week 13 picks - whoops I forgot to post

11/29 8:15 PM

301 GB 51½ *

302 DAL -7 over******


12/02 1:00 PM

337 ATL 41 under*

338 STL -4.5 ***

STL-QB-Bulger-Questionable



12/02 1:00 PM

339 BUF 37 under*

340 WAS -6 *****

BUF-RB-Lynch-Doubtful, QB-Edwards-Expected to start


12/02 1:00 PM

341 DET 45 *

342 MIN -3.5 over*****

MIN-RB-Peterson-Probable


12/02 1:00 PM

343 HOU 42 *

344 TEN -3.5 under**

HOU-RB-Green-Questionable


12/02 1:00 PM

345 JAC 45 *

346 IND -7 under*

IND-WR-Harrison-Questionable


12/02 1:00 PM

347 NYJ 38 *

348 MIA -1.5 under*

NYJ-WR-Coles-Questionable



12/02 1:00 PM

349 SD -5 ***

350 KC 37½ under*

KC-RB-Johnson-Doubtful


12/02 1:00 PM

351 SEA 42 ****

352 PHI -3 under*

SEA-WR-Hackett-Doubtful, RB-Alexander-Questionable

PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable, RB-Westbrook Probable


12/02 1:00 PM

353 SF 35½ *

354 CAR -3 under*

CAR-QB-Testaverde-Questionable, QB-Carr-Probable

CAR-WR-Smith-Questionable


12/02 4:15 PM

355 TB 42 under*

356 NO -3 ***

TB-QB-Garcia-Questionable (may be limited)

TB-RB-Pittman-Questionable


12/02 4:05 PM

357 CLE 51½ under*

358 ARI -1 *


12/02 4:05 PM

359 DEN -3.5 ****

360 OAK 42 under**

DEN-RB-Young-Probable, RB-Henry-Questionable


12/02 4:15 PM

361 NYG -2.5 under*

362 CHI 42½ *

NYG-RB-Jacobs-Questionable

CHI-RB-Benson-OUT


12/02 8:15 PM

363 CIN 46½ *******

364 PIT -7 over***

PIT-WR-Holmes-Questionable


12/03 8:30 PM

365 NE -20.5 ***

366 BAL 50½ under***

week 12 results

game 1 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 2 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 3 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 4 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 5 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 6 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 7 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (OAK, RDO)

game 8 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (CLE, HFU)

game 9 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 10 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (MIN, RDO)

game 11 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 12 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (TB, HFU)

game 13 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (SF, RDO)

game 14 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 15 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 16 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0


ATS weekly:
ATS 16-16 side 8-8 total 8-8


ATS for the year:
ATS 181-158-13 sides 92-75-1 totals 90-83-4

Week 12 picks - late

11/22 12:30 PM
103 GB -3 ****** overall ATS 8-1-1 on the road spread 22,7,6,11 div spread 7,7,34
104 DET 47 over* @home ATS 3-1-1 spread 3,10,7,37,6 div spread 3,10,9
GB-RB-Grant-Questionable

11/22 4:15 PM
105 NYJ 47½ over* vs NFCEast O/U 2-1 ATS 1-2 spread 11,7,3 on the road spread 7,3,11,7
106 DAL -14.5 **** vs AFCEast O/U 3-0 ATS 1-2 spread 17,1,21 @home spread 10,28,21,10,5
NYJ-WR-Coles-Doubtful

11/22 8:15 PM
107 IND -12 ****** vs NFCSouth ATS 3-0 spread 31,19,24 on the road ATS 2-3 spread 2,6,22,24,2
108 ATL 41 under*** vs AFCSouth ATS 3-0 spread 6,10,7 @home ATS 2-3 LWLWL? spread 7,10,21,4,24IND-WR-Harrison-Doubtful, WR-Gonzalez-Questionable

11/25 4:15 PM
199 DEN 41 * UPSET?
200 CHI -2.5 over* ATS D/F 7-3 AD/HF 6-2
DEN-RB-Henry-Questionable
CHI-WR-Berrian-Questionable, QB-Griese-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
201 TEN -2 under*
202 CIN 47 * turnaround game?
CIN-WR-Houshmandzadeh-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
203 BUF 36 under* ATS R/H 2-7-1
204 JAC -7.5 ******
BUF-RB-Lynch-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
205 OAK 34½ under***** AD/HF 7-2 (should lose SU, but win ATS???)
206 KC -5.5 * AD/HF 6-1-1
KC-RB-Johnson-Doubtful

11/25 1:00 PM
207 HOU 51 * UPSET?????
208 CLE -3 over***
HOU-RB-Green-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
209 SEA -3 ***
210 STL 45 under**
SEA-RB-Alexander-Questionable, QB-Hasselbeck-Probable

11/25 1:00 PM
211 MIN 41 under***** on the road spread 3,3,3,10,34 totals 37,23,65,38,34 will lose SU and should ATS
212 NYG -7 ********** @home spread 22,13,11,18,11 totals 48,19,59,48,51
MIN-RB-Peterson-OUT
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
213 NO -3 under*****
214 CAR 41 *
CAR-WR-Smith-Questionable

11/25 1:00 PM
215 WAS 38 ****
216 TB -3 over*
WAS-WR-Thrash-Questionable

11/25 4:05 PM
217 SF 38 under*
218 ARI -10.5 ***

11/25 4:15 PM
219 BAL 38½ over* on the road spread 7,14,2,5,31 totals 47,40,16,33,45
220 SD -9.5 * ATS R/H 2-8 @home spread 11,14,14,25,2 totals 17,46,42,45,44

11/25 8:15 PM
221 PHI 51 over*
222 NE -23 ****** vs NFC East spread 21,45 @home 24,31,17,45, O/U 8-2
PHI-QB-McNabb-Questionable

11/26 8:30 PM
223 MIA 41 ******
224 PIT -16 under****
PIT-WR-Holmes-Questionable

week 11 results

game 1 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 2 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 3 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (MIN, HFO)

game 4 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 5 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

game 6 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 7 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 8 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 9 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (NE, RFO)

game 10 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 11 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 12 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

game 13 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 14 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 15 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

game 16 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1


ATS weekly:

ATS 18-14 side 12-4 total 6-10


ATS for the year:

ATS 165-142-13 sides 84-67-1 totals 81-75-4

week 11 picks

11/18 1:00 PM
403 SD 40½ under
404 JAC -3 ***
JAC-QB-Garrard-ProbableSD-WR-Jackson-Questionable

11/18 1:00 PM
405 KC 41½ ***
406 IND -14.5 under****
KC-RB-Johnson-OUT; QB-Huard-Probable, QB-Croyle-Expected to
start
IND-WR-Harrison Out, WR-Gonzalez-Doubtful, TE-Clark-Probable,
DE-Freeney-OUT for season

11/18 1:00 PM
407 OAK 35½ **
408 MIN -4.5 under*****
OAK-QB-McCown-Doubtful, QB-Culpepper-Expected to start
MIN-QBs-Jackson-Probable, Holcomb-QuestionableMIN-RB-Peterson-OUT

11/18 1:00 PM
409 CLE -2.5 ***
410 BAL 43½ under*
BAL-TE-Heap-(very) Doubtful, QB-Boller-Expected to start

11/18 4:05 PM
411 PIT -9 **
412 NYJ 41 under***

11/18 1:00 PM
413 TB -3 *****
414 ATL 36 under*
TB RB''s-Pittman and Graham both Probable
ATL-QB-Leftwich-Probable (expected to start)

11/18 1:00 PM
415 ARI 48½ *
416 CIN -3 under****

11/18 1:00 PM
417 MIA 40½ under*
418 PHI -9.5 ****
MIA-QB-John Beck-Expected to start for Miami
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Probable

11/18 8:15 PM
419 NE -16.5 under*
420 BUF 46½ ***
NE-WR-Walker-Questionable

11/18 4:15 PM
421 WAS 47 *
422 DAL -11 under***
WAS-WR-Thrash-OUT; WR-Moss-Probable
WAS-S-Taylor-OUT

11/18 1:00 PM
423 NO 50 over***
424 HOU -1 *
NO-RB-Bush-Probable
HOU-QB-Schaub-Probable, WR-A. Johnson-Expected to return
HOU-RB-Green-OUT; RB-Dayne-exp. to start

11/18 1:00 PM
425 CAR 37½ under***
426 GB -10 ***
CAR-QB-Carr-Probable but will not start; WR-Smith-Out
CAR-QB-Testaverde-Expected to start

11/18 1:00 PM
427 NYG -2.5 ****
428 DET 48 under*
NYG-RB-Ward-OUT; WR-Burress-Probable

11/18 4:15 PM
429 STL -3 *****
430 SF 39½ under*
SF-QB-Smith-Probable to play but NOT expected to start;
QB-Dilfer-exp. to startSTL-WR-Bruce-Probable

11/18 4:15 PM
431 CHI 38 over****
432 SEA -6 ***
CHI-QB-Griese-Questionable, QB-Grossman-Expected to startSEA-RB-Alexander-OUT

11/19 8:30 PM
433 TEN 38 ****
434 DEN -2 under*
DEN-RB-Henry-Probable (but suspension still looming)DEN-WR-Walker-OUT

week 10 results

game 1 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ouch JAC RDO)
game 2 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ohhh DEN RDO)
game 3 ATS 1-0-1 side 0-0-1 total 1-0
game 4 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 5 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (oops STL RDO)
game 6 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 7 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 8 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 9 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 10 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 11 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (DAL, RFO)
game 12 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (ARI, HFO)
game 13 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (SD, HDU,)

game 14 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

ATS weekly:ATS 12-15-1 side 5-8-1 total 7-7

ATS for the year:ATS 147-128-13 sides 72-63-1 totals 75-65-4

week 10 trends

5GUs = 5 Game Under streak
3GOs = 3 Game Over streak

SEA U+6 7-1 SEA+6 5-2-1 favSU 6-2
STLCoB U+6 7-1 opp+6 8-0 favSU 6-2
ARI ARI+6 7-1 opp+6 5-1-2 O/U+6 5-3 D/F 6-1-1
SF opp+6 8-0 U+6 6-2 favSU 7-1

NO O/U+6 7-1 (6mids) , (4GNO+6s)
CAR U+6 6-2 (5GUs) R/H 7-1
ATL U+6 7-1 opp+6 7-1 ATL+6 6-2 favSU 7-1
TBbye


MIN MIN+6 7-0-1 U+6 6-2
GB GB+6 7-1 D/F 6-1-1 favSU 2-6
DET DET+6 6-2 R/H 2-5-1
CHICoB opp+6 6-2 D/F 7-1 favSU 2-6 6Gs

WAS U+6 6-2 (3GOs) opp+6 6-2
NYGCoB NYG+6 6-2 O-6 6-2
PHI U+6 6-2 opp+6 6-1-1
DAL O-6 7-1 DAL+6 6-2

OAK D/F 7-1 OAK+6 6-2
KC O-6 lwlwlwlw? opp+6 6-2 U+6 6-2
SD O-6 7-1 opp+6 6-2
DEN oppATS 7-1 opp+6 7-1 O/U-+6 6-2


TEN TEN+6 8-0 O/U 1-7 U+6 7-1 D/F 6-1-1
HOUbye
JAC R/H 6-2
IND ATS 6-2 IND+6 8-0 U+6 6-2 (4GUs) R/H 2-6 favSU 7-1

PIT ATS 6-2 PIT+6 6-2 favSU 6-2
BAL ATS 1-7 opp+6 7-1 O-6 6-2 R/H 2-6
CLE O-6 8-0 O/U 7-0-1 ATS 6-2 CLE+6 7-1
CIN opp+6 8-0 O-6 6-1-1 ATS 2-5-1

NEbye
NYJbye
MIACoB opp+6 7-1 favSU 7-1 O-6 6-1-1 ATS 2-4-2
BUF U+6 7-1 R/H 1-7 ATS 6-2 BUF+6 6-2 (5GBUF+6s) D/F 6-2

week 10 picks

11/11 1:00 PM
207 Jac 35 under*
208 Ten -4 ***
JAC-QB-Garrard-Questionable, K-Scobee-Questionable

11/11 1:00 PM
209 Den 37½ under*
210 KC -3 ******
DEN-QB-Cutler-Probable; RB-Henry-Questionable
KC-RB-Johnson-OUT

11/11 1:00 PM
211 Buf -3 ****
212 Mia 41 CoB under****
BUF-QB-Edwards-Questionable, QB-Losman-Expected to start
MIA-RB-Brown-OUT

11/11 1:00 PM
213 Cle 47½ O/U 7-0-1 ***
214 Pit -9.5 over*****
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Probable

11/11 1:00 PM
215 STL 46 CoB under***
216 NO -11.5 *******
STL-RB-Jackson-Probable

11/11 1:00 PM
217 Atl 36½ *
218 Car -4 under***
CAR-QBs-Testaverde-Expected to start, Carr-Questionable

11/11 1:00 PM
219 Phi 38 over**
220 Was -3 ***

11/11 1:00 PM
221 Min 40½ ****
222 GB -6 under**
MN-QBs-Jackson-Doubtful, Holcomb-Questionable

11/11 4:05 PM
223 Cin 44 ***
224 Bal -4 over
CIN-WR-C. Johnson-Questionable, WR-Henry-Eligible to return
BAL-TE-Heap-Questionable, RB-McGahee-Questionable

11/11 4:15 PM
225 Chi -3.5 CoB *
226 Oak 38 under***

11/11 4:15 PM
227 Dal -1 under***
228 NYG 49 CoB *
DAL-DT-T. Johnson-Eligible to return

11/11 4:15 PM
229 Det 44½ *******
230 Ari -1.5 under*

11/11 8:15 PM
231 Ind -3.5 ***
232 SD 48½ under*
IND-WRs-Harrison, Gonzalez-Questionable
IND-S-Sanders-Probable
SD-CB-Jammer-Questionable

11/12 8:30 PM
233 SF 39½ under*
234 SEA -10 *******
SF-RB-Gore-Probable
SEA-RB-Alexander, WR-Branch, TE-Pollard-All Questionable

week 9 results

game 1 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (WAS just didn't play as well and NYJ exceeded my expectations w/QB Clemens - maybe a play on team??)
game 2 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (should have been an under, but a combined 35 pt 4th Quarter???)
game 3 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 4 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 5 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 6 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (JAC started out well but fizzled in the end)
game 7 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 8 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
game 9 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (SD O ???, D tired in the end and poor tackling)
game 10 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 11 ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 (officiating????)
game 12 ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
game 13 ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
game 14 ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1

ATS weekly:
ATS 13-15 side 8-6 total 5-9

ATS for the year:
ATS 135-113-12 sides 67-55-8 totals 68-58-4

Best Bets: 2-0

week 9 picks

CoB=coming off bye, GiB=going into bye

11/04 1:00 PM
403 WAS -3.5 ***
404 NYJ 35½ GiB under**
NYJ-QB-Clemens-Expected to start

11/04 1:00 PM
405 GB 37½ under** (both D's are playing well, could go either way, middler?)
406 KC -2.5 CoB **
GB-RB-Wynn-OUT

11/04 1:00 PM
407 ARI 37½ CoB under*
408 TB -3.5 GiB **
TB-WR-Clayton-Questionable

11/04 1:00 PM
409 CAR 35½ under* (really tough to pick, will QB Carr do well? if yes DO, if no FU)
410 TEN -4 *
CAR-QB-Testaverde-Questionable, QB-Carr-Probable
TEN-RB-Brown-Questionable

11/04 1:00 PM
411 SF 37 over****
412 ATL -3 CoB *
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable, QB-Smith-Probable
ATL-TE-Crumpler-Questionable

11/04 1:00 PM
413 JAC 40 ***
414 NO -3.5 under***
JAC-QB-Garrard-Doubtful
NO-RB-Bush-Probable

11/04 1:00 PM
415 DEN 46 under
416 DET -3 ***
DEN-RB-Henry-Questionable

11/04 1:00 PM
417 CIN -1 under****
418 BUF 43½ *
CIN-RB-R. Johnson-Probable
BUF-QB-Edwards-Questionable, QB-Losman-Expected to start

11/04 1:00 PM
419 SD -7 ***
420 MIN 41 under*
MN-QB-Holcomb-Doubtful, Jackson-Probable

11/04 4:05 PM
421 SEA 46½ CoB over*****
422 CLE -1 ***
SEA-WR-Hackett-Questionable

11/04 4:15 PM
423 NE -6 GiB ***
424 IND 57 over*
NE-TE-Watson-Questionable
IND-WR-Harrison-Probable, more inj'd
note: I just expect NE to use more 3 WR sets due to TE inj's and this means IND safety's should be in for a long game even if IND plays more nickel (note: CB M Jackson inj'd) . I expect NE LB's to be the difference in this game, either scoring or setting up score.

11/04 4:15 PM
425 HOU 42 GiB under*****
426 OAK -3 ***
HOU-QB-Schaub-Doubtful, WR-Johnson-Questionable
HOU-RB-Green-Questionable

11/04 8:15 PM
427 DAL -3 CoB ***
428 PHI 46½ over**

11/05 8:30 PM
431 BAL 36½ CoB under*
432 PIT -9 **
BAL-QB-McNair, TE-Heap-both Probable