09/15 1:00 PM
195 SD 55 **OVER**
196 PHI -7½ *
PHI 49=rush attempts last week @WAS
09/15 1:00 PM
197 CLE 43½ UNDER
198 BAL -6½ **
CLE OL struggles
CLE nickel weak, must zone, no man2man
09/15 1:00 PM
199 TEN 43 **
200 HOU -9 UNDER
TEN RUN O & RUN D
HOU slow start last week @SD
09/15 1:00 PM
201 MIA 43 *
202 IND -3 under
strength vs strength
MIA D (top5D?) vs IND O
MIA O can't run ball less thean 1yd avg @CLE
MIA weakness KOR's? allowed 4 returns @CLE
09/15 1:00 PM
203 CAR -3 *
204 BUF 43½ **UNDER**
CAR O 'glacial'
09/15 1:00 PM
205 STL 47½ *?
206 ATL -6½ over
09/15 1:00 PM
207 WAS 49 under?
208 GB -7½ *
until WAS tackles better, it's hard to take a chance on them
09/15 1:00 PM
209 DAL 46½ over
210 KC -3 *
09/15 1:00 PM
211 MIN 41 *under*
212 CHI -6 ***
MIN QB Ponder out of sync
09/15 4:05 PM
213 NO -3 *****
214 TB 47½ over
NO DT Bunkley out
TB can they minimize their penalties? COMM issues
sloppy sloppy sloppy O to start the season
what's up w/TB?
TB SS Goldson one man wreckin' crew
TB G Nicks returns?
09/15 4:05 PM
215 DET -1½ *
216 ARI 47½ OVER*?*
DET miscues/penalties, but talented
09/15 4:25 PM
217 JAC 39½ UNDER
218 OAK -5½ *
JAC CB Gratz out
09/15 4:25 PM
219 DEN -4½ *OVER*
220 NYG 55 *
NYG HC Coughlin embarrassed last week @DAL
09/15 8:30 PM
221 SF 44½ under
222 SEA -3 *
09/16 8:40 PM
223 PIT 40½ UNDER
224 CIN -7 *****
Thursday, September 12, 2013
2013 - week 02 - picks
2013 - week 02 Thursday - picks
09/12 8:25 PM 101 NYJ 44 * 102 NE -12½ **UNDER** NYJ very lucky last week NYJ TE Cumberland out?This isn't a pick for an upset, I just wonder if NE can cover a double digit spread
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
GRID ranking - week 02
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| GRID ranking - week 02 |
I know, I know, I have CIN above CHI and TB above NYJ, though CIN and TB lost to their respective opponents, I still believe they are the better team. NYJ was lucky to get the win vs TB and CIN appeared to "coast" too soon in their game, play calling especially was not aggressive. In both cases, TB and CIN may not have a great closer or 'killer' instinct, more play calling than on the players IMO.
TEN D is responsible for their jump, very impressive. It's their pass O that may cause them problems, but if they keep running the ball, they'll slug it out in their division. D's that were impressive (beyond the normal SF, SEA, CHI), MIA, NO, DAL, KC and PHI all were attacking and huge factors in week 01 wins.
Friday, September 06, 2013
2013 - week 01 - results
BAL @DEN, this game had DEN written all over it, besides the game banners of BAL QB Flacco hanging in DEN, the NFL and/or BAL was unable to convince the Baltimore Orioles to move their game to accomodate the normal home game opener for the Super Bowl champions. Tie this is with the leadership loss and roster churn this off season for BAL and BAL played very well into the half and led 17-14. BAL did have two significant injuries occur in Q2 to WR/PR/KR Jones and RT Oher. DEN QB Mannings record tie'g 7 passing TDs set the total OVER just by themselves. A lot more scoring than I envisioned and a lot more ST errors, that led to turnovers and eventually TDs by both teams. DEN LB Woodyard was injured in Q4 as well though the game was well in hand by then. A notable numbers of drops by BAL WR's and TE's occurred as well, BAL is in early season form, DEN closer to mid season form.
CIN @CHI, CBS game, CIN for the most part played a very good game, CHI O was dependent on their D and their opportunistic ways, CHI CBs are top three, CB Tillman played very well. CHI should have lost IMO, but I think CIN had a bit of a let down mid-Q3, CIN TE rookie looks like a keeper, CIN LB Burfict was injured in 2nd Half Q4 I think.
ATL @NO, FOX game, ATL played fairly well for most of the game, NO O played inspired at times and their D came up w/big plays when they needed it. This was not to be ATL day.
GB @SF, FOX game, GB D looks improved LB Mathews is in mid-season form, not so much w/their O, game was tied 21-21 into Q4. SF is very interesting passing their way for the majority of game and then counting on their ground game to control Q4
NYG @DAL, NBC, SNF, NYG 6TOs, (3 QB Manning ints, 2 Wilson fumbles, 1 ST error) 3 in a row to start the game should have put them in a deep hole but they emerged w/a 3-3 tie and kept it close for the majority of the game. Injuries also occurred....
Not the greatest of results especially ATS, surprisingly ok with Totals, quite the opposite of expected results, in many games.
Surprise of the weekend - TEN road win@PIT
notable:
the entire AFC North lost there season openers, BAL, CIN, CLE, PIT
NFC South 1-3 SU
AFC East 3-1 SU
AFC South 3-1 SU
NFC West 3-1 SU
CIN @CHI, CBS game, CIN for the most part played a very good game, CHI O was dependent on their D and their opportunistic ways, CHI CBs are top three, CB Tillman played very well. CHI should have lost IMO, but I think CIN had a bit of a let down mid-Q3, CIN TE rookie looks like a keeper, CIN LB Burfict was injured in 2nd Half Q4 I think.
ATL @NO, FOX game, ATL played fairly well for most of the game, NO O played inspired at times and their D came up w/big plays when they needed it. This was not to be ATL day.
GB @SF, FOX game, GB D looks improved LB Mathews is in mid-season form, not so much w/their O, game was tied 21-21 into Q4. SF is very interesting passing their way for the majority of game and then counting on their ground game to control Q4
NYG @DAL, NBC, SNF, NYG 6TOs, (3 QB Manning ints, 2 Wilson fumbles, 1 ST error) 3 in a row to start the game should have put them in a deep hole but they emerged w/a 3-3 tie and kept it close for the majority of the game. Injuries also occurred....
Not the greatest of results especially ATS, surprisingly ok with Totals, quite the opposite of expected results, in many games.
 |
| 2013 - week 01 - results |
Surprise of the weekend - TEN road win
notable:
the entire AFC North lost there season openers, BAL, CIN, CLE, PIT
NFC South 1-3 SU
AFC East 3-1 SU
AFC South 3-1 SU
NFC West 3-1 SU
Thursday, September 05, 2013
2013 - week 01 - picks
09/08 1:00 PM 453 NE -10 *** 454 BUF 50½ *UNDER* BUF rookie QB Manuel starts BUF CB Gilmore out 09/08 1:00 PM 455 TEN 42½ under 456 PIT -7 * PIT OL run game struggling looks link dink n dunk season TEN as QB Locker goes so goes their O 09/08 1:00 PM 457 ATL 54 * 458 NO -3 OVER NO DL/DEx2 IR?, LB issue? NO WR Meacham returns 09/08 1:00 PM 459 TB -3 ***** 460 NYJ 40 under TB O run first in RZ TB G Nicks doubtful - big loss NYJ rookie QB Smith starts (not ready?) Can NYJ score? 09/08 1:00 PM 461 KC -3½ *** 462 JAC 41 under JAC will need to win w/run O JAC unsure of O, will they score? 09/08 1:00 PM 463 CIN 42½ ** 464 CHI -3 over so why is CHI favored? 09/08 1:00 PM 465 MIA 41 under 466 CLE -1 * MIA O 'between the 20's team', can't score in RZ during preseason CLE youngest team in NFL? 09/08 1:00 PM 467 SEA -3 **** 468 CAR 45½ over? CAR OL issues? 09/08 1:00 PM 469 MIN 46½ * 470 DET -4 UNDER MIN can control game 09/08 1:00 PM 471 OAK 47½ UNDER 472 IND -9 ***** OAK worst OL and DL? 09/08 4:25 PM 473 ARI 41 *? 474 STL -4½ UNDER ARI OL? 09/08 4:25 PM 475 GB 49½ over 476 SF -5 * strength vs strength GB O vs SF D 09/08 8:30 PM 477 NYG 48½ UNDER 478 DAL -3 * NYG OL issue C, RG less than 3 yrs/0 starts each, RT rookie NYG 2ndary? NYG as much as 5 starters injury prone this year DAL Guard issues, 6 guards with various inj's DAL NT Ratliff out DAL DE Spencer out 09/09 7:10 PM 479 PHI 50½ OVER? 480 WAS -4 * PHI D hmmm? WAS DL stout vs run, OL depth??? 09/09 10:20 PM 481 HOU -3½ **** 482 SD 44½ UNDER what will SD do?
Wednesday, September 04, 2013
2013 - week 01 - Thursday - picks
09/05 8:30 PM 451 BAL 48 UNDER 452 DEN -8 * NFL Marketing flying Flacco banners @mile high stadium duhh... advantage DEN, no respect from NFL as if losing to BAL in last years playoffs wasn't enough motivation for DEN BAL DT Jones out, other DL issues DEN LB Von Miller susp'dDEN could've won last year, BAL team experience seemed to take the game over, I don't see the same experience with BAL this year...
Tuesday, September 03, 2013
2013 - QB's Sophomore slump or not?
What can we expect from the young QB's this 2013 season? I'll make my predictions and hopefully remember to review at the end of the season. Here's my impressions of all the young guns...
IND QB Luck did the most with the least amount of surrounding talent last season. Upgrades are really good, lets see if chemistry still keeps team on winning ways. I expect a similar season as last years W-L record, clearly Luck and Co. should be on the upswing.
SEA QB Wilson, talented, but young team, another team that points upward, a little more cohesion is what I expect and another playoff appearance.
WAS QB Griffin, talented with a mid age team (not too many older or younger players) that had injury issues especially on D. Again another team that points upward and a better W-L record. Though this year they are already having some injury issues.
SF QB Kaepernick, talented and older team, again a team that can make another leap, I think ATL and DAL stand in their path during the playoffs. They did lose some very good backups who'll be starting for other teams.
MIN QB Ponder, talented team, continue running game emphasis, it's coverages that confuse Ponder, hopefully another playoff run. This team can play keep away from their division opponents (CHI, DET, GB)
CLE QB Weeden, an older talented QB, I wonder just how much patience they will have with him as he learns another system. Very tough division, if they can split their season series, consider it a very good year.
MIA QB Tannehill, top 10 D, but O appears to be on decline, at best an 8-8 record, flatlined for this season.. I lean toward a decline for their W-L record.
JAC QB Gabbert, that hand injury is a big red flag, I suspect accuracy issues will abound due to lack of synch with WRs. IMO they should rest him, put him on PUP. Can't and won't do better this season.
TEN QB Locker, media labels him as an athletic QB, I see accuracy issues, again an emphasis on the running game will do wonders.
STL QB Bradford (should he be on this list?) a young but talented team in perhaps the toughest division, my favorite dark horse to improve this season. But this may not happen in their W-L record this year, but one can hope right?
CAR QB Newton (should he be on list?), I'm unsure which way to swing on this above or below 8-8 record? With a new OC I'll be inclined to say a down grade, yep I don't trust play calling of Shula's son.
NYJ QB Smith, from what I've seen, they need to rely on running game.
BUF QB Manuel or QB Tuel, again emphasis on running game will do wonders for QBs.
OAK QB Flynn or QB Prior, the weakest supporting cast, not much hope...
IND QB Luck did the most with the least amount of surrounding talent last season. Upgrades are really good, lets see if chemistry still keeps team on winning ways. I expect a similar season as last years W-L record, clearly Luck and Co. should be on the upswing.
SEA QB Wilson, talented, but young team, another team that points upward, a little more cohesion is what I expect and another playoff appearance.
WAS QB Griffin, talented with a mid age team (not too many older or younger players) that had injury issues especially on D. Again another team that points upward and a better W-L record. Though this year they are already having some injury issues.
SF QB Kaepernick, talented and older team, again a team that can make another leap, I think ATL and DAL stand in their path during the playoffs. They did lose some very good backups who'll be starting for other teams.
MIN QB Ponder, talented team, continue running game emphasis, it's coverages that confuse Ponder, hopefully another playoff run. This team can play keep away from their division opponents (CHI, DET, GB)
CLE QB Weeden, an older talented QB, I wonder just how much patience they will have with him as he learns another system. Very tough division, if they can split their season series, consider it a very good year.
MIA QB Tannehill, top 10 D, but O appears to be on decline, at best an 8-8 record, flatlined for this season.. I lean toward a decline for their W-L record.
JAC QB Gabbert, that hand injury is a big red flag, I suspect accuracy issues will abound due to lack of synch with WRs. IMO they should rest him, put him on PUP. Can't and won't do better this season.
TEN QB Locker, media labels him as an athletic QB, I see accuracy issues, again an emphasis on the running game will do wonders.
STL QB Bradford (should he be on this list?) a young but talented team in perhaps the toughest division, my favorite dark horse to improve this season. But this may not happen in their W-L record this year, but one can hope right?
CAR QB Newton (should he be on list?), I'm unsure which way to swing on this above or below 8-8 record? With a new OC I'll be inclined to say a down grade, yep I don't trust play calling of Shula's son.
NYJ QB Smith, from what I've seen, they need to rely on running game.
BUF QB Manuel or QB Tuel, again emphasis on running game will do wonders for QBs.
OAK QB Flynn or QB Prior, the weakest supporting cast, not much hope...
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