09/15 8:25 PM 101 NYJ -1 * 102 BUF 40½ *UNDER* BUF LT Glenn OUT? LY BUF wonx2 vs NYJ 09/18 1:00 PM 261 TEN 47 under 262 DET -5½ * 09/18 1:00 PM 263 KC 43½ * 264 HOU -2½ UNDER LY KC 27 @HOU 20 LY PO KC 30 HOU 0 KC a bit lucky to win last week (if SD made FG, they win game) HOU D formidable HOU LT Brown OUT 09/18 1:00 PM 265 MIA 41½ UNDER 266 NE -6½ ** LY MIA 7 @NE 36 LY NE 10 @MIA 20 MIA played well enough to win last week vs SEA NE surprised last week w/o LT/RT/TE 09/18 1:00 PM 267 BAL -6½ *** 268 CLE 42½ *UNDER* LY CLE 33 @BAL 30 (OT) LY BAL 33 @CLE 27 BAL D on the rise? CLE QB J McCown starts 09/18 1:00 PM 269 CIN 48½ over 270 PIT -3½ * CIN O run weak? pass good LY CIN 16 @PIT 10 LY PIT 30 @CIN 20 LY PO PIT 18 CIN 16 09/18 1:00 PM 271 DAL 45½ under 272 WAS -3 * LY DAL 19 @WAS 16 LY WAS 23 @DAL 34 09/18 1:00 PM 273 NO 53½ * 274 NYG -4½ over LY NYG 49 @NO 52 NO will start 2 rookie CBs NYG lucky? again (last week @DAL) NYG LBs 'shaky' 09/18 1:00 PM 275 SF 45 under 276 CAR -13½ * CAR should be pissed off they should have won game 09/18 4:05 PM 277 TB 50 * 278 ARI -6½ OVER ARI D couldn't stop run last wk vs NE (RB Blount) 09/18 4:05 PM 279 SEA -6 UNDER 280 LA 38½ * LY SEA 31 @STL 34 (OT) LY STL 23 @SEA 17 SEA O non-functional? 09/18 4:25 PM 281 IND 46 under 282 DEN -6 * LY DEN 24 @IND 27 IND another slow start? 09/18 4:25 PM 283 ATL 49½ **OVER** 284 OAK -5 * ATL can't tackle, sack or score in RZ OAK impressive win w/OL shuffle due to RT inj'd OAK OL RT? 09/18 4:25 PM 285 JAC 47 *** 286 SD -3 *OVER* LY SD 31 @JAC 25 09/18 8:30 PM 287 GB -2½ * 288 MIN 44 under LY GB 30 @MIN 13 LY MIN 20 @GB 13 09/19 8:30 PM 289 PHI 43 * 290 CHI -3 *under* PHI TE Ertz ribs OUT? PHI CB McKelvin hamstring OUT? PHI QB nice debut, CHI D is a step up? PHI ST punter, a 'weapon' will CHI O get shut out in 2nd Half again (did well in 1st Half last week)
Showing posts with label week 02. Show all posts
Showing posts with label week 02. Show all posts
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
2016 - week 02 - picks
??
Monday, September 21, 2015
2015 - week 02 - results
You gotta hand it to Manning & Company, they are finding ways to win. It's the 2nd week in a row the game is decided on a defensive TD. Manning is now 14-1 vs KC. KC's turnovers really killed them.
just an awful week picking sides (6-10) and totals (4-12)...
for the season ATS(14-17-1) totals (10-22)
just an awful week picking sides (6-10) and totals (4-12)...
for the season ATS(14-17-1) totals (10-22)
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| 2015 - week 02 - results |
Wednesday, September 16, 2015
2015 - week 02 - picks
Update 9/17:
changed pick from CAR/Under to HOU/Under
changed pick from TB/Under to NO/Under
changed pick from SF/Under to PIT/Under
my picks (in bold) using an efficiency method...
Just for SU, picks using QB with more NFL experience
DEN
CAR
PIT
NO
DET
ARI
NE
SD
CLE
NYG
STL
MIA
BAL
DAL
GB
NYJ
changed pick from CAR/Under to HOU/Under
changed pick from TB/Under to NO/Under
changed pick from SF/Under to PIT/Under
my picks (in bold) using an efficiency method...
09/17 8:25 PM 101 DEN 42½ *UNDER* 102 KC -3 * DEN has swept div series L3Y 09/20 1:00 PM 261 HOU 40½ * 262 CAR -3 *under HOU QB Mallet starts 09/20 1:00 PM 263 TB 47 *under 264 NO -10 * 09/20 1:00 PM 265 SF 45 *under* 266 PIT -6 * 09/20 1:00 PM 267 DET 43 **** 268 MIN -3 under DET tale of two halves last week MIN O? worst in NFL? 09/20 1:00 PM 269 NE -1 *over* 270 BUF 45 * BUF DT Dareus returns from G1 suspension 09/20 1:00 PM 271 ARI -2½ *** 272 CHI 46 over 09/20 1:00 PM 273 TEN -1½ ** 274 CLE 41½ under CLE QB Manziel starts 09/20 1:00 PM 275 SD 46½ *over* 276 CIN -3 * SD tale of two halves last week 09/20 1:00 PM 277 STL -3 * 278 WAS 41½ *over* 09/20 1:00 PM 279 ATL 51 ** 280 NYG -2½ over 09/20 4:05 PM 281 BAL -6 * 282 OAK 43 *under* OAK QB McGloin starts? OAK S N Allen (knee) & C Woodson (shoulder), CB Hayden OUT? 09/20 4:05 PM 283 MIA -6 * 284 JAC 41½ **UNDER** 09/20 4:25 PM 285 DAL 55½ over 286 PHI -5 * 09/20 8:30 PM 287 SEA 48½ over 288 GB -3½ * 09/21 8:30 PM 289 NYJ 47 * 290 IND -7 over
Just for SU, picks using QB with more NFL experience
DEN
CAR
PIT
NO
DET
ARI
NE
SD
CLE
NYG
STL
MIA
BAL
DAL
GB
NYJ
Saturday, September 20, 2014
2014 * Offense - Defense (Efficiency & QB Ratings) * week 02
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| 2014 * Offense - Defense * week 02 |
1st column 'team', 2nd column 'Offense-Defense Efficiency', 3rd column 'number of wins', 4th column 'Offense-Defense QB ratings' this is kept in larger columns for each division
The teams are sorted by efficiency first, wins, QB ratings (NFL)
It's a little tough to see, but after two weeks of games there are surprises. The biggest surprise among 2-0 teams is HOU, but considering their opponents so far, (WAS & OAK) the numbers look really good for them. In this early part of the season, HOU is way a UP there in the clouds.
The biggest pretender among 2-0 teams is PHI, some will argue BUF or ARI, but the numbers state PHI. Needing two second half comebacks also seems to play into the numbers skewing against PHI.
Among the 0-2 teams, KC appears to be among the bottom 5 in the league, hovering nearby is also PIT, another team that may be in for a long season as well. The teams performing the best with 0-2 records are NO and IND. Their numbers are comparable to a number of 1-1 teams, I expect them to step on up some time soon, this week? next week?
Injuries have really curtailed the performance of some teams. Either injuries to key players or just a multitude of injuries have been too much for some teams to overcome. What's really noticeable to me is the disparity between the good and bad teams in their divisions. HOU and CAR have huge edges at this time. The NFC North appears to have the most parity among themselves. The toughest division is again the NFC West, with no team posting a negative efficiency and only STL with a negative QB rating.
It's still early in the season, I need to remember to post another snapshot after week 4 as a quarter of the season will have be decided and a clearer picture will emerge.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
2014 - week 02 - results
What a weekend, I sucked again, guess it shows when I don't get to watch enough games. I'm glad I've been only picking side and totals... (and not doing anything else).
With the recent news of MIN RB Peterson deactivated the day before the game, my guess it was a deflater for the team, since a realistic backup for All-Day is still a major drop off.
Unlike CAR which also had a late deactivation of DE Greg Hardy, but they have replacements.
The other situation worth mentioning is the suspension of xBAL RB Ray Rice, which I believed occurred last Sunday on game day for BAL and may have affected them for their game vs CIN, but by the time the Thursday game had rolled around BAL had rallied around each other and soundly defeated PIT.
MIA has a costly emotional win vs NE, last week and this weekend they had to shuffle their front 7 on D and BUF took advantage as well as on ST.
With the recent news of MIN RB Peterson deactivated the day before the game, my guess it was a deflater for the team, since a realistic backup for All-Day is still a major drop off.
Unlike CAR which also had a late deactivation of DE Greg Hardy, but they have replacements.
The other situation worth mentioning is the suspension of xBAL RB Ray Rice, which I believed occurred last Sunday on game day for BAL and may have affected them for their game vs CIN, but by the time the Thursday game had rolled around BAL had rallied around each other and soundly defeated PIT.
MIA has a costly emotional win vs NE, last week and this weekend they had to shuffle their front 7 on D and BUF took advantage as well as on ST.
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| 2014 - week 02 - results |
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
2013 - week 02 - results
Games I watched in real time or near real time:
NYJ @NE, TNF, fairly close game at the half, rain storm sweeps in and lasts for the rest of the game. NYJ makes it interesting by closing to a 10-13 score in Q3. NYJ OL is winning the battle, they need to run more IMO. NE QB-WR are out of sync. I'm unsure if NE is the better D, it seems to be NYJ D is playing at least on par if not better than NE D. NYJ luck ran out this game. W/38sec left mutual animosity appears between Jet's & Pat's w/NYJ LT, LG, and C ejected from game.
WAS @GB, all GB, WAS appears to be still in preseason mode. Their G1 and G2 opponents (PHI, GB) won the game in the first half and 'coast' the second half. At this rate I'd be against WAS in the first half and bet the over in the 2nd half and maybe bet on WAS in the 2nd half. Perhaps this will last another couple of weeks.
I did get to watch part of DAL @KC (due to network cut over to a more 'interesting' game), DAL IMO play calling is a bit suspect, Bradshaw of Fox Sports points out that they need to be more aggressive and take chances down the field (he specifically calls out their OC Callahan). I also noticed the conservative play calling and it almost seems as if DAL believes it had already won the game when they were up 10-7 at the half. They seemed to 'coast' in the 2nd half. A combination of better coaching, play calling, personnel won it for KC in 2nd half. This is not DAL season to go all the way to SB, if they make it into playoffs, they'll be knocked out in their first game.
SD @PHI, despite the two early TO's by RB Mathews and TE Gates, you could tell that SD was the better team. In the end SD pulled it out. PHI should be classified as a W/O (Win/Over) team. I don't believe you'll see PHI win any low scoring games w/their D having issues. SD seems to have turned a page w/HC McCoy and you could see them win a few F/U (favorite/under games) prior to their bye week and perhaps even w/WAS game after bye week as well, but after that it gets tough with some of the best D's on their schedule. Getting DEN twice w/Von Miller off his suspension, KC twice, CIN, MIA, NYG only OAK and maybe WAS could be considered a 'W' for them.
DEN @NYG, Manning Bowl III won by Peyton again (3-0), NYG still seems to be in slow mode, I guess they'll speed up once OCT comes along. DEN D is doing well w/o DE Von Miller and CB Bailey. I guess the road to the SB will go thru them this year.
SF @SEA, SNF, SEA did what good teams do and that's win @home, SF kept the game close for about 3 quarters. SF QB Kaepernick had perhaps the worst game of his young career, SEA QB Wilson was better, but not by much. A defensive battle as expected. SEA D was missing some of it's starter's and still won, very impressive controlling SF OL and skill players for the majority of the game. Has a new king to the throne arrived?
An 8-8 week ATS and Totals, five games I was on the 'money', 5 games totally off in my picks (neither side or total were correct). So I was slightly better on sides (ATS) and slightly worse on totals (O/U).
Did you notice that the NFC East (DAL, NYG, PHI, WAS) lost every game? That's two weeks in a row a division has lost every game SU (last week AFC North - BAL, CIN, CLE, PIT).
Hmmmm.... I picked all the night games correctly, TNF, SNF and MNF, hooorayy!
NYJ @NE, TNF, fairly close game at the half, rain storm sweeps in and lasts for the rest of the game. NYJ makes it interesting by closing to a 10-13 score in Q3. NYJ OL is winning the battle, they need to run more IMO. NE QB-WR are out of sync. I'm unsure if NE is the better D, it seems to be NYJ D is playing at least on par if not better than NE D. NYJ luck ran out this game. W/38sec left mutual animosity appears between Jet's & Pat's w/NYJ LT, LG, and C ejected from game.
WAS @GB, all GB, WAS appears to be still in preseason mode. Their G1 and G2 opponents (PHI, GB) won the game in the first half and 'coast' the second half. At this rate I'd be against WAS in the first half and bet the over in the 2nd half and maybe bet on WAS in the 2nd half. Perhaps this will last another couple of weeks.
I did get to watch part of DAL @KC (due to network cut over to a more 'interesting' game), DAL IMO play calling is a bit suspect, Bradshaw of Fox Sports points out that they need to be more aggressive and take chances down the field (he specifically calls out their OC Callahan). I also noticed the conservative play calling and it almost seems as if DAL believes it had already won the game when they were up 10-7 at the half. They seemed to 'coast' in the 2nd half. A combination of better coaching, play calling, personnel won it for KC in 2nd half. This is not DAL season to go all the way to SB, if they make it into playoffs, they'll be knocked out in their first game.
SD @PHI, despite the two early TO's by RB Mathews and TE Gates, you could tell that SD was the better team. In the end SD pulled it out. PHI should be classified as a W/O (Win/Over) team. I don't believe you'll see PHI win any low scoring games w/their D having issues. SD seems to have turned a page w/HC McCoy and you could see them win a few F/U (favorite/under games) prior to their bye week and perhaps even w/WAS game after bye week as well, but after that it gets tough with some of the best D's on their schedule. Getting DEN twice w/Von Miller off his suspension, KC twice, CIN, MIA, NYG only OAK and maybe WAS could be considered a 'W' for them.
DEN @NYG, Manning Bowl III won by Peyton again (3-0), NYG still seems to be in slow mode, I guess they'll speed up once OCT comes along. DEN D is doing well w/o DE Von Miller and CB Bailey. I guess the road to the SB will go thru them this year.
SF @SEA, SNF, SEA did what good teams do and that's win @home, SF kept the game close for about 3 quarters. SF QB Kaepernick had perhaps the worst game of his young career, SEA QB Wilson was better, but not by much. A defensive battle as expected. SEA D was missing some of it's starter's and still won, very impressive controlling SF OL and skill players for the majority of the game. Has a new king to the throne arrived?
An 8-8 week ATS and Totals, five games I was on the 'money', 5 games totally off in my picks (neither side or total were correct). So I was slightly better on sides (ATS) and slightly worse on totals (O/U).
Did you notice that the NFC East (DAL, NYG, PHI, WAS) lost every game? That's two weeks in a row a division has lost every game SU (last week AFC North - BAL, CIN, CLE, PIT).
Hmmmm.... I picked all the night games correctly, TNF, SNF and MNF, hooorayy!
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| 2013 - week 02 - results |
Thursday, September 12, 2013
2013 - week 02 - picks
09/15 1:00 PM
195 SD 55 **OVER**
196 PHI -7½ *
PHI 49=rush attempts last week @WAS
09/15 1:00 PM
197 CLE 43½ UNDER
198 BAL -6½ **
CLE OL struggles
CLE nickel weak, must zone, no man2man
09/15 1:00 PM
199 TEN 43 **
200 HOU -9 UNDER
TEN RUN O & RUN D
HOU slow start last week @SD
09/15 1:00 PM
201 MIA 43 *
202 IND -3 under
strength vs strength
MIA D (top5D?) vs IND O
MIA O can't run ball less thean 1yd avg @CLE
MIA weakness KOR's? allowed 4 returns @CLE
09/15 1:00 PM
203 CAR -3 *
204 BUF 43½ **UNDER**
CAR O 'glacial'
09/15 1:00 PM
205 STL 47½ *?
206 ATL -6½ over
09/15 1:00 PM
207 WAS 49 under?
208 GB -7½ *
until WAS tackles better, it's hard to take a chance on them
09/15 1:00 PM
209 DAL 46½ over
210 KC -3 *
09/15 1:00 PM
211 MIN 41 *under*
212 CHI -6 ***
MIN QB Ponder out of sync
09/15 4:05 PM
213 NO -3 *****
214 TB 47½ over
NO DT Bunkley out
TB can they minimize their penalties? COMM issues
sloppy sloppy sloppy O to start the season
what's up w/TB?
TB SS Goldson one man wreckin' crew
TB G Nicks returns?
09/15 4:05 PM
215 DET -1½ *
216 ARI 47½ OVER*?*
DET miscues/penalties, but talented
09/15 4:25 PM
217 JAC 39½ UNDER
218 OAK -5½ *
JAC CB Gratz out
09/15 4:25 PM
219 DEN -4½ *OVER*
220 NYG 55 *
NYG HC Coughlin embarrassed last week @DAL
09/15 8:30 PM
221 SF 44½ under
222 SEA -3 *
09/16 8:40 PM
223 PIT 40½ UNDER
224 CIN -7 *****
2013 - week 02 Thursday - picks
09/12 8:25 PM 101 NYJ 44 * 102 NE -12½ **UNDER** NYJ very lucky last week NYJ TE Cumberland out?This isn't a pick for an upset, I just wonder if NE can cover a double digit spread
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
GRID ranking - week 02
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| GRID ranking - week 02 |
I know, I know, I have CIN above CHI and TB above NYJ, though CIN and TB lost to their respective opponents, I still believe they are the better team. NYJ was lucky to get the win vs TB and CIN appeared to "coast" too soon in their game, play calling especially was not aggressive. In both cases, TB and CIN may not have a great closer or 'killer' instinct, more play calling than on the players IMO.
TEN D is responsible for their jump, very impressive. It's their pass O that may cause them problems, but if they keep running the ball, they'll slug it out in their division. D's that were impressive (beyond the normal SF, SEA, CHI), MIA, NO, DAL, KC and PHI all were attacking and huge factors in week 01 wins.
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