Tuesday, November 29, 2016

2016 - week 13 - picks

With the news of CAR C Kalil and Gradkowski on IR, taking CAR on the road is iffy...

Hmmmmm?
AFC North loses all their games this week?
NFC East wins all their games this week?

12/01 8:25 PM
301 DAL -3½ ***
302 MIN 44 under

DAL CoTNF
MIN CoTNF


12/04 1:00 PM
351 DEN -5 *
352 JAC 41 under

DEN CoSNF OT



12/04 1:00 PM
353 KC 49½ ***over***
354 ATL -3½ *

KC CoSNF OT
ATL wins vs teams w/winning record



12/04 1:00 PM
355 HOU 45½ **under**
356 GB -6 *

HOU O awful
GB CoMNF


12/04 1:00 PM
357 PHI -1 *
358 CIN 42½ *under*

PHI a little more desperate?
PHI CoMNF



12/04 1:00 PM
359 DET 53½ ***over***
360 NO -6 *

DET CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
361 SF 43½ ***
362 CHI -1½ **under**

CHI inj's continue LB Trevathan OFY
PEER Game



12/04 1:00 PM
363 LA 44½ *
364 NE -13½ *under*

NE will win, will they cover?



12/04 1:00 PM
365 MIA 41 ***
366 BAL -3½ *over*

MIA coming of age?



12/04 4:05 PM
367 BUF 49 over
368 OAK -3 *

PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
369 TB 47½ *
370 SD -4 over

TB impressive past 2 weeks



12/04 4:25 PM
371 WAS 49½ ***
372 ARI -2½ under

WAS CoTNF
PEER Game



12/04 4:25 PM
373 NYG 49½ *
374 PIT -6 over

Will Peytons help give NYG edge?
PIT CoTNF



12/04 8:30 PM
375 CAR 44½ *
376 SEA -7 ***UNDER***

CAR rookie C Larsen starts (1st)



12/05 8:30 PM
377 IND -1½ ***
378 NYJ 49½ **over**

Expecting IND QB Luck to start and dominate
PEER Game



Monday, November 28, 2016

2016 - week 12 - results

oddity? the last 7 games of the week were won by the 'dogs, the first 9 games were 7-1-1 (fav-dog-push)


week 12 results:
ok - ATS: 8-7-1
awful - Totals: 5-11


for the season:
ATS: 89-82-5
Totals: 89-84-3

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

2016 - week 12 - picks

Weather pick: UNDER 39 KC @DEN
winds via: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/WINDcast.aspx?region=den
(you'll need to review the appropiate time as it's been moved to SNF [8:30pm EST])
also note it's 'windcast' by region and in this case MST (Mountain Standard Time)
It appears the winds will die down a bit as the game goes on, so a 1st half bet on the UNDER 20 or 19.5
either 1271 or 1272 will do...

There's also wind for TEN @CHI, JAC @BUF, CIN @BAL among the early games, but it's not enough for me to call them weather picks


Turkey day is coming up with 3 games...
If IND QB Luck plays I'll changed my pick from PIT/Under to IND/Over
If IND QB Luck remains in concussion protocol - no change...



CoB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD
11/24 12:30 PM
107 MIN 43 *
108 DET -2½ over

wk9 DET won 22-16 @MIN



11/24 4:30 PM
109 WAS 51 *
110 DAL -7 over

week2 DAL won 27-23 @WAS



11/24 8:30 PM
111 PIT -9 *
112 IND 50½ **UNDER**

IND QB Luck OUT?
IND QB Tolzien starts?



11/27 1:00 PM
251 SD 45 over
252 HOU -1 *

SD CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
253 TEN -3½ *****
254 CHI 43½ under

CHI QB Cutler OUT
CHI QB Barkley starts
CHI numerous injs + 2 susp'd



11/27 1:00 PM
255 JAC 45½ *
256 BUF -7 under

BUF WR Woods OUT



11/27 1:00 PM
257 CIN 41½ *UNDER*
258 BAL -4½ ***

where will CIN O come from?


11/27 1:00 PM
259 ARI 50½ over
260 ATL -4 *

ARI turnover prone
ATL CoB



11/27 1:00 PM
261 SF 45½ under
262 MIA -7½ *




11/27 1:00 PM
263 LA 46 under
264 NO -7 ***



11/27 1:00 PM
265 NYG -7 over
266 CLE 44½ *

CLE QB McCown starts



11/27 4:05 PM
267 SEA -5½ *
268 TB 44½ **over**

SEA FS Thomas OUT
SEA CB Shead OUT



11/27 4:25 PM
269 CAR 50 *
270 OAK -4½ under



11/27 8:30 PM
271 KC 39½ *
272 DEN -3½ ***Under***

DEN CoB



11/27 4:25 PM
273 NE -8 *
274 NYJ 47 *over*


NYJ CoB



11/28 8:30 PM
275 GB 48 under
276 PHI -3½ *

PHI nicked up RBx2 RT



2016 - week 11 - results

This week - just above .500 ATS and for Totals as well


week 11 results:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 8-6

for the season:
ATS: 81-75-4
Totals: 84-73-3

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

2016 - week 11 - picks

Changed pick from TB/Over to KC/Under
Changed pick from CLE/Over to CLE/Under (looks like snow?)
Changed pick from WAS/Over to WAS/Under (looks like snow?)

CoB:
BUF DET IND OAK



11/17 8:25 PM
309 NO 52 *under*
310 CAR -3½ *

I'm unsure if CAR will cover the spread...
But since I do believe in the series season split...
CAR will get the win SU and I think the cover...
note: if I were to take NO I would combine w/OVER the total


11/20 1:00 PM
451 TEN 53½ *
452 IND -3 over

IND won 34-26 @TEN



11/20 1:00 PM
453 JAC 47 over
454 DET -6½ *

with the rest of the NFC North 'hurting' (CHI GB MIN)
this looks like a chance for DET to ascend to #1



11/20 1:00 PM
455 TB 44½ *under*
456 KC -7 **

TB C?



11/20 1:00 PM
457 CHI 43½ under
458 NYG -7 ****

CHI WR Jefferies susp'd G11-14
CHI injuries... (RG, RT)
NYG CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
459 ARI 40½ *
460 MIN -2 **under**

MIN LT Long OFY
MIN D nicked up



11/20 1:00 PM
461 BUF 47 *
462 CIN -2½ under

CIN CoMNF



11/20 1:00 PM
463 BAL 45 over
464 DAL -7 *

BAL CoTNF
BAL RG Yanda returns


11/20 1:00 PM
465 PIT -8 *under*
466 CLE 45 *

PIT disarray?
CLE CoTNF



11/20 4:05 PM
467 MIA -2½ **
468 LA 40 under

MIA LT Albert OUT
MIA C Pouncey OUT?
LA QB Goff starts (1st)



11/20 4:25 PM
469 NE -12 over
470 SF 51½ *



11/20 4:25 PM
471 PHI 43 under
472 SEA -6½ *

PHI much better @home



11/20 8:30 PM
473 GB 49½ **under**
474 WAS -3 ***

GB fading fast...
GB numerous inj's...
GB RG Lang OUT?
GB RB Michael starts?
WAS LS Sundberg OUT



11/21 8:30 PM
475 HOU 46½ over
476 OAK -6 ***

OAK still rising

2016 - week 10 - results

Just a little better than last week....


week 10:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 10-4


for the season:
ATS: 73-70-4
Totals: 76-68-3

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

2016 - week 10 - picks

I may change a few picks later on this week, watching for injury updates...
10NOV - changed pick from CAR/Under to KC/Under (QB Smith, RB Ware and LB Houston return)



CoB:
ARI CHI CIN HOU NE WAS

GiB:
ATL DEN NYJ SD





11/10 8:25 PM
109 CLE 45 *
110 BAL -10 under

11/13 1:00 PM
251 HOU -1½ *
252 JAC 43 under

11/13 1:00 PM
253 KC 44 *
254 CAR -3 ***UNDER***

11/13 1:00 PM
255 DEN 49½ under
256 NO -1½ ***

11/13 1:00 PM
257 LA 39½ *
258 NYJ -2 under

11/13 1:00 PM
259 ATL 50½ *
260 PHI -1 over

11/13 1:00 PM
261 MIN 42 under
262 WAS -2½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
263 GB -2½ ***OVER***
264 TEN 49½ *

11/13 1:00 PM
265 CHI -1½ ***
266 TB 45 over

11/13 4:05 PM
267 MIA 49 *
268 SD -3½ **OVER**

11/13 4:25 PM
269 SF 48½ *
270 ARI -13½ under

11/13 4:25 PM
271 DAL 50½ *
272 PIT -2½ over

11/13 8:30 PM
273 SEA 48½ over
274 NE -7½ ***

11/14 8:30 PM
275 CIN 47 over
276 NYG -2½ *