Wednesday, November 26, 2008

NFL 08 - week 13 - picks

11/27 12:30 PM
305 TEN -11 UNDER
306 DET 44 *CBS

11/27 4:15 PM
307 SEA 46½ over
308 DAL -12.5 *
FOX

11/27 8:15 PM
309 ARI 46½ *
310 PHI -3 under
NFL Network
PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable (expected to start),
RB-Westbrook-Upgraded to Probable, RB-Buckhalter-Questionable

11/30 4:15 PM
389 DEN 47½ **OVER**
390 NYJ -7.5 *

11/30 1:00 PM
391 SF 42½ UNDER
392 BUF -6.5 *

11/30 1:00 PM
393 NO 47½ *
394 TB -3.5 OVER
NO-RB-Bush-Questionable

11/30 1:00 PM
395 CAR 43 *
396 GB -3 UNDER

11/30 1:00 PM
397 NYG -3.5 *
398 WAS 42 OVER
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Probable; WR-Burress-Questionable
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable

11/30 1:00 PM
399 MIA -8 *
400 STL 44 OVER
STL-QB-Bulger-Probable, RB-Jackson-Questionable, OT-Pace-Questionable

11/30 1:00 PM
401 BAL -7 *
402 CIN 36½ under
CIN-WR-Johnson-Probable

11/30 1:00 PM
403 IND -5 OVER
404 CLE 45 *
CLE-QB-Anderson-Expected to start

11/30 4:05 PM
405 ATL 49 *
406 SD -5 OVER

11/30 4:15 PM
407 PIT 40 *
408 NE -1 UNDER
PIT-RB-Parker-Questionable
NE-RB-Morris-Questionable

11/30 4:15 PM
409 KC 41½ UNDER
410 OAK -3 *

11/30 8:15 PM
411 CHI 42 OVER
412 MIN -3 *
NBC
CHI-TE-Clark-Questionable

12/01 8:35 PM
413 JAC 48½ UNDER
414 HOU -3 *
ESPN

Monday, November 24, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - results

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BUF @KC (FO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NE @MIA (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 WAS @SEA (DU)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 19-13 side 8-8 total 11-5
for the year:
ATS 187-156-7 side 92-79-4 total 95-77-3

BUF just exploded for pts, KC D will always allow the over- regardless of weather and I still have yet to get a hold of KC...

MIA just didn't have enough in 2nd half, again NE surprised me (2 wks in row)

and that 1/2 pt got me w/WAS @SEA

DET maybe a first half team to bet on, since they're starting strong

PHI w/benching of QB McNabb is searching for their identity.....

road team ATS streak was broken w/CIN @PIT, but re-emerged w/IND @SD
sigh... I was think'n streak would be broken w/IND @SD....

Saturday, November 22, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - weekend

I haven't put in much thought, this weekend, way too many distractions...

11/23 1:00 PM
195 HOU 49½ *
196 CLE -3 under
Possible inclement weather
CLE-TE-Winslow-Questionable, QB-Quinn-Questionable

11/23 1:00 PM
197 BUF -3 under
198 KC 43½ *
Possible inclement weather
BUF-WR-Reed-Probable
KC-TE-Gonzalez-Probable

11/23 1:00 PM
199 NYJ 40½ *
200 TEN -5.5 OVER

11/23 1:00 PM
201 NE 42 UNDER
202 MIA -1 *

11/23 1:00 PM
203 SF 46½ UNDER
204 DAL -10 *
DAL-QB-Romo-Probable; RB-F.Jones-OUT for season

There is the T.O. factor in this game as SF was one his former teams

11/23 1:00 PM
205 TB -8.5 OVER
206 DET 41½ *
TB-RB-Graham-OUT
DET-WR-Furrey-Questionable

11/23 1:00 PM
207 PHI 39 OVER
208 BAL -1 *
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Downgraded to Questionable

PHI w/o RB Westbrook is historically not good ATS

11/23 1:00 PM
209 CHI -8 *
210 STL 43 UNDER
STL-RB-Jackson-OUT, OT-Pace-OUT for year

maybe this should be an OVER game, due to ineffectiveness of CHI, but I think they'll rise for this occasion

11/23 1:00 PM
211 MIN 40½ *
212 JAC -2 UNDER

11/23 4:15 PM
213 CAR 42½ OVER
214 ATL -1 *
ATL-WR-White-Probable

11/23 4:05 PM
215 OAK 42½ *
216 DEN -9 UNDER
Possible Inclement weather

11/23 4:15 PM
217 WAS -3.5 *
218 SEA 40½ OVER

11/23 4:15 PM
219 NYG -3.5 OVER
220 ARI 48½ **
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Upgraded to Probable

11/23 8:15 PM
221 IND 49½ UNDER*
222 SD -3 *
NBC
IND-S-Sanders-Questionable

11/24 8:35 PM
225 GB 51½ ***
226 NO -2.5 OVER
ESPN
NO-RB-Bush-Questionable; RB-McAllister-Possible Suspension

Thursday, November 20, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - Thursday night

11/20 8:15 PM
105 CIN 34½ *
106 PIT -11 over
NFL Network
Possible inclement weather
CIN-WR-C. Johnson-OUT (suspended)

maybe I should take PIT and under, but road team has been winning ATS the last 3 weeks for night games

Monday, November 17, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NYJ @NE (DO)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DEN @ATL (DU)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 CHI @GB (FU)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PHI @CIN (DU)
ATS 0-1-1 side 0-1 total 0-0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DET @CAR (DO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 15-16-1 side 9-7 total 6-9-1

for the year:
ATS 168-143-7 side 84-71-4 total 84-72-3

green picks 2-1, hmmm should've picked under for SD @PIT due to weather and play style

weakness in my thoughts:
DET has me bamboozled for past 2 weeks
PHI 2 of past 3 weeks I can't tell
KC 2 of past 3 weeks I can't tell
NYJ 2 of past 4 weeks still not sure

though I had five 2-0 picks I also had five 0-2 picks... :-(

funny if you noticed the road team has been winning ATS Thursday, Sunday & Monday night games lately for the past two weeks - TREND???

Friday, November 14, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - weekend

11/16 1:00 PM
401 DEN 51 *OVER*
402 ATL -6 *
DEN-RB-Young-Doubtful, RB''s-Torain,
Pittman, Hall-All OUT

11/16 1:00 PM
403 OAK 38½ **UNDER**
404 MIA -10.5 *
OAK-QB''s-Russell-Upgraded to Probable,
Walter-Questionable,
RB-McFadden-Questionable

11/16 1:00 PM
405 BAL 41 under
406 NYG -7 *

11/16 1:00 PM
407 HOU 50½ *
408 IND -7.5 *OVER*

11/16 1:00 PM
409 TEN -3 ****
410 JAC 39½ under
JAC-WR-M. Jones-Questionable

11/16 1:00 PM
411 CHI 43 *
412 GB -3.5 over
CHI-QB-Orton-Probable

11/16 1:00 PM
413 PHI -9 *
414 CIN 41 over

QUOTED-Michael Lombardi notes:
Bill Simmons of ESPN is right in his critique of the Eagles. “The one team I definitively have figured out for gambling purposes: Take the Eagles over every bad team, home or away, no matter the spread; go against them any time they’re facing a good team. Got it? Got it. Poor coaching, a crappy short-yardage game and a tendency to give up big plays will bite you in the
bizzum every time”.

11/16 1:00 PM
415 NO -5.5 over
416 KC 50 *
NO-RB-Bush-Out
KC-RB-Johnson-Probable

11/16 1:00 PM
417 DET 40 *under*
418 CAR -14 *

11/16 1:00 PM
419 MIN 38½ under
420 TB -4 *
TB-RB-Graham-Probable, RB-C.
Williams-Activated (questionable to play)

11/16 4:05 PM
421 STL 43½ UNDER
422 SF -6.5 *STL-RB-Jackson-Downgraded to OUT
SF-RB-Gore-Probable, WR-Morgan-OUT

11/16 4:05 PM
423 ARI -3 *
424 SEA 47½ OVER
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Probable,
WR-Branch-Questionable,
QB-Wallace-Questionable

11/16 4:15 PM
425 SD 42½ **
426 PIT -5 ***OVER***
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Upgraded to Probable
PIT-RB-Parker-Upgraded to Probable,
TE-Miller-Doubtful

11/16 8:15 PM
427 DAL -1.5 *****
428 WAS 42½ over
NBC
DAL-QB-Romo-Probable, RB-F. Jones-Out
WAS-WR-S. Moss-Probable,
RB-Portis-Downgraded to Doubtful

11/17 8:35 PM
429 CLE 42 ***
430 BUF -5.5 over
ESPN

Thursday, November 13, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - Thursday Night

307 NYJ 42 under
308 NE -3 **

NE overall is the more talented team, this is essentially a pick'm vs spread. Not really into this game as I was last wk's game, (but I forgot to post) - I'm thinkin' that NYJ has to have more things fall into place correctly than NE does and will take more chances even though they are on the road. NE D is what I'm really think'n will be the deciding factor.

Monday, November 10, 2008

NFL 08 - week 10 - results

ATS side total NONE w/DEN @CLE did not pick officially

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 JAC @DET (FO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 17-9 side 9-4 total 8-5

for the year:
ATS 153-127-6 side 75-64-4 total 78-63-2

oops forgot to choose green picks as well this week..else this was a really good week for sides

No official tally w/DEN @CLE game though my thought's were why start Quinn? and though
CLE did well for 3Q's Cutler's 4Q comeback reminds me of ole Elway comebacks.CLE has given up on the season IMHO and Quinn is auditioning for next season

OK so no team dissension w/JAC and DET will continue to have problems

Yep ATL continues to win @home & NO can't win Coming off Bye or on the road ATS

Over in the STL @NYJ game?? guess STL D is just that bad

hmmmm SEA played much better on the road than expected (kept game closer)

PHI came slow outta the gate @home & w/o TO's = TD's (2) the game wouldn't have been close and lower scoring, but still may have gone over w/NYG scoring machine

wouldn't you know it, SF won ATS and though they did not split the yearly series SU, ATS they did split.....

Friday, November 07, 2008

NFL week 10 - picks

I forgot to pick the Thursday night matchup w/DEN @CLE, though DEN did come thru and CLE still has a curious start of a QB IMHO....

11/09 1:00 PM
211 JAC -6.5 UNDER
212 DET 44½ *
DET-QB-Orlovsky-OUT, QB-Culpepper-Expected to start
taking DET due to JAC possible team dissension? w/MLB Petersen vs coach Del Rio

11/09 1:00 PM
213 TEN -3 *
214 CHI 38½ **UNDER**
CHI-QB-Orton-Upgraded to Questionable, QB-Grossman-Will start if Orton is unable to go
I expect Grossman to start and throw a pick or 2 that will cost them the game

11/09 1:00 PM
215 BUF 41½ UNDER
216 NE -3.5 *
BUF-RB-Lynch-Probable, WR-Reed-OUT, S-Whitner-OUT
NE QB Cassel is lot better at the midway pt of season, than beginning

11/09 1:00 PM
217 NO 50 *
218 ATL -1 **OVER**
NO-RB-Bush-Very Doubtful
ATL at home is tuff to go against and NO is normally not good after bye, but Brees has played at such a high level...

11/09 1:00 PM
219 STL 44½ UNDER
220 NYJ -8 *
STL-RB-Jackson-Downgraded to Doubtful
STL w/o a running game and NYJ can shut down one side of field

11/09 1:00 PM
221 SEA 42½ under
222 MIA -8 *
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT, WR-Branch-Doubtful
just thinkin SEA w/long trip can't do well

11/09 1:00 PM
223 GB 45 *
224 MIN -2.5 over
GB had their chances last wk vs TEN, maybe that lesson will help pull out the upset

11/09 4:05 PM
225 CAR -9 **
226 OAK 38 UNDER
OAK-RB-McFadden-Questionable, QB-Russell-Listed as
Questionable, but is expected to start
OAK is a team, that knows not what to do ....

11/09 4:15 PM
227 KC 47½ ****
228 SD -15 over
KC-RB-Johnson-Suspended
Only taking KC cuz of pts, but 19 of 53 players are rookies

11/09 4:15 PM
229 IND *
230 PIT -3 over
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Probable, WR-Ward-Probable,
TE-Miller-Doubtful, RB-Parker-Downgraded to OUT
where's the total? w/o Parker can't take PIT

11/09 8:15 PM
231 NYG 43 *
232 PHI -3 UNDER
NBC
NYG is more physical

11/09 1:00 PM
235 BAL -1 *
236 HOU 42 under
BAL-RB-McGahee-Questionable
HOU-QB-Schaub-OUT
I could make a case for HOU, toughest game to call for the weekend

11/10 8:35 PM
233 SF 46 OVER
234 ARI -9.5 *
ESPN

Sunday, November 02, 2008

NFL 08 - week 9 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 HOU @MIN (FO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 TB @KC (DO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PHI @SEA (FU)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PIT @WAS (DU)

weekly results
ATS 15-13 side 7-7 total 8-6

for the year:
ATS 136-118-6 side 66-60-4 total 70-58-2

green picks 2-1

Second week in a row fooled by KC, HOU on the road, perhaps I should have known better and I guess SEA is just flat.... Now why did I pick WAS?????