OK, I'm biased, Kirwan is one of my fav's. His articles are written w/the wisdom that comes from years of involvement w/the game. He isn't always right, but more often than not he is dead on w/his observations.
Here's his main page http://www.nfl.com/writers/kirwan
among his recent posts, these ring so true http://www.nfl.com/news/story/9536257 (pay attention to the last paragraph, I believe the Ravens will do well in preseason),
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/9489023 ( so that's which way SU I'd bet against most teams w/new HC's ), here you might notice which teams are the hardest to defend and why http://www.nfl.com/news/story/9473554 (so when key players go down, you could just bet the side, but I'd also bet the total) and finally perhaps betting a side and total could be worthwhile this year on the 'boys http://www.nfl.com/news/story/9444769
Wish I had Sirius radio, but guess I'll just wait for his posts ...
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