ATS
game 16, 1-1, I guess Gibbs & Co are content, only 3 pts ...very vanilla
game 17, 0-2, oh well I'm 0-fer w/OAK, they really want to win. QB T Jackson looks good (a steal for MIN). I wonder how long will QB Brooks will last? QB Walter seems to be picking up O fairly quickly.
overall 21-12-1 (63.6%)
Best Bets: 2-0
Favored side or total: 12-5 (70.5%)
I was unable to watch the majority of games due to job(s) commitment, watch'n NFL network, Cutler's passing prowess is getting the growl, I wonder if RB L Betts can carry the load for WAS?
Monday, August 14, 2006
Saturday, August 12, 2006
results - qb experiment 8/6-14/06 day4
ATS
game 9, 2-0
game 10, 2-0
game 11, 1-1, side on the $$, total should have seen the over
game 12, 1-1, I could have been 0-2 as total was @37 or less pts for the most part, side ??
though in my earlier post HOU is the way to go and against my earliest post, but good info will change your mind, I still would have ended up 1-1 just correct on side, wrong on total
game 13, 1-1, side on the $$, just short of total as I thought O was in effect
game 14, 1-1, should have paid more attention to qb exp more than GB scrimmage ...
game 15, 2-0,
overall: 20-9-1
Best Bets: 2-0
Favored side or total: 12-3
favored side/total track record
0-1 phi -3
1-0 under 33 cle @phi
0-1 over 40.5 ind @stl
1-0 tb -3.5
1-0 under 38 den @det
1-0 nyg +3
0-1 under 37 ne @atl
1-0 sf +2.5
1-0 under 36 pit @ari (also best bet)
1-0 buf +4.5
1-0 jac +3
1-0 under 38.5 kc @hou
1-0 no +1.5
1-0 under 37 gb @sd (also best bet)
1-0 dal +3
?-? over 35.5 was @cin
?-? min -3
game 9, 2-0
game 10, 2-0
game 11, 1-1, side on the $$, total should have seen the over
game 12, 1-1, I could have been 0-2 as total was @37 or less pts for the most part, side ??
though in my earlier post HOU is the way to go and against my earliest post, but good info will change your mind, I still would have ended up 1-1 just correct on side, wrong on total
game 13, 1-1, side on the $$, just short of total as I thought O was in effect
game 14, 1-1, should have paid more attention to qb exp more than GB scrimmage ...
game 15, 2-0,
overall: 20-9-1
Best Bets: 2-0
Favored side or total: 12-3
favored side/total track record
0-1 phi -3
1-0 under 33 cle @phi
0-1 over 40.5 ind @stl
1-0 tb -3.5
1-0 under 38 den @det
1-0 nyg +3
0-1 under 37 ne @atl
1-0 sf +2.5
1-0 under 36 pit @ari (also best bet)
1-0 buf +4.5
1-0 jac +3
1-0 under 38.5 kc @hou
1-0 no +1.5
1-0 under 37 gb @sd (also best bet)
1-0 dal +3
?-? over 35.5 was @cin
?-? min -3
Friday, August 11, 2006
results - qb experiment 8/6-14/06 day3
ATS
game 4, 2-0
game 5, 2-0
game 6, 1-1 side correct, you may have gotten a push on total
game 7, 0-1-1, push side, I could have predicted over total
game 8, 2-0
overall, 10-5-1
I watched the beginning of NE @ATL game and watched NE RB's making large gains. Maroney and Dillon had several nice runs. NE's young OL (all starting 5 <29 yrs old) did very well. Mora wanted to win even more than Belichick? (spelling)
Info at covers.com really makes the under 38.5 (and dropping) for the KC @HOU game another good play and taking a look at HOU -3 highly worthy of another play.
game 4, 2-0
game 5, 2-0
game 6, 1-1 side correct, you may have gotten a push on total
game 7, 0-1-1, push side, I could have predicted over total
game 8, 2-0
overall, 10-5-1
I watched the beginning of NE @ATL game and watched NE RB's making large gains. Maroney and Dillon had several nice runs. NE's young OL (all starting 5 <29 yrs old) did very well. Mora wanted to win even more than Belichick? (spelling)
Info at covers.com really makes the under 38.5 (and dropping) for the KC @HOU game another good play and taking a look at HOU -3 highly worthy of another play.
Thursday, August 10, 2006
results - qb experiment 8/6-14/06 day2
ATS
game 2, 2-0
game 3, 0-2
overall 3-3
a little goal line stance, by CLE D - nice, or wonderment for PHI if they can't punch it in, less than 3 yds away you wonder how they'll score during regular. It is nice to note that PHI is running the ball more. CLE O well lets just call it "work in progress". PHI DL appears to be deep.
fell asleep after halftime of IND @STL game, IND starters look to be in mid season form. They should cover for the first month fairly easily and for the moneyline parlays a must on my ticket.
Its a wonder that STL had trouble w/IND D which had some of their starters out, perhaps a clue for the season w/STL and O, though I must say run O looked very good at times.
updated line:
Game # Team QB exp line pick
281 OAK 8 36.5 O
282 MIN 11 -3 x
game 2, 2-0
game 3, 0-2
overall 3-3
a little goal line stance, by CLE D - nice, or wonderment for PHI if they can't punch it in, less than 3 yds away you wonder how they'll score during regular. It is nice to note that PHI is running the ball more. CLE O well lets just call it "work in progress". PHI DL appears to be deep.
fell asleep after halftime of IND @STL game, IND starters look to be in mid season form. They should cover for the first month fairly easily and for the moneyline parlays a must on my ticket.
Its a wonder that STL had trouble w/IND D which had some of their starters out, perhaps a clue for the season w/STL and O, though I must say run O looked very good at times.
updated line:
Game # Team QB exp line pick
281 OAK 8 36.5 O
282 MIN 11 -3 x
Monday, August 07, 2006
results - qb experiment 8/6-14/06
ATS 1-1 ( O/U win, side loss) sure was a lot of blitzing and OAK really wanted to win, compared to PHI
updated odds:
game #TeamQB explinepick
251 CLE 6 33 U
252 PHI 19 -3 X
updated odds:
game #TeamQB explinepick
251 CLE 6 33 U
252 PHI 19 -3 X
Sunday, August 06, 2006
an experiment w/qb experience 8/6 - 8/14
During preseason if you blink you may miss the starting QB play, with this in mind I added up the remaining QB's years of experience and made a note for this weeks games. I changed the font to BOLD to reflect if I favor the side or the total. I changed the font to Green to reflect a best bet.
Game # Team QB exp line pick
451 OAK 8 36 U
452 PHI 18 -3 X
251 CLE 6 no line as of 8/5
252 PHI 18
253 IND 9 40.5 O
254 STL 19 -2.5 X
255 NYJ 9 33.5 U
256 TB 21 -3.5 X
257 DEN 5 pk U
258 DET 7 38 X
259 NYG 17 35 X
260 BAL 8 -3 O
261 NE 4 37 X
262 ATL 4 -3 U
263 CHI 12 -2.5 O
264 SF 24 34.5 X
265 PIT 9 36 X
266 ARI 5 -3 U
267 BUF 13 35.5 X
268 CAR 8 -4.5 U
269 JAC 8 34 X
270 MIA 8 -3 U
271 KC 11 -1 X
272 HOU 9 38.5 U
273 NO 23 37 X
274 TEN 3 -1.2 O
275 GB 2 37 X
276 SD 6 -4 U
277 DAL 7 37 X
278 SEA 8 -3 U
279 WAS 14 35.5 O
280 CIN 15 -1 X
281 OAK 8 no line as of 8/5
282 MIN 11
Game # Team QB exp line pick
451 OAK 8 36 U
452 PHI 18 -3 X
251 CLE 6 no line as of 8/5
252 PHI 18
253 IND 9 40.5 O
254 STL 19 -2.5 X
255 NYJ 9 33.5 U
256 TB 21 -3.5 X
257 DEN 5 pk U
258 DET 7 38 X
259 NYG 17 35 X
260 BAL 8 -3 O
261 NE 4 37 X
262 ATL 4 -3 U
263 CHI 12 -2.5 O
264 SF 24 34.5 X
265 PIT 9 36 X
266 ARI 5 -3 U
267 BUF 13 35.5 X
268 CAR 8 -4.5 U
269 JAC 8 34 X
270 MIA 8 -3 U
271 KC 11 -1 X
272 HOU 9 38.5 U
273 NO 23 37 X
274 TEN 3 -1.2 O
275 GB 2 37 X
276 SD 6 -4 U
277 DAL 7 37 X
278 SEA 8 -3 U
279 WAS 14 35.5 O
280 CIN 15 -1 X
281 OAK 8 no line as of 8/5
282 MIN 11
notes: NO, CLE, CIN & GB/SD
NO:
veteran QB rotation Brees, Jamie Martin, Todd Bouman
preseason week 1 273 +1 @TEN
CLE:
starters out: C (season), RT (4-6 weeks), CB (4-6 weeks)
CIN notes:
Projected starter @QB Anthony Wright (Preseason Game 1, 2, 3, 4 and regualar season).
QB Palmer is perhaps @50% after week 1
GB notes:
RB Noah Herron looked much more comfortable w/zone blocking scheme and performed better than RB Gado during intrasquad scrimmage on NFL Network.
FG Kickers sucked, missing ? ? ? ? ? so many tries in a row even alternating kickers.
QB Favre is still the same, very good, will take chances
QB Rodgers looks much more comfortable than last year
QB Wrobel(Winona St) not bad(not a threat to Rodgers), needs more seasoning
Rookie WR Jennings looks ready to start
LB Hawk has great speed and range covering both the right side of the field and impressively coming over to the left again and again during the scrimmage.
I liked LB Hodge as the bookend he's fairly stout and they are deeper and talented at the position this year.
Clayton's observations are much more thorough than mine.
Take this quote on D:
"The Packers have enough athletes on defense that they won't fall into the Cover 2 trend that's taking over the NFC North. Cornerbacks will be playing mainly man-to-man. Linebackers will be aggressive. Defensive linemen will fire up the field. The Packers are carrying over the aggressive Jim Bates defense from a year ago.
"We're using about 95 percent of last season," Barnett said. "It's the defense that allowed Jason Taylor to get all of those sacks [in Miami]. There will be a lot of third-down blitzing."
The addition of Woodson solidifies the Packers' pass coverage for the first time since the team traded Mike McKenzie to the Saints during the 2004 season. Woodson teams up with Al Harris, moving the oft-penalized Ahmad Carroll into the No. 3 cornerback role. " nice....
and this one on O:
"Longtime Packers like McCarthy's fresh approach to the offense. In some ways he's giving Favre a little more freedom than Holmgren and Mike Sherman did. Though the system is still the West Coast offense and McCarthy teaches it in its purest form, McCarthy isn't as rigid with the progression system. He's allowing for more playmaking.
"Now, we are going deep," wide receiver Donald Driver said. "We're airing it out past 20 yards instead of just the short, underneath routes. He's trying to jump on people from the beginning. It's not more one, two, three progressions. Whoever wins against the defensive backs gets the ball."
One of the staples of the Packers' West Coast offense has always been the decoys. In most routes, one receiver would go deep to clear out an area for the intended receiver. With McCarthy, all the receivers are in play."
Keep in mind w/Favre at the wheel this will happen, hopefully Rodgers will rise to the challenge should he be called upon.
I noticed DE KGB speed and the LT was beat, w/Favre he'll see it coming ( he is a lefty right?) but I need to check the other QB's I believe they are righty's and thus the LT position would need to play better.
275 GB +4 travels to SD for 1st preseason game. I like GB's QB rotation. I need to check on who plays after QB Rivers. Note: GB won last year 10-7 1st game preseason w/a team not as good/deep and SD has pretty much the same team w/all starters penciled in and RB Tomilinson does not play.
"Tomlinson almost always sits out exhibition games, so odds are fans won't see him when the Chargers host Green Bay next Saturday and Seattle on Aug. 26." see "Sore Neck? LT practices"
veteran QB rotation Brees, Jamie Martin, Todd Bouman
preseason week 1 273 +1 @TEN
CLE:
starters out: C (season), RT (4-6 weeks), CB (4-6 weeks)
CIN notes:
Projected starter @QB Anthony Wright (Preseason Game 1, 2, 3, 4 and regualar season).
QB Palmer is perhaps @50% after week 1
GB notes:
RB Noah Herron looked much more comfortable w/zone blocking scheme and performed better than RB Gado during intrasquad scrimmage on NFL Network.
FG Kickers sucked, missing ? ? ? ? ? so many tries in a row even alternating kickers.
QB Favre is still the same, very good, will take chances
QB Rodgers looks much more comfortable than last year
QB Wrobel(Winona St) not bad(not a threat to Rodgers), needs more seasoning
Rookie WR Jennings looks ready to start
LB Hawk has great speed and range covering both the right side of the field and impressively coming over to the left again and again during the scrimmage.
I liked LB Hodge as the bookend he's fairly stout and they are deeper and talented at the position this year.
Clayton's observations are much more thorough than mine.
Take this quote on D:
"The Packers have enough athletes on defense that they won't fall into the Cover 2 trend that's taking over the NFC North. Cornerbacks will be playing mainly man-to-man. Linebackers will be aggressive. Defensive linemen will fire up the field. The Packers are carrying over the aggressive Jim Bates defense from a year ago.
"We're using about 95 percent of last season," Barnett said. "It's the defense that allowed Jason Taylor to get all of those sacks [in Miami]. There will be a lot of third-down blitzing."
The addition of Woodson solidifies the Packers' pass coverage for the first time since the team traded Mike McKenzie to the Saints during the 2004 season. Woodson teams up with Al Harris, moving the oft-penalized Ahmad Carroll into the No. 3 cornerback role. " nice....
and this one on O:
"Longtime Packers like McCarthy's fresh approach to the offense. In some ways he's giving Favre a little more freedom than Holmgren and Mike Sherman did. Though the system is still the West Coast offense and McCarthy teaches it in its purest form, McCarthy isn't as rigid with the progression system. He's allowing for more playmaking.
"Now, we are going deep," wide receiver Donald Driver said. "We're airing it out past 20 yards instead of just the short, underneath routes. He's trying to jump on people from the beginning. It's not more one, two, three progressions. Whoever wins against the defensive backs gets the ball."
One of the staples of the Packers' West Coast offense has always been the decoys. In most routes, one receiver would go deep to clear out an area for the intended receiver. With McCarthy, all the receivers are in play."
Keep in mind w/Favre at the wheel this will happen, hopefully Rodgers will rise to the challenge should he be called upon.
I noticed DE KGB speed and the LT was beat, w/Favre he'll see it coming ( he is a lefty right?) but I need to check the other QB's I believe they are righty's and thus the LT position would need to play better.
275 GB +4 travels to SD for 1st preseason game. I like GB's QB rotation. I need to check on who plays after QB Rivers. Note: GB won last year 10-7 1st game preseason w/a team not as good/deep and SD has pretty much the same team w/all starters penciled in and RB Tomilinson does not play.
"Tomlinson almost always sits out exhibition games, so odds are fans won't see him when the Chargers host Green Bay next Saturday and Seattle on Aug. 26." see "Sore Neck? LT practices"
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