oops SB XLI

I liked the colt's and the over for the past two weeks, but I forgot to blog the thought. Funny how the rain, timeouts and Coach Dungy killed the total over 48. Props were really interesting, though I must admit I only thought of picking Hester to score the 1st TD ( I picked on TE Dallas Clark ).
The Bear's still have a good team, though they may need to change QB as their nucleus is very good and they are now in year 3 of their 4 year window (some will say year 2). I just thought that they've had a great D that will be just good next year, unless they find a substitute for S Mike Brown.

NO, PHI, and even WAS should be watched next season. I'd have put ARI in the mix, but they changed the coaching staff. I believe DAL and SEA will have down years next season.

My colleague Jimmy had only one loss in the post season (pick'n sides) very very good vs spread.

The AFC is still the best conference and with IND, NE, JAC and CIN should be watched. SD is still another year away. DEN is kinda in between. TEN should get a tougher schedule and may not do as well. NYJ maybe another team to watch, the draft and FA's will tell the tale.

AFC/NFC championship results

ATS WEEKLY post-season
overall 1-3
favored side/total 0-2
best bets 0-1

ATS OVERALL post-season
overall 11-9
favored side/total 5-5
best bets 0-3



whaddayaknow? Jimmy's correct and liked the over as well, though he says the NO@CHI game was much higher than expected

AFC/NFC championships

303 NO 43.5 X
304 CHI -2.5 O

305 NE 48 X
306 IND -3 U


Though I've made my best bet the under for NE@IND I'm not convinced. My colleague Jimmy says to take CHI and IND which is opposite of mine, but he's been right sometimes this year except w/WAS

Division playoff results

ATS WEEKLY post-season
overall 5-3
favored side/total 2-2
best bets 0-1


ATS OVERALL post-season
overall 10-6
favored side/total 5-3
best bets 0-2

Away dog combo won all games

Dogs won outright in AFC, Favorites won, but did not cover in NFC
a money line on my picks would've paid nicely

I picked the AFC perfectly going 2-0 in both games, the NFC had an over when expecting under and as the fav's couldn't cover

Division playoffs

101 IND 41 X
102 BAL -4 U

103 PHI 49 O
104 NO -5 X

105 SEA 37 U
106 CHI -9 X

107 NE 46 X
108 SD -4.5 U

Wildcard results

ATS post-season

overall 5-3
favored side/total 3-1
best bets 0-1


I had tried a parlay card @Cannery and I lost on KC/IND game under 2 ints. I thought maybe KC QB Green might give up 1 int, but IND QB Manning being picked 3x was totally unforseen by me. Sacks were at 5 so that was another loss, but both DAL/SEA & NYJ/NE were under 5 sacks.

Wildcard playoffs

477 KC 51 U
478 IND -7 X
It may be better to take KC ATS, I just expect IND to win SU and cover

479 DAL 47 X
480 SEA -3 U
* hardest game to pick a side as both teams are 1-3 SU in Dec * (perhaps I should pick the under as my favored side/total) But I did notice that SEA has inj's - their nickel back/punt returner is out, CB Trufant is out as well. You might surmize that over the total is a better play. I just think the DAL D will hold down SEA O giving DAL the outright win

483 NYJ 38 X
484 NE -9 O
*** I expect NE to win SU. NYJ has only one loss vs division foes greater than 7 pts ***

485 NYG 46.5 O
486 PHI -6.5 X