week 4 results

game 1 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0

game 2 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0

game 3 1-0-1 side 1-0 totals 0-0-1

game 4 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

game 5 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

game 6 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

game 7 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

game 8 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1 should've known and picked under

game 9 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0

game 10 0-2 side 0-1 totals 0-1 true upset, PIT did have key injs during game w/NT Hampton and S Polamalu inj'd

game 11 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1 hmmm SD D???

game 12 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1 high total...

game 13 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0 should have paid attention w/o RB Westbrook PHI is miserable ATS, Going into bye 4th yr in a row under total



game 14 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0


weekly ATS:

overall 18-9-1, sides 9-5, totals 9-4-1


for the year 65-51-8 sides 32-24-6 totals 33-27-2



best bets 6-2, first 5 perfect but upsets and I believe I highlighted wrong game ...sigh



not bad week, though work did have me limiting time to reviewing match-ups



notes: Only OAK QB Culpepper & BUF QB Edwards won as subs for starters - team depth is good, especially for BUF considering D started a lot of subs (compared to wk 1 starters)

week 4 picks

09/30 1:00 PM
205 Oakland 41 over***** ADOx3
206 Miami -4 ****
OAK-QB-McCown-Questionable

09/30 1:00 PM
207 Houston -3 * ATS 3-0 *** Many O inj's, chance being upset
208 Atlanta 39 over
HOU-RB-Green-Questionable; WR-Johnson-Doubtful; RB-Dayne-Questionable C-out WR/KR/PR Jacoby out

09/30 1:00 PM
209 Baltimore -4.5 over***** ATS 0-3
210 Cleveland 40 **** O/U 3-0
BAL-QB-McNair-Probable, TE-Heap-Questionable

09/30 1:00 PM
211 Chicago -3 over ATS 0-3
212 Detroit 44.5 upset?*** w/o CB Vasher, Det can pick on that side of field good chance of upset
Multiple Defensive injuries CHI-QB-Griese starts
DET-WR-C. Johnson-Questionable

09/30 1:00 PM
213 Green Bay -2 .*** *** dog 3-0
214 Minnesota 38 under O/U 0-3
MIN-QB-Holcomb to Start, WR-Taylor to start

09/30 1:00 PM
215 St. Louis 46 under
216 Dallas -13 ********* ATS 3-0 O/U 3-0
STL-WR-Bruce-Questionable; RB-Jackson OUT

09/30 1:00 PM
217 NYJ -3.5 UNDER*
218 Buffalo 37 upset?* home 3-0 lots of D inj's are to believe in upset or under
BUF-QB-Losman-OUT, QB-Trent Edwards to start

09/30 4:05 PM
219 Tampa Bay 39 *** *** home 3-0
220 Carolina -2.5 over*** road 3-0 w/o QB Delhomme doubtful to win
CAR-QB-Delhomme-Questionable

09/30 4:05 PM
221 Seattle -2 .0*** under**** O/U 0-3
222 San Fran. 41 *
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable, TE-Davis-OUT

09/30 4:15 PM
223 Pittsburgh -6.5 * **** ATS 3-0
224 Arizona 41.5 over
PIT-WR-Ward-Questionable
ARZ-WR-Boldin-Probable, QB-Leinart-Expected to start

09/30 4:15 PM
225 Kansas City 39 *** O/U 0-3
226 San Diego -12 under****** home 3-0
KC-QB-Huard-Probable

09/30 4:15 PM
227 Denver 46 under ATS 0-3 numerous inj's
228 Indianapolis -10 ******* home 3-0
DEN-QB-Cutler-Questionable

09/30 8:15 PM
229 Phila. -2.5 ******* GIB O/U 0-3
230 NYG 47 under*
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Questionable
NYG-RB-Jacobs-OUT; WR-Burress-Probable

10/01 8:30 PM
231 New England -7.5 ***** FOx3 ATS 3-0
232 Cincinnati 53.5 under w/o RB how can they get lead and control clock?
CIN-RB-Johnson-Out

week 3 results

game 1 0-2 side 0-1 totals 0-1
game 2 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1
game 3 1-0-1 side 0-0-1 totals 1-0
game 4 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0
game 5 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1
game 6 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 totals 0-1
game 7 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1
game 8 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1
game 9 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0


overall 8-8-2 side 5-2-2 totals 3-6

O/U 7-2 Home/Road 6-1-2 fav/dogs 4-3-2



game 10 0-2 side 0-1 totals 0-1
game 11 0-1-1 side 0-0-1 totals 0-1
game 12 1-1 side 0-1 totals 1-0
game 13 1-1 side 1-0 totals 0-1
game 14 0-1-1 side 0-1 totals 0-0-1


overall 2-6-2 sides 1-3-1 totals 1-3-1


O/U 3-1-1, Home/Road 0-4-1, fav/dogs 1-3-1


game 15 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

O/U 1-0 Home/Road 0-1 fav/dogs 0-1

game 16 2-0 side 1-0 totals 1-0

O/U 0-1 Home/Road 0-1 fav/dogs 0-1


SNF/MNF results 4-0, sides 2-0 totals 2-0


weekly ATS:
overall 14-14-4, sides 8-5-3, totals 6-9-1

for the year 47-42-7 sides 23-19-6 totals 24-23-1


who won $:
O/U 11-4-1, Home/Road 6-7-3, fav/dogs 5-8-3
so overs were really strong this week, a slight edge to road teams and dogs did very well again

as for me:
best bets 1-2 ouch

week 3 picks

09/23 10:00a
397 IND -6.5 ** home & under 2-0
398 HOU 47 under* - hard to take HOU w/o #1 WR 2-0 ATS

09/23 10:00a
399 SD -5.5 under** home/fav 2-0
400 GB 43 * D plays really well 2-0 ATS, dog 2-0

09/23 10:00a
401 MIN 33.5 *running game should keep this close, under 2-0
402 KC -3 under*** under 2-0

09/23 10:00a
403 DET 44 **
404 PHI -5.5 over*** will WR's play well? home & dog 2-0, PHI 0-2 ATS

09/23 10:00a
405 BUF 41 under** Home team & under covers 2-0
406 NE -16.5 * just enough to cover? fav & over ATS 2-0

09/23 10:00a
407 MIA 35.5 ** fav SU 2-0
408 NYJ -3 under* away team ATS 2-0 fav 2-0 SU

09/23 10:00a
409 SF 38 under* w/o LB Lawson will see if D steps up, under 2-0
410 PIT -9.5 ** 2-0 ATS

09/23 10:00a
411 ARI 35.5 *** pts are a premium here, under 2-0
412 BAL -7.5 under* 0-2 ATS

09/23 10:00a
413 STL 38.5 under* w/o LT O Pace, ADU 2-0, STL 0-2
414 TB -4 ** vs another dome team, home 2-0

09/23 1:05p
415 JAC 35.5 under* ADU covers 2-0
416 DEN -3.5 * will win SU, not so sure about cover 0-2 ATS

09/23 1:05p
417 CIN 50 * scoring well * what about D? home & over 2-0
418 SEA -3 over**** home and under 2-0

09/23 1:05p
419 CLE 41 over*** over 2-0
420 OAK -3 * ADO 2-0

09/23 1:15p
421 CAR -4 ** away & dog 2-0
422 ATL 37 under, under 2-0

09/23 1:15p
423 NYG 41 under* too many inj's 0-2 ATS, over 2-0
424 WAS -3.5 *** under 2-0

09/23 5:15p
425 DAL 41 **** take pts w/O doing well fav & over 2-0
426 CHI -3 over* under 2-0, CHI ATS 0-2

09/24 5:30p
427 TEN 45.5 * dog & under, 2-0, TEN 2-0 ATS
428 NO -4 under*** 0-2 ATS, home 2-0


a money line parlay too include GB, DAL, WAS and maybe ARI would pay $$$
(I thought about adding CLE but that's a wait and see, DET is a stron one as well)

week 2 results

game 1 2-0, side 1-0 total 1-0

game 2 0-2, side 0-1 total 0-1

game 3 2-0, side 1-0 total 1-0

game 4 0-2, side 0-1 total 0-1

game 5 2-0, side 1-0 total 1-0

game 6 2-0, side 1-0 total 1-0

game 7 1-1, side 0-1 total 1-0

game 8 1-1, side 0-1 total 1-0

game 9 0-1-1, side 0-0-1 total 0-1

game 10 1-1, side 1-0 total 0-1

game 11 0-2, side 0-1 total 0-1

game 12 1-1, side 0-1 total 1-0

game 13 1-1, side 1-0 total 0-1

game 14 0-2, side 0-1 total 0-1

game 15 0-2, side 0-1 total 0-1

game 16 2-0, side 1-0 total 1-0


best bet 1-1

weekly ATS 15-16-1, sides 7-8-1 totals 8-8

for the year 33-28-3 sides 15-14-3 totals 18-14

if you had bet on:
dogs were 12-3-1

Week 2 picks '07

this is early due to prior commitment

09/16 1:00 PM

201 Buff 38 Under

202 Pitt -9.5 ***

BUFF (TE) Everett OUT, 3 Defensive starters out; (LB) -Wire, (S)-Simpson, (CB)-Webster


09/16 1:00 PM

203 Cincinnati -7 ****

204 Cleveland 42 under

(QB) Anderson-Expected to start


09/16 1:00 PM

205 Ind -7 under - note: IND should win SU, just not ATS

206 Ten 46 ****


09/16 1:00 PM

207 Houston 38 U

208 Carolina -6.5 ***


09/16 1:00 PM

209 San Fran. 44.5 *

210 St. Louis -3 under

STL-OT-Pace OUT


09/16 1:00 PM

211 Green Bay 37.5 **

212 NYG -1 over

GB (WR) Jennings-Questionable

NYG (QB) Manning Questionable, (RB) Jacobs OUT


09/16 1:00 PM

213 Atlanta 34.5 under

214 Jacksonville -10.5 **

JAC (K) Scobee Questionable


09/16 1:00 PM

215 New Orleans -3.5 ***

216 Tampa Bay 42 over

TB-QB-Garcia-Probable, RB-Williams-Questionable, CB-Kelly-Questionable


09/16 4:05 PM

217 Minnesota 42 over

218 Detroit -3 *

MIN (RB) Taylor Questionable


09/16 4:05 PM

219 Dallas -3.5 ***

220 Miami 40 under

DAL (WR) Glenn Doubtful


09/16 4:05 PM

221 Seattle -3 **

222 Arizona 44.5 over


09/16 4:15 PM

223 NYJ 34 under

224 Bal -11 *

NYJ-QB-Pennington Doubtful

BAL (LB) Lewis Questionable, (QB) McNair Questionable


09/16 4:15 PM

225 Oakland 39 ***

226 Denver -9.5 under, DEN should win SU, just not ATS


09/16 4:15 PM

227 Kansas City 34.5 over

228 Chicago -12.5 *

KC-WR-Kennison Questionable


09/16 8:15 PM

229 San Diego 47 *

230 New England -3.5 under, this could be a great 6pt middler


09/17 8:30 PM

231 Wash 40 *

232 Phil -7 under, another possible 6pt middler


SU money line parlay
202 PIT
203 CIN
215 NO
219 DAL
and maybe 214 JAC, maybe 208 CAR

I'd add 228 CHI but their's no ML due to large spread

favorite 2 picker
sides:
202 PIT
203 CIN

totals:
213/214 ATL @JAC under 34.5
221/222 SEA @ARI over 45
maybe 209/210 SF @STL under 45

Week 1 Results

Game 1, 0-2, side 0-1, total 0-1 NO just couldn't keep it closer

Game 2, 2-0, side 1-0, total 1-0

Game 3, 2-0, side 1-0, total 1-0

Game 4, 1-1, side 1-0, total 0-1

Game 5, 2-0, side 1-0, total 1-0

Game 6, 1-1, side 0-1, total 1-0 - now why did I take STL? I did know that CAR has been beating STL for several yrs :-(

Game 7, 1-1, side 1-0, total 0-1

Game 8, 1-1, side 0-1, total 1-0

Game 9, 1-0-1, side 0-0-1, total 1-0

Game 10, 1-1, side 0-1, total 1-0

Game 11, 2-0, side 1-0, total 1-0

Game 12, 1-1, side 1-0, total 0-1

Game 13, 0-2, side 0-1, total 0-1 surprised by OAK inability in 1st half

Game 14, 2-0, side 1-0, total 1-0

Game 15, 0-2, side 0-1, total 0-1 - BAL D played well, O didn't show up for game.... CIN D played better than expected

Game 16, 1-0-1, side 0-0-1, total 1-0





Total ATS, 18-12-2

side, 8-6-2 totals, 10-6



if you had just bet on -

unders 11-5

home teams 9-5-2

favorites 9-5-2

NFL week 1

301 NO +5.5, over 53, I just expect NO to play keep away and run the ball more and IND to be efficient on offense, total maybe a bit high, but it's the opener and both QB's have been highly efficient in preseason.

406 HOU -3, under 38*** this may be a bit of a stretch, but w/KC having to rebuild their OL I just don't expect them to be as good and to continue their OL slide which began w/their OL retiring etc a couple of years ago

408 BUF +3.5, under 37 , hard to go against DEN, but it's the opener, the general consensus it BUF isn't good enough to beat DEN, but I'm taking a chance and I say BUF will win outright

409 PIT -4.5****, under 37, spread should be -14.5

411 TEN +6.5, under 37.5, JAC is at home, but they lost @TEN last year and I think TEN has "their number"

414 STL -1****, under 42 should be -10, CAR O is suspect and their D will wilt in the 4th qtr

416 GB +3, over 43.5**, this game I could be wrong w/the youth in GB failing to defend their home turf as PHI is among the top 3 teams in NFC

417 ATL +3, under 36*** I just don't expect MIN O to score and unless their D get's a pair of scores they won't win

420 WAS -3**, under 35 though D is good for MIA, just like the above team, I can't see their O scoring

422 NYJ +6.5, over 41 I expect a close game so taking the pts is the prudent thing

424 SEA -6***, under 41.5 the calls will begin for Gruden to lose his job w/this loss as SEA should demolish TB in their home opener

426 SD -6, over 42.5** I just don't trust CHI QB on the road

427 OAK -1.5, under 40*** , another one that's tuff to pick on a side

430 DAL -6, over 44*** tough to go against NYG since they are 2-0 (or 1-0-1)ATS last year vs DAL and w/CB Newman nursing a foot inj, I'd pick on that side, but I don't believe Strahan will play and 3-12 SU record w/Strahan really is hard to ignore

431 BAL +3****, under 40.5 CIN OL is the real question and I don't expect them to be able to stop the best D in the AFC (I call BAL D the best because they have the weakest O of all the teams w/a chance to make the playoffs)

433 ARI +3, under 45, should be interesting I could have gone the other way w/SF, I just think SF is farther away from making playoffs than ARI