Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 03, 2013

2013 - QB's Sophomore slump or not?

What can we expect from the young QB's this 2013 season? I'll make my predictions and hopefully remember to review at the end of the season. Here's my impressions of all the young guns...

IND QB Luck did the most with the least amount of surrounding talent last season. Upgrades are really good, lets see if chemistry still keeps team on winning ways. I expect a similar season as last years W-L record, clearly Luck and Co. should be on the upswing.

SEA QB Wilson, talented, but young team, another team that points upward, a little more cohesion is what I expect and another playoff appearance.

WAS QB Griffin, talented with a mid age team (not too many older or younger players) that had injury issues especially on D. Again another team that points upward and a better W-L record. Though this year they are already having some injury issues.

SF QB Kaepernick, talented and older team, again a team that can make another leap, I think ATL and DAL stand in their path during the playoffs. They did lose some very good backups who'll be starting for other teams.

MIN QB Ponder, talented team, continue running game emphasis, it's coverages that confuse Ponder, hopefully another playoff run. This team can play keep away from their division opponents (CHI, DET, GB)

CLE QB Weeden, an older talented QB, I wonder just how much patience they will have with him as he learns another system. Very tough division, if they can split their season series, consider it a very good year.

MIA QB Tannehill, top 10 D, but O appears to be on decline, at best an 8-8 record, flatlined for this season.. I lean toward a decline for their W-L record.

JAC QB Gabbert, that hand injury is a big red flag, I suspect accuracy issues will abound due to lack of synch with WRs. IMO they should rest him, put him on PUP. Can't and won't do better this season.

TEN QB Locker, media labels him as an athletic QB, I see accuracy issues, again an emphasis on the running game will do wonders.

STL QB Bradford (should he be on this list?) a young but talented team in perhaps the toughest division, my favorite dark horse to improve this season. But this may not happen in their W-L record this year, but one can hope right?

CAR QB Newton (should he be on list?), I'm unsure which way to swing on this above or below 8-8 record? With a new OC I'll be inclined to say a down grade, yep I don't trust play calling of Shula's son.

NYJ QB Smith, from what I've seen, they need to rely on running game.

BUF QB Manuel or QB Tuel, again emphasis on running game will do wonders for QBs.

OAK QB Flynn or QB Prior, the weakest supporting cast, not much hope...


Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Mid week thoughts.... on QB's

I was reading http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000214876/article/most-improved-for-2013-brandon-weeden-heads-quarterbacks

and I really liked the analysis w/QB Weeden...

but w/MIA QB Tannehill, I think the loss of WR Bess, will prove to be too much for MIA to overcome

and w/MIN QB Ponder, I thought he still needs seasoning, he has the physical traits that these scouts look for, but upstairs decision making really needs to improve a lot IMO, thus the acquisition of WR Jennings is just not enough

what's he seeing w/TEN QB Locker? Locker of all starting QBs, has accuracy issues and it hasn't changed since his college days, maybe if they really run the ball more like on two downs every series, then perhaps an improvement statistically might be seen, but I still think he'll have accuracy/timing issues w/WR's

For the most part QB's make the WR's, there are a few instances when the WR's make the QB in the NFL.
The slot WR is really light regarded by many football analysts, but I view these goto/possession WR as the QB's best friend when needed.

That's why for MIA to let go WR Bess will be a minus for MIA and a plus for CLE. WR Welker is a loss for NE and a gain for DEN. WR Amendola is a loss for STL and a gain for NE, though I don't believe Amendola is as big a gain as Bess or Welker. In this vein of thought, WR Bolden is a loss for BAL and a gain for SF. These are the good hands people the WR's I'd count on most in crunch time, not the down the field guy or any flashy player, yes the spectacular play is great to see, but I want a guy you can count on when the chips are down and you really need that first down, 'cause w/o those first downs, you'll never get to a TD consistently.

I also think of an ol' retread QB that may have a good year. ARI QB Palmer to WR Fitzgerald appears to be magic in the waiting w/WR's Roberts and Floyd on the other end of hopefully many catches. My only concern is their OL, if they improve ARI should do well, if not, QB Palmer may get knocked out of a game early and often.

KC QB Smith should also do well, though that first month maybe a bit rough playing the NFC East (DAL, PHI, NYG), but if they can win one or even two games they'll be setup rather well going into their bye in week 9 w/HOU being the only team that can out right thrash them. Coming off their bye week, they'll play DEN twice in three weeks, really rough with only WAS and perhaps IND posing any type of a challenge.

Young QB's Wilson, Kaepernick and Griffin all have a great supporting cast, thus you'd think they would do just as well this year, but I'm thinking only Wilson may actually have improvement. Who will Kaepernick throw to? And until I see Griffin back on the field, you can't count on his whole ability for at least a few games as I'm estimating he won't have a preseason to sharpen his skills.

I'll take a wait and see approach w/QB's Newton (new OC), QB Cutler (new HC/OC), and QB Romo (new OC).