2013 - week 07 - picks

NFC East 2-12 SU vs non-division opponents

TEAMS w/10 days rest 7-3 ATS/SU W(BAL,DEN,NYJ,NE,KC,SF,STL) L[PHI,BUF,CLE]
this week NYG CHI

Teams Going into Bye (GiB) CHI, HOU, SD, TEN
Teams Going into Bye 3-7 ATS/SU W(CAR,MIN,WAS) L[GB,PIT,TB,MIA,ATL,NO,OAK]

Teams Coming Off Bye (CoB) ATL, MIA
Teams Coming Off Bye 2-4 ATS/SU W(GB,PIT) L (CAR,MIN,WAS,TB)

10/20 1:00 PM
397 NE -4 under
398 NYJ 43½ **

NE LB Mayo OUT -key- player, team leader, D communicator
another FG game?
I expect NYJ to run the ball more and play keep away from NE Brady and Co.



10/20 1:00 PM
399 SD -7½ ***
400 JAC 45 UNDER

GiB SD



10/20 4:25 PM
401 HOU 40½ UNDER
402 KC -6½ ***

GiB HOU



10/20 1:00 PM
403 CIN 47½ *
404 DET -3 UNDER

I don't think DET can just use WR Johnson as a decoy and expect to win



10/20 1:00 PM
405 BUF 42 *
406 MIA -8½ *OVER*

BUF QB Lewis 2nd start (preseason game 2)
CoB MIA
+8pts is a lot when both teams have a D and BUF likes to run
This season between both teams:
only one game has ended w/a total less than 43pts
MIA D not as good as last season
BUF D appears to be a step up from last season



10/20 1:00 PM
407 CHI 50½ *
408 WAS -1½ over

GiB CHI
10 Day rest CHI
WAS STx2 IR OFY
WAS LS 2nd yr



10/20 1:00 PM
409 DAL 56½ ***
410 PHI -3 OVER

PHI QB Foles 2nd start (preseason game 2)



10/20 1:00 PM
411 STL 42 *
412 CAR -6 *UNDER

CAR big expectations after another blowout win
"fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, ..."



10/20 1:00 PM
413 TB 42½ ovER?
414 ATL -7 **

TB QB Glennon 3rd start (preseason game 3)
CoB ATL



10/20 4:05 PM
415 SF -4 *
416 TEN 39½ ***UNDER***

TEN QB Fitzpatrick 3rd start (preseason game 3)
GiB TEN
*** stellar D's ***
TEN O in dink/dunk mode, QB Fitzpatrick inaccurate
I'm wondering if SF will cover
TEN O limit TOs and this game will be close
10/17 update: TEN new C starts

10/17 update: TEN new MLB starts
10/17 update: changed pick from TEN/U to SF/U


10/20 4:25 PM
417 CLE 46 under
418 GB -10 *

GB 3/4 of LB's 'new'



10/20 4:25 PM
419 BAL 40½ under
420 PIT -1½ *

bitter rivals, PIT needs win more



10/20 8:30 PM
421 DEN -6½ ***UNDER***
422 IND 56½ *

DEN DE Von Miller returns
DEN RT?



10/21 8:40 PM
423 MIN 47 *
424 NYG -3 *OVER*

MIN QB Freeman starts
11 Day rest NYG
So much for MIN early bye, total seems to be easier to predict
both teams have given up at least 27pts each game this season.
If you can guess who'll win the first half, then you'll win the game
I'm thinking MIN D will win TO battle