAL -6½ ***
268 CLE 42½ *UNDER*

LY CLE 33 @BAL 30 (OT)
LY BAL 33 @CLE 27
BAL D on the rise?
CLE QB J McCown starts


09/18 1:00 PM
269 CIN 48½ over
270 PIT -3½ *

CIN O run weak? pass good
LY CIN 16 @PIT 10
LY PIT 30 @CIN 20
LY PO PIT 18 CIN 16


09/18 1:00 PM
271 DAL 45½ under
272 WAS -3 *

LY DAL 19 @WAS 16
LY WAS 23 @DAL 34


09/18 1:00 PM
273 NO 53½ *
274 NYG -4½ over

LY NYG 49 @NO 52
NO will start 2 rookie CBs
NYG lucky? again (last week @DAL)
NYG LBs 'shaky'


09/18 1:00 PM
275 SF 45 under
276 CAR -13½ *

CAR should be pissed off they should have won game


09/18 4:05 PM
277 TB 50 *
278 ARI -6½ OVER

ARI D couldn't stop run last wk vs NE (RB Blount)


09/18 4:05 PM
279 SEA -6 UNDER
280 LA 38½ *

LY SEA 31 @STL 34 (OT)
LY STL 23 @SEA 17
SEA O non-functional?


09/18 4:25 PM
281 IND 46 under
282 DEN -6 *

LY DEN 24 @IND 27
IND another slow start?


09/18 4:25 PM
283 ATL 49½ **OVER**
284 OAK -5 *

ATL can't tackle, sack or score in RZ
OAK impressive win w/OL shuffle due to RT inj'd
OAK OL RT? 


09/18 4:25 PM
285 JAC 47 ***
286 SD -3 *OVER*

LY SD 31 @JAC 25


09/18 8:30 PM
287 GB -2½ *
288 MIN 44 under

LY GB 30 @MIN 13
LY MIN 20 @GB 13


09/19 8:30 PM
289 PHI 43 *
290 CHI -3 *under*

PHI TE Ertz ribs OUT?
PHI CB McKelvin hamstring OUT?
PHI QB nice debut, CHI D is a step up?
PHI ST punter, a 'weapon'
will CHI O get shut out in 2nd Half again (did well in 1st Half last week)

2016 - week 01 - results

mixed results for week 01 and I should have kept my original pick of DEN for Thursday night game

ATS 5-11 (not good)
Totals 9-6-1 (good)


notable surprises:
OAK scores 22 Q4 wins @NO
KC scores 17 Q4 + 6 in OT wins vs SD
ATL starts 3 rookies on D 2LB, NB
BAL WR Smith starts
CHI starts rookie OLB and very young secondary
NE wins despite TE/LT/RT OUT
MIA despite 3 starts out (C, WLB, WR) they kept the game close
MIN D scores twice w/frTD and intrTD

DIV games - dogs won ATS (4-0)

2016 - week 01 - picks

9/5 update: change pick from DEN/Under to CAR/Under

I should wait for 53 man rosters, and trades etc... but I'm unsure of the time I'll have next week....
I may update as time permits...

09/08 8:30 PM
451 CAR -3 *
452 DEN 42 *under*

09/11 1:00 PM
453 TB 47½ under
454 ATL -3 *

09/11 1:00 PM
455 MIN -1 *
456 TEN 41 *UNDER*

09/11 1:00 PM
457 CLE 43½ **UNDER**
458 PHI -6 *

09/11 1:00 PM
459 CIN -2½ ***
460 NYJ 42 over

09/11 1:00 PM
461 OAK 51 **
462 NO -1 under

09/11 1:00 PM
463 SD 44 *OVER*
464 KC -7 *

09/11 1:00 PM
465 BUF 44½ *
466 BAL -3 over

09/11 1:00 PM
467 CHI 44½ *
468 HOU -6 over

09/11 1:00 PM
469 GB -5 *
470 JAC 48 over

09/11 4:05 PM
471 MIA 44 UNDER
472 SEA -10½ *

09/11 4:25 PM
473 NYG 46½ *
474 DAL -1 over

09/11 4:25 PM
475 DET 50½ ****
476 IND -4 over

09/11 8:30 PM
477 NE 47½ UNDER
478 ARI -6 *

09/12 7:10 PM
479 PIT -3 **OVER**
480 WAS 50 *

09/12 10:20 PM
481 LA -2½ *
482 SF 44½ OVER

2016 - preseason - week 4 - results

for the week:
ATS: 8-8
Totals: 10-6

for the preseason:
ATS: 30-33-1
Totals: 32-30-2

not bad, not good, maybe average? hard to say with preseason.... you just never know...