Monday, August 29, 2016

2016 - preseason - week 4 - picks

on a whim,,,,


09/01 7:00 PM
101 NYJ 39 UNDER
102 PHI -4 *

09/01 7:00 PM
103 JAC 40 *
104 ATL -3½ OVER

09/01 7:00 PM
105 TEN 39½ UNDER
106 MIA -2½ *
 
09/01 7:00 PM
107 NE 40 under
108 NYG -3 *

09/01 7:30 PM
109 BUF 38½ under
110 DET -3 *
 
09/01 7:30 PM
111 WAS 39½ over
112 TB -3 *

09/01 7:30 PM
113 IND 39 under
114 CIN -4 *
 
09/01 7:30 PM
115 PIT 39 *
116 CAR -4 over

09/01 8:00 PM
117 GB 38 under
118 KC -3½ *

09/01 8:00 PM
119 BAL 40½ *
120 NO -3½ under
 
09/01 8:00 PM
121 HOU -1½ OVER
122 DAL 38½ *

09/01 8:00 PM
123 CHI 37 *
124 CLE -3½ *UNDER*

09/01 8:00 PM
125 LA 36½ **UNDER**
126 MIN -4 *

09/01 9:30 PM
127 DEN 38 *
128 ARI -4 over

09/01 10:00 PM
129 SF 39½ under
130 SD -3 *

09/01 10:00 PM
131 SEA 38½ *
132 OAK -2 under


2016 - preseason - week 3 - results

week 3 results:
ATS 8-7-1
Totals 7-9

for the preseason:
ATS: 22-25-1
Totals: 22-24-2


notables week 3:
favorites ATS: 10-5-1
O/U 4-12

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

2016 - preseason week 3 - picks


08/25 8:00 PM
251 ATL 43½ *
252 MIA -2½ under

ATL ATS 2-1 O/U 0-3 (O 20-28 D 13-21)
MIA FAV-O/U 3-0 (O 14? D 21?)


08/25 10:00 PM
253 DAL 44½ *under*
254 SEA -5 *

DAL SU 2-2 ATS 1-3 O/U 0-2-2
SEA SU 4-0 ATS 3-0-1 O/U 1-3


08/26 7:30 PM
255 NE 45 over
256 CAR -3½ *

NE 2-0 0-2 (NE/O 2-0 TY 2 home games)
CAR vs NE 0-2 ATS-O/U preseason home opener
(TY CAR 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U)


08/26 8:00 PM
257 CLE 41½ under
258 TB -4 **

CLE 0-2 ATS/SU TY, LY CLE 31 @TB 7
CLE 1-3 ATS-O/U (RD 3-1)
TB preseason home opener 24?-10?


08/26 8:00 PM
259 PIT 45 **OVER**
260 NO -1½ *

NO 3-1 ATS-O/U (RD 3-1 ATS/SU)
TY NO 0-2 ATS (HF 2-0 ATS) preseason home opener
PIT 1-3 ATS/SU 4-0 O/U
TY PIT 0-2 ATS (RD 2-0 ATS)
PIT QB Roethlisberger starts? (has not played this preseason)


08/26 10:00 PM
261 GB 46½ **
262 SF -1½ under

GB QB Rogers starts? (has not played this preseason)
TY GB 2-0 ATS 0-2 O/U (HFU)
TY SF 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U (RDO 2-0) allowing opponent 24pt/game


08/26 7:30 PM
269 BUF 43½ *under*
270 WAS -3 *

BUF 0-2 ATS/SU-O/U vs WAS L4Y
TY WAS FAV 2-0 O/U 1-0-1


08/27 1:00 PM
263 KC -1 ***
264 CHI 41 UNDER

TY KC RD 2-0 O/U 1-1
TY CHI RD 2-0 O/U 1-1


08/27 7:00 PM
265 PHI 42½ *
266 IND -3 ***UNDER***

TY PHI/U 2-0
PHI 4-0 ATS/SU vs wk3 opp L4Y
TY IND RD 2-0, total 37 L2G


08/27 7:00 PM
267 DET 43 *
268 BAL -3½ *OVER*

TY BAL 2-0 ATS/SU (totals 41, 37)
TY DET RDO 2-0 (totals 47,44)


08/27 7:30 PM
271 NYG -1 *
272 NYJ 42½ *over*

series L3Y RD-O/U 3-0 
TY NYG 0-2 ATS (totals 37,21)
TY NYJ HF 2-0 (totals 30,40)


08/27 8:00 PM
273 TEN 43½ over
274 OAK -3½ *

TY TEN 1-1 ATS 2-0 O/U (totals 37,42)
TY OAK 1-1 ATS-O/U (totals 41,23)
OAK 4-0 O/U L4Y, preseason home opener



08/27 9:00 PM
275 LA 42 under
276 DEN -5 *

TY LA 2-0 SU-O/U 1-1 ATS (2 home games, totals 52,41)
LA L4Y RD 4-0
TY DEN RD 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 22,55)


08/28 1:00 PM
277 SD 41½ *under*
278 MIN -4 *

TY SD HF 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 37,22)
SD 4-0 vs wk3 opp
TY MIN/U/RDU 2-0 (totals 33,29) preseason home opener
MIN Grand Opening of new stadium


08/28 4:00 PM
279 ARI 41½ *
280 HOU -1 under

TY ARI 0-2 ATS/SU 1-1 O/U (totals 41,22)
ARI 3-1 ATS-RD L4Y
TY HOU 2-0 SU/ATS 1-1 O/U (totals 37,25)
HOU DO 3-1 L4Y wk3 opponent


08/28 8:00 PM
281 CIN 43½ *
282 JAC -1½ under

TY CIN RD 2-0 O/U 1-1 (totals 33,44)
CIN L4Y O/U 0-4 L2Y ATS 2-0
TY JAC 1-1 ATS-O/U (totals 30,48)
L4Y JAC 0-4 SU 1-2 ATS

Sunday, August 21, 2016

2016 - Preseason week 2 - results

Oddly enough, nearly identical results as last week:
7-9 ATS
7-7-2 totals


Preseason accumulated totals:
14-18 ATS
15-15-2 totals

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

2016 - preseason week 2 - picks

08/18 7:00 PM
401 PHI 40½ *
402 PIT -3½ under

PIT QB Roethlisberger starts?


08/18 7:30 PM
403 CIN 41 under
404 DET -2½ *

08/18 8:00 PM
405 OAK 42½ ***
406 GB -3 *under*

08/18 8:00 PM
407 CHI 40½ *
408 NE -4 over

08/18 8:00 PM
409 ATL 37 *
410 CLE -2½ under

08/18 10:00 PM
411 MIN 38½ under
412 SEA -3 *

08/19 7:30 PM
413 NYJ 40 under
414 WAS -3½ *

08/19 8:00 PM
415 MIA 40½ over
416 DAL -3½ ***

08/19 9:00 PM
417 ARI 40½ *
418 SD -1½ under

08/20 3:00 PM
419 CAR 41½ under
420 TEN -1 *

08/20 4:00 PM
421 NYG 40 *
422 BUF -2½ over

08/20 7:00 PM
423 BAL 41 *
424 IND -2½ under

IND QB Luck starts?


08/20 7:30 PM
425 TB 40½ under
426 JAC -3 *

08/20 8:00 PM
427 NO 41 **
428 HOU -3 over

HOU QB Osweiler doubtful to improve


08/20 9:00 PM
429 SF 40 **UNDER**
430 DEN -4½ ***

08/20 10:00 PM
431 KC 39 *
432 LA -3 under


2016 - preseason week 1 and Hall of Fame game - results

With the cancellation of the Hall of Fame game, that left me with 16 picks ATS and totals.
I wiped out (0-2) on CAR @BAL, NO @NE, MIA @NYG, and OAK @ARI
I was perfect with DEN @CHI, SEA @KC and SD @TEN, the remaining games I won either the side or the total.

Week01 - ATS 7-9 Totals 8-8

Saturday, August 13, 2016

2016 - preseason week 1 - Saturday and Sunday picks

08/13 4:30 PM
273 SEA 35½ *
274 KC -3 *under*

KC 5QBs - someone has to go


08/13 7:00 PM
275 IND 36½ *
276 BUF -2½ under (PUP)

BUF lots of injs


08/13 8:00 PM
277 DAL 36½ under (PUP)
278 LA -3 *

LA QB1 Keenum starts
LA QB Goff plays a 'half'


08/13 8:00 PM
279 SD 35½ over
280 TEN -3 *

SD DE Bosa distraction?
TEN run O?


08/14 7:00 PM
281 HOU 35 over? 
282 SF -3 *

HOU S/DBs deep
new SF HC Kelly

Thursday, August 11, 2016

2016 - preseason week 1 - Friday - picks

Finally numbers posted, I'll post picks for SAT/SUN games later on Friday.


08/12 7:00 PM
263 MIA 36½ **UNDER**
264 NYG -2½ ***

MIA O woes (1st,2nd,3rdteams) during TC, D dominates scrimmage
NYG DBs dominate except vs WR Beckham


08/12 7:00 PM
265 DET 35½ over
266 PIT -3 **

PIT physical TC, deep @QB


08/12 7:30 PM
267 MIN 35 *
268 CIN -3 over

Similiar Ds, different Os


08/12 8:00 PM
269 CLE 36½ *
270 GB -3 under?

CLE QB edge?


08/12 10:00 PM
271 OAK 37½ under
272 ARI -3 ****

ARI QB3 edge

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

2016 - pre season week 1 Thursday - picks

There are no numbers for CLE @GB and IND @BUF, so I decided just to post for Thursday (8/11) games. It could be due to the cancellation of the Hall of Fame game between IND and GB, or something else??? I've added a few comments for each game


08/11 7:00 PM
251 WAS 37 under
252 ATL -3 ****

WAS 'vanilla' game plan


08/11 7:00 PM
253 TB 37½ ***
254 PHI -3 *under*

PHI 'D' dominates, O woes - physical TC, inj list grows


08/11 7:30 PM
255 JAC 36½ *
256 NYJ -2 *under*

JAC 'game planning'


08/11 7:30 PM
257 CAR 36½ ***
258 BAL -1 under

BAL should be eager after last season, but lots of inj's


08/11 7:30 PM
259 NO 39½ *
260 NE -4 **UNDER**

NO D dominating O - physical TC
NE deepest roster in 5? years, quality depth


08/11 8:00 PM
261 DEN 35 **
262 CHI -1½ under

DEN QB competition


Sunday, August 07, 2016

2016 - Hall of Fame game - picks

Looks like big advantage for IND, total should stay under, bettors have moved line heavily toward IND (3pt move) and small lean toward under (1 pt move)

08/07 8:00 PM
241 GB 34½ under
242 IND -3 ***

GB QB 1 & 2 likely OUT
GB QB 3 & 4 projected to start play (rookies)
IND QB 1-3 projected to start play (5,6,1 yrs exp)