2016 - week 4 - TNF - picks

I feel a little better about the side rather than the total as the number of 44½ is low. With defenses for each team being the best part of the team at this time, it's a race to the 20's, first team to 20 will win. If both team score in the 20's the total should go over. Their is a new upgrade factor w/CIN LB Burfict, I suspect this will keep the score low under 20's for MIA. CIN without TE Eifert, WR Jones and Sanu, xOC Jackson - just hasn't gelled enough, maybe another month is needed...

A simpler way to win would be to do a 6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and under 50½ for a two pick 6pt tease, $11 should pay around $10

of if you're feeling brave, try "middling" w/6pt tease:
Take CIN -1½ and MIA +13½ as well as under 50½ and over 38½, $10 should pay around $65
or you could just middle sides or the total

09/29 8:25 PM
101 MIA 44½ *
102 CIN -7½ under

MIA HC Gase 'perform or else'
CIN LB Burfict starts (off 3G suspension)
CIN should win SU, but ATS???
Will MIA get to 20pts if so over, if not under

2014 - week 16 - TNF - picks

I'm a bit late, but here it is...

12/18 8:25 PM
101 TEN 39 under
102 JAC -4 *

2014 - week 15 - TNF - picks

seems obvious, well at least to me...

12/11 8:25 PM
301 ARI 40½ UNDER
302 STL -4½ *

STL D impressive past 2 weeks

2014 - week 14 - TNF - picks

If last week was any indication of my lack of time for picking and posting games, this week will not be any better. I'm hoping just to hit .500

12/04 8:25 PM
101 DAL -4 *
102 CHI 51½ under

it's less than an hour to kick off.
It's hard to take the home dog, CHI has yet to play really well at home. 
CHI is at the start of a 4 game home stand, but I think they'll lose and stink it up...

2014 - week 13 - TNF - picks

Thanksgiving weekend...

I'm picking more on instinct than anything else as I've had very little time to go thru week 12 games...
If I have the time, I'll be back to refine my picks....

11/27 12:30 PM
305 CHI 47½ UNDER
306 DET -7 *

11/27 4:30 PM
307 PHI 56½ *
308 DAL -3½ under

11/27 8:30 PM
309 SEA 39½ UNDER
310 SF -1½ *

2014 - week 12 - TNF - picks

hmmm, what to say???

11/20 8:25 PM
109 KC -7 *
110 OAK 42½ **UNDER**

could you really look at the home team?

2014 - week 11 - TNF - picks

Whhoooops, forgot to post pick for TNF... and I outsmarted myself.... sigh...

11/13 8:25 PM
309 BUF 42 *
310 MIA -6 over

BUF 3-0 L3G vs MIA

2014 - week 10 - TNF - picks

CLE has had close games vs it's division rivals this year, expect another one vs CIN...

11/06 8:25 PM
109 CLE 45 *
110 CIN -6 UNDER

2014 - week 09 - TNF - picks

not really into this game.... since it's on NFL Network I can't watch it live... sigh...

10/30 8:25 PM
301 NO -3 under
302 CAR 49½ *

no real reason as to why, I take the home team and the under.

2014 - week 08 - TNF - picks

I've been busy, but looks like I'll be able to post prior to game...
I'm going against the OVER trend and even though this is a division rivalry game, I'm giving up the points...

10/23 8:25 PM
103 SD 51½ *UNDER*
104 DEN -8 *

SD appears to be beat up

2014 - week 07 - TNF - picks

So why not stick with the Favorite/Over combo trend???

10/16 8:25 PM
303 NYJ 44½ OVER
304 NE -9½ **

?RAIN?

2014 - week 05 - TNF - picks

So who starts for MIN? QB Bridgewater? or QB Ponder?
Will it make that much of a difference?

10/02 8:25 PM
301 MIN 47½ under
302 GB -8 *

?RAIN?
MIN QB Ponder? Bridgewater?
So GB should win SU, but ATS? hmmmm?
MIN must play keep away, "run, run and short pass'g"
if they do I suspect under the total will win

2014 - week 04 - TNF - picks

Over the total seems to be the sensible play.....
I know, I'm picking against an early season trend of the home team winning ATS & SU on Thursday Night Football, but taking the points in division games is a normal thing for me..

rest of the weekend to follow...

09/25 8:25 PM
101 NYG 45½ *
102 WAS -3½ OVER

??RAIN??
WAS appears to be more beat up than NYG

2014 - week 03 - TNF picks

Just can't find the time to pick all this weeks game at the moment, so for now here's Thursday picks and rest will follow

09/18 8:25 PM
301 TB 47 UNDER
302 ATL -6 ***

TB HC Smith lost confidence? in QB McCown?