Wednesday, October 03, 2012

2012 - week 05 - picks

10/07 1:00 PM
411 ATL -3 **
412 WAS 50½ under

ATL only -3????



10/07 1:00 PM
413 PHI 44 under
414 PIT -3½ *

CoB PIT
I would normally go with the over in this once every 4 yrs interstate rivaly, but Vick & Co sputter too much, PIT off a bye week should play better with rest and the return of Harrison & Polamalu.



10/07 1:00 PM
415 GB -7 under
416 IND 48 *

CoB IND
IND HC Pagano diagnosed w/leukemia,
OC Arians (Interim HC) tells players 'why can't we extend season for HC Pagano?'



10/07 1:00 PM
417 CLE 44 under
418 NYG -9 *

CLE WR's banged up, not practicing



10/07 4:25 PM
419 TEN 43½ UNDER
420 MIN -5½ **

giving up 5.5 with MIN seems like a lot, but their D should be able to stop TEN with QB Hasselbeck. I expect a short passing game from TEN and nothing much else. It's MIN D that is formidable and with a rocking home crowd will give TEN QB Hasselbeck & Co. headaches all game long



10/07 1:00 PM
421 MIA 44½ *
422 CIN -4½ over

MIA has played in 2OT games consecutively, Lots of spunk, taking points seems prudent



10/07 1:00 PM
423 BAL -5 **
424 KC 46½ UNDER

KC - smells like toast??



10/07 4:05 PM
425 SEA 43½ UNDER
426 CAR -3 *

GiB CAR
This is a bit of a toss up to me, but SEA and long road trip should work against them



10/07 4:05 PM
427 CHI -5½ *****
428 JAC 40 UNDER

GiB CHI
GiB JAC
Going into bye week for both teams, CHI on a high, JAC on a low...
JAC has yet to play well @home, could be 0-4, except for "lucky win" @IND, spread could be -14½


10/07 4:25 PM
429 DEN 51½ OVER
430 NE -7 *

Two of the best O's play, which means that total is looking awfully small, unless both teams decide to run more often. O's are ahead of D's, thought of taking points, but both teams are coming off of wins over division rivals... this seems like a homer game



10/07 4:25 PM
431 BUF 44½ UNDER
432 SF -9½ **

BUF HC questions "mental toughness" of players



10/07 8:30 PM
433 SD 54 OVER
434 NO -3½ **

GiB NO
Another supreme effort from NO should easily get this over the total



10/08 8:35 PM
435 HOU -7½ **
436 NYJ 41 UNDER

And to pile on the bad news, HOU trounces NYJ, they should be embarrassed from last week, but I think they are still in the woe is me mode...



interestingly enough....

teams on bye this week DAL, DET, OAK, TB all lost last week



CoB Coming off bye
GiB Going into bye

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