Friday, September 26, 2008

NFL 08 - week 4 - picks

09/28 1:00 PM
195 DEN -9 ***over**
196 KC 46½ *
DEN-WR-D.Jackson-Questionable
KC-QB-Huard starts?
DEN wins SU, but ATS?

09/28 1:00 PM
197 CLE 44½ *under* going into bye week
198 CIN -3.5 *****
CLE G Steinbach out
CLE-WR-Stallworth-Questionable
CIN-TE-Utecht-Questionable
give the edge to CIN who were clicking last wk @NYG

09/28 1:00 PM
199 HOU 42 *
200 JAC -7.5 over?
HOU-RB-Slaton starts
HOU media picks on QB, should be picking on OL and play calling
HOU sucks in Redzone, FG machine
JAC-WR-Porter-Questionable
JAC run O

09/28 1:00 PM
201 ARI 45 **********
202 NYJ -2.5 *under* going into bye week
ARI-staying in VA for the week, practice nearby university
NYJ-WR-Coles-Probable, QB-Favre-Probable
NJY more CB Lowery seasoning by WR's Bolden & Fitzgerald

09/28 1:00 PM
203 SF 48½ *
204 NO -6 *****OVER*****
NO-WR-Colston-OUT, TE-Shockey-OUT, WR-Patten-Questionable
multiple D inj's

09/28 1:00 PM
205 ATL 39½ *under*
206 CAR -7 *
ATL OT Baker illness?
CAR may just win by a FG, but I think they'll cover
Heavy dose of run and run in this game

09/28 1:00 PM
207 MIN 36½ ?taking pts should be close game?
208 TEN -3 ***UNDER***
MIN-WR-Rice-Questionable
TEN-WR-Gage-QuestionableMIN+6 looking really good as well as UNDER
MIN D scoring eff going down(very good 17% last game)
MIN OL is worry pt allowing nearly 3 sacks per game
TEN D rush going up(not good)and avg gain per play as well
Possessions should be between 10-12 for both teams
MIN O scoring eff 36-40%
TEN O scoring eff 23-42%
this translates to 2 to 3 scores max each
MAX pts = 42 ( not likely )
each team scores at least 1 FG, max pts = 34
most likely scenario 13-10 or 17-10
another run & run game

09/28 1:00 PM
209 GB 43 *under*
210 TB -2 ***
GB-CB-Harris-OUT, secondary is vulnerable/banged up
TB-WR-Galloway-Questionable
12 possessions/team
GB O scoring eff 33-57% at least 4 scores
TB O scoring eff 33-42% at least 4? scores
MAX pts = 56pts
most likely: 20-12, 24-16, 24-20, 28-24
GB RZ D good, O good to very good
TB RZ D very good, O weak
???how will GB secondary play???

09/28 4:05 PM
211 BUF -8 ***
212 STL 41½ *under*(smells like desperation)
BUF lacks speed at 3rdWR w/o Parrish
STL-QB-Trent Green-Expected to start, QB-Bulger-Benched
DT, DE & LB new starters....
STL - going into bye week

09/28 4:05 PM
213 SD -7.5 *
214 OAK 45½ *under* going into bye week
SD-RB-Tomlinson-Probable
OAK-RB-Fargas-Questionable

09/28 4:15 PM
215 WAS 46 *
216 DAL -11 *over*
WAS-DE-Taylor-OUT
DAL-TE-Witten-Probable; WR-Hurd-Questionable
DAL should win SU, but not ATS

09/28 8:15 PM
217 PHI -3 ***
218 CHI 41 *over?*
PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable; RB-Westbrook-Questionable
CHI-WR-Hester-Questionable, VANILLA O
NBC

09/29 8:35 PM
219 BAL 36 ***
220 PIT -7 under
ESPN
PIT-RB-Parker, NT-Hampton, DE-Keisel, OUT

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