Wednesday, November 26, 2008

NFL 08 - week 13 - picks

11/27 12:30 PM
305 TEN -11 UNDER
306 DET 44 *CBS

11/27 4:15 PM
307 SEA 46½ over
308 DAL -12.5 *
FOX

11/27 8:15 PM
309 ARI 46½ *
310 PHI -3 under
NFL Network
PHI-QB-McNabb-Probable (expected to start),
RB-Westbrook-Upgraded to Probable, RB-Buckhalter-Questionable

11/30 4:15 PM
389 DEN 47½ **OVER**
390 NYJ -7.5 *

11/30 1:00 PM
391 SF 42½ UNDER
392 BUF -6.5 *

11/30 1:00 PM
393 NO 47½ *
394 TB -3.5 OVER
NO-RB-Bush-Questionable

11/30 1:00 PM
395 CAR 43 *
396 GB -3 UNDER

11/30 1:00 PM
397 NYG -3.5 *
398 WAS 42 OVER
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Probable; WR-Burress-Questionable
WAS-RB-Portis-Probable

11/30 1:00 PM
399 MIA -8 *
400 STL 44 OVER
STL-QB-Bulger-Probable, RB-Jackson-Questionable, OT-Pace-Questionable

11/30 1:00 PM
401 BAL -7 *
402 CIN 36½ under
CIN-WR-Johnson-Probable

11/30 1:00 PM
403 IND -5 OVER
404 CLE 45 *
CLE-QB-Anderson-Expected to start

11/30 4:05 PM
405 ATL 49 *
406 SD -5 OVER

11/30 4:15 PM
407 PIT 40 *
408 NE -1 UNDER
PIT-RB-Parker-Questionable
NE-RB-Morris-Questionable

11/30 4:15 PM
409 KC 41½ UNDER
410 OAK -3 *

11/30 8:15 PM
411 CHI 42 OVER
412 MIN -3 *
NBC
CHI-TE-Clark-Questionable

12/01 8:35 PM
413 JAC 48½ UNDER
414 HOU -3 *
ESPN

Monday, November 24, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - results

ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 BUF @KC (FO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NE @MIA (DO)
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 WAS @SEA (DU)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 19-13 side 8-8 total 11-5
for the year:
ATS 187-156-7 side 92-79-4 total 95-77-3

BUF just exploded for pts, KC D will always allow the over- regardless of weather and I still have yet to get a hold of KC...

MIA just didn't have enough in 2nd half, again NE surprised me (2 wks in row)

and that 1/2 pt got me w/WAS @SEA

DET maybe a first half team to bet on, since they're starting strong

PHI w/benching of QB McNabb is searching for their identity.....

road team ATS streak was broken w/CIN @PIT, but re-emerged w/IND @SD
sigh... I was think'n streak would be broken w/IND @SD....

Saturday, November 22, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - weekend

I haven't put in much thought, this weekend, way too many distractions...

11/23 1:00 PM
195 HOU 49½ *
196 CLE -3 under
Possible inclement weather
CLE-TE-Winslow-Questionable, QB-Quinn-Questionable

11/23 1:00 PM
197 BUF -3 under
198 KC 43½ *
Possible inclement weather
BUF-WR-Reed-Probable
KC-TE-Gonzalez-Probable

11/23 1:00 PM
199 NYJ 40½ *
200 TEN -5.5 OVER

11/23 1:00 PM
201 NE 42 UNDER
202 MIA -1 *

11/23 1:00 PM
203 SF 46½ UNDER
204 DAL -10 *
DAL-QB-Romo-Probable; RB-F.Jones-OUT for season

There is the T.O. factor in this game as SF was one his former teams

11/23 1:00 PM
205 TB -8.5 OVER
206 DET 41½ *
TB-RB-Graham-OUT
DET-WR-Furrey-Questionable

11/23 1:00 PM
207 PHI 39 OVER
208 BAL -1 *
PHI-RB-Westbrook-Downgraded to Questionable

PHI w/o RB Westbrook is historically not good ATS

11/23 1:00 PM
209 CHI -8 *
210 STL 43 UNDER
STL-RB-Jackson-OUT, OT-Pace-OUT for year

maybe this should be an OVER game, due to ineffectiveness of CHI, but I think they'll rise for this occasion

11/23 1:00 PM
211 MIN 40½ *
212 JAC -2 UNDER

11/23 4:15 PM
213 CAR 42½ OVER
214 ATL -1 *
ATL-WR-White-Probable

11/23 4:05 PM
215 OAK 42½ *
216 DEN -9 UNDER
Possible Inclement weather

11/23 4:15 PM
217 WAS -3.5 *
218 SEA 40½ OVER

11/23 4:15 PM
219 NYG -3.5 OVER
220 ARI 48½ **
NYG-RB-Jacobs-Upgraded to Probable

11/23 8:15 PM
221 IND 49½ UNDER*
222 SD -3 *
NBC
IND-S-Sanders-Questionable

11/24 8:35 PM
225 GB 51½ ***
226 NO -2.5 OVER
ESPN
NO-RB-Bush-Questionable; RB-McAllister-Possible Suspension

Thursday, November 20, 2008

NFL 08 - week 12 - Thursday night

11/20 8:15 PM
105 CIN 34½ *
106 PIT -11 over
NFL Network
Possible inclement weather
CIN-WR-C. Johnson-OUT (suspended)

maybe I should take PIT and under, but road team has been winning ATS the last 3 weeks for night games

Monday, November 17, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - results

ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 NYJ @NE (DO)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DEN @ATL (DU)
ATS 1-1 side 0-1 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 CHI @GB (FU)
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 PHI @CIN (DU)
ATS 0-1-1 side 0-1 total 0-0-1
ATS 0-2 side 0-1 total 0-1 DET @CAR (DO)
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 1-1 side 1-0 total 0-1
ATS 2-0 side 1-0 total 1-0

for the week:
ATS 15-16-1 side 9-7 total 6-9-1

for the year:
ATS 168-143-7 side 84-71-4 total 84-72-3

green picks 2-1, hmmm should've picked under for SD @PIT due to weather and play style

weakness in my thoughts:
DET has me bamboozled for past 2 weeks
PHI 2 of past 3 weeks I can't tell
KC 2 of past 3 weeks I can't tell
NYJ 2 of past 4 weeks still not sure

though I had five 2-0 picks I also had five 0-2 picks... :-(

funny if you noticed the road team has been winning ATS Thursday, Sunday & Monday night games lately for the past two weeks - TREND???

Friday, November 14, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - weekend

11/16 1:00 PM
401 DEN 51 *OVER*
402 ATL -6 *
DEN-RB-Young-Doubtful, RB''s-Torain,
Pittman, Hall-All OUT

11/16 1:00 PM
403 OAK 38½ **UNDER**
404 MIA -10.5 *
OAK-QB''s-Russell-Upgraded to Probable,
Walter-Questionable,
RB-McFadden-Questionable

11/16 1:00 PM
405 BAL 41 under
406 NYG -7 *

11/16 1:00 PM
407 HOU 50½ *
408 IND -7.5 *OVER*

11/16 1:00 PM
409 TEN -3 ****
410 JAC 39½ under
JAC-WR-M. Jones-Questionable

11/16 1:00 PM
411 CHI 43 *
412 GB -3.5 over
CHI-QB-Orton-Probable

11/16 1:00 PM
413 PHI -9 *
414 CIN 41 over

QUOTED-Michael Lombardi notes:
Bill Simmons of ESPN is right in his critique of the Eagles. “The one team I definitively have figured out for gambling purposes: Take the Eagles over every bad team, home or away, no matter the spread; go against them any time they’re facing a good team. Got it? Got it. Poor coaching, a crappy short-yardage game and a tendency to give up big plays will bite you in the
bizzum every time”.

11/16 1:00 PM
415 NO -5.5 over
416 KC 50 *
NO-RB-Bush-Out
KC-RB-Johnson-Probable

11/16 1:00 PM
417 DET 40 *under*
418 CAR -14 *

11/16 1:00 PM
419 MIN 38½ under
420 TB -4 *
TB-RB-Graham-Probable, RB-C.
Williams-Activated (questionable to play)

11/16 4:05 PM
421 STL 43½ UNDER
422 SF -6.5 *STL-RB-Jackson-Downgraded to OUT
SF-RB-Gore-Probable, WR-Morgan-OUT

11/16 4:05 PM
423 ARI -3 *
424 SEA 47½ OVER
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-Probable,
WR-Branch-Questionable,
QB-Wallace-Questionable

11/16 4:15 PM
425 SD 42½ **
426 PIT -5 ***OVER***
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Upgraded to Probable
PIT-RB-Parker-Upgraded to Probable,
TE-Miller-Doubtful

11/16 8:15 PM
427 DAL -1.5 *****
428 WAS 42½ over
NBC
DAL-QB-Romo-Probable, RB-F. Jones-Out
WAS-WR-S. Moss-Probable,
RB-Portis-Downgraded to Doubtful

11/17 8:35 PM
429 CLE 42 ***
430 BUF -5.5 over
ESPN

Thursday, November 13, 2008

NFL 08 - week 11 - Thursday Night

307 NYJ 42 under
308 NE -3 **

NE overall is the more talented team, this is essentially a pick'm vs spread. Not really into this game as I was last wk's game, (but I forgot to post) - I'm thinkin' that NYJ has to have more things fall into place correctly than NE does and will take more chances even though they are on the road. NE D is what I'm really think'n will be the deciding factor.