08/30 7:00 PM
101 BUF 37½ DRx3 cameo appearances, mostly QB T Edwards
102 DET -3 Ox3 same here - I expect to see QB JT O'Sullivan
BUF & under*
08/30 7:30 PM
103 NYG 36 Rx3
104 NE -3½ will work on running game Rx3
NYG* & under
08/30 7:30 PM
105 NYJ 36 O+6
106 PHI -2½ O+6,U+6 note: they'll see each other in week 6
PHI* & under
08/30 7:30 PM
107 WAS 35 outage last wk 2nd,3rd more?WAS+6,Ux3
108 JAC -3½ JAC+6
JAC & under*
08/30 8:00 PM
109 CLE 37
110 CHI -4 Ox3
CHI & over*
08/30 8:00 PM
111 DAL 37 Hx3
112 MIN -2
MIN & under
08/30 8:00 PM
113 GB 37
114 TEN -7 starters into 3rd, open positions RB,MLB,WR#2,secondaryx2 RDx3
TEN** & under
08/30 8:00 PM
115 HOU 37 Hou/ODx3
116 TB -3 opp+6
HOU*** & over
08/30 8:00 PM
117 KC 36½ Ux3
118 STL -3 opp+6
KC-RB-Johnson-expected to play (up to) a few series
STL & over**
08/30 8:00 PM
119 PIT 35 starter 1Q?
120 CAR -4
CAR & under**
08/30 8:00 PM
121 MIA -1
122 NO 38 DRx3
MIA* & under
08/30 9:00 PM
123 ARI 39
124 DEN -4 D needs more work, starters into 3rd?
DEN (RB) Henry Doubtful
DEN & under*
08/30 10:00 PM
125 SF 38½ O+6
126 SD -2½ Ox3
SF (RB) Gore Questionable
SD (RB) Tomlinson Doubtful
SF** and over
08/30 10:00 PM
127 OAK 37½ Hx3
128 SEA -2½
OAK*** & over**
08/31 7:30 PM
143 BAL -3½ power outage last wk starters into 2nd, 3rd more?
144 ATL 34
BAL & under**
08/31 7:30 PM
145 IND 40½
146 CIN -5 DOx3
CIN*** & under
D = dog, F = favorite
U = under, O = over
R = road, H = Home
opp = opponent
+6, -6 = teaser line
x3 = 3 game streak
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Kirwan's Preseason Sacks
I just read this article "Now's the time to get handle on pass protection" and I wish I had read it earlier, I also would like to review this w/week 3 numbers added. It could use another column, interceptions, would be nice to see and perhaps completion rate as well.
time something I could use more of, but I have less and less of as time passes by ....
Using the numbers the article shows, you could expect better games (more wins?) from Houston, Oakland, Atlanta, Detroit this year and I guess I wouldn't get my hopes up for Buffalo, Carolina, Kansas City, Miami, Minnesota, NYG, Pittsburgh, San Diego, San Francisco, Seattle, & Washington.
you know I think I figured it out. Go to nfl.com/stats select By Player Category, choose Passing, then click on Team heading and voila, it's sorted by team w/sacks in the 2nd farthest from the right and Attempts just a couple of columns over from Team.
This makes it really interesting as STL QB Bulger has a rating of 51 and 2nd stringer STL QB Frerotte has a rating of 102.4
other hot backup QB's - BUF T Edwards, CLE B Quinn, GB A Rodgers, JAC D Garrad, MIA J Beck, NYJ K Clemens, SD B Volek, SF T Dilfer, TB B Gradkowski, and TEN K Collins
even worse is MIA T Green rated at 47.9
time something I could use more of, but I have less and less of as time passes by ....
Using the numbers the article shows, you could expect better games (more wins?) from Houston, Oakland, Atlanta, Detroit this year and I guess I wouldn't get my hopes up for Buffalo, Carolina, Kansas City, Miami, Minnesota, NYG, Pittsburgh, San Diego, San Francisco, Seattle, & Washington.
you know I think I figured it out. Go to nfl.com/stats select By Player Category, choose Passing, then click on Team heading and voila, it's sorted by team w/sacks in the 2nd farthest from the right and Attempts just a couple of columns over from Team.
This makes it really interesting as STL QB Bulger has a rating of 51 and 2nd stringer STL QB Frerotte has a rating of 102.4
other hot backup QB's - BUF T Edwards, CLE B Quinn, GB A Rodgers, JAC D Garrad, MIA J Beck, NYJ K Clemens, SD B Volek, SF T Dilfer, TB B Gradkowski, and TEN K Collins
even worse is MIA T Green rated at 47.9
Sunday, August 26, 2007
8/25 results - comments, 8/26 picks
winning plays: How I did:
IND & OVER 1-1, side:no, total:yes
TB & OVER 0-2, side:no, total:no
WAS & UNDER 2-0, side:yes, total:yes ***note*** game ended w/power outage
HOU & OVER 1-1, side:no, total:yes
NYJ & UNDER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
SF & OVER 0-2, side:no, total:no
SEA & OVER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
CLE & UNDER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
SD & OVER 2-0, side:yes, total:yes
***vegas I believed returned money on the BAL/WAS game due to the fact the game was not completed normally due to power outage ***
ATS 9-9 sigh 1/2 correct overall, I was a really mystified w/TB/MIA & SF/CHI game
I should've listened to Brent Crow radio Thursday archive @sportsmemo site, but I missed it and wasn't thinkin' of it.
DYK that the Station Casinos allows 6, 6.5, & 7 pt Teasers? Coast Casinos does as well and already has parlay cards out for Preseason action, which doesn't pay as well as off the board, but will have (depending on line/total movement) better numbers on game days.
HOU O appears to be much better, half of HOU D is good, other half well....,
I think Miami O&D will have problems,
I'm wondering about WAS is Gibbs playing possum or will they stink at the beginning just like last year?
ARI has definitely improved on O though run game could improve,
DAL D at times is too aggressive and can be fooled, O sometimes appears to be predictable or is it me?
DEN appears to have D issues and perhaps O as well, though this could be play calling
SD very good though I thought I noticed that when TE Gates appears to linger about 1/2 second in huddle longer than normal, then the play is going to him. I could be wrong there weren't many closeup to ID players, but @field level I wonder if LB's are paying attention and even if they knew could most LB's stop Gates? D is fine, though safety/CB mental lapses do occur. which accounts for ARI QB Leinart getting long pass play completions over the top.
CLE when will QB Brady start?
289 PHI 36
290 PIT -3
PIT*** and under
PHI 36 @ PIT -3
w/PHI U+6 2-0 O+6 2-0 fav 2-0 home 2-0
w/PIT O/U 0-3, U+6 3-0, opp+6 2-1
should be an under game PIT D allowed 7,13,10 pts, fav to win
*******************************************************
CIN -3.5 @ ATL 38
w/CIN opp+6 3-0 ATS, Over-6 2-0
w/ATL opp+6 1-0-1 ATS, O/U-/+6 1-1
should be an over game CIN D gives up 27pts x 2, ATL to prove something?
IND & OVER 1-1, side:no, total:yes
TB & OVER 0-2, side:no, total:no
WAS & UNDER 2-0, side:yes, total:yes ***note*** game ended w/power outage
HOU & OVER 1-1, side:no, total:yes
NYJ & UNDER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
SF & OVER 0-2, side:no, total:no
SEA & OVER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
CLE & UNDER 1-1, side:yes, total:no
SD & OVER 2-0, side:yes, total:yes
***vegas I believed returned money on the BAL/WAS game due to the fact the game was not completed normally due to power outage ***
ATS 9-9 sigh 1/2 correct overall, I was a really mystified w/TB/MIA & SF/CHI game
I should've listened to Brent Crow radio Thursday archive @sportsmemo site, but I missed it and wasn't thinkin' of it.
DYK that the Station Casinos allows 6, 6.5, & 7 pt Teasers? Coast Casinos does as well and already has parlay cards out for Preseason action, which doesn't pay as well as off the board, but will have (depending on line/total movement) better numbers on game days.
HOU O appears to be much better, half of HOU D is good, other half well....,
I think Miami O&D will have problems,
I'm wondering about WAS is Gibbs playing possum or will they stink at the beginning just like last year?
ARI has definitely improved on O though run game could improve,
DAL D at times is too aggressive and can be fooled, O sometimes appears to be predictable or is it me?
DEN appears to have D issues and perhaps O as well, though this could be play calling
SD very good though I thought I noticed that when TE Gates appears to linger about 1/2 second in huddle longer than normal, then the play is going to him. I could be wrong there weren't many closeup to ID players, but @field level I wonder if LB's are paying attention and even if they knew could most LB's stop Gates? D is fine, though safety/CB mental lapses do occur. which accounts for ARI QB Leinart getting long pass play completions over the top.
CLE when will QB Brady start?
289 PHI 36
290 PIT -3
PIT*** and under
PHI 36 @ PIT -3
w/PHI U+6 2-0 O+6 2-0 fav 2-0 home 2-0
w/PIT O/U 0-3, U+6 3-0, opp+6 2-1
should be an under game PIT D allowed 7,13,10 pts, fav to win
*******************************************************
CIN -3.5 @ ATL 38
w/CIN opp+6 3-0 ATS, Over-6 2-0
w/ATL opp+6 1-0-1 ATS, O/U-/+6 1-1
should be an over game CIN D gives up 27pts x 2, ATL to prove something?
Saturday, August 25, 2007
8/25 picks and comments for 8/24
due to other priorities I was unable to blog my picks for Friday's games. I did watch portions of STL @OAK and TEN @BUF. I believe OAK will be a much better team this year and you could bet on over the total number of wins for the season. STL needs RB S Jackson or they could have been playing much more conservatively, so I'm not sure w/them.
BUF w/o QB Losman or should I say WR L Evans will be in a world of hurt.
TEN is improving despite the loss of veteran players during the off season, though w/their schedule I doubt if they will improve upon their SU W/L record from last year.
8/25 picks
08/25 7:00 PM
271 Det 40 will QB Kitna play?
272 Ind -5
officialy a no pick, DET and Over*
08/25 7:30 PM
273 TB -2 QB Simms to play in 3rd? "clarifying their depth chart"
274 Mia 34 "most vanilla O", 3rd QB Beck "plays well"
Under**** and MIA
08/25 8:00 PM
275 Dal -3 will they blitz or not?
276 Hou 39½ getting better
DAL** & Over
08/25 8:00 PM
277 Bal -3½
278 Was 32 UUU - beat up?
WAS (QB) Campbell Questionable
UNDER**** and WAS
08/25 8:00 PM
279 NYJ -3 QB Clemmens would start on most teams
280 NYG 37
NYG (WR) Burress OUT
NYJ** and over
08/25 8:00 PM
281 SF 37½
282 Chi -6
SF (RB) Gore will not play
CHI* and Under
08/25 9:00 PM
283 Cle 37
284 Den -6 beat up, lotsa inj's
DEN (RB) Henry OUT
DEN and under**** changed my mind CLE and over**
08/25 9:00 PM
285 Min 38
286 Sea -7 QB Hasselbeck starts into 3rd?
SEA and under***
08/25 10:00 PM
287 SD -3
288 Ari 40½ starters to play 1st half?
SD (RB) Tomlinson will not play
SD* and over***
QB Comments
this says it all: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/bucky_brooks/08/23/qb.look/index.html?eref=si_nfl
BUF w/o QB Losman or should I say WR L Evans will be in a world of hurt.
TEN is improving despite the loss of veteran players during the off season, though w/their schedule I doubt if they will improve upon their SU W/L record from last year.
8/25 picks
08/25 7:00 PM
271 Det 40 will QB Kitna play?
272 Ind -5
officialy a no pick, DET and Over*
08/25 7:30 PM
273 TB -2 QB Simms to play in 3rd? "clarifying their depth chart"
274 Mia 34 "most vanilla O", 3rd QB Beck "plays well"
Under**** and MIA
08/25 8:00 PM
275 Dal -3 will they blitz or not?
276 Hou 39½ getting better
DAL** & Over
08/25 8:00 PM
277 Bal -3½
278 Was 32 UUU - beat up?
WAS (QB) Campbell Questionable
UNDER**** and WAS
08/25 8:00 PM
279 NYJ -3 QB Clemmens would start on most teams
280 NYG 37
NYG (WR) Burress OUT
NYJ** and over
08/25 8:00 PM
281 SF 37½
282 Chi -6
SF (RB) Gore will not play
CHI* and Under
08/25 9:00 PM
283 Cle 37
284 Den -6 beat up, lotsa inj's
DEN (RB) Henry OUT
DEN and under**** changed my mind CLE and over**
08/25 9:00 PM
285 Min 38
286 Sea -7 QB Hasselbeck starts into 3rd?
SEA and under***
08/25 10:00 PM
287 SD -3
288 Ari 40½ starters to play 1st half?
SD (RB) Tomlinson will not play
SD* and over***
QB Comments
this says it all: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/bucky_brooks/08/23/qb.look/index.html?eref=si_nfl
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
8/23 pix
08/23 8:00 PM
261 Jac -2½ QB Leftwich plays 1st half, RG Naeole out, OOOver
262 GB 39 health issues, 2nd,3rd qtrs vary combos of players - jobs in the air
FOX
pick JAC and over***
08/23 8:30 PM
263 NO 37½ starters 'til half
264 KC -1½ QB Croyle to start, hmmm game plan?
pick KC** and under
261 Jac -2½ QB Leftwich plays 1st half, RG Naeole out, OOOver
262 GB 39 health issues, 2nd,3rd qtrs vary combos of players - jobs in the air
FOX
pick JAC and over***
08/23 8:30 PM
263 NO 37½ starters 'til half
264 KC -1½ QB Croyle to start, hmmm game plan?
pick KC** and under
Monday, August 20, 2007
8/19-20 results
1-3 ATS
should have known BAL D is so dominant just playing under total should win some $$$
so CHI motivation as loser of SB and using SB champion IND as measuring stick, really could have been CHI key point, despite QB Grossman experiment, QB Griese did play well
for the year 30-28 ATS
should have known BAL D is so dominant just playing under total should win some $$$
so CHI motivation as loser of SB and using SB champion IND as measuring stick, really could have been CHI key point, despite QB Grossman experiment, QB Griese did play well
for the year 30-28 ATS
Saturday, August 18, 2007
8/19 & 8/20
it's really tough to pick against BAL since they are a very deep team, but here it goes.
08/19 8:00 PM
479 NYG 33½
480 Bal -4
NBC
NYG and over
08/20 8:00 PM
481 Chi 35½
482 Ind -2½
ESPN
IND and under
I know, I know, IND has no incentive and CHI wants to show they can play w/SB champs
but I'm experimenting w/leveling record for both games
08/19 8:00 PM
479 NYG 33½
480 Bal -4
NBC
NYG and over
08/20 8:00 PM
481 Chi 35½
482 Ind -2½
ESPN
IND and under
I know, I know, IND has no incentive and CHI wants to show they can play w/SB champs
but I'm experimenting w/leveling record for both games
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)