game 1, 1-1, CAR @PIT under 33.5 (win, best bet)
game 2, 1-1, NE +3.5
game 3, 2-0 MIA -3 (win, not -43)
game 4, 1-1, BUF +3.5 (win)
game 5, 0-2, JAC @ATL under 36
game 6, 2-0, BAL @WAS under 34 (win)
game 7, 1-1, TB @HOU under 35 (win)
game 8, 1-1, MIN @DAL under 34.5 (win)
game 9, 2-0, CHI +3 (win)
game 10, 2-0, NO @KC under 37 (win)
game 11, 2-0, DEN +3.5 (win)
game 12, 0-2, OAK @SEA under 36.5
ATS
overall 15-9
favored side or total 9-3
best bet 1-0
Thursday, August 31, 2006
Sunday, August 27, 2006
week 1
GM# TEAM spread pick (bold - favored side or total, green - best bet)
101 MIA 34 under
102 PIT pk X
Lines moved alot on news of PIT QB not playing total dropping from 37 and PIT as -5 fav. I know, I know I originally picked MIA, but the more I thought about it the circumstances are set for PIT's D to prove once again it is a dominant force and that MIA's D is aging.
203 DEN -3.5 X
204 STL 46.5 under
3.5? should be 14.5 ....
205 NYJ 36 X
206 TEN -3 under
with so much starting QB ?'s unanswered, TEN lacks unity and a field general. OUT TEN TE E Kinney
207 BUF 41 under
208 NE -9 X
let's see what Jauron and staff can come up with to stop NE, I didn't see or hear a thing yep that's NE w/$$ and nice cap management, they don't need a WR in this game
209 BAL 34.5 under
210 TB -3 X
hard to choose side or total as under 34.5 is likely to occur
211 CIN 45.5 X
212 KC -3 over
straight up upset take the moneyline in this game
213 SEA -6 X
214 DET 45 under
spread should at least be -7.5 for me to stop and think .... nahhhh make it 10.5 OUT - SEA TE J Stevens
215 ATL 40.5 X
216 CAR -6 under
might be the best game of the day, I was really tempted to take ATL +6 as my favored choice, one of the reasons is ATL has an extra player because they have a triple threat kicker for FG's , punts, and KO's. ATL doesn't have to carry a separate punter or FG/KO kicker and that allows another good player (ATL appears to have an extra FB) or consider him a good ST player, which is the often overlooked part of the team, but in this case may give ATL an edge. OUT ATL LB E Hartwell
217 PHI -4 X
218 HOU 37 over
Let's just say PHI is back and HOU is rebuilding, could be a laugher ...
219 NO 37 X
220 CLE -3 under
tough to pick, CLE has a little more exp playing w/each other and NO doesn't have depth, You could take CLE -3 and make a case for the $$ OUT CLE CB D McCutcheon
221 DAL 36.5 X
222 JAC -2.5 under
DAL may make me sorry for taking them, JAC is a deep team w/a lot of team speed OUT? DT M Stroud
223 CHI -3.5 X
224 GB 34.5 over
another laugher maybe, QB Grossman should be able to move ball and you know their D at home is just stout. GB appears to be in rebuilding mode, not reload/restock mode
225 SF 42 under
226 ARI -7.5 X
Will SF score? this looks like a nice two team pick. INJ's ARI - RT O Ross, LB K Dansby
227 IND -3 X
228 NYG 49 over
little bro, needs more seasoning ...
229 MIN 35.5 X
230 WAS -4.5 over
You can buy a win in the NFL, game could go under if weather and WAS comply. OUT CB S Springs
231 SD -3 under
232 OAK 43.5 X
taking OAK, only cause 1st game on the road for SD QB Rivers, he won't be nervous now will he?
101 MIA 34 under
102 PIT pk X
Lines moved alot on news of PIT QB not playing total dropping from 37 and PIT as -5 fav. I know, I know I originally picked MIA, but the more I thought about it the circumstances are set for PIT's D to prove once again it is a dominant force and that MIA's D is aging.
203 DEN -3.5 X
204 STL 46.5 under
3.5? should be 14.5 ....
205 NYJ 36 X
206 TEN -3 under
with so much starting QB ?'s unanswered, TEN lacks unity and a field general. OUT TEN TE E Kinney
207 BUF 41 under
208 NE -9 X
let's see what Jauron and staff can come up with to stop NE, I didn't see or hear a thing yep that's NE w/$$ and nice cap management, they don't need a WR in this game
209 BAL 34.5 under
210 TB -3 X
hard to choose side or total as under 34.5 is likely to occur
211 CIN 45.5 X
212 KC -3 over
straight up upset take the moneyline in this game
213 SEA -6 X
214 DET 45 under
spread should at least be -7.5 for me to stop and think .... nahhhh make it 10.5 OUT - SEA TE J Stevens
215 ATL 40.5 X
216 CAR -6 under
might be the best game of the day, I was really tempted to take ATL +6 as my favored choice, one of the reasons is ATL has an extra player because they have a triple threat kicker for FG's , punts, and KO's. ATL doesn't have to carry a separate punter or FG/KO kicker and that allows another good player (ATL appears to have an extra FB) or consider him a good ST player, which is the often overlooked part of the team, but in this case may give ATL an edge. OUT ATL LB E Hartwell
217 PHI -4 X
218 HOU 37 over
Let's just say PHI is back and HOU is rebuilding, could be a laugher ...
219 NO 37 X
220 CLE -3 under
tough to pick, CLE has a little more exp playing w/each other and NO doesn't have depth, You could take CLE -3 and make a case for the $$ OUT CLE CB D McCutcheon
221 DAL 36.5 X
222 JAC -2.5 under
DAL may make me sorry for taking them, JAC is a deep team w/a lot of team speed OUT? DT M Stroud
223 CHI -3.5 X
224 GB 34.5 over
another laugher maybe, QB Grossman should be able to move ball and you know their D at home is just stout. GB appears to be in rebuilding mode, not reload/restock mode
225 SF 42 under
226 ARI -7.5 X
Will SF score? this looks like a nice two team pick. INJ's ARI - RT O Ross, LB K Dansby
227 IND -3 X
228 NYG 49 over
little bro, needs more seasoning ...
229 MIN 35.5 X
230 WAS -4.5 over
You can buy a win in the NFL, game could go under if weather and WAS comply. OUT CB S Springs
231 SD -3 under
232 OAK 43.5 X
taking OAK, only cause 1st game on the road for SD QB Rivers, he won't be nervous now will he?
preseason week 4
game team spread pick
(favored side or total:bold, best bet: green)
301 CAR -3 U
302 PIT 33.5 X
303 NE 35 X
304 NYG -3.5 O
305 STL 35.5 O
306 MIA -43 X
307 BUF 35 X
308 DET -3.5 O
309 JAC 36 U
310 ATL -3.5 X
311 BAL -1 X
312 WAS 34 U
313 TB 35 U
314 HOU -5 X
315 MIN 34.5 U
316 DAL -7 X
317 CHI 33.5 X
318 CLE -3 U
319 NO -2 U
320 KC 37 X
321 DEN 36.5 X
322 ARI -3.5 O
323 OAK -1 X
324 SEA 36.5 U
343 TEN 36 O
344 GB -3 X
345 PHI 33.5 U
346 NYJ -6.5 X
347 CIN -2.5 X
348 IND 40.5 O
349 SD 35.5 U
350 SF -3.5 X
(favored side or total:bold, best bet: green)
301 CAR -3 U
302 PIT 33.5 X
303 NE 35 X
304 NYG -3.5 O
305 STL 35.5 O
306 MIA -43 X
307 BUF 35 X
308 DET -3.5 O
309 JAC 36 U
310 ATL -3.5 X
311 BAL -1 X
312 WAS 34 U
313 TB 35 U
314 HOU -5 X
315 MIN 34.5 U
316 DAL -7 X
317 CHI 33.5 X
318 CLE -3 U
319 NO -2 U
320 KC 37 X
321 DEN 36.5 X
322 ARI -3.5 O
323 OAK -1 X
324 SEA 36.5 U
343 TEN 36 O
344 GB -3 X
345 PHI 33.5 U
346 NYJ -6.5 X
347 CIN -2.5 X
348 IND 40.5 O
349 SD 35.5 U
350 SF -3.5 X
results preseason week 3 day5
game 16, 2-0, CIN -5.5
ATS
overall 17-15
favored side/total 10-6
best bet 3-0
ATS
overall 17-15
favored side/total 10-6
best bet 3-0
results preseason week 3 day4
game 15, 0-2 , DEN -6, - HOU D is doing well holding DEN scoreless for a 1.5 quarters. Could it be other D's will notice and make it tougher on DEN O? I'm wondering if DEN will be as good this year as Kubiak brought 5 coaches from DEN to HOU and GM Rick Smith followed. Perhaps DEN is in the beginning of the downslope?
ATS
overall 15-15
favored side/total 9-6
best bet 3-0
ATS
overall 15-15
favored side/total 9-6
best bet 3-0
results preseason week 3 day3
game 7, 0-2, BUF -3.5, BUF played better than CLE in 1st half
game 8, 1-1, under 42 IND @NO* (win) - reports on IND game scheme were correct (came out after I made picks) Manning made NO D look pathetic
game 9, 1-1, over 35 WAS @NE* (win) - another game where you wonder what is WAS doing, as they don't appear to be ready for season
game 10, 2-0, DAL -6.5* (win, also best bet) - SF O ho hum don't look around cause I can't score, DAL played as expected
game 11, 0-2, under 34 TB @JAC - lotsa of scoring late, 1st half D's dominated, JAC appears to be more "error prone"
game 12, 1-1, over 37.5 ATL @TEN - this year their seems to be alot of have's and have not's guess which category ATL and TEN fall in
game 13, 2-0, KC -3.5* (win) KC played well in 1st half, STL well ... they need work
game 14, 1-1, SD -3.5*(win) - sub'd SEA QB in 2nd qtr, should have known better and looked for the over
ATS
overall 15-13
favored side/total 9-5
best bet 3-0
have's
NE, IND, DEN, SD, SEA, DAL, CIN, PIT,
have's 2nd tier
ATL, MIA, PHI, NYG, CAR, TB, JAC, ARI
in between (lean: haves+, have nots-)
BAL+, OAK-, KC-, WAS-, CHI+, MIN+, GB-, STL-
have not's
BUF, NYJ, CLE, TEN, HOU, DET, NO, SF,
game 8, 1-1, under 42 IND @NO* (win) - reports on IND game scheme were correct (came out after I made picks) Manning made NO D look pathetic
game 9, 1-1, over 35 WAS @NE* (win) - another game where you wonder what is WAS doing, as they don't appear to be ready for season
game 10, 2-0, DAL -6.5* (win, also best bet) - SF O ho hum don't look around cause I can't score, DAL played as expected
game 11, 0-2, under 34 TB @JAC - lotsa of scoring late, 1st half D's dominated, JAC appears to be more "error prone"
game 12, 1-1, over 37.5 ATL @TEN - this year their seems to be alot of have's and have not's guess which category ATL and TEN fall in
game 13, 2-0, KC -3.5* (win) KC played well in 1st half, STL well ... they need work
game 14, 1-1, SD -3.5*(win) - sub'd SEA QB in 2nd qtr, should have known better and looked for the over
ATS
overall 15-13
favored side/total 9-5
best bet 3-0
have's
NE, IND, DEN, SD, SEA, DAL, CIN, PIT,
have's 2nd tier
ATL, MIA, PHI, NYG, CAR, TB, JAC, ARI
in between (lean: haves+, have nots-)
BAL+, OAK-, KC-, WAS-, CHI+, MIN+, GB-, STL-
have not's
BUF, NYJ, CLE, TEN, HOU, DET, NO, SF,
Saturday, August 26, 2006
results preseason week 3 day2
game 2, 0-2, CHI -3, - ARI played better than CHI, though ARI OL holding not called by refs. ARI scored TD, while CHI settled for FG's in 1st half. ARI appears to be an improved team(the NFC W just got tougher). CHI appears to be in a holding pattern, w/no real O punch or is it play calling?
game 3, 1-1, NYG -4.5* (win) whooooweee NYG has D, NYJ well ... D is better than O
game 4, 1-1, BAL +2.5 - BAL O has too many errors, MIN D is playing much better (Tampa 2 cover? I see a lot of man coverage great DL pressure). MIN needs run O production. Both D's played well in 1st qtr.
game 5, 2-0, PHI -2.5* (best bet, win, forgot to note Under play), - hhmmm hard to gauge PIT, PHI is playing more inspired (less inj's) O is highly productive (spread cover? play on early often) PHI run D though appears suspect
game 6, 2-0, OAK -3 * (win) - Raider's have a definite attitude change, D is playing better, can O sustain play? DET needs a lot of work (bet against 1st regular season game and more?)
ATS
overall 7-5
favored side/total 4-2
best bet 2-0
game 3, 1-1, NYG -4.5* (win) whooooweee NYG has D, NYJ well ... D is better than O
game 4, 1-1, BAL +2.5 - BAL O has too many errors, MIN D is playing much better (Tampa 2 cover? I see a lot of man coverage great DL pressure). MIN needs run O production. Both D's played well in 1st qtr.
game 5, 2-0, PHI -2.5* (best bet, win, forgot to note Under play), - hhmmm hard to gauge PIT, PHI is playing more inspired (less inj's) O is highly productive (spread cover? play on early often) PHI run D though appears suspect
game 6, 2-0, OAK -3 * (win) - Raider's have a definite attitude change, D is playing better, can O sustain play? DET needs a lot of work (bet against 1st regular season game and more?)
ATS
overall 7-5
favored side/total 4-2
best bet 2-0
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