2014 - week 09 - TNF - picks

not really into this game.... since it's on NFL Network I can't watch it live... sigh...

10/30 8:25 PM
301 NO -3 under
302 CAR 49½ *

no real reason as to why, I take the home team and the under.

2014 - week 08 - results

Ouch!, really sucked ATS going 4-11, I was above .500 for totals, but this is making it tough to get above .500 ATS.

2014 - week 08 - results

2014 - week 08 - the rest of the weekend picks

Generally teams that lose their Center, tend to lose their next game and SEA and CLE held true to form, only SD did not follow suit this season...  did any else notice that ATL has lost their Center?


Going into Bye week (GiB) = ATL BUF CHI DET GB TEN
Coming off Bye week (CoB) = PHI TB

10/25 update watching SEA @STL week 07, you notice that STL O can run on SEA D. Maybe STL is playing way UP for the SB champs, but if not, then STL has turned the corner and SEA has too many injuries to overcome.
Changing pick STL @KC from KC/Over to STL/Over

10/26 9:30 AM
251 DET -4 ***
252 ATL 46½ UNDER

DET GiB
ATL C Konz IR OFY
ATL free fall, injuries...



10/26 1:00 PM
253 MIN 42 *
254 TB -3 UNDER

TB CoB
TB ST??
conservative O's?
edge MIN D



10/26 1:00 PM
255 CHI 50 *over*
256 NE -6 *

CHI GiB
CHI turmoil?
NE injuries?
NE plays well at home, will they cover?



10/26 1:00 PM
257 STL 43½ *
258 KC -7 *over

KC returns for a home game, the fans will be UP as it's been 3 weeks between games. Both teams coming off impressive wins, KC @SD, SEA @STL
10/25 changed pick from KC/Over to STL/Over


10/26 1:00 PM
259 SEA -5 *
260 CAR 44½ ***OVER***

SEA D has given up 28,30,17,20,30 L5G
CAR D has given up 38,37,24,38,37 L5G
I'm thinking SEA w/2 consecutive losses will be more focused



10/26 1:00 PM
261 BUF 40½ *UNDER*
262 NYJ -3 *

BUF GiB
BUF RB's Jackson and Spiller OUT
two run teams??? or just BUF?



10/26 1:00 PM
263 MIA -6 UNDER
264 JAC 43 *

MIA can't get a good ID on them, they've surprised with their G1 win over NE and not much else. MIA should win, but I suspect TO's will keep this game closer.
JAC has been steadily progressing over the past 7 games and finally getting a win last week. Has JAC crested? reached their plateau? or is their more?



10/26 1:00 PM
265 HOU -2 *
266 TEN 42½ UNDER

TEN GiB
TEN QB Mettenberger starts (rookie)
Mentally for TEN, since this game will mark the halfway point of the season, I don't see this as a good sign, more of a we gotta see what we have with our rookie QB



10/26 1:00 PM
267 BAL 45½ ****
268 CIN -1½ under

CIN O-n-D inj's
BAL should split their series as CIN Won the first game...



10/26 4:05 PM
269 PHI 48 *
270 ARI -2½ ***OVER***

PHI CoB
ARI has a talented 2ndary, PHI should run the ball more. But this game appears to be in the 12-13 possession realm for each team. If it each team scores on 4 possessions (roughly 1/3) this should go easily over the total



10/26 4:25 PM
271 IND -3 ***
272 PIT 48½ *OVER*

PIT has to play keep away from IND to win, which I don't think they can do



10/26 4:25 PM
273 OAK 44 *****
274 CLE -7 under

OAK OLB Woodley IR OFY
OAK appears to be progressing and I think CLE is regressing due to injuries...



10/26 8:30 PM
275 GB 55½ *****
276 NO -1½ *OVER*

GB GiB
NO better than NFL average, but GB is nearing elite range. NO w/2 wins is better than many 3 and 4 wins teams, it's just running into a buzzsaw w/GB



10/27 8:30 PM
277 WAS 50 under
278 DAL -9 *****

unless WAS QB McCoy brings alot more consistency to their O, this game should be a blowout even if it's a division rivalry game

2014 - week 08 - TNF - picks

I've been busy, but looks like I'll be able to post prior to game...
I'm going against the OVER trend and even though this is a division rivalry game, I'm giving up the points...

10/23 8:25 PM
103 SD 51½ *UNDER*
104 DEN -8 *

SD appears to be beat up

2014 - week 07 - results

The favorite/over trend for TNF ended this week, with NYJ run O having their way for the most part until they got inside of the 20. Call NYJ a 20's team...

OK results, but I could've been better, well at least I'm over .500 ATS and Totals...

2014 - week 07 - results

2014 - week 07 - the rest of the weekend picks

10/18 update changed pick from JAC/Under to CLE/Over

10/19 1:00 PM
451 CIN 49½ OVER
452 IND -3 **



10/19 1:00 PM
453 TEN 45½ OVER
454 WAS -5½ *

WAS QB Griffin returns



10/19 1:00 PM
455 MIA 48 under
456 CHI -3 *



10/19 1:00 PM
457 CLE -5 **
458 JAC 45 *over*

changed pick from JAC/Under to CLE/Over



10/19 1:00 PM
459 SEA -7 *
460 STL 43½ UNDER



10/19 1:00 PM
461 CAR 49 *
462 GB -7 **OVER**



10/19 1:00 PM
463 ATL 49½ UNDER
464 BAL -7 ***



10/19 1:00 PM
465 MIN 42½ ***UNDER***
466 BUF -5½ *



10/19 1:00 PM
467 NO 48½ *
468 DET -3 *UNDER*



10/19 4:05 PM
469 KC 44½ OVER
470 SD -4 ***



10/19 4:25 PM
471 NYG 48 UNDER
472 DAL -6 ****



10/19 4:25 PM
473 ARI -3½ *
474 OAK 44½ OVER



10/19 8:30 PM
475 SF 50½ OVER
476 DEN -6½ *



10/20 8:30 PM
477 HOU 44½ *
478 PIT -3½ over

2014 - week 07 - TNF - picks

So why not stick with the Favorite/Over combo trend???

10/16 8:25 PM
303 NYJ 44½ OVER
304 NE -9½ **

?RAIN?