8/10 results

ATS 6-2

picked wrong game for over though historically NE and scored a lot in 1st game, NYJ is not playing the same as last preseason, they are now a bet on team IMHO.


for the season ATS 10-4

8/10 Preseason Picks

favored side or total ***

08/10 7:00 PM
267 Atl 33 vanilla O U?
268 NYJ -3½ -*XXX all QB's doing fine
pick NYJ** and under

08/10 7:30 PM
269 NE 33 X*U* ** XX? Over?23-16?
270 TB -3 X*SU XX??
pick NE and over*

08/10 8:00 PM
271 Buf 36 -* motivated but vanilla O, QB Trent Edwards bulk of snaps X
272 NO -6 -*QB Tyler Palko bulk of snaps U***
pick BUF and U***

08/10 8:00 PM
273 StL 35 -*only 2 inj's during TC, deep @RB, QB exp edge XXX***
274 Min -2 X* vanilla O
pick STL*** and U

8/9 results

ATS 2-2

1st game CIN @DET, what I noticed is that QB D Johnson played much longer and was more productive than I thought he would be, thus my picks being totally off instead of Fav/under combo the winning combo was dog/over (CIN D did get a TD and DET D did fairly well)

2nd game IND @DAL, just as predicted, pretty much followed reports from blogs etc. thus 2-0 ATS in this game

for the year ATS 4-2

Thursday 8/9 preseason picks

263 Cin 35 U
264 Det -3 X***

265 Ind 34 U**
266 Dal -5 X

Here's a url for CIN @DET game:
http://www.mlive.com/lions/stories/index.ssf?/stories/lions/20070808chat_transcript.htmlnote: DET new DC says we're setting tone for the season

not much on IND @DAL but I do like this blog:
http://blogs.indystar.com/philb/2007/08/dripping_sweat_with_observatio.html
note: IND QB Navarre was cut

here's one for DAL:
http://www.dallascowboys.com/news.cfm?id=47775BE9-C2AB-87C9-4BCE6FBF0B70AF3F
blitzing D looks like a winner SU, covering -5? well I'd take the chance

historically Dungy's teams in preseason are decidedly uninterested in winning game and the under is even more prevalent
DAL new HC Philips leans slightly to winning ATS and even less toward the over
CIN HC Lewis is nearly the same as DAL coach
DET HC Marinelli was 1-3 SU (2-2)ATS last year and 1-3 O/U

NFL Beat Writers Blogs

I picked up this url http://www.nflbeatwriterblogs.com/ from Football Outsiders

this should help for preseason huh???

HoF results

gee I thought it would rain at least once during the game, but somehow the rain stopped just for the game huh? Anyway my guess was on the $$ and I turned a nice little profit. We'll see if the rest of preseason has more "hidden" jewels.

I guess you can pretty much bet on PIT to cover as their intensity cannot be questioned w/their new coach. Meanwhile NO HC Payton is playing to the same tune as last year. You should be able to pick against them, but the total will be a bit harder unless you have a bead on their opposition, such as w/PIT .

I suspect in this Friday's game for NO that BUF should be favored and for PIT on Saturday they should be favored.

HoF game

261 NO 35.5 U**
262 PIT -2.5 X**

PIT HC is conducting tough 2-a-days, this should translate to a better chance to win this preseason game, covering the spread w/a D that wants the game. QB's look a bit better w/PIT and the drop off is noticeable w/NO.

note: NO in '06 preseason scored 19, 7, 14, 9 and allowed 16, 30, 27, 10 - an indicator that NO HC prefers to play possum in the preseason

This appears to be a 2-picker that will double your $$, of course PIT HC Tomlin could play possum as well, I lean toward the under...