Thursday, December 11, 2008

NFL 08 - week 15 - picks

12/11 8:15 PM
301 NO 45 *
302 CHI -3 UNDER
NFL Network

NO 4-0 ATS last 4
CHI FAV 5-0 ATS last 5


12/14 1:00 PM
303 GB -2.5 ****
304 JAC 45 UNDER
JAC-WR-Jones-Out (susp), RB-Taylor-OUT

get well game for GB? JAC has lost last 4 games by 10,18,13,13


12/14 1:00 PM
305 DET 45 *
306 IND -17 OVER
DET-QBs-Culpepper-Doubtful, Orlovsky-Probable (expected to start), Stanton-Probable (will start if other two QB''s unable to play)
IND-RB-Addai-Probable

Tough game to call, IND can win by 4 scores, but I expect them to play softer w/this game and DET woefulness, a "letdown" game
DET since bye wk, 4-0 ATS on the road


12/14 1:00 PM
307 WAS -7 UNDER
308 CIN 36½ *
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable, OT-Samuels-Out

get well game for WAS?
CIN scored 10,3,3 pts last 3 games, lost by 17,31,32 - appears to have QUIT


12/14 1:00 PM
309 TB 44½ OVER
310 ATL -3 *


12/14 1:00 PM
311 SF 41½ *
312 MIA -6.5 UNDER
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable

DOG 11 gamestreak w/MIA


12/14 1:00 PM
313 SEA -3 **
314 STL 43 *OVER*
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Downgraded to Doubtful, QB-Wallace-Expected to start

STL has scored 16,13,3,16,3,12,10 last 7


12/14 1:00 PM
315 BUF 41 UNDER
316 NYJ -7.5 *****

get well game for NYJ?


12/14 1:00 PM
317 TEN -3 *OVER*
318 HOU 44½ *

rubber game, TEN won by 19 1st game
not likely a split, but at least a win ATS as TEN has clinched playoff spot
TEN ATS 5-0-1 on the road AND playing for homefield advantage...


12/14 4:15 PM
319 PIT 34 *
320 BAL -2 OVER

BAL 7-1 ATS last 8 games, only lost @home to TEN by 3
1st DIV game, PIT won by 3 in OT
most likely split the series 20-21?


12/14 4:15 PM
321 DEN 48 *
322 CAR -7.5 ***OVER***

DEN win/lost margin 2,3,4 vs NFC South
CAR short week due to MNF
CAR D has allowed 22,45,31,23 last 4


12/14 1:00 PM
323 SD -5 **UNDER**
324 KC 45½ *

rubber game, SD won by 1, 1st game
KC 4-1 ATS vs DIV opponents


12/14 4:05 PM
325 MIN 48 **OVER**
326 ARI -3 *
MIN-QB-Frerotte-Doubtful, QB-Jackson-Expected to start
MIN-DE-Allen-Probable; MIN-DTs-Possible Suspensions

ARI letdown? has won DIV crown, can't/won't play for #1 or 2 seed


12/14 4:15 PM
327 NE -7 *
328 OAK 39½ ***UNDER***
NE-QB-Cassell-Questionable (personal/death of father), QB-O'Connell-will start if Casell unable to play
OAK-QB-Russell-Probable

NE ATS 1-1-1 O/U 2-1 vs NFC West
OAK @home scored 14,18,16,0,6,13 if you count only games w/HC Cable (after bye), 7 FG's, 1 TD


12/14 8:15 PM
329 NYG 45 OVER
330 DAL -3 *
NBC
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Questionable
DAL-RB-Barber-Questionable, CB-A. Jones-OUT

DAL FAV has won last 6 in row ATS
NYG 4-1 ATS vs DIV, lost to PHI last wk


12/15 8:35 PM
331 CLE 39 UNDER
332 PHI -14 **
ESPN
CLE-TE-Winslow-Doubtful

CLE scored 6,6,9 pts last 3 games, lost by 10,4,19

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