Thursday, July 09, 2009
Train'g Camps
Here's a list of all the training camps and their dates. Profootballweekly.com has also revamped their site. Sue Nemitz was kind enough to provide a direct link to their rss feeds, my only comment is I wish they would put the ProFootballWeekly tag on the rss so that it appears on my list of rss feeds instead of "News top stories" and their logo would be nice as well.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
National Football Post
They've changed their site, new look and I was just getting to like their "old" look, but I guess things change and I notice that they have twitter and facebook links on the front page as well.
Still highly informative, I wonder if they could post numbers like I saw on NFL network of "$$ spent per win" worst was OAK, DET, among the best was DEN, but w/a change of regime I think they'll fall in the rankings
Still highly informative, I wonder if they could post numbers like I saw on NFL network of "$$ spent per win" worst was OAK, DET, among the best was DEN, but w/a change of regime I think they'll fall in the rankings
Gambler's Book Shop
Here in 'vegas, the venerable Gambler's Book Shop has moved to 1550 E Tropicana #4, 89119
It's on the north side of Tropicana, if you're coming from the west (I-15/strip properties), you can make a U-turn @Spencer (Liberace Museum will be on your right), head back on Tropicana and turn in (right) at Casey's Cameras sign.
I picked up Phil Steele '09 College Football Preview (BTW Phil's site has gotten larger w/much more relevant info and angles for the informed bettor) and will go back for Andy Iskoe info.
Take a look at this Las Vegas Sun article on early NFL action from 6/23 this could cure the itch or just make you want to scratch.
It would be nice to compare early numbers to the game day numbers that are posted, yet sadly the Hilton will not post numbers on their web site. You can go to donbest.com or vegasinsider.com (they have numbers for all the major local casinos, see page 2 for more) for current odds.
81 days 'til regular season starts, 45 days to Hall of Fame game and preseason action!
It's on the north side of Tropicana, if you're coming from the west (I-15/strip properties), you can make a U-turn @Spencer (Liberace Museum will be on your right), head back on Tropicana and turn in (right) at Casey's Cameras sign.
I picked up Phil Steele '09 College Football Preview (BTW Phil's site has gotten larger w/much more relevant info and angles for the informed bettor) and will go back for Andy Iskoe info.
Take a look at this Las Vegas Sun article on early NFL action from 6/23 this could cure the itch or just make you want to scratch.
It would be nice to compare early numbers to the game day numbers that are posted, yet sadly the Hilton will not post numbers on their web site. You can go to donbest.com or vegasinsider.com (they have numbers for all the major local casinos, see page 2 for more) for current odds.
81 days 'til regular season starts, 45 days to Hall of Fame game and preseason action!
Monday, February 09, 2009
Super Bowl XLIII - results
so I got the big one perfect, but I didn't do so well on prop bets. I had actually marked winners on the prop sheet, but alas I didn't follow my first instincts and on game morning I went in placed bets on losers.... sigh. I had actually pick a range of bets for exact score w/'zona & pitt, but I didn't follow the plan and I ended up a bit down for the playoffs.
Next year, I need to remember to stick to the plan, what's the plan? follow instinct...
I missed the All-Pro game due to work, and I noticed the total was 51 which seems high 'til I checked the O/U total line @donbest.com which shows a total of 66 and NFC -3, side seem'd right, but 66? seems like a college game total....
Next year, I need to remember to stick to the plan, what's the plan? follow instinct...
I missed the All-Pro game due to work, and I noticed the total was 51 which seems high 'til I checked the O/U total line @donbest.com which shows a total of 66 and NFC -3, side seem'd right, but 66? seems like a college game total....
Friday, January 30, 2009
Super Bowl XLIII - picks
02/01 6:20 PM
101 PIT -7 OVER
102 ARI 46½ *****
SUPER BOWL XLIII [NBC] @Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
I'm going w/Pittsburgh West, that's right ARIZONA, getting pts appears to be the thing to do and over the total really goes along w/what ARI & PIT are doing as far as totals..
I'd try to offer more convincing thoughts, but it just seems to be what should happen, w/ARI in the underdog role and playing it to the hilt...
101 PIT -7 OVER
102 ARI 46½ *****
SUPER BOWL XLIII [NBC] @Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
I'm going w/Pittsburgh West, that's right ARIZONA, getting pts appears to be the thing to do and over the total really goes along w/what ARI & PIT are doing as far as totals..
I'd try to offer more convincing thoughts, but it just seems to be what should happen, w/ARI in the underdog role and playing it to the hilt...
NFL 08 - Conference Championships - results
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PHI @ARI (DO)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BAL @PIT (FO)
for the week:
ATS 0-4 side 0-2 total 0-2
for the playoffs:
ATS 8-12 side 4-6 total 4-6
green picks: 0-fer
what a shamble... I'm 0-fer guess it was bound to happen, when I can't watch football on weekend due to work requirements, this follows my previous pattern of when I miss the weekend games and I'll miss on my picks the following week. Watching highlights and NFL network shorten games still isn't good enough to get a sense of how the game went and if DC/OC/HC or referees make calls or don't make calls that affect the game. But yeah I stunk it up !!!!
notes: PHI had a better average gain per play, but ARI has a better average gain per pass play.Both playoff winners got the TO's and PIT turned their TO's into 10 pts. ARI took a missed FG and struck for a TD w/good field position.
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BAL @PIT (FO)
for the week:
ATS 0-4 side 0-2 total 0-2
for the playoffs:
ATS 8-12 side 4-6 total 4-6
green picks: 0-fer
what a shamble... I'm 0-fer guess it was bound to happen, when I can't watch football on weekend due to work requirements, this follows my previous pattern of when I miss the weekend games and I'll miss on my picks the following week. Watching highlights and NFL network shorten games still isn't good enough to get a sense of how the game went and if DC/OC/HC or referees make calls or don't make calls that affect the game. But yeah I stunk it up !!!!
notes: PHI had a better average gain per play, but ARI has a better average gain per pass play.Both playoff winners got the TO's and PIT turned their TO's into 10 pts. ARI took a missed FG and struck for a TD w/good field position.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
NFL 08 - conference championships - picks
01/18 3:00 PM
313 PHI -3.5 *****
314 ARI 47½ UNDER
NFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (FOX)
I have a hard time reading ARI O & D or maybe I just don't believe what I'm seeing...PHI D is on par w/PIT D, but not quite BAL D
PHI O except for a blip @WAS has been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 38-67%
ARI O except for blips @NE, & vs MIN, has also been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 31-67%. The difference is PHI D has allowed scoring at no greater than 25%, while ARI has allowed 15% this last game which is really good, but this season each time their D has allowed <20%
scoring, the following game is between 33-45% so this doesn't bode well for ARI D
I expect PHI D to play very well again, keep PHI in the game and their O to solve the riddle sometime in the late 2nd Q or mid 3rd Q. Everything rides on ARI QB Warner if he plays well,
they stay close (and the over) if not, then we could see a blow out....
01/18 6:30 PM
315 BAL 33½ *****
316 PIT -6 UNDER
AFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (CBS)
This should be a close game so taking the pts will win ATS.
I watched MLB Ray Lewis talk about the injustice of a called TD while @home vs PIT, when the receiver had feet in the TD zone, but the ball had not crossed the plane. BAL will be playing not to let the ref's decide the game and should be ferocious on D and O.
PIT D scoring efficiency is not quite as good as BAL D in the past 7 weeks.
PIT O scoring efficiency has been much better than BAL O, but PIT this year, has not been able to keep up these scoring outbursts and so I suspect that w/BAL conservative O that this game will be an UNDER game and pts will be at a premium.
313 PHI -3.5 *****
314 ARI 47½ UNDER
NFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (FOX)
I have a hard time reading ARI O & D or maybe I just don't believe what I'm seeing...PHI D is on par w/PIT D, but not quite BAL D
PHI O except for a blip @WAS has been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 38-67%
ARI O except for blips @NE, & vs MIN, has also been playing exceptional, scoring at a clip of 31-67%. The difference is PHI D has allowed scoring at no greater than 25%, while ARI has allowed 15% this last game which is really good, but this season each time their D has allowed <20%
scoring, the following game is between 33-45% so this doesn't bode well for ARI D
I expect PHI D to play very well again, keep PHI in the game and their O to solve the riddle sometime in the late 2nd Q or mid 3rd Q. Everything rides on ARI QB Warner if he plays well,
they stay close (and the over) if not, then we could see a blow out....
01/18 6:30 PM
315 BAL 33½ *****
316 PIT -6 UNDER
AFC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP (CBS)
This should be a close game so taking the pts will win ATS.
I watched MLB Ray Lewis talk about the injustice of a called TD while @home vs PIT, when the receiver had feet in the TD zone, but the ball had not crossed the plane. BAL will be playing not to let the ref's decide the game and should be ferocious on D and O.
PIT D scoring efficiency is not quite as good as BAL D in the past 7 weeks.
PIT O scoring efficiency has been much better than BAL O, but PIT this year, has not been able to keep up these scoring outbursts and so I suspect that w/BAL conservative O that this game will be an UNDER game and pts will be at a premium.
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